PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Elgin vs Spartans Result & Analysis

Date: 06/04/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Elgin
Elgin
Vs
27%
32%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Elgin win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 2.97
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.9%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.16
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans win✗ Miss
41.3%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.31
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L21W22D11D12L10W21W11D02LH·EAS03/02A·BON06/02A·SPA10/02H·STE17/02A·PET24/02A·CLY02/03H·BON09/03A·STR16/03H·FOR23/03A·EAS30/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.631.290.930.692.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.862.071.171.000.622.88
vs Weaker (16)1.061.251.380.880.751.62
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L00D21W21W13L22D00D26L00D10WH·ELG10/02A·DUM13/02A·STR17/02H·BON24/02H·EAS02/03A·BON05/03A·STE09/03H·DUM16/03A·CLY23/03H·FOR30/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.231.401.531.600.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.831.251.571.862.200.40
vs Weaker (18)1.281.221.251.251.301.20
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.2%
Under 1.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.9%
@ 2.00-10.7%
Under 2.5
64.1%
@ 1.75+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.8%
Under 3.5
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.6%
No
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
13.0%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
Elgin goals ↓
Spartans goals →
01234
013%13%8.7%3.5%1.1%
19.6%15%8.0%3.2%1.0%
25.0%6.1%3.7%1.5%0.5%
31.6%1.9%1.1%0.5%0.1%
40.4%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Spartans goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Elgin is 0.50 points worse than Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.61).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Elgin is 0.50 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Elgin is 0.44 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.64 vs 1.19).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ElginElgin

For 5.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

140437465254644545556867111171089101114A·EASH·FORA·STRH·BONA·CLYA·PETH·STEA·SPAA·BONH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7021224212125121231112363373342A·EASH·FORA·STRH·BONA·CLYA·PETH·STEA·SPAA·BONH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 14.2 · Total 25.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

3209181219891517119122081011111018121127311732203218222823A·EASH·FORA·STRH·BONA·CLYA·PETH·STEA·SPAA·BONH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SpartansSpartans

For 5.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

17046579627156311664375510121596917101010H·FORA·CLYH·DUMA·STEA·BONH·EASH·BONA·STRA·DUMH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

801232211122352224213521248463H·FORA·CLYH·DUMA·STEA·BONH·EASH·BONA·STRA·DUMH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

310916101511912101714911101587810111125252022312025151822H·FORA·CLYH·DUMA·STEA·BONH·EASH·BONA·STRA·DUMH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.88.33.63.63.623.724.223.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (21)8.48.68.24.05.23.224.526.223.2
vs Weaker (29)8.79.08.43.32.64.023.123.123.1
% over line36%38%35%48%38%58%62%62%62%
% under line64%62%65%52%62%42%38%38%38%
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (31)9.59.99.13.43.23.620.920.521.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (12)8.29.36.63.84.03.423.022.024.4
vs Weaker (19)10.310.310.33.22.63.719.519.319.7
% over line45%50%40%48%31%67%48%50%47%
% under line55%50%60%52%69%33%52%50%53%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.9
Stenhousemuir
10.5
Forfar
10.1
Stranraer
9.9
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Spartans
9.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.4
Peterhead
8.8
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.7
Dumbarton
4.2
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.0
East Fife
3.9
Stranraer
3.6
Elgin
3.6
Clyde
3.4
Spartans
3.4
Forfar
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.5
Forfar
24.0
Elgin
23.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.6
Stenhousemuir
21.6
East Fife
21.5
Dumbarton
20.9
Spartans
20.9
Stranraer
20.3
Clyde
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.9%
Under 9.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.6%
Under 3.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
64.7%
Under 21.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D21W11D10W00D00D11D01LH·EAS03/02A·BON06/02A·SPA10/02H·STE17/02A·PET24/02A·CLY02/03H·BON09/03A·STR16/03H·FOR23/03A·EAS30/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.770.640.640.190.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.290.860.500.500.121.12
vs Weaker (16)0.500.690.750.750.250.62
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L20W11D11D00D23L00D00DH·ELG10/02A·DUM13/02A·STR17/02H·BON24/02H·EAS02/03A·BON05/03A·STE09/03H·DUM16/03A·CLY23/03H·FOR30/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.530.530.730.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.330.570.430.800.20
vs Weaker (18)0.610.500.500.620.700.40
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L21W01L00D02L10W21W00D01LH·EAS03/02A·BON06/02A·SPA10/02H·STE17/02A·PET24/02A·CLY02/03H·BON09/03A·STR16/03H·FOR23/03A·EAS30/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.640.290.501.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.571.210.670.500.501.75
vs Weaker (16)0.560.560.620.120.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D20W01L02L11D00D03L00D10WH·ELG10/02A·DUM13/02A·STR17/02H·BON24/02H·EAS02/03A·BON05/03A·STE09/03H·DUM16/03A·CLY23/03H·FOR30/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.800.871.000.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.170.921.001.431.400.20
vs Weaker (18)0.670.720.750.620.600.80
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.583.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners79.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards70.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
ELG wins
0
Draws
2
SPA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Elgin vs Spartans · H/A from ELG
DateH/AGameScore
10/02/24ASpartans Vs ELG1-2
16/12/23HELG Vs Spartans0-4
19/08/23ASpartans Vs ELG2-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/24AEast Fife Vs ELG2-0
23/03/24HELG Vs Forfar1-1
16/03/24AStranraer Vs ELG1-2
09/03/24HELG Vs Bonnyrigg Rose1-0
02/03/24AClyde Vs ELG2-1
24/02/24APeterhead Vs ELG1-1
17/02/24HELG Vs Stenhousemuir2-2
10/02/24ASpartans Vs ELG1-2
06/02/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs ELG2-0
03/02/24HELG Vs East Fife1-0

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/24HSPA Vs Forfar1-0
23/03/24AClyde Vs SPA0-0
16/03/24HSPA Vs Dumbarton2-6
09/03/24AStenhousemuir Vs SPA0-0
05/03/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs SPA2-2
02/03/24HSPA Vs East Fife1-3
24/02/24HSPA Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
17/02/24AStranraer Vs SPA1-2
13/02/24ADumbarton Vs SPA0-0
10/02/24HSPA Vs Elgin1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.02
HomeWWDWD1.54
AwayWDLWL0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%42%15%
AVG goals2.462.042.85
Over 1.5 %76%67%85%
Over 2.5 %46%29%62%
Over 3.5 %16%8%23%
Scored0.821.040.62
Conceded1.641.002.23
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet18%29%8%
Corners8.588.838.35
Cards3.603.583.62
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDW1.58
HomeLWLLW1.38
AwayDWDDD1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%38%47%
AVG goals2.712.882.53
Over 1.5 %71%81%60%
Over 2.5 %55%56%53%
Over 3.5 %29%25%33%
Scored1.481.381.60
Conceded1.231.500.93
BTTS55%62%47%
Clean Sheet35%25%47%
Corners9.489.889.07
Cards3.393.193.60

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches