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Elgin vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 29/11/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Elgin
Elgin
Vs
84%
10%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: FA Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Elgin’s recent unbeaten run, highlighted by a 4-0 win over Stirling, fuels the model’s confidence in a home victory, reflected in an 84% home-win probability. The model picks a home win as the single most likely result, citing Elgin’s strong home form against weaker opponents, where they average 1.78 goals scored and only 0.89 conceded. Stirling, on the other hand, averages just one goal scored and 1.56 conceded away against stronger teams, underscoring their venue weakness. The expected total of 5.1 goals and a 39% chance of six or more goals suggest a high-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline 3-1 for Elgin at 7.3%. Home win, draw and away win probabilities stand at 84%, 10% and 7% respectively. The model’s selections include Home over 0.5 goals (98%), Home +2 handicap (97.6%), Over 1.5 (96.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.5%), Home or Draw (93.5%), Home +1 handicap (93.5%), Home over 1.5 goals (90.2%) and Home or Away (90.3% miss). All figures are presented as percentages.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Elgin failed to convert their pre-match favourite status into a win, ending the match in a 2-2 draw. The model had picked a home win with an 84% probability, but that call proved wrong. The final score of 2-2 matched the actual result of a draw. The model’s selections performed largely as expected: Home over 0.5 goals hit at 98%, Home +2 handicap at 97.6% hit, Over 1.5 at 96.6% hit, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.5% hit, Home or Draw at 93.5% hit, Home +1 handicap at 93.5% hit, Home over 1.5 goals at 90.2% hit, while Home or Away at 90.3% missed. Elgin’s unbeaten run of five games, highlighted by a 4-0 win over Stirling, had set high expectations that the game did not fulfil.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elgin win✗ Miss
83.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
9.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
6.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D23L21W03L21W20W31W20W11DH·STI13/09A·STR20/09H·SPA27/09H·FOR04/10A·EAS18/10H·DEV25/10H·ANN01/11A·EDI08/11H·DUM15/11A·STI22/11← League TwoFA Cup →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.701.621.500.791.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.002.461.432.290.502.67
vs Weaker (17)1.411.121.780.891.001.38
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L31W24L22D11D33D01L02L04L11DA·ELG13/09A·SPA20/09H·CLY27/09H·DUM04/10A·ANN18/10A·CAL25/10H·EDI01/11A·EAS08/11H·FOR15/11H·ELG22/11← League TwoFA Cup →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.771.071.930.931.60
vs Stronger (15)0.931.730.832.001.001.56
vs Similar (13)1.001.461.141.290.831.67
vs Weaker (2)1.504.001.504.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

10%20%30%39%1%03%18%214%317%418%539%6+
The model estimates around 5.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (39%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
96.6%
Under 1.5
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
88.5%
Under 2.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.1%
Under 3.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.0%
No
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
7.3%
4-1
7.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
5-1
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
5-0
4.6%
Elgin goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
00.9%0.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%
12.1%3.2%1.7%0.7%0.2%
24.7%5.6%3.4%1.4%0.4%
36.1%7.3%4.4%1.8%0.5%
45.9%7.2%4.3%1.7%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.25
Aberdeen
2.20
ST Mirren
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Turriff United
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Dundee North End
1.75
Brechin
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Fraserburgh
1.75
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Culter
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Rangers
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Elgin
1.33
Livingston
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Queen's Park
1.25
Tweedmouth
1.03
Lossiemouth
1.03
Johnstone Burgh
1.03
St Cadoc's
1.03
Partick
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Edinburgh City
0.50
Keith
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Motherwell
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Elgin is 0.67 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Stirling
4.00
Threave Rovers
4.00
Peterhead
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Ayr Utd
3.33
Lochee United
3.33
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Celtic
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Fraserburgh
2.75
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Culter
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Aberdeen
2.40
Bo'ness United
2.33
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
ST Mirren
2.00
Partick
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Dundee North End
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Ross County
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Dunfermline
1.67
Livingston
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Queen's Park
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Brechin
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Broxburn Athletic
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Tweedmouth
1.41
Lossiemouth
1.41
Johnstone Burgh
1.41
St Cadoc's
1.41
Elgin
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Hibernian
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Edinburgh City
1.00
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Kilmarnock
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Pollok
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Keith
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Motherwell
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Elgin is 2.67 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 4.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Turriff United
0.50
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Rangers
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Hibernian
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Stirling
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Culter
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
East Fife
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Dunfermline
1.33
Cowdenbeath
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Edinburgh City
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Stranraer
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Morton
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Partick
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Keith
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Ross County
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Tweedmouth
2.09
Lossiemouth
2.09
Johnstone Burgh
2.09
St Cadoc's
2.09
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Peterhead
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
Elgin is 1.00 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ElginElgin

For 6.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

16014221657535743475979716311128117121616A·STIH·DUMA·EDIH·ANNA·EASH·FORH·SPAA·STRH·STIA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

80121144213142144231035645385A·STIH·DUMA·EDIH·ANNA·EASH·FORH·SPAA·STRH·STIA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

3405881661314101313131510814101113132113241924262818242434A·STIH·DUMA·EDIH·ANNA·EASH·FORH·SPAA·STRH·STIA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 4.8 · Against 7.7 · Total 12.5

🚩 Corners

180214351086527692327798101681811915591618H·ELGH·FORA·EASH·EDIA·ANNH·DUMH·CLYA·SPAA·ELGH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

801214222212113144331364232486H·ELGH·FORA·EASH·EDIA·ANNH·DUMH·CLYA·SPAA·ELGH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 8.4 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

3208516820128111477659146131113913243219211314202422H·ELGH·FORA·EASH·EDIA·ANNH·DUMH·CLYA·SPAA·ELGH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.210.84.34.34.224.223.424.9
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (21)9.610.19.14.03.54.523.923.124.6
vs Weaker (28)11.110.312.04.65.23.924.323.625.2
% over line67%62%71%62%67%57%69%62%76%
% under line33%38%29%38%33%43%31%38%24%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.410.13.73.73.721.520.322.7
vs Stronger (25)11.411.211.63.63.43.821.819.823.1
vs Similar (21)10.411.68.63.73.93.521.721.022.6
vs Weaker (4)9.210.75.04.24.34.019.019.019.0
% over line63%82%43%54%48%60%47%41%52%
% under line37%18%57%46%52%40%53%59%48%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Ross County
11.4
Celtic
11.2
East Kilbride
11.2
Falkirk
11.2
Hibernian
11.2
Morton
11.0
Aberdeen
10.8
Dumbarton
10.8
Rangers
10.8
Dundee Utd
10.8
Stirling
10.6
ST Mirren
10.5
Kilmarnock
10.4
Airdrie United
10.4
Dundee
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Partick
10.2
Motherwell
10.1
Dunfermline
10.1
Elgin
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Arbroath
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.8
Clyde
9.8
Stranraer
9.7
East Fife
9.6
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Cove Rangers
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.2
Forfar
9.2
Livingston
9.1
Spartans
9.0
Stenhousemuir
9.0
Inverness CT
9.0
Montrose
8.8
Peterhead
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.4
Peterhead
5.4
Edinburgh City
5.2
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Morton
5.0
Aberdeen
4.9
Forfar
4.9
Elgin
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.6
ST Mirren
4.5
Clyde
4.5
Stranraer
4.4
Spartans
4.4
Dundee Utd
4.4
Hibernian
4.3
East Fife
4.3
Stirling
4.3
Partick
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Livingston
4.1
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Rangers
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Falkirk
3.9
Montrose
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Kelty Hearts
3.8
Dumbarton
3.8
Dunfermline
3.7
Dundee
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Celtic
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Inverness CT
3.3
Airdrie United
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.1
Raith Rovers
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
28.0
Peterhead
25.9
Livingston
25.0
Motherwell
25.0
Forfar
24.8
Edinburgh City
24.3
East Fife
23.9
Elgin
23.8
Aberdeen
23.8
Stenhousemuir
23.4
Heart Of Midlothian
23.2
Rangers
23.0
Kilmarnock
23.0
Falkirk
22.8
Clyde
22.6
Morton
22.3
ST Johnstone
22.3
Stranraer
21.9
Cowdenbeath
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.8
Inverness CT
21.7
Montrose
21.6
Stirling
21.5
ST Mirren
21.3
Spartans
21.2
Hibernian
21.2
Dundee
20.9
Ross County
20.7
Dunfermline
20.7
Kelty Hearts
20.6
Annan Athletic
20.6
Cove Rangers
20.6
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.3
Arbroath
20.2
Partick
20.2
Celtic
20.1
Dumbarton
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.5%
Under 9.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.4%
Under 3.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.3%
Under 21.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Elgin or Draw✓ Hit
93.5%
Avg Implied -
84%
10%
7%
covers Elgin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin or Stirling✗ Miss
90.3%
Avg Implied -
84%
10%
7%
covers Elgin + Stirling
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Stirling✓ Hit
16.3%
Avg Implied -
84%
10%
7%
covers Draw + Stirling
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Elgin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
98.0%
Under
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
90.2%
Under
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
74.8%
Under
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
54.8%
Under
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.1%
Under
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
34.0%
Under
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.2%
Under
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Elgin, so a minus line means Elgin give that many goals of a start and Stirling receive them. At -1, Elgin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Elgin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Elgin)Actual: Stirling
Elgin -2
51.9%
Draw -2
17.7%
Stirling +2
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Elgin)Actual: Stirling
Elgin -1
69.6%
Draw -1
14.2%
Stirling +1
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin +1
93.5%
Draw +1
4.2%
Stirling -1
2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin +2
97.6%
Draw +2
1.7%
Stirling -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D11D01L03L00D10W01L00D00DH·STI13/09A·STR20/09H·SPA27/09H·FOR04/10A·EAS18/10H·DEV25/10H·ANN01/11A·EDI08/11H·DUM15/11A·STI22/11← League TwoFA Cup →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.690.690.290.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.541.230.711.000.331.50
vs Weaker (17)0.470.470.670.440.250.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W02L11D01L11D01L01L02L00DA·ELG13/09A·SPA20/09H·CLY27/09H·DUM04/10A·ANN18/10A·CAL25/10H·EDI01/11A·EAS08/11H·FOR15/11H·ELG22/11← League TwoFA Cup →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.870.271.070.530.67
vs Stronger (15)0.470.800.331.170.560.56
vs Similar (13)0.380.770.290.710.500.83
vs Weaker (2)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D12L20W00D21W10W30W20W11DH·STI13/09A·STR20/09H·SPA27/09H·FOR04/10A·EAS18/10H·DEV25/10H·ANN01/11A·EDI08/11H·DUM15/11A·STI22/11← League TwoFA Cup →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.900.940.810.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.461.230.711.290.171.17
vs Weaker (17)0.940.651.110.440.750.88
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D22D11D10W22D00D01L02L11DA·ELG13/09A·SPA20/09H·CLY27/09H·DUM04/10A·ANN18/10A·CAL25/10H·EDI01/11A·EAS08/11H·FOR15/11H·ELG22/11← League TwoFA Cup →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.800.870.400.93
vs Stronger (15)0.470.930.500.830.441.00
vs Similar (13)0.620.690.860.570.330.83
vs Weaker (2)1.502.001.502.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home over 0.5 goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap97.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.596.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw93.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap93.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away90.3%-------✗ Miss
Home over 1.5 goals90.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.588.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals87.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls86.7%--------
Under 7.585.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards85.0%--------
Home win83.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls75.3%--------
Over 3.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Home over 2.5 goals74.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 6.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals70.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ELG wins
1
Draws
5
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Elgin vs Stirling · H/A from ELG
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25AStirling Vs ELG1-1
13/09/25HELG Vs Stirling3-0
05/04/25HELG Vs Stirling0-2
08/02/25AStirling Vs ELG3-1
14/12/24HELG Vs Stirling2-4
10/08/24AStirling Vs ELG0-1
04/04/23AStirling Vs ELG1-0
01/04/23HELG Vs Stirling0-3

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25AStirling Vs ELG1-1
15/11/25HELG Vs Dumbarton2-0
08/11/25AEdinburgh City Vs ELG1-3
01/11/25HELG Vs Annan Athletic2-0
25/10/25HELG Vs Deveronvale2-1
18/10/25AEast Kilbride Vs ELG3-0
04/10/25HELG Vs Forfar2-1
27/09/25HELG Vs Spartans2-3
20/09/25AStranraer Vs ELG1-1
13/09/25HELG Vs Stirling3-0

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25HSTI Vs Elgin1-1
15/11/25HSTI Vs Forfar0-4
08/11/25AEast Kilbride Vs STI2-0
01/11/25HSTI Vs Edinburgh City0-1
25/10/25ACaledonian Braves Vs STI3-3
18/10/25AAnnan Athletic Vs STI1-1
04/10/25HSTI Vs Dumbarton2-2
27/09/25HSTI Vs Clyde2-4
20/09/25ASpartans Vs STI1-3
13/09/25AElgin Vs STI3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: FA Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.34
HomeLWWWW1.70
AwayDDLWD0.91
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%56%22%
AVG goals2.823.152.43
Over 1.5 %80%85%74%
Over 2.5 %48%59%35%
Over 3.5 %26%30%22%
Scored1.281.700.78
Conceded1.541.441.65
BTTS44%44%43%
Clean Sheet28%37%17%
Corners10.5010.2410.76
Cards5.075.574.57
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: FA Cup
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.14
HomeLDLLD1.36
AwayLWDDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals3.183.323.04
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %62%72%52%
Over 3.5 %42%52%32%
Scored1.421.601.24
Conceded1.761.721.80
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners10.7711.3610.14
Cards4.304.234.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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