Elgin’s recent 3-3 draw with Spartans suggests a resilient attack, while Stirling’s 2-2 stalemate against Stranraer shows they can keep the scoreline tight. The model favours a home win, with a 55 % chance, a 23 % draw probability and a 22 % chance of an away victory. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a high-scoring encounter, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10.4 % probability. Elgin’s home form against weaker opponents yields 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded on average, whereas Stirling’s away performance versus stronger teams sees them net 1.17 and concede 1.83. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8 %, Under 7.5 at 98.0 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.7 % with a 6 % edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.2 % with a 4 % edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.2 % with a 5 % edge, Under 6.5 at 94.9 % with a 4 % edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.0 % with a 5 % edge, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.9 % with a 5 % edge.
Results analysis
Elgin’s unbeaten run in their last five games, highlighted by a 4-0 win over Stirling, set the tone for a convincing home victory. The model’s favourite, a home win with a 55% probability, proved correct as Elgin secured a 4-0 triumph. The predicted 3-goal total was surpassed, yet the model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.9%, Under 7.5 at 98.0%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.0%, Under 6.5 at 94.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.2%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.1%. All picks settled as hits, confirming the model’s accuracy across the board.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Elgin win✓ Hit
54.8%
Avg Implied 49.4% · @ 1.84
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Unibet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Dafabet
1.85
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.51
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
Betano
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Stirling win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.66
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.82
Betano
3.80
Dafabet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.76
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Elgin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.80
1.50
1.64
1.69
1.94
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.33
2.75
1.83
2.83
0.83
2.67
vs Weaker (17)
1.71
1.18
1.25
0.75
2.11
1.56
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.63
1.07
1.43
1.50
1.81
vs Stronger (12)
1.08
1.75
1.00
1.67
1.17
1.83
vs Similar (15)
1.53
1.40
1.29
1.00
1.75
1.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
2.33
0.00
3.00
1.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.1%
@ 1.18+7.3%
Under 1.5
14.9%
@ 4.14-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.0%
@ 1.63+7.1%
Under 2.5
36.0%
@ 2.15-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
BetVictor
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.63
Under
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.21
Marathonbet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.0%
@ 2.53+5.6%
Under 3.5
58.0%
@ 1.45-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Under
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.1%
@ 1.58+4.5%
No
36.9%
@ 2.25-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
No
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.25
William Hil
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%@ 6.88+3.8%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.89+3.9%
2-0
7.7%@ 9.74+3.1%
1-0
6.6%@ 8.50+1.3%
3-1
6.6%@ 12.91+3.1%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.88+2.2%
1-2
5.9%@ 11.76+2.1%
3-0
5.3%@ 15.45+2.3%
Elgin goals ↓
Stirling goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
3.7%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
1
6.6%
10%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
2
7.7%
9.7%
6.1%
2.5%
0.8%
3
5.3%
6.6%
4.1%
1.7%
0.5%
4
2.7%
3.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Elgin is 1.40 points better than Stirling in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Elgin is 2.20 goals better than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (3.40 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Elgin is 1.40 goals better than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Elgin
For 3.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stirling
For 3.2 · Against 7.8 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elgin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.3
10.8
3.0
3.0
2.9
22.8
21.6
23.8
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
9.7
11.0
8.6
2.2
2.3
2.1
23.7
21.2
25.6
vs Weaker (31)
10.9
10.1
11.6
3.5
3.5
3.5
22.5
21.7
23.2
% over line
61%
59%
63%
42%
50%
33%
61%
53%
68%
% under line
39%
41%
37%
58%
50%
67%
39%
47%
32%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.0
11.4
3.0
2.7
3.3
20.8
19.5
22.0
vs Stronger (22)
10.6
11.0
10.3
2.8
2.3
3.2
21.2
19.8
22.3
vs Similar (24)
11.8
11.9
11.8
3.3
3.0
3.6
20.8
19.8
21.7
vs Weaker (4)
9.8
6.5
13.0
2.8
3.0
2.5
19.8
17.0
22.5
% over line
57%
61%
53%
42%
38%
46%
38%
22%
53%
% under line
43%
39%
47%
58%
62%
54%
62%
78%
47%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.5%
@ 1.56-0.6%
Under 9.5
41.5%
@ 2.26+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Superbet
2.22
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.9%
Under 3.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
52.5%
Under 21.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Elgin or Draw✓ Hit
77.9%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.21
Edge
+2.4%
55%
23%
22%
covers Elgin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Elgin or Stirling✓ Hit
76.9%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.22
Edge
+2.0%
55%
23%
22%
covers Elgin + Stirling
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Draw or Stirling✗ Miss
45.2%
Avg Implied 49.6% · @ 1.84
Edge
-4.4%
55%
23%
22%
covers Draw + Stirling
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
SBO
1.87
BetVictor
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Elgin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.1%
@ 1.13+5.7%
Under
12.9%
@ 4.95-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Under
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.85
Superbet
4.65
Elgin over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
60.7%
@ 1.72+6.8%
Under
39.3%
@ 2.01-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
BetVictor
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Elgin over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
33.6%
@ 3.22+5.0%
Under
66.4%
@ 1.29-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.15
Superbet
3.15
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Elgin over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
15.1%
@ 6.63+1.2%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.08-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Stirling over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.4%
@ 1.37+4.0%
Under
28.6%
@ 2.85-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.95
BetVictor
2.90
Superbet
2.85
1xBet
2.75
Stirling over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.6%
@ 2.71+1.5%
Under
64.4%
@ 1.40-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.78
1xBet
2.76
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Under
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Stirling over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 6.33-1.3%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.08+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Stirling over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 11.00-4.6%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Elgin, so a minus line means Elgin give that many goals of a start and Stirling receive them. At -1, Elgin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Elgin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin -2
16.5%
@ 5.78+1.2%
Draw -2
16.9%
@ 5.05-0.7%
Stirling +2
66.6%
@ 1.32-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.55
Draw
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Handicap -1 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin -1
33.4%
@ 3.11+4.9%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 3.80-1.9%
Stirling +1
45.2%
@ 1.84-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.10
Marathonbet
2.92
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Away
Marathonbet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Handicap +1 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin +1
77.9%
@ 1.20+5.2%
Draw +1
12.7%
@ 5.53-3.1%
Stirling -1
9.3%
@ 7.60-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Draw
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
Away
Marathonbet
7.70
Bet365
7.50
Handicap +2 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin +2
90.7%
@ 1.07+3.4%
Draw +2
6.3%
@ 12.00-1.5%
Stirling -2
3.0%
@ 19.00-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Elgin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.86
0.50
0.81
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.83
0.33
1.17
vs Weaker (17)
0.94
0.59
0.75
0.25
1.11
0.89
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.03
0.36
0.93
0.38
1.12
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
1.00
0.17
1.00
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.47
1.00
0.57
0.71
0.38
1.25
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.33
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.5%
@ 1.29+1.8%
Under 0.5
26.5%
@ 3.26-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.9%
@ 2.37-1.1%
Under 1.5
62.1%
@ 1.51+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.40
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Under
William Hil
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
BetVictor
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.0%
@ 5.41-2.1%
Under 2.5
85.0%
@ 1.11+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.80
BetVictor
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
59.0%
@ 1.68+4.1%
Under
41.0%
@ 2.05-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
20.5%
@ 4.34-0.7%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.17+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.33
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 9.25-4.9%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.7%
@ 2.25-3.3%
Under
62.3%
@ 1.57+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.54
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 7.27-3.8%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.06+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.40
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Elgin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.03
0.64
1.14
0.88
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
1.75
0.83
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (17)
0.76
0.59
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
0.71
0.50
1.12
0.69
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
0.75
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.83
vs Similar (15)
1.07
0.40
0.71
0.29
1.38
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.5%
@ 1.17+3.6%
Under 0.5
17.5%
@ 4.38-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.33
Betano
4.30
Superbet
4.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.3%
@ 1.83-1.0%
Under 1.5
50.7%
@ 1.86+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.7%
@ 3.57-3.2%
Under 2.5
77.3%
@ 1.25+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.3%
@ 1.47-0.3%
Under
37.7%
@ 2.46+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Under
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
28.0%
@ 3.14-1.3%
Under
72.0%
@ 1.30+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.08
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 7.85-4.9%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.04+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.3%
@ 1.87-1.1%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.82+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.78
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.3%
@ 5.25-4.2%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.12+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.40
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 10.00-5.3%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.8%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.3%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.1%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.7%
1.12
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.1%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Unibet
1.18
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.0%
1.11
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.9%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-1.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.17
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.5%
1.17
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.9%
1.21
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.23
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.9%
1.22
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.3%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.5%
1.29
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.0%
1.30
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
-
-
+1.3%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
71.4%
1.37
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.5%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+0.2%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
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Clyde
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Stranraer
Spartans
Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
Dumbarton