Elva vs Flora II Result & Analysis

Elva’s recent 1-0 win over Maardu gives the home side a confidence boost, while Flora II’s 2-1 victory against Viimsi keeps their form solid. The model sees a 40 % chance of a home win, 27 % for a draw, and 34 % for an away win, making a home win the most likely outcome. The expected total of 3.0 goals aligns with a 24 % probability that exactly two goals will be scored, the most probable total. The single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, with a 12.5 % chance, reflecting the balanced scoring patterns: Elva averages 1.18 goals for and 1.18 against at home against similar opposition, whereas Flora II scores 0.9 and concedes 2.1 on the road. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (98.9 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 % with an 8 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5 % with a 9 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2 % with a 10 % edge), Under 6.5 (96.9 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.6 % with a 10 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (94.5 %), and Home under 3.5 goals (92.8 %).

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Elva, did not materialise as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The final score of 0-0 matched the actual result, confirming the stalemate. The model had given Elva a 40 % chance of victory, yet the outcome was a draw, so the prediction was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.9 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.2 %, Under 6.5 hit at 96.9 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.5 %, and Home under 3.5 goals hit at 92.8 %. Both sides entered the game on a draw, with Elva’s recent form noting a draw and Flora II’s recent form also noting a draw.