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Elva vs Legion Result & Analysis

Date: 24/11/2024
Time: 10:30
Final 6-0
Elva
Elva
Vs
46%
25%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Legion
Legion
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elva win✓ Hit
45.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Legion win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ElvaElva

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-443W02L01L01L30W00D11D01L23L30WA·PAI19/09A·FLO22/09H·TAR28/09H·FC 06/10A·JK 20/10A·FCI24/10H·TAL27/10A·LAA03/11H·VII10/11A·LEG17/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.701.431.571.311.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.311.761.431.571.201.93
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Legion) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LegionLegion

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D12L05L24L04L43W23L14L03L03LA·VII24/09A·FLO28/09H·NÕM02/10H·PAI07/10A·FCI23/10A·K-J29/10H·FC 02/11H·ELV05/11A·JK 11/11H·ELV17/11
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
3.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.700.623.001.142.36
vs Stronger (16)0.692.750.333.001.142.43
vs Similar (14)1.072.641.003.001.142.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Elva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.7%
Under 2.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.3%
No
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
4.8%
Elva goals ↓
Legion goals →
01234
04.8%4.5%4.0%1.9%0.7%
15.9%11%7.2%3.5%1.3%
26.3%9.1%6.6%3.2%1.2%
33.8%5.6%4.0%2.0%0.7%
41.8%2.6%1.9%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elva goals (down), columns = Legion goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laagri
2.17
Viimsi
2.08
Flora II
1.83
Tartu Welco
1.67
FC Tallinn
1.47
Elva
1.24
FCI Levadia II
1.22
Tallinna Kalev II
1.17
Paide II
0.69
JK Tabasalu
0.44
Legion
0.00
Elva is 1.24 points better than Legion in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Laagri
3.06
Flora II
2.67
Viimsi
2.08
Tallinna Kalev II
2.00
Tartu Welco
1.94
FC Tallinn
1.86
FCI Levadia II
1.67
Elva
1.47
Paide II
1.31
JK Tabasalu
0.97
Legion
0.00
Elva is 1.47 goals better than Legion in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 0.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laagri
1.17
Viimsi
1.17
Tartu Welco
1.22
FC Tallinn
1.50
Flora II
1.53
Elva
1.63
FCI Levadia II
1.97
Tallinna Kalev II
2.42
JK Tabasalu
2.81
Paide II
3.36
Legion
4.50
Elva is 2.87 goals better than Legion in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 4.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ElvaElva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D01L01L10W00D11D00D02L10WA·PAI19/09A·FLO22/09H·TAR28/09H·FC 06/10A·JK 20/10A·FCI24/10H·TAL27/10A·LAA03/11H·VII10/11A·LEG17/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.500.860.560.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.520.860.500.860.530.87
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Legion) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LegionLegion

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L03L22D01L11D02L12L00D01LA·VII24/09A·FLO28/09H·NÕM02/10H·PAI07/10A·FCI23/10A·K-J29/10H·FC 02/11H·ELV05/11A·JK 11/11H·ELV17/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.100.381.310.290.86
vs Stronger (16)0.191.250.111.440.291.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.930.711.140.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Elva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ElvaElva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W02L00D00D20W00D00D01L21W20WA·PAI19/09A·FLO22/09H·TAR28/09H·FC 06/10A·JK 20/10A·FCI24/10H·TAL27/10A·LAA03/11H·VII10/11A·LEG17/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.870.930.710.751.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.790.900.930.710.671.07
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Legion) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LegionLegion

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D02L02L03L32W21W02L03L02LA·VII24/09A·FLO28/09H·NÕM02/10H·PAI07/10A·FCI23/10A·K-J29/10H·FC 02/11H·ELV05/11A·JK 11/11H·ELV17/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.600.251.690.861.50
vs Stronger (16)0.501.500.221.560.861.43
vs Similar (14)0.571.710.291.860.861.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Elva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (25)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
5
ELV wins
1
Draws
1
LEG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Elva vs Legion · H/A from ELV
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/24ALegion Vs ELV0-3
05/11/23ALegion Vs ELV1-4
19/08/23HELV Vs Legion0-0
13/05/23ALegion Vs ELV0-3
15/04/23HELV Vs Legion3-2
27/11/22ALegion Vs ELV0-1
23/11/22HELV Vs Legion0-3

ElvaElva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/24ALegion Vs ELV0-3
10/11/24HELV Vs Viimsi2-3
03/11/24ALaagri Vs ELV1-0
27/10/24HELV Vs Tallinna Kalev II1-1
24/10/24AFCI Levadia II Vs ELV0-0
20/10/24AJK Tabasalu Vs ELV0-3
06/10/24HELV Vs FC Tallinn0-1
28/09/24HELV Vs Tartu Welco0-1
22/09/24AFlora II Vs ELV2-0
19/09/24APaide II Vs ELV3-4

LegionLegion

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/24HLEG Vs Elva0-3
11/11/23AJK Tabasalu Vs LEG3-0
05/11/23HLEG Vs Elva1-4
02/11/23HLEG Vs FC Tallinn2-3
29/10/23AK-Järve JK Järve Vs LEG3-4
23/10/23AFCI Levadia II Vs LEG4-0
07/10/23HLEG Vs Paide II2-4
02/10/23HLEG Vs Nõmme United0-5
28/09/23AFlora II Vs LEG2-1
24/09/23AViimsi Vs LEG3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Elva
Elva
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.18
HomeWLLDL1.24
AwayLWDLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals3.042.963.12
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %44%48%40%
Scored1.281.361.20
Conceded1.761.601.92
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Legion
Legion
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.72
HomeLLLLL0.84
AwayDLLWL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%20%16%
AVG goals3.623.403.84
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.020.961.08
Conceded2.602.442.76
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet10%8%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaagriLaagri3678
61%
2.2
11042+68
4.2
89%
69%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.2
-
2ViimsiViimsi3675
61%
2.1
7542+33
3.2
78%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.2
-
3Flora IIFlora II3666
56%
1.8
9655+41
4.2
97%
72%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
4Tartu WelcoTartu Welco3660
44%
1.7
7044+26
3.2
78%
56%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.2
-
5FC TallinnFC Tallinn3653
42%
1.5
6754+13
3.4
83%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
6ElvaElva3847
32%
1.2
5662-6
3.1
79%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
7FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3644
36%
1.2
6071-11
3.6
89%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
8Tallinna Kalev IITallinna Kalev II3642
31%
1.2
7287-15
4.4
94%
86%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.4
-
9Paide IIPaide II3625
19%
0.7
47121-74
4.7
89%
86%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.4
-
10JK TabasaluJK Tabasalu3616
11%
0.4
35101-66
3.8
86%
78%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.8
-
11LegionLegion20
0%
0.0
09-9
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.5
-
Estonia: Esiliiga A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Esiliiga A stats & trends →

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