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Erzeni Shijak vs Kastrioti Krujë Result & Analysis

Date: 15/04/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 0-0
Erzeni Shijak
Erzeni Shijak
Vs
56%
27%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Erzeni Shijak win✗ Miss
55.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë win✗ Miss
17.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W22D11D03L11D11D21W11D13L13LH·VLL30/01A·KAS07/02H·TEU12/02A·PAR18/02H·LAC24/02A·BYL05/03H·EGN10/03H·FK 18/03A·TIR02/04A·VLL09/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.291.071.071.071.50
vs Stronger (13)1.311.621.671.171.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.871.000.621.001.141.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L01L22D01L01L10W14L00D14L21WA·LAC25/01A·BYL29/01H·ERZ07/02A·FK 11/02H·TIR19/02A·VLL25/02A·EGN05/03H·TEU10/03A·PAR19/03H·LAC02/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.781.331.080.850.501.79
vs Stronger (21)0.711.431.100.800.362.00
vs Similar (6)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzeni Shijak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.3%
Under 1.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.0%
Under 2.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.8%
No
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
0-0 ✓
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
Erzeni Shijak goals ↓
Kastrioti Krujë goals →
01234
010%6.0%2.8%0.7%0.1%
113%13%4.5%1.2%0.2%
212%9.3%3.7%1.0%0.2%
36.4%5.0%2.0%0.5%0.1%
42.6%2.0%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Erzeni Shijak goals (down), columns = Kastrioti Krujë goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partizani
1.86
Tirana
1.86
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.44
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.39
Laci
1.33
Teuta Durrës
1.33
FK Kukesi
1.25
Erzeni Shijak
1.11
Bylis
1.06
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.97
Erzeni Shijak is 0.14 points better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partizani
1.56
Tirana
1.56
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Laci
1.25
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.08
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Erzeni Shijak
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.92
Bylis
0.86
FK Kukesi
0.86
Kastrioti Krujë
0.72
Erzeni Shijak is 0.28 goals better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.72).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.89
Tirana
0.92
FK Kukesi
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.03
Partizani
1.03
Teuta Durrës
1.11
Bylis
1.17
Laci
1.28
Erzeni Shijak
1.32
Kastrioti Krujë
1.36
Erzeni Shijak is 0.04 goals better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W01L01L00D00D21W10W00D01LH·VLL30/01A·KAS07/02H·TEU12/02A·PAR18/02H·LAC24/02A·BYL05/03H·EGN10/03H·FK 18/03A·TIR02/04A·VLL09/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.390.500.430.360.36
vs Stronger (13)0.540.541.000.500.140.57
vs Similar (15)0.330.270.120.380.570.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %64% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D02L00D00D10W12L00D13L00DA·LAC25/01A·BYL29/01H·ERZ07/02A·FK 11/02H·TIR19/02A·VLL25/02A·EGN05/03H·TEU10/03A·PAR19/03H·LAC02/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.630.310.380.290.86
vs Stronger (21)0.330.710.400.300.271.09
vs Similar (6)0.170.330.000.670.330.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzeni Shijak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Erzeni Shijak over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzeni Shijak over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzeni Shijak over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L10W02L11D11D00D01L13L12LH·VLL30/01A·KAS07/02H·TEU12/02A·PAR18/02H·LAC24/02A·BYL05/03H·EGN10/03H·FK 18/03A·TIR02/04A·VLL09/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.890.570.640.711.14
vs Stronger (13)0.771.080.670.670.861.43
vs Similar (15)0.530.730.500.620.570.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L20W01L01L00D02L00D01L21WA·LAC25/01A·BYL29/01H·ERZ07/02A·FK 11/02H·TIR19/02A·VLL25/02A·EGN05/03H·TEU10/03A·PAR19/03H·LAC02/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.700.770.460.210.93
vs Stronger (21)0.380.710.700.500.090.91
vs Similar (6)0.830.671.000.330.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzeni Shijak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Erzeni Shijak over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzeni Shijak over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzeni Shijak over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
FK (20)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
FK (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
ES wins
3
Draws
0
KK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Erzeni Shijak vs Kastrioti Krujë · H/A from ES
DateH/AGameScore
07/02/23AKastrioti Krujë Vs ES2-2
02/11/22HES Vs Kastrioti Krujë1-1
27/08/22AKastrioti Krujë Vs ES0-0

Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/23AVllaznia Shkodër Vs ES3-1
02/04/23ATirana Vs ES3-1
18/03/23HES Vs FK Kukesi1-1
10/03/23HES Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë2-1
05/03/23ABylis Vs ES1-1
24/02/23HES Vs Laci1-1
18/02/23APartizani Vs ES3-0
12/02/23HES Vs Teuta Durrës1-1
07/02/23AKastrioti Krujë Vs ES2-2
30/01/23HES Vs Vllaznia Shkodër3-2

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23HKK Vs Laci2-1
19/03/23APartizani Vs KK4-1
10/03/23HKK Vs Teuta Durrës0-0
05/03/23AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs KK4-1
25/02/23AVllaznia Shkodër Vs KK0-1
19/02/23HKK Vs Tirana0-1
11/02/23AFK Kukesi Vs KK1-0
07/02/23HKK Vs Erzeni Shijak2-2
29/01/23ABylis Vs KK1-0
25/01/23ALaci Vs KK4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Erzeni Shijak
Erzeni Shijak
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.32
HomeWDDWD1.43
AwayDLDLL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%29%29%
AVG goals2.362.142.57
Over 1.5 %71%71%71%
Over 2.5 %36%21%50%
Over 3.5 %25%14%36%
Scored1.071.071.07
Conceded1.291.071.50
BTTS57%57%57%
Clean Sheet29%29%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.00
HomeDDLDW1.38
AwayLLWLL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%31%14%
AVG goals2.111.922.29
Over 1.5 %56%54%57%
Over 2.5 %37%38%36%
Over 3.5 %22%15%29%
Scored0.781.080.50
Conceded1.330.851.79
BTTS41%46%36%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TiranaTirana3667
56%
1.9
5633+23
2.5
69%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.9
-
2PartizaniPartizani3667
56%
1.9
5637+19
2.6
78%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
3Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3652
39%
1.4
4632+14
2.2
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
4Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3650
36%
1.4
3937+2
2.1
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.11.0
-
5LaciLaci3648
39%
1.3
4546-1
2.5
64%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3648
33%
1.3
3340-7
2.0
61%
31%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.1
-
7FK KukesiFK Kukesi3645
33%
1.2
3135-4
1.8
58%
31%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
8Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak3741
22%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
73%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
9BylisBylis3638
25%
1.1
3142-11
2.0
61%
31%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
10Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3635
22%
1.0
2649-23
2.1
53%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.71.4
-
11Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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