This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.50
1.60
1.33
1.67
1.67
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.33
1.50
1.50
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.71
1.65
1.62
1.50
1.78
1.78
vs Weaker (10)
1.40
1.30
1.60
1.00
1.20
1.60
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzgebirge Aue) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.7%
@ 1.78+8.7%
Under 2.5
38.3%
@ 2.01-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.4%
Under 3.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.3%
No
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
0-0
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
Erzgebirge Aue goals ↓
SV Darmstadt 98 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
5.9%
5.8%
3.3%
1.4%
1
5.2%
12%
8.8%
4.9%
2.1%
2
4.7%
7.9%
6.6%
3.7%
1.6%
3
2.4%
3.9%
3.3%
1.9%
0.8%
4
0.9%
1.5%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Erzgebirge Aue goals (down), columns = SV Darmstadt 98 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Bochum
1.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.88
Holstein Kiel
1.82
Hamburger SV
1.71
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.65
Karlsruher SC
1.53
SV Darmstadt 98
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.50
FC St. Pauli
1.38
SC Paderborn 07
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
1. FC Nürnberg
1.29
Hannover 96
1.24
Regensburg
1.12
SV Sandhausen
1.00
VfL Osnabrück
0.97
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.91
Wurzburger Kickers
0.74
Erzgebirge Aue is 0.21 points worse than SV Darmstadt 98 in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2.03
VfL Bochum
1.94
SV Darmstadt 98
1.85
Holstein Kiel
1.68
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.62
Hannover 96
1.56
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
FC St. Pauli
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
SV Sandhausen
1.21
Wurzburger Kickers
1.09
Regensburg
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.03
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.88
Erzgebirge Aue is 0.56 goals worse than SV Darmstadt 98 in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.85).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Holstein Kiel
1.03
VfL Bochum
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.29
Hamburger SV
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
SC Paderborn 07
1.32
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
Regensburg
1.47
Hannover 96
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Erzgebirge Aue
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.62
FC St. Pauli
1.65
VfL Osnabrück
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.74
SV Sandhausen
1.76
Wurzburger Kickers
2.03
Erzgebirge Aue is 0.06 goals better than SV Darmstadt 98 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Erzgebirge Aue
For 3.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Darmstadt 98
For 5.7 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 14.9 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Erzgebirge Aue
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.8
9.1
5.1
5.5
4.7
25.7
25.9
25.6
vs Stronger (30)
8.8
8.3
9.2
5.0
5.6
4.5
24.8
25.7
24.0
vs Similar (20)
9.2
9.5
8.9
5.1
5.3
4.9
27.1
26.1
28.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
33%
38%
76%
75%
77%
74%
75%
73%
% under line
64%
67%
62%
24%
25%
23%
26%
25%
27%
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.2
10.4
4.3
3.7
4.9
25.5
24.0
26.8
vs Stronger (6)
9.2
9.3
9.0
3.8
3.0
4.7
26.5
26.3
26.7
vs Similar (28)
11.1
11.8
10.5
4.0
3.4
4.5
24.8
23.2
26.2
vs Weaker (16)
10.9
11.0
10.8
5.1
4.4
5.8
26.2
24.5
28.0
% over line
54%
62%
46%
66%
46%
85%
78%
71%
85%
% under line
46%
38%
54%
34%
54%
15%
22%
29%
15%
This opponent (Erzgebirge Aue) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SV Sandhausen
11.7
SC Paderborn 07
11.4
Regensburg
11.2
SV Darmstadt 98
10.8
Hamburger SV
10.6
Karlsruher SC
10.5
1. FC Nürnberg
10.5
FC St. Pauli
10.4
Holstein Kiel
10.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.4
1. FC Heidenheim
10.3
VfL Bochum
10.3
VfL Osnabrück
9.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.8
Hannover 96
9.5
Wurzburger Kickers
9.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
9.2
Erzgebirge Aue
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wurzburger Kickers
5.3
VfL Osnabrück
5.1
Erzgebirge Aue
5.1
SV Sandhausen
4.9
Karlsruher SC
4.8
Regensburg
4.6
VfL Bochum
4.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.4
SC Paderborn 07
4.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.3
SV Darmstadt 98
4.3
Holstein Kiel
4.1
Hannover 96
4.1
1. FC Nürnberg
4.0
FC St. Pauli
3.9
Hamburger SV
3.6
1. FC Heidenheim
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
28.9
Wurzburger Kickers
28.9
Regensburg
28.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
27.9
VfL Osnabrück
27.0
SV Sandhausen
27.0
Karlsruher SC
26.8
VfL Bochum
26.3
Erzgebirge Aue
25.7
SV Darmstadt 98
25.5
FC St. Pauli
25.3
Hannover 96
24.7
Fortuna Düsseldorf
24.6
1. FC Nürnberg
24.4
Holstein Kiel
23.7
1. FC Heidenheim
23.6
Hamburger SV
23.5
SC Paderborn 07
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.3%
Under 9.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
74.0%
Under 3.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.6%
Under 21.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Erzgebirge Aue
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.73
0.40
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (20)
0.45
0.55
0.70
0.50
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.40
0.80
0.20
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.53
0.60
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.71
0.62
0.38
0.78
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.70
0.20
0.60
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzgebirge Aue) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Erzgebirge Aue over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzgebirge Aue over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzgebirge Aue over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Erzgebirge Aue
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.87
0.60
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (20)
0.60
1.05
0.90
0.70
0.30
1.40
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.30
0.80
0.40
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.73
1.07
0.73
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
1.00
0.94
1.00
1.12
1.00
0.78
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.60
1.40
0.40
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzgebirge Aue) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Erzgebirge Aue over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzgebirge Aue over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzgebirge Aue over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SV Darmstadt 98 · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Smit33%
Aleksandar Vukotić25%
Lance Duijvestijn25%
Lee Ho-jae25%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Kai Klefisch0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Yosuke Furukawa0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcel Schuhen50%
Kai Klefisch33%
Noah Weißhaupt25%
Yosuke Furukawa25%
Aleksandar Vukotić0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Lance Duijvestijn0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Lee Ho-jae0%
Milan Smit0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lance Duijvestijn50%
Kai Klefisch33%
Milan Smit33%
Aleksandar Vukotić0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Lee Ho-jae0%
Yosuke Furukawa0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Vukotić0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Kai Klefisch0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Lance Duijvestijn0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Lee Ho-jae0%
Yosuke Furukawa0%
Milan Smit0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
SD9 (28)
€24m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
VO (25)
€10m
FD (26)
€10m
WK (27)
€4m
EA (18)
€2m
Erzgebirge Aue's squad is €22m less valuable than SV Darmstadt 98's (€2m vs €24m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (11)
€46m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
SP0 (11)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
EB (8)
€7m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
SGF (6)
€4m
FD (8)
€3m
WK (8)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
Erzgebirge Aue's attack is €9m less valuable than SV Darmstadt 98's (€1m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (5)
€34m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
KS (6)
€4m
VO (7)
€3m
FD (5)
€2m
WK (9)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
Erzgebirge Aue's midfield is €5m less valuable than SV Darmstadt 98's (€1m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
FD (13)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
WK (10)
€2m
EA (8)
€1m
Erzgebirge Aue's defence is €8m less valuable than SV Darmstadt 98's (€1m vs €8m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
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VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Paderborn 07
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Nürnberg
Hannover 96
SV Sandhausen
VfL Osnabrück
Eintracht Braunschweig
Wurzburger Kickers