Esenler Erokspor vs Pendikspor Result & Analysis

Esenler Erokspor are tipped to edge out Pendikspor, with a 46% chance of a home win versus 28% for a draw and 26% for an away victory. The model expects 2.6 goals on average, and the most likely total is two goals, a 26% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.4% chance. Esenler’s home form shows they average 1.67 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Pendikspor’s away record is 1.08 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 83.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 79.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.5%, and Under 3.5 goals at 73.6%. The match is likely to see a balanced contest with both sides contributing to a modest total.

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, Home win, failed to deliver, with the match ending 1-1 for a draw. The model had given the home side a 46 % chance of victory, but the outcome proved wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely scoreline of 1-1, which had a 13.4 % probability. The model’s other selections all hit: Over 2.5 cards at 83.5 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.2 %, Under 11.5 corners at 79.2 %, Over 1.5 at 74.5 %, and Under 3.5 at 73.6 %. Both teams had mixed recent form, with Esenler Erokspor coming off a draw and Pendikspor off a win.