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Esperança d'Andorra vs La Massana Result & Analysis

Date: 15/04/2023
Time: 18:30
Final 3-2
Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Vs
48%
22%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
La Massana
La Massana
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esperança d'Andorra win✓ Hit
48.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
La Massana win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D05L22D21W50W70W10W51W31W21WA·ENC04/12H·PAS10/12A·ATL17/12H·UE 28/01A·FC 04/02A·ENG19/02H·CAR05/03A·RAN11/03H·LA 18/03A·RAN02/04
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.700.902.441.332.910.55
vs Stronger (7)2.711.293.001.332.501.25
vs Similar (11)3.180.362.600.603.670.17
vs Weaker (2)0.002.500.005.000.000.00
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (La Massana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La MassanaLa Massana

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1001L11D60W80W42W15L21W13L102W03LH·ATL11/12A·PAS14/12A·UE 18/12H·FC 28/01H·ENG12/02A·CAR18/02H·RAN05/03A·ESP18/03H·ENC26/03H·PAS01/04
Avg total
5.1
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.551.552.911.362.111.78
vs Stronger (4)1.501.751.001.002.002.50
vs Similar (13)3.381.314.291.002.331.67
vs Weaker (3)0.332.330.003.001.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.6%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.3%
Under 2.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 3.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.2%
No
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
3-2 ✓
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
2-3
4.0%
Esperança d'Andorra goals ↓
La Massana goals →
01234
02.9%2.8%3.0%1.7%0.7%
13.8%8.5%6.5%3.7%1.6%
24.9%8.4%7.1%4.0%1.7%
33.6%6.1%5.1%2.9%1.2%
41.9%3.3%2.8%1.6%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Esperança d'Andorra goals (down), columns = La Massana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Pas de la Casa
2.60
Atlètic Amèrica
2.36
Esperança d'Andorra
2.12
Carroi
1.96
La Massana
1.48
Encamp
1.24
Ranger's
1.00
Ordino II
0.50
Engordany II
0.47
UE Santa Coloma II
0.33
FC Santa Coloma II
0.33
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.64 points better than La Massana in terms of average points per game (2.12 vs 1.48).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pas de la Casa
4.80
Atlètic Amèrica
2.96
Carroi
2.68
Esperança d'Andorra
2.44
La Massana
2.36
Encamp
1.84
Ranger's
1.64
UE Santa Coloma II
1.00
FC Santa Coloma II
0.94
Engordany II
0.84
Ordino II
0.50
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.08 goals better than La Massana in terms of goals scored per game (2.44 vs 2.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pas de la Casa
0.44
Esperança d'Andorra
1.00
Atlètic Amèrica
1.04
Carroi
1.40
La Massana
1.60
Ordino II
2.12
Encamp
2.48
Ranger's
3.12
Engordany II
3.68
UE Santa Coloma II
4.00
FC Santa Coloma II
4.83
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.60 goals better than La Massana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (La Massana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La MassanaLa Massana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Massana over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Massana over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Massana over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (La Massana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La MassanaLa Massana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Massana over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Massana over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Massana over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.574.3%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes73.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (24)
€5m
RAN (24)
€4m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (9)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (4)
€1m
USC (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€2m
USC (11)
€2m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ED wins
1
Draws
0
LM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Esperança d'Andorra vs La Massana · H/A from ED
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HED Vs La Massana3-1
20/11/22ALa Massana Vs ED0-0

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23ARanger's Vs ED1-2
18/03/23HED Vs La Massana3-1
11/03/23ARanger's Vs ED1-5
05/03/23HED Vs Carroi1-0
19/02/23AEngordany II Vs ED0-7
04/02/23AFC Santa Coloma II Vs ED0-5
28/01/23HED Vs UE Santa Coloma II2-1
17/12/22AAtlètic Amèrica Vs ED2-2
10/12/22HED Vs Pas de la Casa0-5
04/12/22AEncamp Vs ED1-1

La MassanaLa Massana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/23HLM Vs Pas de la Casa0-3
26/03/23HLM Vs Encamp10-2
18/03/23AEsperança d'Andorra Vs LM3-1
05/03/23HLM Vs Ranger's2-1
18/02/23ACarroi Vs LM5-1
12/02/23HLM Vs Engordany II4-2
28/01/23HLM Vs FC Santa Coloma II8-0
18/12/22AUE Santa Coloma II Vs LM0-6
14/12/22APas de la Casa Vs LM1-1
11/12/22HLM Vs Atlètic Amèrica0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.30
HomeWLWWW2.33
AwayDWWWW2.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%78%64%
AVG goals3.603.783.45
Over 1.5 %85%89%82%
Over 2.5 %80%89%73%
Over 3.5 %50%56%45%
Scored2.702.442.91
Conceded0.901.330.55
BTTS50%56%45%
Clean Sheet45%33%55%
Corners---
Cards---
La Massana
La Massana
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.55
HomeWWWWL1.82
AwayLDWLL1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%55%33%
AVG goals4.104.273.89
Over 1.5 %90%82%100%
Over 2.5 %80%82%78%
Over 3.5 %45%45%44%
Scored2.552.912.11
Conceded1.551.361.78
BTTS50%45%56%
Clean Sheet30%27%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa2565
80%
2.6
12011+109
5.2
96%
84%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0004.80.4
-
2Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica2559
72%
2.4
7426+48
4.0
88%
80%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
3Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2553
64%
2.1
6125+36
3.4
88%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.0
-
4CarroiCarroi2549
60%
2.0
6735+32
4.1
88%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.71.4
-
5La MassanaLa Massana2537
44%
1.5
5940+19
4.0
92%
84%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.6
-
6EncampEncamp2531
40%
1.2
4662-16
4.3
92%
80%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.5
-
7RangerRanger's2525
32%
1.0
4178-37
4.8
96%
96%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.63.1
-
8Engordany IIEngordany II199
16%
0.5
1670-54
4.5
95%
89%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.7
-
9UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II186
11%
0.3
1872-54
5.0
94%
94%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.04.0
-
10FC Santa Coloma IIFC Santa Coloma II186
11%
0.3
1787-70
5.8
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.8
-
11Ordino IIOrdino II84
12%
0.5
417-13
2.6
88%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.1
-
Andorra: 2a Divisió 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

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