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Esperança d'Andorra vs Pas de la Casa Result & Analysis

Date: 10/12/2022
Time: 19:30
Final 0-5
Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Vs
23%
19%
59%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pas de la Casa
Pas de la Casa
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esperança d'Andorra win✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa win✓ Hit
58.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D13L41W50W30W21W30W60W00D11DA·PAS25/09H·ATL02/10A·UE 09/10H·FC 16/10A·ORD22/10H·ENG30/10A·CAR06/11H·RAN12/11A·LA 20/11A·ENC04/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.450.643.201.001.830.33
vs Stronger (4)2.501.253.001.331.001.00
vs Similar (6)2.830.333.500.502.500.25
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %55% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Pas de la Casa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa

Last 10 – goals for & against
110-1130W00D40W50W110W100W30W80W62W80WA·LA 18/09H·ESP25/09A·ENC02/10H·ATL15/10A·UE 22/10H·FC 30/10A·ORD06/11H·ENG13/11A·CAR19/11H·RAN27/11
Avg total
6.0
Avg scored
5.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game5.800.206.200.005.400.40
vs Stronger (10)5.800.206.200.005.400.40
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %90% (+65pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%22%29%2%04%112%217%319%417%529%6+
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.3%
Under 1.5
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
82.2%
Under 2.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.2%
Under 3.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
77.5%
No
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
1-1
6.0%
2-3
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.7%
0-2
4.3%
Esperança d'Andorra goals ↓
Pas de la Casa goals →
01234
01.7%2.6%4.3%3.9%2.7%
11.4%6.0%7.5%6.8%4.7%
21.7%4.7%6.5%5.9%4.0%
31.0%2.7%3.7%3.4%2.3%
40.4%1.2%1.6%1.5%1.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Esperança d'Andorra goals (down), columns = Pas de la Casa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Pas de la Casa
2.60
Atlètic Amèrica
2.36
Esperança d'Andorra
2.12
Carroi
1.96
La Massana
1.48
Encamp
1.24
Ranger's
1.00
Ordino II
0.50
Engordany II
0.47
UE Santa Coloma II
0.33
FC Santa Coloma II
0.33
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.48 points worse than Pas de la Casa in terms of average points per game (2.12 vs 2.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pas de la Casa
4.80
Atlètic Amèrica
2.96
Carroi
2.68
Esperança d'Andorra
2.44
La Massana
2.36
Encamp
1.84
Ranger's
1.64
UE Santa Coloma II
1.00
FC Santa Coloma II
0.94
Engordany II
0.84
Ordino II
0.50
Esperança d'Andorra is 2.36 goals worse than Pas de la Casa in terms of goals scored per game (2.44 vs 4.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pas de la Casa
0.44
Esperança d'Andorra
1.00
Atlètic Amèrica
1.04
Carroi
1.40
La Massana
1.60
Ordino II
2.12
Encamp
2.48
Ranger's
3.12
Engordany II
3.68
UE Santa Coloma II
4.00
FC Santa Coloma II
4.83
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.56 goals worse than Pas de la Casa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pas de la Casa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pas de la Casa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.582.2%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes77.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (24)
€5m
RAN (24)
€4m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
Esperança d'Andorra's squad is €1m more valuable than Pas de la Casa's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (9)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Pas de la Casa have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (4)
€1m
USC (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Pas de la Casa have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€2m
USC (11)
€2m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Pas de la Casa have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ED wins
1
Draws
0
PDL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Esperança d'Andorra vs Pas de la Casa · H/A from ED
DateH/AGameScore
25/09/22APas de la Casa Vs ED0-0

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/22AEncamp Vs ED1-1
20/11/22ALa Massana Vs ED0-0
12/11/22HED Vs Ranger's6-0
06/11/22ACarroi Vs ED0-3
30/10/22HED Vs Engordany II2-1
22/10/22AOrdino II Vs ED0-3
16/10/22HED Vs FC Santa Coloma II5-0
09/10/22AUE Santa Coloma II Vs ED1-4
02/10/22HED Vs Atlètic Amèrica1-3
25/09/22APas de la Casa Vs ED0-0

Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/11/22HPDL Vs Ranger's8-0
19/11/22ACarroi Vs PDL2-6
13/11/22HPDL Vs Engordany II8-0
06/11/22AOrdino II Vs PDL0-3
30/10/22HPDL Vs FC Santa Coloma II10-0
22/10/22AUE Santa Coloma II Vs PDL0-11
15/10/22HPDL Vs Atlètic Amèrica5-0
02/10/22AEncamp Vs PDL0-4
25/09/22HPDL Vs Esperança d'Andorra0-0
18/09/22ALa Massana Vs PDL0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD2.18
HomeWLWWW2.40
AwayWWWDD2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%80%50%
AVG goals3.094.202.17
Over 1.5 %82%100%67%
Over 2.5 %73%100%50%
Over 3.5 %36%60%17%
Scored2.453.201.83
Conceded0.641.000.33
BTTS45%60%33%
Clean Sheet55%40%67%
Corners---
Cards---
Pas de la Casa
Pas de la Casa
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.80
HomeDWWWW2.60
AwayWWWWW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %90%80%100%
AVG goals6.006.205.80
Over 1.5 %90%80%100%
Over 2.5 %90%80%100%
Over 3.5 %70%80%60%
Scored5.806.205.40
Conceded0.200.000.40
BTTS10%0%20%
Clean Sheet90%100%80%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa2565
80%
2.6
12011+109
5.2
96%
84%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0004.80.4
-
2Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica2559
72%
2.4
7426+48
4.0
88%
80%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
3Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2553
64%
2.1
6125+36
3.4
88%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.0
-
4CarroiCarroi2549
60%
2.0
6735+32
4.1
88%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.71.4
-
5La MassanaLa Massana2537
44%
1.5
5940+19
4.0
92%
84%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.6
-
6EncampEncamp2531
40%
1.2
4662-16
4.3
92%
80%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.5
-
7RangerRanger's2525
32%
1.0
4178-37
4.8
96%
96%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.63.1
-
8Engordany IIEngordany II199
16%
0.5
1670-54
4.5
95%
89%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.7
-
9UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II186
11%
0.3
1872-54
5.0
94%
94%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.04.0
-
10FC Santa Coloma IIFC Santa Coloma II186
11%
0.3
1787-70
5.8
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.8
-
11Ordino IIOrdino II84
12%
0.5
417-13
2.6
88%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.1
-
Andorra: 2a Divisió 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

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