This opponent (Deinze) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.57
1.92
1.83
0.64
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.16
1.74
1.80
2.00
0.44
1.44
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.75
2.50
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
22% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.9%
Under 1.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
29.5%
Under 2.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.5%
Under 3.5
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.8%
No
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.4%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-2 ✓
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
2-1
6.0%
Excelsior Virton goals ↓
Deinze goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
14%
7.5%
2.5%
0.6%
1
12%
15%
6.7%
2.2%
0.6%
2
6.0%
6.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.3%
3
1.8%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Excelsior Virton goals (down), columns = Deinze goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RWDM
2.16
SK Beveren
2.12
Lommel United
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.53
Deinze
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
K. Lierse S.K.
1.44
Dender
1.22
RSC Anderlecht II
1.16
Standard Liège II
0.84
KRC Genk II
0.81
Excelsior Virton
0.78
Excelsior Virton is 0.75 points worse than Deinze in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.38
RWDM
2.03
Lommel United
1.66
K. Lierse S.K.
1.66
Club Brugge II
1.59
Deinze
1.53
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Beerschot VA
1.34
Dender
1.28
KRC Genk II
1.12
Excelsior Virton
1.00
Standard Liège II
0.97
Excelsior Virton is 0.53 goals worse than Deinze in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RWDM
0.91
SK Beveren
1.06
Beerschot VA
1.28
Lommel United
1.44
Deinze
1.47
Dender
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.50
Excelsior Virton
1.59
RSC Anderlecht II
1.75
KRC Genk II
1.81
K. Lierse S.K.
1.84
Standard Liège II
1.88
Excelsior Virton is 0.12 goals worse than Deinze in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Excelsior Virton
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Deinze
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Excelsior Virton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (21)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Deinze) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.0
SK Beveren
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beerschot VA
4.6
SK Beveren
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
Beerschot VA
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Excelsior Virton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.48
0.70
0.45
0.45
0.50
0.92
vs Stronger (21)
0.52
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.55
0.91
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Deinze) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.52
0.83
0.42
0.27
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.58
0.80
0.50
0.11
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
52% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Excelsior Virton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Excelsior Virton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.48
1.04
0.18
0.91
0.75
1.17
vs Stronger (21)
0.48
1.00
0.20
0.80
0.73
1.18
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
26% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Deinze) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.74
1.04
1.08
1.42
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.68
1.16
1.00
1.50
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Excelsior Virton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Deinze · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Guillaume De Schryver40%
Zakaria Fdaouch30%
Erdon Daci25%
Lennart Mertens20%
Gaetan Hendrickx12%
Jannes Vansteenkiste12%
Tuur Dierckx11%
Christophe Janssens11%
Jellert Van Landschoot9%
Thibaut Van Acker9%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denis Prychynenko50%
Jaime Sierra50%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas33%
Alessio Staelens30%
Christophe Janssens22%
Guillaume De Schryver20%
Kenneth Schuermans18%
Steve De Ridder17%
Gaetan Hendrickx12%
Erdon Daci12%
Gonzalo Almenara11%
Zakaria Fdaouch10%
Lennart Mertens10%
Thibaut Van Acker9%
Tuur Dierckx0%
Jellert Van Landschoot0%
Jannes Vansteenkiste0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetan Hendrickx25%
Guillaume De Schryver20%
Zakaria Fdaouch20%
Jellert Van Landschoot18%
Erdon Daci12%
Tuur Dierckx11%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Thibaut Van Acker0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Jannes Vansteenkiste0%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zakaria Fdaouch40%
Lennart Mertens30%
Thibaut Van Acker18%
Jannes Vansteenkiste12%
Erdon Daci12%
Guillaume De Schryver10%
Jellert Van Landschoot9%
Gaetan Hendrickx0%
Tuur Dierckx0%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Dhoraso Moreo Klas0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Lucas Rousseau0%
Tresor Matanda0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Ilian Mhand Yamna0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yanis Musuayi0%
Kjell Inslegers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
RWDM
SK Beveren
Lommel United
Club Brugge II
Beerschot VA
K. Lierse S.K.
Dender
RSC Anderlecht II
Standard Liège II
KRC Genk II