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Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/10/2026
Time: 14:45
Excelsior
Excelsior
Vs
40%
27%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Groningen
Groningen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Excelsior are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with the model picking a home win and assigning 43% to that outcome, 26% to a draw and 31% to a Groningen victory. The expected total is 3.0 goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.1% probability. Excelsior’s home form shows 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Groningen’s away numbers are 1.58 scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Under 6.5 (96.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.8%), Under 5.5 (91.8%), Under 5.5 cards (91.3%), Under 25.5 fouls (88.3%) and Home +2 handicap (83.8%). Excelsior have just returned from a win, while Groningen are coming off two defeats.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Excelsior win
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Groningen win
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D02L22D50W32W11D32W40W12L21WA·HER20/03H·NEC04/04A·PEC12/04H·UTR26/04A·GRO02/05H·FC 10/05A·SPA17/05A·CAM07/08H·PSV15/08H·SPA29/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.401.331.331.531.47
vs Stronger (10)1.401.701.801.601.001.80
vs Similar (20)1.451.251.101.201.801.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GroningenGroningen

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D13L23L21W21W02L21W41W15L23LH·GO 11/04A·FEY25/04H·EXC02/05H·NEC10/05A·HER17/05A·AJA21/05H·UTR09/08A·ADO16/08A·PSV23/08H·FOR28/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.601.641.291.311.88
vs Stronger (9)1.332.002.001.200.503.00
vs Similar (21)1.521.431.441.331.581.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
Excelsior goals ↓
Groningen goals →
01234
06.2%6.1%5.1%2.4%0.9%
16.8%12%8.0%3.8%1.3%
26.2%8.8%6.2%3.0%1.0%
33.2%4.6%3.2%1.5%0.5%
41.2%1.8%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Excelsior goals (down), columns = Groningen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
Willem II
1.14
Excelsior
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Telstar
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.09
ADO Den Haag
1.08
Cambuur
1.03
Excelsior is 0.25 points worse than Groningen in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Telstar
1.44
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Groningen
1.40
Willem II
1.32
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
ADO Den Haag
1.25
Cambuur
1.20
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
Excelsior is 0.14 goals worse than Groningen in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
Willem II
1.90
ADO Den Haag
2.01
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Cambuur
2.10
Excelsior is 0.30 goals worse than Groningen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Excelsior is 2.9 percentage points worse than Groningen in terms of average possession (48% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 3.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

13064178525585322525161081375135777H·SPAH·PSVA·CAMA·SPAH·FC A·GROH·UTRA·PECH·NECA·HER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

4021141341121311113144413422H·SPAH·PSVA·SPAH·FC H·UTRA·PECA·HERA·FEYH·HEEH·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 8.3 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

320137931161511107105128131089151720121726171520231732H·SPAH·PSVA·CAMA·SPAH·FC A·GROH·UTRA·PECH·NECA·HER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

GroningenGroningen

For 4.4 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

1407249255145956583385913764141113613H·FORA·PSVA·ADOH·UTRA·AJAA·HERH·NECH·EXCA·FEYH·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

60331112411121221116212523232H·FORA·PSVA·ADOH·UTRA·AJAA·HERH·NECA·FEYA·TELH·AZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

3006841011111217171358161251015105514142229301328152510H·FORA·PSVA·ADOH·UTRA·AJAA·HERH·NECH·EXCA·FEYH·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.38.79.92.52.62.421.520.522.4
vs Stronger (18)9.37.211.61.81.81.918.817.620.1
vs Similar (31)9.29.39.22.93.22.622.822.023.4
vs Weaker (1)12.012.0-1.01.0-23.023.0-
% over line43%39%48%28%25%31%46%35%57%
% under line57%61%52%72%75%69%54%65%43%
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GroningenGroningen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.810.03.23.23.120.620.221.1
vs Stronger (17)9.19.98.33.13.42.921.420.921.9
vs Similar (32)11.211.610.93.23.33.220.319.920.6
vs Weaker (1)8.08.0-1.01.0-18.018.0-
% over line51%52%50%40%44%36%49%39%58%
% under line49%48%50%60%56%64%51%61%42%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
11.3
PSV Eindhoven
11.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.8
Willem II
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Telstar
10.6
ADO Den Haag
10.6
AZ Alkmaar
10.4
Heerenveen
10.2
Feyenoord
10.1
Groningen
10.1
Cambuur
10.1
Twente
10.0
NEC Nijmegen
9.9
Utrecht
9.8
Ajax
9.7
Excelsior
9.4
PEC Zwolle
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cambuur
3.9
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Twente
3.8
Sparta Rotterdam
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
AZ Alkmaar
3.7
Ajax
3.6
ADO Den Haag
3.6
Groningen
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.4
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Telstar
3.3
GO Ahead Eagles
3.3
Willem II
3.1
Excelsior
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
26.5
Cambuur
26.4
NEC Nijmegen
23.9
Fortuna Sittard
23.4
Utrecht
23.2
Feyenoord
22.8
AZ Alkmaar
22.6
PEC Zwolle
22.5
Telstar
22.5
Willem II
22.3
Ajax
21.8
Excelsior
21.7
Groningen
20.7
Twente
20.6
Sparta Rotterdam
20.6
Heerenveen
20.0
GO Ahead Eagles
18.9
PSV Eindhoven
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.3%
Under 9.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
36.5%
Under 21.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Excelsior or Draw
66.3%
Avg Implied -
40%
27%
34%
covers Excelsior + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Excelsior or Groningen
73.4%
Avg Implied -
40%
27%
34%
covers Excelsior + Groningen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Groningen
60.3%
Avg Implied -
40%
27%
34%
covers Draw + Groningen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Excelsior over/under 0.5
Over
79.0%
Under
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5
Over
46.2%
Under
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5
Over
20.6%
Under
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 3.5
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 0.5
Over
75.9%
Under
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 1.5
Over
41.6%
Under
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 2.5
Over
17.2%
Under
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 3.5
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Excelsior, so a minus line means Excelsior give that many goals of a start and Groningen receive them. At -1, Excelsior must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Excelsior win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Excelsior)
Excelsior -2
8.1%
Draw -2
12.2%
Groningen +2
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Excelsior)
Excelsior -1
20.3%
Draw -1
19.5%
Groningen +1
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Excelsior)
Excelsior +1
66.3%
Draw +1
17.7%
Groningen -1
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Excelsior)
Excelsior +2
84.0%
Draw +2
10.1%
Groningen -2
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D20W11D11D10W30W01L10WA·HER20/03H·NEC04/04A·PEC12/04H·UTR26/04A·GRO02/05H·FC 10/05A·SPA17/05A·CAM07/08H·PSV15/08H·SPA29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.600.400.800.67
vs Stronger (10)0.600.800.600.800.600.80
vs Similar (20)0.750.400.600.200.900.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GroningenGroningen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L11D10W11D01L10W30W13L12LH·GO 11/04A·FEY25/04H·EXC02/05H·NEC10/05A·HER17/05A·AJA21/05H·UTR09/08A·ADO16/08A·PSV23/08H·FOR28/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.710.500.620.75
vs Stronger (9)0.560.890.800.200.251.75
vs Similar (21)0.710.520.670.670.750.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L11D30W21W00D22D10W11D11DA·HER20/03H·NEC04/04A·PEC12/04H·UTR26/04A·GRO02/05H·FC 10/05A·SPA17/05A·CAM07/08H·PSV15/08H·SPA29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.730.930.730.80
vs Stronger (10)0.800.901.200.800.401.00
vs Similar (20)0.700.850.501.000.900.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GroningenGroningen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D12L11D10W01L11D11D02L11DH·GO 11/04A·FEY25/04H·EXC02/05H·NEC10/05A·HER17/05A·AJA21/05H·UTR09/08A·ADO16/08A·PSV23/08H·FOR28/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.970.930.790.691.12
vs Stronger (9)0.781.111.201.000.251.25
vs Similar (21)0.810.900.780.670.831.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.9%-------
Under 6.596.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals92.7%-------
Under 5.591.8%-------
Under 5.5 cards91.3%-------
Under 25.5 fouls88.3%-------
Home +2 handicap84.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals82.8%-------
Under 4.581.9%-------
Under 4.5 cards81.1%-------
Over 1.580.9%-------
Away +2 handicap79.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals79.4%-------
Home over 0.5 goals79.0%-------
Under 23.5 fouls78.1%-------
Away over 0.5 goals75.9%-------
Home or Away73.4%-------
Under 11.5 corners72.2%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Casper Widell33%
David Garden33%
Irakli Yegoian33%
Nesto Groen33%
Aymen Sliti33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Jan Plug0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Simon Janssen33%
Jan Plug33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
David Garden0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Irakli Yegoian0%
Nesto Groen0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Irakli Yegoian67%
Simon Janssen33%
Ilano Silva Timas33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
David Garden0%
Nesto Groen0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Jan Plug0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Garden33%
Aymen Sliti33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Irakli Yegoian0%
Nesto Groen0%
Jan Plug0%
Groningen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson75%
Thom van Bergen50%
David van der Werff50%
Etienne Vaessen0%
Pelle Clement0%
Jacob Ondrejka0%
Thijmen Blokzijl0%
Tika de Jonge0%
Márk Csinger0%
Travis Hernes0%
Jorg Schreuders0%
Tygo Land0%
Wouter Prins0%
Elvis Van der Laan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jacob Ondrejka33%
Márk Csinger33%
Etienne Vaessen25%
Travis Hernes25%
David van der Werff25%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson0%
Pelle Clement0%
Thijmen Blokzijl0%
Tika de Jonge0%
Thom van Bergen0%
Jorg Schreuders0%
Tygo Land0%
Wouter Prins0%
Elvis Van der Laan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thom van Bergen50%
Etienne Vaessen25%
Jorg Schreuders25%
Tygo Land25%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson0%
Pelle Clement0%
Jacob Ondrejka0%
Thijmen Blokzijl0%
Tika de Jonge0%
Márk Csinger0%
Travis Hernes0%
Wouter Prins0%
David van der Werff0%
Elvis Van der Laan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thom van Bergen75%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson25%
Tika de Jonge25%
David van der Werff25%
Etienne Vaessen0%
Pelle Clement0%
Jacob Ondrejka0%
Thijmen Blokzijl0%
Márk Csinger0%
Travis Hernes0%
Jorg Schreuders0%
Tygo Land0%
Wouter Prins0%
Elvis Van der Laan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
Excelsior's squad is €16m less valuable than Groningen's (€16m vs €32m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
Excelsior's attack is €5m less valuable than Groningen's (€7m vs €12m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
Excelsior's midfield is €3m less valuable than Groningen's (€3m vs €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
Excelsior's defence is €8m less valuable than Groningen's (€6m vs €14m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
EXC wins
0
Draws
5
GRO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Excelsior vs Groningen · H/A from EXC
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26AGroningen Vs EXC2-3
05/12/25HEXC Vs Groningen0-2
25/02/23AGroningen Vs EXC3-0
08/01/23HEXC Vs Groningen1-0
06/04/19AGroningen Vs EXC1-0
02/11/18HEXC Vs Groningen2-4
29/04/18AGroningen Vs EXC4-0
17/12/17HEXC Vs Groningen2-0

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HEXC Vs Sparta Rotterdam2-1
15/08/26HEXC Vs PSV Eindhoven1-2
07/08/26ACambuur Vs EXC0-4
17/05/26ASparta Rotterdam Vs EXC2-3
10/05/26HEXC Vs FC Volendam1-1
02/05/26AGroningen Vs EXC2-3
26/04/26HEXC Vs Utrecht5-0
12/04/26APEC Zwolle Vs EXC2-2
04/04/26HEXC Vs NEC Nijmegen0-2
20/03/26AHeracles Vs EXC1-1

GroningenGroningen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HGRO Vs Fortuna Sittard2-3
23/08/26APSV Eindhoven Vs GRO5-1
16/08/26AADO Den Haag Vs GRO1-4
09/08/26HGRO Vs Utrecht2-1
21/05/26AAjax Vs GRO2-0
17/05/26AHeracles Vs GRO1-2
10/05/26HGRO Vs NEC Nijmegen2-1
02/05/26HGRO Vs Excelsior2-3
25/04/26AFeyenoord Vs GRO3-1
11/04/26HGRO Vs GO Ahead Eagles0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.46
HomeLWDLW1.48
AwayDDWWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.962.643.28
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %66%56%76%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.581.561.60
Conceded1.381.081.68
BTTS64%52%76%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners9.408.969.84
Cards3.113.093.14
Groningen
Groningen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.30
HomeDLWWL1.58
AwayLWLWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%31%
AVG goals3.183.083.27
Over 1.5 %90%83%96%
Over 2.5 %62%71%54%
Over 3.5 %36%38%35%
Scored1.541.881.23
Conceded1.641.212.04
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners10.1010.799.46
Cards3.583.863.35

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar412
100%
3.0
133+10
4.0
100%
50%
50%
14.0
100%
2.2
25%
23.8
50%
136
6121543.20.8
53%
2PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven410
75%
2.5
155+10
5.0
100%
100%
75%
10.8
50%
2.8
25%
17.5
25%
280
106601153.81.2
61%
3FeyenoordFeyenoord48
50%
2.0
106+4
4.0
75%
75%
75%
11.8
75%
2.3
0%
17.8
25%
229
9343932.51.5
53%
4AjaxAjax37
67%
2.3
82+6
3.3
100%
67%
67%
10.0
33%
4.5
100%
21.3
67%
173
9515632.70.7
56%
5GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles47
50%
1.8
119+2
5.0
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
2.0
0%
17.2
25%
22
9482.82.2
49%
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard47
50%
1.8
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
75%
11.8
50%
3.0
25%
17.0
0%
17
6472.01.8
45%
7NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen36
67%
2.0
84+4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
10.7
67%
3.0
67%
26.3
100%
54
225262.71.3
57%
8TwenteTwente36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
67%
67%
67%
10.7
67%
2.5
0%
16.7
0%
87
3413392.31.0
54%
9ExcelsiorExcelsior36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
10.3
67%
2.0
0%
16.3
0%
16
7362.31.0
48%
10GroningenGroningen46
50%
1.5
910-1
4.8
100%
100%
75%
8.8
25%
2.8
25%
19.8
50%
32
126142.22.5
50%
11HeerenveenHeerenveen45
25%
1.2
56-1
2.8
75%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
2.7
33%
14.5
0%
50
246201.21.5
51%
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam44
25%
1.0
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
50%
12.2
100%
2.7
0%
23.0
50%
28
142121.81.8
47%
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle43
25%
0.8
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
9.8
50%
3.3
67%
20.0
50%
21
84101.02.0
45%
14TelstarTelstar33
33%
1.0
38-5
3.7
100%
100%
67%
12.3
67%
3.0
50%
26.7
100%
8
3231.02.7
45%
15Willem IIWillem II31
0%
0.3
410-6
4.7
100%
100%
100%
9.0
33%
2.0
0%
19.3
33%
13
4451.33.3
-
16ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag41
0%
0.2
411-7
3.8
100%
75%
75%
11.2
50%
2.0
0%
20.5
75%
13
7151.02.8
-
17UtrechtUtrecht41
0%
0.2
615-9
5.2
100%
100%
75%
10.8
75%
4.7
67%
29.5
100%
61
3314151.53.8
47%
18CambuurCambuur40
0%
0.0
416-12
5.0
100%
100%
100%
10.8
75%
1.7
0%
20.5
25%
12
3181.04.0
-
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

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