The match between Exeter and Walsall is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are close: 37% for Exeter, 29% for a draw and 33% for Walsall. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly low-scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 14% chance. Exeter’s home form shows they average 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded against similarly strong opponents, while Walsall’s away record against comparable teams is 1.62 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.5% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4% with a 3% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (95.6% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (95.5% with a 3% edge), Under 4.5 (88.6% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 cards (88.0%), and Away under 2.5 goals (87.4% with a 4% edge). Both sides have shown recent form swings: Exeter is coming off a 1-2 loss to York, whereas Walsall are unbeaten in their last five, including a 3-2 win over Accrington.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Exeter win
36.5%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.43
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Dafabet
2.47
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.47
Draw
29.3%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.34
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Pinnacle
3.39
10Bet
3.35
Walsall win
34.2%
Avg Implied 34.4% · @ 2.68
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.76
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.71
Marathonbet
2.71
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Exeter
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.87
1.13
1.47
1.20
2.27
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
3.62
1.25
3.00
1.25
4.25
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.19
1.09
0.91
1.20
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.47
0.64
1.36
1.56
1.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
-
-
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (28)
1.14
1.39
0.64
1.36
1.64
1.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.4%
@ 1.24-1.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
@ 3.67+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.96
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.65
Betano
3.55
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.81-5.2%
Under 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.95+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.87
Unibet
1.87
10Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.1%
@ 2.89-6.9%
Under 3.5
74.9%
@ 1.36+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.25
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.96
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.78
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
53.0%
@ 1.63-3.7%
No
47.0%
@ 2.13+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.68
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
No
BetVictor
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Betano
2.18
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.17+6.8%
0-0
9.1%@ 9.88+4.6%
1-0
8.9%@ 8.60+3.8%
0-1
8.5%@ 9.00+3.6%
2-1
8.2%@ 8.73+3.1%
1-2
7.9%@ 9.18+3.1%
2-0
6.6%@ 12.15+3.0%
0-2
6.1%@ 13.42+2.8%
Exeter goals ↓
Walsall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
8.5%
6.1%
2.5%
0.8%
1
8.9%
14%
7.9%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.6%
8.2%
5.1%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.9%
3.6%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Exeter goals (down), columns = Walsall goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Salford
1.71
Grimsby
1.69
Chesterfield
1.67
Barnet
1.65
Swindon
1.63
Rotherham
1.63
Port Vale
1.62
Exeter
1.58
Oldham
1.48
Crewe
1.46
Colchester
1.43
Walsall
1.41
Northampton
1.40
Bristol Rvs
1.35
Fleetwood Town
1.33
Accrington
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Cheltenham
1.13
Shrewsbury
1.07
Newport County
0.93
Tranmere
0.89
Rochdale
0.88
Crawley Town
0.87
York
0.66
Exeter is 0.16 points better than Walsall in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Grimsby
1.60
Rotherham
1.52
Barnet
1.52
Swindon
1.52
Port Vale
1.52
Chesterfield
1.48
Exeter
1.48
Crewe
1.39
Colchester
1.35
Northampton
1.31
Salford
1.31
Oldham
1.30
Fleetwood Town
1.24
Bristol Rvs
1.22
Walsall
1.22
Tranmere
1.17
Cheltenham
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Newport County
1.04
Accrington
1.02
Crawley Town
0.96
Shrewsbury
0.91
Rochdale
0.82
York
0.61
Exeter is 0.26 goals better than Walsall in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.22).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Oldham
0.96
Colchester
1.07
Rotherham
1.09
Port Vale
1.09
Grimsby
1.10
Exeter
1.12
Barnet
1.15
Salford
1.16
Chesterfield
1.19
Walsall
1.22
Accrington
1.26
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Crewe
1.26
Northampton
1.26
Swindon
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.41
Crawley Town
1.48
Shrewsbury
1.50
Gillingham
1.57
Newport County
1.67
Cheltenham
1.72
Tranmere
1.72
Rochdale
2.01
York
2.70
Exeter is 0.10 goals better than Walsall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chesterfield
58%
Barnet
56%
Crawley Town
56%
Grimsby
55%
Colchester
54%
Swindon
52%
Salford
50%
Crewe
50%
Fleetwood Town
50%
Cheltenham
49%
Tranmere
49%
Oldham
48%
Accrington
48%
Gillingham
47%
Newport County
47%
Shrewsbury
44%
Walsall
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Exeter
For 4.1 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Walsall
For 4.9 · Against 7.1 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Exeter
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.0
10.2
3.3
3.1
3.5
22.1
22.4
21.9
vs Stronger (12)
9.2
8.4
9.9
3.2
2.6
3.6
21.5
21.4
21.6
vs Similar (36)
10.3
10.4
10.2
3.4
3.2
3.5
22.4
22.7
22.0
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
-
12.0
2.5
-
2.5
22.0
-
22.0
% over line
56%
65%
48%
52%
46%
58%
62%
57%
68%
% under line
44%
35%
52%
48%
54%
42%
38%
43%
32%
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.3
10.9
3.6
4.6
2.8
23.0
24.3
21.8
vs Stronger (2)
15.0
-
15.0
1.5
-
1.5
16.5
-
16.5
vs Similar (46)
10.5
10.3
10.7
3.8
4.6
2.9
23.3
24.3
22.2
vs Weaker (2)
9.0
-
9.0
3.0
-
3.0
23.0
-
23.0
% over line
66%
70%
63%
46%
65%
30%
60%
74%
48%
% under line
34%
30%
37%
54%
35%
70%
40%
26%
52%
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
11.8
Swindon
11.4
York
11.2
Walsall
10.6
Grimsby
10.5
Port Vale
10.4
Fleetwood Town
10.3
Chesterfield
10.3
Barnet
10.2
Oldham
10.2
Northampton
10.1
Exeter
10.1
Tranmere
10.0
Cheltenham
9.8
Accrington
9.8
Gillingham
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Crewe
9.6
Salford
9.6
Rotherham
9.4
Bristol Rvs
9.3
Rochdale
9.0
Colchester
9.0
Shrewsbury
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Crawley Town
4.5
Shrewsbury
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Accrington
4.1
Rotherham
4.1
Chesterfield
4.0
Newport County
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Gillingham
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
York
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Crewe
3.8
Grimsby
3.8
Salford
3.8
Walsall
3.7
Barnet
3.7
Exeter
3.5
Port Vale
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Cheltenham
3.4
Swindon
3.4
Rochdale
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crawley Town
25.1
Crewe
25.1
Colchester
24.9
Salford
24.8
Oldham
24.7
Barnet
24.1
Bristol Rvs
23.9
Grimsby
23.8
Gillingham
23.6
Rotherham
23.5
Rochdale
23.5
Newport County
23.2
Walsall
23.0
Fleetwood Town
22.8
Tranmere
22.7
Shrewsbury
22.6
Cheltenham
22.1
Exeter
22.0
Chesterfield
22.0
Port Vale
21.9
Northampton
21.9
Accrington
21.8
Swindon
20.3
York
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.3%
@ 1.58+0.7%
Under 9.5
40.7%
@ 2.24-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.71
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.32
Unibet
1.98
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
55.4%
Under 21.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Exeter or Draw
65.8%
Avg Implied 65.4% · @ 1.42
Edge
+0.4%
37%
29%
34%
covers Exeter + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Exeter or Walsall
70.7%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.28
Edge
-1.8%
37%
29%
34%
covers Exeter + Walsall
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw or Walsall
63.5%
Avg Implied 62.1% · @ 1.50
Edge
+1.4%
37%
29%
34%
covers Draw + Walsall
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.50
10Bet
1.50
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Exeter over/under 0.5
Over
72.6%
@ 1.25-1.7%
Under
27.4%
@ 3.62+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.85
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.64
Exeter over/under 1.5
Over
37.2%
@ 2.23-4.6%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.60+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Unibet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
Betano
1.62
Exeter over/under 2.5
Over
14.2%
@ 4.91-4.6%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.14+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Exeter over/under 3.5
Over
4.3%
@ 11.00-4.4%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.04+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Walsall over/under 0.5
Over
71.2%
@ 1.27-1.8%
Under
28.8%
@ 3.43+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.61
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Walsall over/under 1.5
Over
35.4%
@ 2.35-4.1%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.54+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Betfair
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Under
Betano
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Walsall over/under 2.5
Over
13.1%
@ 5.28-4.5%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.12+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Walsall over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
@ 12.38-3.9%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Exeter, so a minus line means Exeter give that many goals of a start and Walsall receive them. At -1, Exeter must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Exeter win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Exeter)
Exeter -2
5.9%
@ 10.90-2.4%
Draw -2
11.0%
@ 6.95-2.0%
Walsall +2
83.2%
@ 1.14+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
9.10
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Unibet
6.50
Away
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Handicap -1 (Exeter)
Exeter -1
16.8%
@ 4.85-1.6%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 4.10-2.1%
Walsall +1
63.5%
@ 1.49+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Away
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Betfair
1.44
Handicap +1 (Exeter)
Exeter +1
65.8%
@ 1.44+3.5%
Draw +1
18.9%
@ 4.32-1.8%
Walsall -1
15.3%
@ 5.29-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.35
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
3.95
Away
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
Unibet
5.10
Handicap +2 (Exeter)
Exeter +2
84.7%
@ 1.11+5.5%
Draw +2
10.1%
@ 6.97-2.5%
Walsall -2
5.1%
@ 10.90-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.60
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Exeter
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.87
0.27
0.60
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.50
0.25
1.25
0.25
1.75
vs Similar (21)
0.33
0.62
0.27
0.36
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.29
0.43
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.39
0.29
0.43
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.7%
@ 1.34-2.3%
Under 0.5
33.3%
@ 2.99+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.7%
@ 2.60-4.8%
Under 1.5
69.3%
@ 1.43+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.70
Unibet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.63
Under
BetVictor
1.46
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.8%
@ 6.29-4.9%
Under 2.5
90.2%
@ 1.09+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Exeter over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.9%
@ 1.98-1.0%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.75+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.94
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Exeter over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.4%
@ 6.01-4.0%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.09+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Exeter over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 17.38-3.2%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Walsall over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.7%
@ 2.06-9.2%
Under
64.3%
@ 1.68+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Unibet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Walsall over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.8%
@ 6.40-5.7%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.08+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Walsall over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 19.00-3.7%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Exeter
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.00
0.87
0.87
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
2.12
1.00
1.75
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.57
0.82
0.55
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.03
0.36
0.93
1.00
1.12
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (28)
0.68
1.00
0.36
0.93
1.00
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.1%
@ 1.20-1.2%
Under 0.5
23.9%
@ 4.07+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.15
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Marathonbet
3.94
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.2%
@ 1.98-5.7%
Under 1.5
58.8%
@ 1.75+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.08
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Betano
1.98
William Hil
1.95
Under
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.2%
@ 3.97-7.1%
Under 2.5
83.8%
@ 1.21+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Exeter over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.2%
@ 1.69-2.8%
Under
47.8%
@ 2.06+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.73
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.97
Exeter over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.9%
@ 4.29-4.6%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.18+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Exeter over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.3%
@ 10.25-4.8%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Walsall over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.3%
@ 1.73-7.4%
Under
53.7%
@ 2.00+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Walsall over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.6%
@ 4.59-7.7%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.17+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Walsall over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
@ 10.88-5.9%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+3.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
+4.4%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.8%
Under 5.5
95.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+4.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.2%
1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+5.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+4.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
+4.0%
Under 4.5
88.6%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
+5.5%
Under 5.5 cards
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.4%
1.17
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+7.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
+4.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
85.8%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
+4.6%
Home +2 handicap
84.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
-
+5.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.8%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+7.1%
Away +2 handicap
83.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
-
+4.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
+4.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.1%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-1.2%
Under 4.5 cards
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.9%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
+6.9%
Over 1.5
73.4%
1.24
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
-1.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
72.6%
1.25
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-1.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.2%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-1.8%
Over 8.5 corners
71.2%
1.33
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
-
-
+2.0%
Home or Away
70.7%
1.28
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-1.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Exeter
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Fitzwater50%
Reece Cole25%
J. Doyle-Hayes0%
Gwion Edwards0%
Josh Gordon0%
T. Perry0%
J. Bycroft0%
Vincent Harper0%
Sonny Cox0%
Andrew Oluwabori0%
Ethan Sutherland0%
E. James0%
Charlie Cummins0%
George Birch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charlie Cummins50%
Vincent Harper33%
Reece Cole25%
Gwion Edwards25%
J. Fitzwater25%
Josh Gordon25%
Ethan Sutherland25%
J. Doyle-Hayes0%
T. Perry0%
J. Bycroft0%
Sonny Cox0%
Andrew Oluwabori0%
E. James0%
George Birch0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Oluwabori33%
Gwion Edwards25%
J. Doyle-Hayes0%
Reece Cole0%
J. Fitzwater0%
Josh Gordon0%
T. Perry0%
J. Bycroft0%
Vincent Harper0%
Sonny Cox0%
Ethan Sutherland0%
E. James0%
Charlie Cummins0%
George Birch0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Reece Cole25%
Josh Gordon25%
J. Doyle-Hayes0%
Gwion Edwards0%
J. Fitzwater0%
T. Perry0%
J. Bycroft0%
Vincent Harper0%
Sonny Cox0%
Andrew Oluwabori0%
Ethan Sutherland0%
E. James0%
Charlie Cummins0%
George Birch0%
Walsall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Pressley50%
Harrison Burke33%
Reece Smith25%
Sven Sprangler0%
Albert Adomah0%
Andy Dallas0%
Lewis Simper0%
Tai Sodje0%
James Connolly0%
Jed Ward0%
Rico Browne0%
Mason Hancock0%
Charlie Crew0%
Declan Skura0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Courtney Clarke0%
Isaac Moore0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isaac Moore75%
Sven Sprangler67%
Tai Sodje33%
James Connolly33%
Elicha Ahui33%
Rico Browne25%
Declan Skura25%
Albert Adomah0%
Andy Dallas0%
Aaron Pressley0%
Lewis Simper0%
Reece Smith0%
Harrison Burke0%
Jed Ward0%
Mason Hancock0%
Charlie Crew0%
Courtney Clarke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reece Smith50%
Mason Hancock25%
Sven Sprangler0%
Albert Adomah0%
Andy Dallas0%
Aaron Pressley0%
Lewis Simper0%
Tai Sodje0%
James Connolly0%
Harrison Burke0%
Jed Ward0%
Rico Browne0%
Charlie Crew0%
Declan Skura0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Courtney Clarke0%
Isaac Moore0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aaron Pressley50%
Andy Dallas25%
Reece Smith25%
Courtney Clarke25%
Sven Sprangler0%
Albert Adomah0%
Lewis Simper0%
Tai Sodje0%
James Connolly0%
Harrison Burke0%
Jed Ward0%
Rico Browne0%
Mason Hancock0%
Charlie Crew0%
Declan Skura0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Isaac Moore0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAL (26)
€8m
PV (23)
€7m
CHE (24)
€6m
BR (24)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Exeter and Walsall have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Exeter and Walsall have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Exeter and Walsall have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PV (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Exeter and Walsall have a similar defence value (both €1m).
England: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bristol Rvs
Barnet
Crewe
Oldham
York
Cheltenham
Swindon
Colchester
Tranmere
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham
Newport County
Chesterfield
Crawley Town
Northampton
Rochdale
Salford
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
Accrington
Port Vale