F91 Dudelange are favoured to win at home, with a 44 % chance of victory, a 26 % draw probability, and a 29 % chance for UN Kaerjeng 97 to triumph. The model projects an average of three goals, but the most likely total is two, occurring 24 % of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.3 % chance. Dudelange’s home form shows they average two goals scored and 1.25 conceded against weaker opposition, while UN Kaerjeng 97, playing away against stronger teams, averages one goal scored and 1.57 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 98.9 %, Over 2.5 cards at 97.1 %, Under 6.5 goals at 96.8 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.5 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 94.1 %, Under 5.5 goals at 91.9 %, Over 3.5 cards at 91.9 %, and Home under 3.5 goals at 91.4 %. Both sides have recently finished with wins, hinting at a competitive encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
F91 Dudelange win
47.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 win
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
F91 Dudelange
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
1.79
1.29
1.44
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.55
1.40
1.50
1.25
1.58
1.50
vs Weaker (10)
1.70
1.00
2.17
1.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (UN Kaerjeng 97) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
UN Kaerjeng 97
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.60
2.13
1.73
1.13
1.47
vs Stronger (15)
1.47
1.60
2.00
1.43
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (14)
1.86
1.71
2.25
2.00
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (F91 Dudelange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
F91 Dudelange goals ↓
UN Kaerjeng 97 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
5.2%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
1
7.7%
12%
6.8%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.7%
9.5%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
3
4.4%
5.5%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
4
1.9%
2.4%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = F91 Dudelange goals (down), columns = UN Kaerjeng 97 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
F91 Dudelange is 0.60 points worse than UN Kaerjeng 97 in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
F91 Dudelange is 1.60 goals worse than UN Kaerjeng 97 in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
F91 Dudelange is 0.20 goals better than UN Kaerjeng 97 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
F91 Dudelange
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
UN Kaerjeng 97
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
F91 Dudelange
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
9.0
7.5
0.7
1.0
0.5
24.7
25.0
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.0
9.0
-
0.7
1.6
0.0
25.0
25.0
-
vs Weaker (16)
7.5
-
7.5
0.8
0.0
1.5
24.5
-
24.5
% over line
0%
0%
0%
8%
12%
4%
67%
100%
50%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
92%
88%
96%
33%
0%
50%
This opponent (UN Kaerjeng 97) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
UN Kaerjeng 97
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
6.5
12.0
0.7
0.4
0.9
27.0
26.5
28.0
vs Stronger (25)
7.7
6.5
10.0
0.7
1.0
0.5
27.0
26.5
28.0
vs Similar (24)
14.0
-
14.0
0.6
0.0
1.5
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
0%
100%
8%
4%
12%
67%
50%
100%
% under line
50%
100%
0%
92%
96%
88%
33%
50%
0%
This opponent (F91 Dudelange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
36.6%
Under 9.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
91.9%
Under 3.5
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.3%
Under 21.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
F91 Dudelange or Draw
73.7%
Avg Implied -
48%
26%
26%
covers F91 Dudelange + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange or UN Kaerjeng 97
74.2%
Avg Implied -
48%
26%
26%
covers F91 Dudelange + UN Kaerjeng 97
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or UN Kaerjeng 97
52.1%
Avg Implied -
48%
26%
26%
covers Draw + UN Kaerjeng 97
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
F91 Dudelange over/under 0.5
Over
82.4%
Under
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 1.5
Over
51.8%
Under
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 2.5
Over
25.2%
Under
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 3.5
Over
9.9%
Under
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 0.5
Over
71.1%
Under
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 1.5
Over
35.3%
Under
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 2.5
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to F91 Dudelange, so a minus line means F91 Dudelange give that many goals of a start and UN Kaerjeng 97 receive them. At -1, F91 Dudelange must win by two or more to land; a one-goal F91 Dudelange win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (F91 Dudelange)
F91 Dudelange -2
11.6%
Draw -2
14.9%
UN Kaerjeng 97 +2
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (F91 Dudelange)
F91 Dudelange -1
26.5%
Draw -1
21.4%
UN Kaerjeng 97 +1
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (F91 Dudelange)
F91 Dudelange +1
73.7%
Draw +1
15.0%
UN Kaerjeng 97 -1
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (F91 Dudelange)
F91 Dudelange +2
88.7%
Draw +2
7.6%
UN Kaerjeng 97 -2
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
F91 Dudelange
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.79
0.50
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.55
0.75
0.50
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.40
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (UN Kaerjeng 97) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
UN Kaerjeng 97
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.87
0.80
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (15)
0.87
0.53
1.14
0.57
0.62
0.50
vs Similar (14)
0.64
1.00
0.62
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (F91 Dudelange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
F91 Dudelange over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
F91 Dudelange
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.00
0.79
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.85
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.60
1.33
0.83
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (UN Kaerjeng 97) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
UN Kaerjeng 97
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.87
1.27
0.93
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (15)
0.60
1.07
0.86
0.86
0.38
1.25
vs Similar (14)
1.21
0.71
1.62
1.00
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (F91 Dudelange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
F91 Dudelange over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UN Kaerjeng 97 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 4.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 5.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
F91 Dudelange and UN Kaerjeng 97 have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
F91 Dudelange and UN Kaerjeng 97 have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
F91 Dudelange and UN Kaerjeng 97 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
F91 Dudelange and UN Kaerjeng 97 have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
UNA Strassen
US Mondorf-les-bains
FC Differdange 03
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Résidence Walferdange
Progres Niederkorn
Atert Bissen
US Hostert
US Rumelange
Wiltz
Victoria Rosport
AS Jeunesse Esch
Etzella Ettelbruck
Swift Hesperange