F91 Dudelange’s recent form shows a 2-game winning streak, while Victoria Rosport has just returned from a draw. The model projects a high-scoring encounter with an expected 3.3 goals, and the most likely total is three, a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10% probability. Home advantage is clear: Dudelange averages 2.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home against weaker opposition, whereas Rosport, playing away against stronger teams, averages only 0.88 scored and 2.25 conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome are 60% for a home win, 22% for a draw, and 18% for an away win, making a home win the model’s pick. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 98.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 96.2%, Under 6.5 at 95.0%, Over 19.5 fouls at 93.9%, Home +2 handicap at 93.0%, Over 3.5 cards at 89.9%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 89.6%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
F91 Dudelange win
60.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport win
17.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
F91 Dudelange
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
1.79
1.29
1.44
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.55
1.40
1.50
1.25
1.58
1.50
vs Weaker (10)
1.70
1.00
2.17
1.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.97
1.54
1.69
1.18
2.18
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
1.86
0.83
1.33
0.88
2.25
vs Similar (15)
1.73
2.00
2.14
2.00
1.38
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
3.00
-
-
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (F91 Dudelange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.6%
Under 2.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
60.5%
No
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
F91 Dudelange goals ↓
Victoria Rosport goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
3.3%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
1
7.2%
10%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
2
8.8%
9.8%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
6.3%
7.1%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
4
3.4%
3.8%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = F91 Dudelange goals (down), columns = Victoria Rosport goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
F91 Dudelange is 0.40 points better than Victoria Rosport in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
F91 Dudelange is 1.00 goals worse than Victoria Rosport in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
F91 Dudelange is 0.80 goals better than Victoria Rosport in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 2.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
F91 Dudelange
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Victoria Rosport
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
F91 Dudelange
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
9.0
7.5
0.7
1.0
0.5
24.7
25.0
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
9.0
9.0
-
0.8
1.7
0.0
25.0
25.0
-
vs Weaker (18)
7.5
-
7.5
0.7
0.0
1.3
24.5
-
24.5
% over line
0%
0%
0%
8%
12%
4%
67%
100%
50%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
92%
88%
96%
33%
0%
50%
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
11.5
8.0
0.6
0.8
0.5
25.0
23.0
26.0
vs Stronger (21)
8.0
9.0
7.0
0.9
1.0
0.8
23.0
23.0
23.0
vs Similar (27)
11.5
14.0
9.0
0.4
0.8
0.2
29.0
-
29.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
25%
50%
0%
6%
9%
4%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
75%
50%
100%
94%
91%
96%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (F91 Dudelange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.9%
Under 9.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
89.9%
Under 3.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.0%
Under 21.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
F91 Dudelange or Draw
82.1%
Avg Implied -
60%
22%
18%
covers F91 Dudelange + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange or Victoria Rosport
78.1%
Avg Implied -
60%
22%
18%
covers F91 Dudelange + Victoria Rosport
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Victoria Rosport
39.8%
Avg Implied -
60%
22%
18%
covers Draw + Victoria Rosport
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
F91 Dudelange over/under 0.5
Over
88.5%
Under
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 1.5
Over
63.5%
Under
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 2.5
Over
36.6%
Under
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 3.5
Over
17.3%
Under
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5
Over
67.3%
Under
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5
Over
30.8%
Under
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to F91 Dudelange, so a minus line means F91 Dudelange give that many goals of a start and Victoria Rosport receive them. At -1, F91 Dudelange must win by two or more to land; a one-goal F91 Dudelange win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (F91 Dudelange)
F91 Dudelange -2
19.8%
Draw -2
18.4%
Victoria Rosport +2
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (F91 Dudelange)
F91 Dudelange -1
38.2%
Draw -1
21.9%
Victoria Rosport +1
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (F91 Dudelange)
F91 Dudelange +1
82.1%
Draw +1
10.9%
Victoria Rosport -1
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (F91 Dudelange)
F91 Dudelange +2
93.0%
Draw +2
4.9%
Victoria Rosport -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
F91 Dudelange
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.79
0.50
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.55
0.75
0.50
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.40
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.85
0.69
0.29
1.06
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
0.79
0.50
0.17
0.12
1.25
vs Similar (15)
0.80
1.00
1.14
1.14
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (F91 Dudelange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
F91 Dudelange over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
F91 Dudelange
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.00
0.79
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.85
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.60
1.33
0.83
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.07
0.69
1.00
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.07
0.33
1.17
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.93
1.00
1.00
0.86
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (F91 Dudelange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
F91 Dudelange over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
F91 Dudelange over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 4.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
F91 Dudelange and Victoria Rosport have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
F91 Dudelange and Victoria Rosport have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
F91 Dudelange and Victoria Rosport have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
F91 Dudelange and Victoria Rosport have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
UNA Strassen
US Mondorf-les-bains
FC Differdange 03
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Résidence Walferdange
UN Kaerjeng 97
Progres Niederkorn
Atert Bissen
US Hostert
US Rumelange
Wiltz
AS Jeunesse Esch
Etzella Ettelbruck
Swift Hesperange