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Faetano vs Murata Result & Analysis

Date: 04/03/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-5
Faetano
Faetano
Vs
35%
25%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Murata
Murata
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Faetano win✗ Miss
34.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Murata win✓ Hit
40.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FaetanoFaetano

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L30W13L14L02L12L12L02L00D02LA·LA 03/12H·CAI10/12A·VIR17/12H·DOM08/01A·TRE15/01H·TRE21/01A·LIB29/01H·COS05/02A·FOL12/02H·FIO18/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.162.161.222.221.102.10
vs Stronger (9)0.222.670.332.330.172.83
vs Similar (10)2.001.701.672.172.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L01L23L22D23L32W31W22D02L02LH·LA 11/12A·FIO18/12H·LIB08/01A·DOM15/01H·COS20/01A·PEN28/01H·SAN05/02H·JUV11/02A·TRE19/02H·FOL25/02
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.302.251.272.361.332.11
vs Stronger (9)0.782.670.832.330.673.33
vs Similar (11)1.731.911.802.401.671.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Faetano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.2%
Under 2.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.3%
Under 3.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.1%
No
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
1-0
4.6%
Faetano goals ↓
Murata goals →
01234
04.5%5.1%5.3%3.1%1.4%
14.6%11%8.6%5.0%2.2%
24.5%7.9%6.9%4.0%1.8%
32.4%4.2%3.7%2.2%0.9%
41.0%1.7%1.5%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Faetano goals (down), columns = Murata goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cosmos
2.48
Tre Penne
2.43
La Fiorita
2.12
Virtus
1.91
Tre Fiori
1.90
Libertas
1.55
Folgore
1.10
Murata
1.03
Juvenes / Dogana
1.03
Faetano
0.90
Domagnano
0.90
Pennarossa
0.89
San Giovanni
0.82
Fiorentino
0.82
Cailungo
0.64
Faetano is 0.13 points worse than Murata in terms of average points per game (0.90 vs 1.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cosmos
2.30
Tre Penne
2.14
Virtus
1.76
Libertas
1.61
Tre Fiori
1.57
La Fiorita
1.48
Murata
1.41
Pennarossa
1.39
Juvenes / Dogana
1.39
Fiorentino
1.32
Domagnano
1.31
Faetano
1.19
Folgore
1.13
Cailungo
1.04
San Giovanni
1.00
Faetano is 0.22 goals worse than Murata in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.41).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cosmos
0.45
La Fiorita
0.61
Tre Penne
0.68
Tre Fiori
0.80
Virtus
0.91
Libertas
1.21
Folgore
1.70
Juvenes / Dogana
1.71
Domagnano
1.76
San Giovanni
1.93
Murata
2.00
Pennarossa
2.04
Fiorentino
2.07
Faetano
2.26
Cailungo
2.46
Faetano is 0.26 goals worse than Murata in terms of goals conceded per game (2.26 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

FaetanoFaetano

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MurataMurata

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FaetanoFaetano

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (19)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Murata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (11)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Faetano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tre Penne
11.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
Tre Penne
5.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FaetanoFaetano

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W13L02L01L11D00D01L00D01LA·LA 03/12H·CAI10/12A·VIR17/12H·DOM08/01A·TRE15/01H·TRE21/01A·LIB29/01H·COS05/02A·FOL12/02H·FIO18/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.320.890.220.890.400.90
vs Stronger (9)0.221.220.331.000.171.33
vs Similar (10)0.400.600.170.830.750.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L21W10W02L02L10W11D00D01LH·LA 11/12A·FIO18/12H·LIB08/01A·DOM15/01H·COS20/01A·PEN28/01H·SAN05/02H·JUV11/02A·TRE19/02H·FOL25/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.551.050.731.090.331.00
vs Stronger (9)0.331.670.331.670.331.67
vs Similar (11)0.730.551.200.400.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %35% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Faetano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Faetano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Faetano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Faetano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FaetanoFaetano

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W00D12L01L01L12L01L00D01LA·LA 03/12H·CAI10/12A·VIR17/12H·DOM08/01A·TRE15/01H·TRE21/01A·LIB29/01H·COS05/02A·FOL12/02H·FIO18/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.841.261.001.330.701.20
vs Stronger (9)0.001.440.001.330.001.50
vs Similar (10)1.601.101.501.331.750.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %32% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D02L12L21W30W21W11D02L01LH·LA 11/12A·FIO18/12H·LIB08/01A·DOM15/01H·COS20/01A·PEN28/01H·SAN05/02H·JUV11/02A·TRE19/02H·FOL25/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.200.551.271.001.11
vs Stronger (9)0.441.000.500.670.331.67
vs Similar (11)1.001.360.602.001.330.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Faetano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Faetano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Faetano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Faetano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Faetano and Murata have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Faetano and Murata have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Faetano and Murata have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Faetano and Murata have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
FAE wins
0
Draws
0
MUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Faetano vs Murata · H/A from FAE
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/22AMurata Vs FAE0-2

FaetanoFaetano

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/23HFAE Vs Fiorentino0-2
12/02/23AFolgore Vs FAE0-0
05/02/23HFAE Vs Cosmos0-2
29/01/23ALibertas Vs FAE2-1
21/01/23HFAE Vs Tre Fiori1-2
15/01/23ATre Penne Vs FAE2-0
08/01/23HFAE Vs Domagnano1-4
17/12/22AVirtus Vs FAE3-1
10/12/22HFAE Vs Cailungo3-0
03/12/22ALa Fiorita Vs FAE4-0

MurataMurata

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/23HMUR Vs Folgore0-2
19/02/23ATre Penne Vs MUR2-0
11/02/23HMUR Vs Juvenes / Dogana2-2
05/02/23HMUR Vs San Giovanni3-1
28/01/23APennarossa Vs MUR2-3
20/01/23HMUR Vs Cosmos2-3
15/01/23ADomagnano Vs MUR2-2
08/01/23HMUR Vs Libertas2-3
18/12/22AFiorentino Vs MUR1-0
11/12/22HMUR Vs La Fiorita1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Faetano
Faetano
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.89
HomeWLLLL0.78
AwayLLLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%22%30%
AVG goals3.323.443.20
Over 1.5 %95%100%90%
Over 2.5 %68%78%60%
Over 3.5 %42%33%50%
Scored1.161.221.10
Conceded2.162.222.10
BTTS42%56%30%
Clean Sheet21%11%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Murata
Murata
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL0.70
HomeLLWDL0.36
AwayLLDWL1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%9%33%
AVG goals3.553.643.44
Over 1.5 %90%91%89%
Over 2.5 %65%73%56%
Over 3.5 %55%55%56%
Scored1.301.271.33
Conceded2.252.362.11
BTTS65%73%56%
Clean Sheet10%0%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CosmosCosmos3382
76%
2.5
7615+61
2.8
79%
48%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.5
-
2La FioritaLa Fiorita3370
64%
2.1
4920+29
2.1
67%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.50.6
-
3Tre PenneTre Penne2868
75%
2.4
6019+41
2.8
82%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.10.7
-
4VirtusVirtus3363
52%
1.9
5830+28
2.7
82%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.80.9
-
5Tre FioriTre Fiori3057
57%
1.9
4724+23
2.4
77%
47%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.60.8
-
6LibertasLibertas3351
39%
1.5
5340+13
2.8
76%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7FolgoreFolgore3033
30%
1.1
3451-17
2.8
87%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
8Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3132
29%
1.0
4353-10
3.1
81%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
9MurataMurata2930
31%
1.0
4158-17
3.4
83%
62%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
10FaetanoFaetano3128
26%
0.9
3770-33
3.5
90%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.3
-
11DomagnanoDomagnano2926
21%
0.9
3851-13
3.1
86%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.8
-
12PennarossaPennarossa2825
25%
0.9
3957-18
3.4
86%
64%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
13FiorentinoFiorentino2823
18%
0.8
3758-21
3.4
82%
61%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
14San GiovanniSan Giovanni2823
21%
0.8
2854-26
2.9
86%
54%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
15CailungoCailungo2818
14%
0.6
2969-40
3.5
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

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