PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Făleşti vs Floreşti Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Făleşti
Făleşti
Vs
54%
23%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Făleşti win✓ Hit
54.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Floreşti win✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-906L15L10W12L03L04L04L91W03L02LA·DAC07/03A·VIC14/03H·FLO29/03A·FC 04/04H·SAX11/04H·DAC19/04H·VIC25/04A·FLO03/05H·FC 07/05A·SAX10/05
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.302.631.142.361.442.88
vs Stronger (11)0.273.000.002.800.503.17
vs Similar (16)1.502.691.862.431.222.89
vs Weaker (3)4.001.001.501.009.001.00
Clean sheet %10% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
190-19019L04L01L14L03L03L03L19L05L13LA·SAX08/03A·DAC14/03A·FĂL29/03A·VIC05/04H·FC 12/04H·SAX18/04H·DAC25/04H·FĂL03/05H·VIC07/05A·FC 10/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
5.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
5.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.374.570.293.930.445.12
vs Stronger (30)0.374.570.293.930.445.12
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%318%412%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.4%
Under 2.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.5%
Under 3.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.5%
No
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
2-0 ✓
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.1%
Făleşti goals ↓
Floreşti goals →
01234
04.4%3.6%2.9%1.3%0.4%
16.2%10%6.0%2.6%0.9%
27.4%9.6%6.2%2.7%0.9%
35.1%6.6%4.3%1.9%0.6%
42.6%3.4%2.2%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Făleşti goals (down), columns = Floreşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saxan
2.46
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.33
Speranis Nisporeni
2.25
Zimbru
1.88
Milsami Orhei
1.75
FC Stăuceni
1.73
Dacia-Buiucani
1.62
Petrocub
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Victoria Bardar
1.25
CSF Bălți
1.17
Făleşti
0.75
Spartanii Selemet
0.67
Floreşti
0.04
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
0.00
FCM Ungheni
0.00
Făleşti is 0.71 points better than Floreşti in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 0.04).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Saxan
3.69
Milsami Orhei
2.29
Zimbru
2.25
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.08
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
2.00
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.92
Petrocub
1.67
FC Stăuceni
1.55
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Făleşti
1.17
CSF Bălți
1.12
Olimp Comrat
1.00
FCM Ungheni
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Floreşti
0.12
Făleşti is 1.05 goals better than Floreşti in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.50
Saxan
0.62
Dacia-Buiucani
0.92
Zimbru
1.04
Petrocub
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Speranis Nisporeni
1.25
FC Stăuceni
1.36
CSF Bălți
1.38
Victoria Bardar
1.92
Spartanii Selemet
2.29
Făleşti
2.67
Olimp Comrat
3.00
Iskra
3.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Floreşti
4.60
Făleşti is 1.93 goals better than Floreşti in terms of goals conceded per game (2.67 vs 4.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FăleştiFăleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L01L00D01L01L02L40W02L01LA·SPE23/11A·GAG29/11H·SHE07/12H·FLO29/03H·SAX11/04H·DAC19/04H·VIC25/04A·FLO03/05H·FC 07/05A·SAX10/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.461.180.231.230.671.13
vs Stronger (8)0.251.000.001.250.500.75
vs Similar (16)0.441.310.431.430.441.22
vs Weaker (4)1.001.000.000.502.001.50
Clean sheet %32% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
90-902L09L00D02L00D01L01L04L02L01LH·DAC23/11A·SAX08/03A·FĂL29/03A·VIC05/04H·FC 12/04H·SAX18/04H·DAC25/04H·FĂL03/05H·VIC07/05A·FC 10/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.271.670.201.670.331.67
vs Stronger (30)0.271.670.201.670.331.67
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FăleştiFăleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W01L02L10W02L03L02L51W01L01LA·SPE23/11A·GAG29/11H·SHE07/12H·FLO29/03H·SAX11/04H·DAC19/04H·VIC25/04A·FLO03/05H·FC 07/05A·SAX10/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.811.890.382.001.211.79
vs Stronger (7)0.141.290.001.500.331.00
vs Similar (16)0.882.190.432.571.221.89
vs Weaker (4)1.751.751.001.002.502.50
Clean sheet %15% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1001L010L01L12L03L02L02L15L03L12LH·DAC23/11A·SAX08/03A·FĂL29/03A·VIC05/04H·FC 12/04H·SAX18/04H·DAC25/04H·FĂL03/05H·VIC07/05A·FC 10/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.302.070.272.000.332.13
vs Stronger (30)0.302.070.272.000.332.13
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
FĂL wins
0
Draws
3
FLO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Făleşti vs Floreşti · H/A from FĂL
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25AFloreşti Vs FĂL1-9
29/03/25HFĂL Vs Floreşti1-0
06/05/23HFĂL Vs Floreşti1-3
07/04/23AFloreşti Vs FĂL7-0
22/10/22HFĂL Vs Floreşti1-2
09/09/22AFloreşti Vs FĂL1-3

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25ASaxan Vs FĂL2-0
07/05/25HFĂL Vs FC Stăuceni0-3
03/05/25AFloreşti Vs FĂL1-9
25/04/25HFĂL Vs Victoria Bardar0-4
19/04/25HFĂL Vs Dacia-Buiucani0-4
11/04/25HFĂL Vs Saxan0-3
04/04/25AFC Stăuceni Vs FĂL2-1
29/03/25HFĂL Vs Floreşti1-0
14/03/25AVictoria Bardar Vs FĂL5-1
07/03/25ADacia-Buiucani Vs FĂL6-0

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25AFC Stăuceni Vs FLO3-1
07/05/25HFLO Vs Victoria Bardar0-5
03/05/25HFLO Vs Făleşti1-9
25/04/25HFLO Vs Dacia-Buiucani0-3
18/04/25HFLO Vs Saxan0-3
12/04/25HFLO Vs FC Stăuceni0-3
05/04/25AVictoria Bardar Vs FLO4-1
29/03/25AFăleşti Vs FLO1-0
14/03/25ADacia-Buiucani Vs FLO4-0
08/03/25ASaxan Vs FLO19-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.08
HomeWLLLL1.13
AwayLLLWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%35%33%
AVG goals3.863.524.15
Over 1.5 %88%83%93%
Over 2.5 %74%78%70%
Over 3.5 %42%39%44%
Scored1.421.261.56
Conceded2.442.262.59
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 10 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.70
HomeLLLLL0.80
AwayLLLLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals4.383.884.88
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %82%84%80%
Over 3.5 %54%56%52%
Scored0.901.080.72
Conceded3.482.804.16
BTTS34%28%40%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2456
67%
2.3
5012+38
2.6
67%
46%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.5
-
2ZimbruZimbru2445
58%
1.9
5425+29
3.3
79%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.21.0
-
3Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2442
50%
1.8
5526+29
3.4
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.31.1
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2439
46%
1.6
4622+24
2.8
71%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.90.9
-
5PetrocubPetrocub2437
42%
1.5
4026+14
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.1
-
6SaxanSaxan1332
77%
2.5
488+40
4.3
100%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.70.6
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2428
29%
1.2
2733-6
2.5
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.4
-
8FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1119
55%
1.7
1715+2
2.9
73%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
9Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2416
12%
0.7
2155-34
3.2
75%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
10Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1215
42%
1.2
2423+1
3.9
92%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.9
-
11Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni49
75%
2.2
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
12FăleştiFăleşti129
25%
0.8
1432-18
3.8
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.7
-
13IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
36-3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.53.0
-
14FloreştiFloreşti251
0%
0.0
3115-112
4.7
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.14.6
-
15Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
17Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

← all matches