Farul Constanta are favoured to win, with a 45% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 26% chance of Uta Arad taking the victory. The model predicts an average of 2.5 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.7% probability. Farul’s home form shows they average 1.73 goals scored and 1.09 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Uta Arad, playing away, averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.08 conceded against comparable opponents. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7%, Under 6.5 at 98.5% with a 4% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.7% with a 6% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7% with a 6% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7% with a 6% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.2% with a 6% edge, and Under 5.5 at 95.7% with a 4% edge. Farul’s recent draw and Uta Arad’s two-game winning run add intrigue, but the odds favour a home win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Farul Constanta win
44.8%
Avg Implied 43.8% · @ 2.12
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.13
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Draw
28.8%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.29
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Betfair
3.30
Betano
3.20
Uta Arad win
26.4%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.31
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.35
Betfair
3.30
1xBet
3.29
Marathonbet
3.28
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Farul Constanta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.23
1.57
1.21
1.06
1.25
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
2.50
2.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
1.13
1.73
1.09
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
1.20
0.50
1.00
2.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.13
1.57
1.00
1.12
1.25
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.86
0.75
1.75
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.48
0.91
1.90
0.70
1.15
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.7%
@ 1.31+2.3%
Under 1.5
27.3%
@ 3.12-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.9%
@ 2.05-0.3%
Under 2.5
54.1%
@ 1.76+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.5%
@ 3.55-1.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
@ 1.24+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
51.3%
@ 1.80-0.1%
No
48.7%
@ 1.91+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
No
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.06+6.2%
1-0
10.5%@ 6.89+3.9%
0-0
9.4%@ 9.55+4.6%
2-1
9.1%@ 8.61+3.8%
2-0
8.5%@ 9.94+4.0%
0-1
7.4%@ 9.18+2.4%
1-2
6.6%@ 11.31+2.6%
2-2
4.8%@ 14.06+1.6%
Farul Constanta goals ↓
Uta Arad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
7.4%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.6%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.5%
9.1%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
3
4.1%
4.4%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Farul Constanta goals (down), columns = Uta Arad goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Farul Constanta is 0.57 points better than Uta Arad in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 0.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Farul Constanta is 0.57 goals better than Uta Arad in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Farul Constanta is 0.29 goals better than Uta Arad in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Farul Constanta is 1.9 percentage points better than Uta Arad in terms of average possession (48% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Farul Constanta
For 6.4 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Uta Arad
For 5.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.5 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Farul Constanta
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.5
10.4
3.6
4.2
3.1
23.2
22.3
24.1
vs Stronger (3)
6.7
6.0
8.0
4.7
4.0
6.0
25.7
26.0
25.0
vs Similar (41)
9.8
9.3
10.3
3.6
3.9
3.2
23.3
22.5
24.0
vs Weaker (6)
15.0
14.5
16.0
3.2
6.5
1.5
19.7
17.0
25.0
% over line
49%
45%
52%
52%
70%
37%
49%
41%
57%
% under line
51%
55%
48%
48%
30%
63%
51%
59%
43%
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.4
10.0
4.2
4.0
4.4
24.8
25.0
24.5
vs Stronger (12)
8.8
7.0
9.9
5.2
5.2
5.1
23.0
25.0
21.9
vs Similar (38)
10.0
9.9
10.0
3.8
3.6
4.1
25.4
25.1
25.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
45%
45%
64%
56%
72%
75%
68%
82%
% under line
55%
55%
55%
36%
44%
28%
25%
32%
18%
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.2
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Rapid
9.9
Farul Constanta
9.9
FC Botosani
9.8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.4
FC Voluntari
8.8
Csikszereda
8.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Universitatea Craiova
5.1
FC Botosani
5.0
Arges Pitesti
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Uta Arad
4.7
Rapid
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Csikszereda
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.4
Oţelul
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.2
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Botosani
26.6
Oţelul
26.6
Arges Pitesti
25.3
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.3
Csikszereda
25.0
FCSB
24.9
Uta Arad
24.3
Corvinul Hunedoara
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.9
FC Voluntari
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.6
Rapid
23.5
Farul Constanta
23.2
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.7
Universitatea Cluj
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.9%
Under 9.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.5%
Under 3.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.8%
Under 21.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Farul Constanta or Draw
73.6%
Avg Implied 71.7% · @ 1.31
Edge
+1.9%
45%
29%
26%
covers Farul Constanta + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Farul Constanta or Uta Arad
71.2%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.29
Edge
-1.3%
45%
29%
26%
covers Farul Constanta + Uta Arad
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Draw or Uta Arad
55.2%
Avg Implied 55.9% · @ 1.68
Edge
-0.6%
45%
29%
26%
covers Draw + Uta Arad
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Farul Constanta over/under 0.5
Over
76.5%
@ 1.24+1.7%
Under
23.5%
@ 3.69-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.55
Farul Constanta over/under 1.5
Over
42.5%
@ 2.19+0.1%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.62-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Under
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Betano
1.62
Farul Constanta over/under 2.5
Over
17.9%
@ 4.85-1.2%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.14+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Farul Constanta over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
@ 9.67-3.7%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Uta Arad over/under 0.5
Over
65.4%
@ 1.41-0.2%
Under
34.6%
@ 2.69+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Under
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Uta Arad over/under 1.5
Over
28.7%
@ 2.98-2.4%
Under
71.3%
@ 1.34+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Uta Arad over/under 2.5
Over
9.2%
@ 7.67-2.9%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.05+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
7.90
Betfair
7.50
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Uta Arad over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
@ 12.00-5.5%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Farul Constanta, so a minus line means Farul Constanta give that many goals of a start and Uta Arad receive them. At -1, Farul Constanta must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Farul Constanta win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Farul Constanta)
Farul Constanta -2
8.7%
@ 7.95-2.0%
Draw -2
13.8%
@ 5.40-2.0%
Uta Arad +2
77.4%
@ 1.17+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Farul Constanta)
Farul Constanta -1
22.6%
@ 4.17+0.9%
Draw -1
22.2%
@ 3.75-1.9%
Uta Arad +1
55.2%
@ 1.67+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Handicap +1 (Farul Constanta)
Farul Constanta +1
73.6%
@ 1.29+3.6%
Draw +1
15.9%
@ 4.95-2.4%
Uta Arad -1
10.5%
@ 7.75-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Farul Constanta)
Farul Constanta +2
89.5%
@ 1.06+2.3%
Draw +2
7.4%
@ 11.00-1.0%
Uta Arad -2
3.1%
@ 21.00-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
11.00
Away
Betfair
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Farul Constanta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.79
0.50
0.44
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.48
0.91
0.55
0.25
0.42
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.64
0.50
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.57
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.52
0.70
0.30
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.0%
@ 1.41+2.0%
Under 0.5
32.0%
@ 2.74-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Betfair
1.36
Under
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.73
Marathonbet
2.73
Betano
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.2%
@ 2.97-0.1%
Under 1.5
68.8%
@ 1.35+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.10
1xBet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Under
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.7%
@ 7.70-1.2%
Under 2.5
89.3%
@ 1.04+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.80
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Farul Constanta over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.7%
@ 1.99-0.9%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.74+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Farul Constanta over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.0%
@ 6.10-2.3%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.10+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
Farul Constanta over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 11.75-5.7%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.0%
@ 2.40-0.7%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.51+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.4%
@ 8.63-2.3%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
8.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Farul Constanta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.79
0.71
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.65
0.82
0.55
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
0.50
0.50
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.93
0.50
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.29
0.25
0.75
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.39
1.20
0.40
0.62
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.5%
@ 1.24+1.1%
Under 0.5
24.5%
@ 3.60-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
3.60
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.6%
@ 2.22-1.5%
Under 1.5
59.4%
@ 1.62+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
Betano
2.20
Under
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.5%
@ 4.87-2.5%
Under 2.5
83.5%
@ 1.14+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Farul Constanta over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.3%
@ 1.67-3.0%
Under
47.7%
@ 2.07+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.05
Farul Constanta over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.2%
@ 4.33-3.2%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.18+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Farul Constanta over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.8%
@ 9.25-6.3%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.5%
@ 2.00+0.1%
Under
53.5%
@ 1.73-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.3%
@ 6.20-1.6%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.09+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.20
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
@ 11.75-5.7%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Under 5.5
95.7%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+2.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+2.9%
Home +2 handicap
89.5%
1.06
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.04
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+1.2%
Under 4.5
89.0%
1.06
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+2.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.0%
1.10
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+2.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+1.6%
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.5%
1.14
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
+2.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
82.1%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+1.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.8%
1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+3.2%
Over 19.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.4%
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-
+4.0%
Home over 0.5 goals
76.5%
1.24
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+1.7%
Under 3.5
75.5%
1.24
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+1.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.5%
1.24
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+1.1%
Under 11.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
73.6%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
+1.9%
Home +1 handicap
73.6%
1.29
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
-
-
-
+3.6%
Over 1.5
72.7%
1.31
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+2.3%
Over 3.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
71.3%
1.34
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
-
+2.4%
Home or Away
71.2%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-1.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Farul Constanta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iustin Doicaru50%
Eduard Radaslavescu43%
Matteo Ahlinvi29%
Cristian Sima25%
Valentin Țicu0%
Denis Alibec0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Victor Dican0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Tony Njiké0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Gustavo Marins0%
Răzvan Tănasă0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Rafael Munteanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Victor Dican57%
Valentin Țicu29%
Tony Njiké29%
Eduard Radaslavescu29%
Răzvan Tănasă17%
Gustavo Marins14%
Rafael Munteanu14%
Denis Alibec0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Matteo Ahlinvi0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Iustin Doicaru0%
Cristian Sima0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eduard Radaslavescu29%
Denis Alibec25%
Iustin Doicaru17%
Eddy Sylvestre14%
Matteo Ahlinvi14%
Tony Njiké14%
Valentin Țicu0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Victor Dican0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Gustavo Marins0%
Răzvan Tănasă0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Rafael Munteanu0%
Cristian Sima0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Iustin Doicaru50%
Eduard Radaslavescu43%
Denis Alibec25%
Răzvan Tănasă17%
Matteo Ahlinvi14%
Tony Njiké14%
Valentin Țicu0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Victor Dican0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Gustavo Marins0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Rafael Munteanu0%
Cristian Sima0%
Uta Arad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismet Sinani17%
Jayson Papeau14%
Marius Coman14%
Hakim Abdallah14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Roman Alin0%
Richard Odada0%
Denis Țăroi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dmytro Pospelov50%
Peter Ouaneh40%
Alexandru Benga33%
Jayson Papeau29%
Sota Mino29%
Roman Alin29%
Andrea Padula20%
Din Alomerovic20%
Richard Odada17%
Marinos Tzionis14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Marius Coman0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Hakim Abdallah0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Ismet Sinani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jayson Papeau29%
Roman Alin29%
Dmytro Pospelov25%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Marius Coman0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Hakim Abdallah0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Richard Odada0%
Andrei Dorobanțu0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Ismet Sinani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Alin43%
Marius Coman29%
Ismet Sinani17%
Hakim Abdallah14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Jayson Papeau0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Richard Odada0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Farul Constanta's squad is €2m more valuable than Uta Arad's (€11m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Farul Constanta and Uta Arad have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Farul Constanta's midfield is €1m more valuable than Uta Arad's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Farul Constanta and Uta Arad have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda