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FC Bacau vs CSM Reşiţa Result & Analysis

Date: 13/09/2025
Time: 08:00
Final 0-0
FC Bacau
FC Bacau
Vs
27%
27%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
CSM Reşiţa
CSM Reşiţa
Romania: Liga II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Bacau win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSM Reşiţa win✗ Miss
46.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC BacauFC Bacau

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L23L31W12L02L21W11D11DA·AER07/08H·CEA14/08A·CS 02/08A·CSM06/08H·POL12/08H·CEA14/08A·TUN17/08H·CON23/08A·CS 31/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.441.440.501.502.201.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.291.570.501.502.331.67
vs Weaker (2)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (CSM Reşiţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D03L11D20W21W31W01L70W12L02LH·FC 30/04A·ARG06/05H·CSI10/05A·CSA18/05H·CSM02/08A·DUM09/08A·FC 13/08H·MUS16/08A·CSA23/08H·CEA30/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.031.251.191.790.86
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (24)1.171.210.771.381.641.00
vs Weaker (5)3.200.404.500.502.330.33
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.1%
0-0 ✓
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
FC Bacau goals ↓
CSM Reşiţa goals →
01234
07.6%9.0%8.1%4.3%1.7%
16.2%13%9.4%5.0%2.0%
24.3%6.8%5.4%2.9%1.1%
31.7%2.6%2.1%1.1%0.4%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Bacau goals (down), columns = CSM Reşiţa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Corvinul Hunedoara
2.23
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
2.13
FC Voluntari
2.06
ASA Targu Mures
1.82
Metalul Buzău
1.79
Bihor Oradea
1.61
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.58
Slatina
1.54
FC Bacau
1.50
Concordia
1.46
Politehnica Iasi
1.46
CSM Reşiţa
1.43
Chindia Targoviste
1.33
CS Afumati
1.32
Gloria Bistriţa
1.21
Dumbrăviţa
1.14
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.13
CSM Satu Mare
1.00
Tunari
0.96
CS Dinamo București
0.87
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.71
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
0.39
FC Bacau is 0.07 points better than CSM Reşiţa in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
ASA Targu Mures
1.89
Bihor Oradea
1.81
Metalul Buzău
1.75
FC Voluntari
1.65
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.63
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.61
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.58
CSM Reşiţa
1.46
Slatina
1.43
Chindia Targoviste
1.40
Concordia
1.39
Gloria Bistriţa
1.39
CS Afumati
1.36
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.27
FC Bacau
1.25
CSM Satu Mare
1.25
Politehnica Iasi
1.14
Dumbrăviţa
1.11
Tunari
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.97
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.86
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
0.50
FC Bacau is 0.21 goals worse than CSM Reşiţa in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.68
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.77
FC Voluntari
0.77
Politehnica Iasi
1.00
Concordia
1.04
ASA Targu Mures
1.04
Metalul Buzău
1.14
Slatina
1.14
CS Afumati
1.25
FC Bacau
1.32
Gloria Bistriţa
1.32
Chindia Targoviste
1.37
CSM Reşiţa
1.39
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Dumbrăviţa
1.43
Bihor Oradea
1.45
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.48
CS Dinamo București
1.60
Tunari
1.64
CSM Satu Mare
1.93
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
2.21
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.57
FC Bacau is 0.07 goals better than CSM Reşiţa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC BacauFC Bacau

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L11D01L11D01L20W11D01LA·AER07/08H·CEA14/08A·CS 02/08A·CSM06/08H·POL12/08H·CEA14/08A·TUN17/08H·CON23/08A·CS 31/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.780.890.501.001.000.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.860.501.001.000.67
vs Weaker (2)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %11% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (CSM Reşiţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L01L10W11D31W01L40W10W01LH·FC 30/04A·ARG06/05H·CSI10/05A·CSA18/05H·CSM02/08A·DUM09/08A·FC 13/08H·MUS16/08A·CSA23/08H·CEA30/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.620.561.000.50
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (24)0.580.580.310.620.910.55
vs Weaker (5)1.800.402.500.501.330.33
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Reşiţa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Reşiţa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Reşiţa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC BacauFC Bacau

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D12L30W01L01L01L00D10WA·AER07/08H·CEA14/08A·CS 02/08A·CSM06/08H·POL12/08H·CEA14/08A·TUN17/08H·CON23/08A·CS 31/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.560.000.501.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.570.710.000.501.331.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %56% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (CSM Reşiţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W10W10W00D00D30W02L01LH·FC 30/04A·ARG06/05H·CSI10/05A·CSA18/05H·CSM02/08A·DUM09/08A·FC 13/08H·MUS16/08A·CSA23/08H·CEA30/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.620.620.790.36
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (24)0.580.620.460.770.730.45
vs Weaker (5)1.400.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Reşiţa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Reşiţa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Reşiţa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CH (24)
€7m
SOS (31)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
FC Bacau and CSM Reşiţa have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CH (12)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
FC Bacau and CSM Reşiţa have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CON (6)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
FC Bacau and CSM Reşiţa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
CA (4)
€0m
FC Bacau and CSM Reşiţa have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FB wins
0
Draws
0
CR wins

Head-to-head

FC Bacau vs CSM Reşiţa · H/A from FB
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FC BacauFC Bacau

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25ACS Dinamo București Vs FB1-1
23/08/25HFB Vs Concordia1-1
17/08/25ATunari Vs FB1-2
14/08/25HFB Vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ0-2
12/08/25HFB Vs Politehnica Iasi1-2
06/08/25ACSM FC Vaslui Vs FB1-3
02/08/25ACS Afumati Vs FB3-2
14/08/24HFB Vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ0-1
07/08/24AAerostar Bacau Vs FB1-3

CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HCR Vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ0-2
23/08/25ACSA Steaua Bucureşti Vs CR2-1
16/08/25HCR Vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite7-0
13/08/25AFC Politehnica Timisoara Vs CR1-0
09/08/25ADumbrăviţa Vs CR1-3
02/08/25HCR Vs CSM Satu Mare2-1
18/05/25ACSA Steaua Bucureşti Vs CR0-2
10/05/25HCR Vs Csikszereda1-1
06/05/25AArges Pitesti Vs CR3-0
30/04/25HCR Vs FC Voluntari1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Bacau
FC Bacau
Romania: Liga II
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.22
HomeLLLD0.25
AwayWLWWD2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%0%60%
AVG goals2.892.003.60
Over 1.5 %89%75%100%
Over 2.5 %56%25%80%
Over 3.5 %33%0%60%
Scored1.440.502.20
Conceded1.441.501.40
BTTS78%50%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
CSM Reşiţa
CSM Reşiţa
Romania: Liga II
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.72
HomeDDWWL1.64
AwayLWWLL1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%44%56%
AVG goals2.622.562.68
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.541.441.64
Conceded1.081.121.04
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet34%28%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara3169
68%
2.2
5021+29
2.3
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.60.7
-
2FC VoluntariFC Voluntari3164
61%
2.1
5124+27
2.4
68%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.60.8
-
3Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe3064
63%
2.1
4923+26
2.4
77%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.60.8
-
4ASA Targu MuresASA Targu Mures2851
54%
1.8
5329+24
2.9
79%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău2850
57%
1.8
4932+17
2.9
71%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.81.1
-
6Bihor OradeaBihor Oradea3150
48%
1.6
5645+11
3.3
87%
71%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.5
-
7CSA Steaua BucureştiCSA Steaua Bucureşti3149
48%
1.6
4946+3
3.1
81%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
8SlatinaSlatina2843
43%
1.5
4032+8
2.6
79%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.1
-
9FC BacauFC Bacau2842
43%
1.5
3537-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
10ConcordiaConcordia2841
43%
1.5
3929+10
2.4
68%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.41.0
-
11Politehnica IasiPolitehnica Iasi2841
43%
1.5
3228+4
2.1
61%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
12CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa2840
43%
1.4
4139+2
2.9
82%
46%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.51.4
-
13Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste3040
40%
1.3
4241+1
2.8
77%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.4
-
14CS AfumatiCS Afumati2837
39%
1.3
3835+3
2.6
71%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.2
-
15Gloria BistriţaGloria Bistriţa2834
32%
1.2
3937+2
2.7
82%
57%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.3
-
16Viitorul ŞelimbărViitorul Şelimbăr3034
30%
1.1
3842-4
2.7
73%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
17DumbrăviţaDumbrăviţa2832
32%
1.1
3140-9
2.5
64%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.4
-
18CSM Satu MareCSM Satu Mare2828
29%
1.0
3554-19
3.2
79%
57%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.9
-
19TunariTunari2827
21%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
86%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
20CS Dinamo BucureștiCS Dinamo București3026
20%
0.9
2948-19
2.6
83%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
21Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ2820
18%
0.7
2462-38
3.1
86%
61%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
22Muscelul Câmpulung EliteMuscelul Câmpulung Elite2811
7%
0.4
1472-58
3.1
71%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
Romania: Liga II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →

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