The model favours a home win, with FC Bacau expected to edge out Dumbrăvița 59% of the time, a draw 25% and an away win 17%. The average goal tally sits at 2.7, but the most probable total is two goals, a 25% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.8% probability. FC Bacau, playing at home against a similarly-rated opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Dumbrăvița, on the road, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.11 conceded versus similar teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.5% with a 7% edge), Under 6.5 (97.9% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9% with a 6% edge), Home +2 handicap (94.4%) and Under 5.5 (94.2% with a 4% edge).
FC Bacau| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.67 | 0.93 | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (22) | 1.45 | 1.09 | 1.67 | 0.75 | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 2.00 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
Dumbrăviţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 1.20 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 1.12 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.95 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Dumbrăviţa goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12% | 12% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 12% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
FC Bacau| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.63 | 0.93 | 0.33 | 0.60 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.77 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Dumbrăviţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.47 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.43 | 0.71 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
FC Bacau| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.57 | 0.73 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.68 | 0.55 | 0.67 | 0.58 | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+28pp vs league) | |||||
Dumbrăviţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 0.79 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.36 | 0.27 | 0.44 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 99.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 99.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 98.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 6.5 | 98.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.3% |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 98.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.1% |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 97.2% | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | - | - | - | +4.8% |
| Under 5.5 | 95.6% | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +4.1% |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 94.9% | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.03 | - | - | +4.9% |
| Home +2 handicap | 94.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 92.4% | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.03 | - | - | - | +2.8% |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 92.1% | 1.03 | 1.06 | 1.03 | 1.01 | - | - | +2.3% |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 90.6% | 1.06 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 1.04 | - | - | +3.6% |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 90.5% | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.04 | - | +1.8% |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.08 | 1.11 | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | +3.4% |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 88.0% | 1.07 | 1.09 | 1.08 | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | +1.4% |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 85.1% | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.15 | 1.13 | - | - | +4.0% |
| Home or Draw | 83.4% | 1.15 | 1.22 | 1.19 | 1.14 | 1.11 | 1.11 | +2.9% |
| Home +1 handicap | 83.4% | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.13 | - | - | - | +6.9% |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 81.9% | 1.16 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.13 | +1.8% |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 81.0% | 1.17 | 1.19 | 1.16 | 1.15 | - | - | +1.7% |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 80.7% | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.23 | - | - | +6.2% |
| Away under 1.5 goals | 80.1% | 1.22 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.20 | +4.6% |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 76.5% | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.24 | - | - | +2.6% |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 75.4% | 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.20 | +0.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 75.0% | 1.28 | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.26 | +3.2% |
| Home or Away | 74.1% | 1.24 | 1.27 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.21 | 1.21 | -0.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.28 | 1.32 | 1.31 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +1.3% |
| Over 0.5 HT goals | 70.0% | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.33 | +3.5% |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 22/11/25 | H | 1-0 |
FC Bacau| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 31/08/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 22/08/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 19/08/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 16/08/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-0 |
Dumbrăviţa| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 23/08/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 05/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |