PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

FC Besa Peja vs Kika Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 14:30
FC Besa Peja
FC Besa Peja
Vs
51%
31%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kika
Kika
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FC Besa Peja’s defensive record at home, conceding only 0.82 goals per match, sets the tone for a tight, low-scoring affair. The model projects a 51% chance of a home win, 31% for a draw, and 18% for a Kika victory, making the home win the clear favourite. With an expected total of 2.0 goals, the most likely scoreline is 1-0, carrying a 16.8% probability. FC Besa Peja averages 1.36 goals scored and 0.82 conceded against similar opposition, while Kika, on the road, averages only 0.42 scored and 1.33 conceded. The suggested picks reinforce the defensive narrative: Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5%), Under 5.5 (98.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (96.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.5%), Home +2 handicap (94.9%), and Under 4.5 (94.8%). Each selection is listed with its exact probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Besa Peja win
51.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kika win
17.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W23L11D01L31W32W10W12L01LA·KIK05/04H·SUH12/04A·DIN19/04H·RIL26/04A·LIR03/05H·TEF09/05A·VJO16/05H·VJO16/08A·IST22/08H·VĂ‹L30/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.331.201.000.931.67
vs Stronger (7)0.712.000.751.500.672.67
vs Similar (22)1.181.091.360.821.001.36
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KikaKika

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L01L02L01L01L01L00D00D11DA·TRE12/04A·SUH19/04H·DIN25/04A·RIL03/05H·LIR09/05A·TEF16/05H·VJO23/05H·RAM16/08A·MIT23/08H·DIN30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.170.870.930.331.40
vs Stronger (7)0.291.570.501.500.001.67
vs Similar (22)0.731.091.100.800.421.33
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
60.4%
Under 1.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
32.1%
Under 2.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
14.1%
Under 3.5
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
37.0%
No
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.8%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.0%
FC Besa Peja goals ↓
Kika goals →
01234
015%7.9%3.1%0.7%0.1%
117%13%4.0%0.9%0.2%
212%8.0%2.7%0.6%0.1%
35.3%3.5%1.2%0.3%0.0%
41.7%1.2%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Besa Peja goals (down), columns = Kika goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
VĂ«llaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
FC Besa Peja is 0.09 points better than Kika in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
VĂ«llaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
FC Besa Peja is 0.45 goals better than Kika in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 0.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
VĂ«llaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
FC Besa Peja is 0.31 goals worse than Kika in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Besa Peja or Draw
82.3%
Avg Implied -
51%
31%
18%
covers FC Besa Peja + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja or Kika
68.9%
Avg Implied -
51%
31%
18%
covers FC Besa Peja + Kika
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kika
48.8%
Avg Implied -
51%
31%
18%
covers Draw + Kika
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5
Over
73.3%
Under
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5
Over
38.1%
Under
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 0.5
Over
48.8%
Under
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 1.5
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 2.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 3.5
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Besa Peja, so a minus line means FC Besa Peja give that many goals of a start and Kika receive them. At -1, FC Besa Peja must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Besa Peja win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Besa Peja)
FC Besa Peja -2
9.3%
Draw -2
15.9%
Kika +2
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Besa Peja)
FC Besa Peja -1
25.1%
Draw -1
26.1%
Kika +1
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Besa Peja)
FC Besa Peja +1
82.3%
Draw +1
12.6%
Kika -1
5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Besa Peja)
FC Besa Peja +2
94.9%
Draw +2
4.1%
Kika -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W02L00D00D22D00D01L00DA·TRE29/03A·KIK05/04H·SUH12/04A·DIN19/04A·LIR03/05H·TEF09/05A·VJO16/05H·VJO16/08A·IST22/08H·VĂ‹L30/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.600.360.290.190.88
vs Stronger (7)0.140.860.250.500.001.33
vs Similar (22)0.320.500.400.200.250.75
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KikaKika

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L00D01L01L00D00D00D01LA·TRE12/04A·SUH19/04H·DIN25/04A·RIL03/05H·LIR09/05A·TEF16/05H·VJO23/05H·RAM16/08A·MIT23/08H·DIN30/08
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.570.200.530.270.60
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.251.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.260.570.200.400.310.69
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W00D21W01L31W10W10W11D01LA·TRE29/03A·KIK05/04H·SUH12/04A·DIN19/04A·LIR03/05H·TEF09/05A·VJO16/05H·VJO16/08A·IST22/08H·VĂ‹L30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.710.570.691.06
vs Stronger (7)0.571.140.501.000.671.33
vs Similar (22)0.730.730.800.400.671.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KikaKika

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L00D02L00D00D01L00D00D10WA·TRE12/04A·SUH19/04H·DIN25/04A·RIL03/05H·LIR09/05A·TEF16/05H·VJO23/05H·RAM16/08A·MIT23/08H·DIN30/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.470.600.270.67
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.250.500.001.50
vs Similar (23)0.430.610.600.700.310.54
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals99.5%-------
Under 5.598.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals96.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.5%-------
Home +2 handicap94.9%-------
Under 4.594.8%-------
Under 3.585.9%-------
Away under 1.5 goals85.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals85.2%-------
Home or Draw82.3%-------
Home +1 handicap82.3%-------
Away +2 handicap74.9%-------
Home over 0.5 goals73.3%-------

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
FBP wins
1
Draws
0
KIK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Besa Peja vs Kika · H/A from FBP
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/26AKika Vs FBP0-1
04/10/25HFBP Vs Kika0-0

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HFBP Vs VĂ«llaznimi0-1
22/08/26AIstogu Vs FBP2-1
16/08/26HFBP Vs Vjosa1-0
16/05/26AVjosa Vs FBP2-3
09/05/26HFBP Vs Tefik Canga3-1
03/05/26ALiria Prizren Vs FBP1-0
26/04/26HFBP Vs Rilindja 19741-1
19/04/26ADinamo Ferizaj Vs FBP3-2
12/04/26HFBP Vs Suhareka1-0
05/04/26AKika Vs FBP0-1

KikaKika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HKIK Vs Dinamo Ferizaj1-1
23/08/26AMitrovica Vs KIK0-0
16/08/26HKIK Vs Ramiz Sadiku0-0
23/05/26HKIK Vs Vjosa0-1
16/05/26ATefik Canga Vs KIK1-0
09/05/26HKIK Vs Liria Prizren0-1
03/05/26ARilindja 1974 Vs KIK2-0
25/04/26HKIK Vs Dinamo Ferizaj0-1
19/04/26ASuhareka Vs KIK3-1
12/04/26ATrepça'89 Vs KIK1-0

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

FC Besa Peja
FC Besa Peja
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.06
HomeWDWWL1.56
AwayWLLWL0.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%39%17%
AVG goals2.672.502.83
Over 1.5 %67%61%72%
Over 2.5 %50%39%61%
Over 3.5 %22%28%17%
Scored1.141.390.89
Conceded1.531.111.94
BTTS53%56%50%
Clean Sheet25%39%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Kika
Kika
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDD0.97
HomeLLLDD1.32
AwayLLLLD0.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%37%11%
AVG goals1.891.951.83
Over 1.5 %57%47%67%
Over 2.5 %27%26%28%
Over 3.5 %14%21%6%
Scored0.700.950.44
Conceded1.191.001.39
BTTS27%32%22%
Clean Sheet32%37%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VĂ«llaznimiVĂ«llaznimi39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
2Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj37
67%
2.3
81+7
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.3
-
3TrepçaTrepça'8937
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
4Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5SuharekaSuhareka36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
62 Korriku2 Korriku36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
7Rilindja 1974Rilindja 197434
33%
1.3
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VjosaVjosa33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
9Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku33
0%
1.0
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10KikaKika33
0%
1.0
11+0
0.7
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.3
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja33
33%
1.0
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.0
-
12Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
13Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re33
33%
1.0
26-4
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
14IstoguIstogu33
33%
1.0
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
15KF LepenciKF Lepenci32
0%
0.7
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
16MitrovicaMitrovica32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.0
-
17FerizajFerizaj31
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
18Tefik CangaTefik Canga31
0%
0.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

← all matches