Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, with FC Besa Peja averaging 0.92 goals conceded at home and Ramiz Sadiku conceding only 0.6 away. The model favours a home win, giving FC Besa Peja a 38 % chance, a draw 34 %, and a 28 % chance for Ramiz Sadiku. The expected total is 2.0 goals, and the single most likely score is 0-0 at 15.5 %. FC Besa Peja’s home form shows 1.33 goals scored and 0.92 conceded against similar opposition, while Ramiz Sadiku’s away form is 0.9 scored and 0.6 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.9 %), Under 6.5 (99.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8 %), Under 5.5 (98.5 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.6 %), Under 4.5 (95.2 %), Away under 2.5 goals (94.1 %), and Home under 2.5 goals (90.6 %).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Besa Peja win
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
33.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku win
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Besa Peja
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.33
1.20
1.00
0.93
1.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
2.00
0.75
1.50
0.67
2.67
vs Similar (22)
1.18
1.09
1.36
0.82
1.00
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ramiz Sadiku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.93
1.36
1.14
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
3.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.74
0.89
0.78
1.00
0.70
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
1.12
2.00
1.75
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
60.3%
Under 1.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
31.9%
Under 2.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
14.0%
Under 3.5
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
40.8%
No
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.1%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
FC Besa Peja goals ↓
Ramiz Sadiku goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
12%
6.0%
1.9%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.3%
2.0%
0.5%
2
7.6%
7.1%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.6%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Besa Peja goals (down), columns = Ramiz Sadiku goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
FC Besa Peja is 0.41 points worse than Ramiz Sadiku in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
FC Besa Peja is 0.03 goals better than Ramiz Sadiku in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
FC Besa Peja is 0.72 goals worse than Ramiz Sadiku in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 0.85).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Besa Peja or Draw
69.8%
Avg Implied -
36%
34%
30%
covers FC Besa Peja + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja or Ramiz Sadiku
66.4%
Avg Implied -
36%
34%
30%
covers FC Besa Peja + Ramiz Sadiku
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ramiz Sadiku
63.8%
Avg Implied -
36%
34%
30%
covers Draw + Ramiz Sadiku
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5
Over
65.0%
Under
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5
Over
28.2%
Under
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5
Over
60.7%
Under
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5
Over
24.0%
Under
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Besa Peja, so a minus line means FC Besa Peja give that many goals of a start and Ramiz Sadiku receive them. At -1, FC Besa Peja must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Besa Peja win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Besa Peja)
FC Besa Peja -2
4.4%
Draw -2
10.4%
Ramiz Sadiku +2
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Besa Peja)
FC Besa Peja -1
14.8%
Draw -1
21.4%
Ramiz Sadiku +1
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Besa Peja)
FC Besa Peja +1
69.8%
Draw +1
18.9%
Ramiz Sadiku -1
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Besa Peja)
FC Besa Peja +2
88.8%
Draw +2
8.2%
Ramiz Sadiku -2
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Besa Peja
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.60
0.36
0.29
0.19
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.86
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.32
0.50
0.40
0.20
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ramiz Sadiku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.27
0.50
0.29
0.25
0.25
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.32
0.21
0.38
0.12
0.27
0.27
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.14
0.50
0.25
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
64.4%
Under 0.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
27.7%
Under 1.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.0%
Under 2.5
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.4%
Under
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.4%
Under
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Besa Peja
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.71
0.57
0.69
1.06
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.14
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.73
0.80
0.40
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ramiz Sadiku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.79
0.86
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.47
0.50
0.62
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
1.14
1.50
1.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.7%
Under 0.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.7%
Under 1.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.5%
Under 2.5
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.3%
Under
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.2%
Under
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.4%
Under
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vëllaznimi
Dinamo Ferizaj
Trepça'89
Liria Prizren
Suhareka
2 Korriku
Rilindja 1974
Vjosa
Kika
Trepça Mitrovicë
Prishtina e Re
Istogu
KF Lepenci
Mitrovica
Ferizaj
Tefik Canga