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FC Besa Peja vs Vjosa Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 1-0
FC Besa Peja
FC Besa Peja
Vs
55%
25%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vjosa
Vjosa
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FC Besa Peja is expected to emerge victorious against Vjosa, with a predicted score of 1-1 being the most likely outcome, carrying a 12.1% probability. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. This match is likely to be a closely contested one, with the home side's recent form being a two-game winning streak, including a 3-2 win over Vjosa. In contrast, Vjosa has been struggling, with a recent five-game sequence of WWLDL.

FC Besa Peja has a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.44 goals and conceding 0.89 goals per game against similar opponents. Vjosa, on the other hand, has a poor away record, scoring 0.88 goals and conceding 1.62 goals per game against similar opponents. The model predicts a home win with 55% probability, a draw with 25% probability, and an away win with 20% probability. The model's selection is the home win, and it also suggests Over 1.5 with 78% probability.

Results analysis

The win extends FC Besa Peja's 3-game winning run, with their last 5 results reading WWWLD. The final score was 1-0, confirming a home win as the actual result. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, given a pre-match probability of 55%. The most likely scores included a 1-1 draw, a 2-1 home win, and a 1-0 home win, with the latter being the actual outcome. The model's selection of a home win was correct, but several other selections did not pay off. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals missed, with a probability of 78%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Besa Peja win✓ Hit
54.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vjosa win✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W02L10W10W23L11D01L31W32WA·RAM14/03H·VËL22/03A·TRE29/03A·KIK05/04H·SUH12/04A·DIN19/04H·RIL26/04A·LIR03/05H·TEF09/05A·VJO16/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.531.291.070.881.94
vs Stronger (6)0.832.171.001.670.672.67
vs Similar (23)1.131.351.360.910.921.75
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VjosaVjosa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D13L22D14L11D30W02L13L23L10WH·VUS22/03A·FER29/03H·2 K05/04A·IST11/04H·PRI19/04A·TRE26/04H·RAM03/05A·VËL09/05H·FC 16/05A·KIK23/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.701.531.470.871.93
vs Stronger (5)1.403.202.502.000.674.00
vs Similar (23)1.131.351.421.420.821.27
vs Weaker (2)1.502.001.001.002.003.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0 ✓
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
FC Besa Peja goals ↓
Vjosa goals →
01234
07.2%5.0%3.1%1.0%0.3%
19.8%12%5.5%1.9%0.5%
29.8%9.8%5.0%1.7%0.4%
35.8%5.9%3.0%1.0%0.3%
42.6%2.6%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Besa Peja goals (down), columns = Vjosa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
FC Besa Peja is 0.03 points better than Vjosa in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
FC Besa Peja is 0.03 goals better than Vjosa in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
FC Besa Peja is 0.22 goals better than Vjosa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.79).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Besa Peja or Draw✓ Hit
80.0%
Avg Implied -
55%
25%
20%
covers FC Besa Peja + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja or Vjosa✓ Hit
74.7%
Avg Implied -
55%
25%
20%
covers FC Besa Peja + Vjosa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vjosa✗ Miss
45.3%
Avg Implied -
55%
25%
20%
covers Draw + Vjosa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D00D10W02L00D00D22DA·PRI01/03A·RAM14/03H·VËL22/03A·TRE29/03A·KIK05/04H·SUH12/04A·DIN19/04A·LIR03/05H·TEF09/05A·VJO16/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.620.710.360.200.87
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.330.670.001.33
vs Similar (21)0.520.520.800.300.270.73
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %59% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VjosaVjosa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D00D01L20W01L00D22D00DA·KEK14/03H·VUS22/03H·2 K05/04A·IST11/04H·PRI19/04A·TRE26/04H·RAM03/05A·VËL09/05H·FC 16/05A·KIK23/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.590.690.750.460.38
vs Stronger (5)0.201.200.001.500.331.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.450.850.690.440.11
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %59% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D10W02L10W00D21W01L31W10WA·PRI01/03A·RAM14/03H·VËL22/03A·TRE29/03A·KIK05/04H·SUH12/04A·DIN19/04A·LIR03/05H·TEF09/05A·VJO16/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.900.710.710.671.07
vs Stronger (6)0.671.170.671.000.671.33
vs Similar (21)0.710.810.800.600.641.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %38% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VjosaVjosa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D11D14L10W10W01L13L01L10WA·KEK14/03H·VUS22/03H·2 K05/04A·IST11/04H·PRI19/04A·TRE26/04H·RAM03/05A·VËL09/05H·FC 16/05A·KIK23/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.661.070.810.690.461.54
vs Stronger (5)1.202.002.500.500.333.00
vs Similar (22)0.500.820.540.690.441.00
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %45% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home or Draw80.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.0%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away74.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
FBP wins
1
Draws
0
VJO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Besa Peja vs Vjosa · H/A from FBP
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26AVjosa Vs FBP2-3
08/11/25HFBP Vs Vjosa0-0

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26AVjosa Vs FBP2-3
09/05/26HFBP Vs Tefik Canga3-1
03/05/26ALiria Prizren Vs FBP1-0
26/04/26HFBP Vs Rilindja 19741-1
19/04/26ADinamo Ferizaj Vs FBP3-2
12/04/26HFBP Vs Suhareka1-0
05/04/26AKika Vs FBP0-1
29/03/26ATrepça'89 Vs FBP2-0
22/03/26HFBP Vs Vëllaznimi1-0
14/03/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs FBP1-1

VjosaVjosa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26AKika Vs VJO0-1
16/05/26HVJO Vs FC Besa Peja2-3
09/05/26AVëllaznimi Vs VJO3-1
03/05/26HVJO Vs Ramiz Sadiku0-2
26/04/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs VJO0-3
19/04/26HVJO Vs Prizreni1-1
11/04/26AIstogu Vs VJO4-1
05/04/26HVJO Vs 2 Korriku2-2
29/03/26AFeronikeli Vs VJO3-1
22/03/26HVJO Vs Vushtrria1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Besa Peja
FC Besa Peja
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.06
HomeDWWDW1.56
AwayLWLLW0.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%38%18%
AVG goals2.762.692.82
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %52%44%59%
Over 3.5 %24%31%18%
Scored1.181.500.88
Conceded1.581.191.94
BTTS55%62%47%
Clean Sheet24%38%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Vjosa
Vjosa
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.03
HomeDDDLL1.24
AwayLLWLW0.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%24%
AVG goals2.942.823.06
Over 1.5 %76%88%65%
Over 2.5 %59%53%65%
Over 3.5 %38%29%47%
Scored1.151.410.88
Conceded1.791.412.18
BTTS56%65%47%
Clean Sheet26%18%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VëllaznimiVëllaznimi39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
2Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj37
67%
2.3
81+7
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.3
-
3TrepçaTrepça'8937
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
4Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5SuharekaSuhareka36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
62 Korriku2 Korriku36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
7Rilindja 1974Rilindja 197434
33%
1.3
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VjosaVjosa33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
9Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku33
0%
1.0
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10KikaKika33
0%
1.0
11+0
0.7
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.3
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja33
33%
1.0
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.0
-
12Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
13Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re33
33%
1.0
26-4
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
14IstoguIstogu33
33%
1.0
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
15KF LepenciKF Lepenci32
0%
0.7
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
16MitrovicaMitrovica32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.0
-
17FerizajFerizaj31
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
18Tefik CangaTefik Canga31
0%
0.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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