Defensive solidity will shape the opening of the match, with FC Botosani’s home form showing a modest 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe averages 0.92 goals scored and 0.92 conceded on the road. The model projects a tight, low-scoring affair, with an expected total of 2.0 goals and the most likely scoreline 0-0 at 14.9%. The favourite result is a home win, with a 41% chance, a draw 33%, and an away win 26%. Recent form offers a narrative: FC Botosani are on a two-game winning run, having beaten Csikszereda 1-0, while Sepsi remain unbeaten in five matches, also winning 1-0 against Arges Pitesti. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 at 99.9%, Under 6.5 at 99.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.9% with a 7% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Under 5.5 at 98.4% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8% with a 5% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.6% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3% with a 6% edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Botosani win
41.2%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.23
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.32
Pinnacle
2.27
Dafabet
2.26
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Draw
33.1%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.19
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Dafabet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Marathonbet
3.22
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win
25.8%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.08
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.20
1xBet
3.16
Dafabet
3.15
Unibet
3.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Botosani
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.57
1.21
1.07
1.19
2.00
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
2.00
1.33
1.33
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (23)
1.13
1.43
1.18
1.00
1.08
1.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.83
1.73
0.80
1.07
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.43
0.78
2.00
0.67
0.82
0.91
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
60.6%
@ 1.32-10.2%
Under 1.5
39.4%
@ 3.19+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Under
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.30
Betano
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
32.2%
@ 2.03-14.1%
Under 2.5
67.8%
@ 1.75+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.07
Betfair
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Under
SBO
1.81
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.78
10Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
14.2%
@ 3.54-12.1%
Under 3.5
85.8%
@ 1.26+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.70
Pinnacle
3.69
Unibet
3.60
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.55
Under
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
40.4%
@ 1.77-12.1%
No
59.6%
@ 1.96+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.82
Betfair
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
No
Betfair
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
14.9%@ 8.54+9.7%
1-1
14.6%@ 5.82+6.9%
1-0
14.2%@ 7.15+8.0%
0-1
10.2%@ 8.57+5.1%
2-0
8.9%@ 10.16+4.6%
2-1
7.6%@ 8.54+2.4%
1-2
5.6%@ 10.21+1.3%
0-2
4.9%@ 14.31+1.8%
FC Botosani goals ↓
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
10%
4.9%
1.4%
0.3%
1
14%
15%
5.6%
1.6%
0.3%
2
8.9%
7.6%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
3
3.4%
2.9%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Botosani goals (down), columns = Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
FC Botosani is 0.43 points worse than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
FC Botosani is 0.43 goals better than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
FC Botosani is 0.71 goals worse than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 0.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
FC Botosani is 3.1 percentage points better than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe in terms of average possession (53% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Botosani
For 5.6 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 6.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 14.7 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
For 4.0 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Botosani
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.3
10.3
4.4
4.3
4.4
26.5
27.5
25.6
vs Stronger (12)
10.2
8.7
11.7
6.0
6.7
5.3
27.1
28.3
25.8
vs Similar (38)
9.8
9.6
9.9
3.9
3.6
4.2
26.3
27.1
25.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
43%
52%
68%
67%
69%
77%
81%
74%
% under line
52%
57%
48%
32%
33%
31%
23%
19%
26%
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.5
8.9
1.2
1.3
1.1
25.0
25.2
24.9
vs Stronger (2)
13.0
13.0
-
2.5
2.5
-
25.0
25.0
-
vs Similar (37)
9.8
11.2
8.9
1.5
1.4
1.6
25.0
25.2
24.9
vs Weaker (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
46%
67%
29%
20%
22%
19%
77%
67%
86%
% under line
54%
33%
71%
80%
78%
81%
23%
33%
14%
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.2
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Rapid
9.9
Farul Constanta
9.9
FC Botosani
9.8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.4
FC Voluntari
8.8
Csikszereda
8.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Universitatea Craiova
5.1
FC Botosani
5.0
Arges Pitesti
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Uta Arad
4.7
Rapid
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Csikszereda
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.4
Oţelul
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.2
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Botosani
26.6
Oţelul
26.6
Arges Pitesti
25.3
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.3
Csikszereda
25.0
FCSB
24.9
Uta Arad
24.3
Corvinul Hunedoara
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.9
FC Voluntari
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.6
Rapid
23.5
Farul Constanta
23.2
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.7
Universitatea Cluj
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.7%
@ 1.76-5.1%
Under 9.5
52.3%
@ 1.96+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.06
10Bet
1.93
Superbet
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.2%
Under 3.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.9%
Under 21.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Botosani or Draw
74.2%
Avg Implied 70.0% · @ 1.33
Edge
+4.2%
41%
33%
26%
covers FC Botosani + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
FC Botosani or Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
66.9%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.30
Edge
-4.5%
41%
33%
26%
covers FC Botosani + Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Draw or Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
58.8%
Avg Implied 58.5% · @ 1.59
Edge
+0.3%
41%
33%
26%
covers Draw + Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Botosani over/under 0.5
Over
68.2%
@ 1.25-5.7%
Under
31.8%
@ 3.56+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.71
Superbet
3.70
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
FC Botosani over/under 1.5
Over
31.8%
@ 2.27-9.3%
Under
68.2%
@ 1.58+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Superbet
2.32
BetVictor
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Superbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
FC Botosani over/under 2.5
Over
10.9%
@ 5.07-7.4%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.14+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.30
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
FC Botosani over/under 3.5
Over
2.9%
@ 12.67-4.6%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5
Over
57.3%
@ 1.38-10.0%
Under
42.7%
@ 2.84+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Betano
1.39
Under
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.93
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.85
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5
Over
21.0%
@ 2.86-11.5%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.37+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.00
Superbet
2.92
1xBet
2.89
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Under
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5
Over
5.5%
@ 7.13-7.5%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.07+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.50
1xBet
7.10
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 3.5
Over
1.1%
@ 17.83-4.3%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Superbet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Botosani, so a minus line means FC Botosani give that many goals of a start and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe receive them. At -1, FC Botosani must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Botosani win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Botosani)
FC Botosani -2
5.8%
@ 9.70-3.4%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 6.42-1.8%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe +2
82.0%
@ 1.17+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
9.80
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Unibet
5.80
Away
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (FC Botosani)
FC Botosani -1
18.0%
@ 4.31-2.7%
Draw -1
23.2%
@ 3.81-0.3%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe +1
58.8%
@ 1.59+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Superbet
1.63
Unibet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Handicap +1 (FC Botosani)
FC Botosani +1
74.2%
@ 1.33+7.0%
Draw +1
16.9%
@ 4.64-2.5%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe -1
8.9%
@ 6.64-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Away
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.50
Handicap +2 (FC Botosani)
FC Botosani +2
91.1%
@ 1.08+6.6%
Draw +2
6.7%
@ 9.17-3.2%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe -2
2.2%
@ 16.33-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Draw
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
8.50
Away
Betfair
18.00
Bet365
17.00
Unibet
14.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Botosani
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.43
0.79
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.00
0.33
1.33
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.65
0.45
0.64
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.27
0.60
0.13
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.30
0.75
0.08
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.8%
@ 1.40-0.3%
Under 0.5
34.2%
@ 2.74+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.43
BetVictor
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.88
Pinnacle
2.82
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.0%
@ 2.88-4.3%
Under 1.5
72.0%
@ 1.37+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.07
Betano
3.05
1xBet
2.95
Superbet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.90
Under
William Hil
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
8.7%
@ 7.41-3.8%
Under 2.5
91.3%
@ 1.06+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Botosani over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.4%
@ 2.01-2.9%
Under
56.6%
@ 1.73+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
1.97
Under
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Unibet
1.73
Betano
1.72
FC Botosani over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.0%
@ 5.97-5.5%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.10+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Betano
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
FC Botosani over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
@ 16.92-3.9%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.8%
@ 2.30-0.5%
Under
60.2%
@ 1.55+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.31
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Under
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.4%
@ 7.64-4.7%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.06+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 29.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Botosani
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.79
0.29
0.56
1.31
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.78
0.73
0.36
0.42
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.13
0.67
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.48
1.25
0.58
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.1%
@ 1.25+0.1%
Under 0.5
25.9%
@ 3.58-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.70
10Bet
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.6%
@ 2.19-5.0%
Under 1.5
62.4%
@ 1.62+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.21
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.18
Under
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.64
William Hil
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 4.81-5.8%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.16+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Botosani over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.0%
@ 1.72-4.8%
Under
51.0%
@ 2.00+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.97
FC Botosani over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.9%
@ 4.51-4.7%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.17+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Superbet
4.50
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
FC Botosani over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 11.83-5.1%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.8%
@ 1.93-5.1%
Under
57.2%
@ 1.78+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Betano
1.91
Under
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.3%
@ 5.71-3.0%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.11+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.95
Marathonbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
@ 17.08-3.1%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.9%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+4.3%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.4%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+5.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
+4.6%
Under 4.5
94.8%
1.08
Pinnacle
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
+8.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
94.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+7.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.06
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.05
+3.8%
Home +2 handicap
91.1%
1.08
Bet365
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Unibet
1.07
-
-
+6.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.10
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+5.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
89.1%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
+7.4%
Over 19.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.7%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
+3.0%
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.4%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
+5.8%
Under 3.5
85.8%
1.26
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
+12.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.1%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
+4.7%
Away +2 handicap
82.0%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+5.3%
Away under 1.5 goals
79.0%
1.37
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
+11.5%
Over 21.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.3%
1.35
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.27
+7.2%
Home or Draw
74.2%
1.33
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
+4.2%
Home +1 handicap
74.2%
1.33
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
+7.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.1%
1.25
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+0.1%
Over 3.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
72.0%
1.37
William Hil
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
+4.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Botosani
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrei Dumiter57%
Zoran Mitrov17%
Sebastian Mailat14%
Mykola Kovtalyuk0%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
George Miron0%
Enriko Papa0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Ioannis Anestis0%
Lucas de Vega0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Charles Petro0%
Ştefan Bodişteanu0%
Narcis Ilaș0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Diarra43%
Charles Petro40%
Lucas de Vega33%
Brian Bayeye33%
Enriko Papa29%
Ştefan Bodişteanu29%
Narcis Ilaș29%
Hervin Ongenda20%
Andrei Dumiter14%
George Miron14%
Ioannis Anestis14%
Mykola Kovtalyuk0%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
Sebastian Mailat0%
Zoran Mitrov0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enriko Papa29%
Hervin Ongenda20%
Zoran Mitrov17%
Sebastian Mailat14%
Mykola Kovtalyuk0%
Andrei Dumiter0%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
George Miron0%
Ioannis Anestis0%
Lucas de Vega0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Charles Petro0%
Ştefan Bodişteanu0%
Narcis Ilaș0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastian Mailat43%
Andrei Dumiter29%
Mykola Kovtalyuk25%
Charles Petro20%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
George Miron0%
Enriko Papa0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Ioannis Anestis0%
Lucas de Vega0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Ştefan Bodişteanu0%
Zoran Mitrov0%
Narcis Ilaș0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cosmin Matei33%
B. Oteliță25%
Doru Andrei20%
Hunor Batzula17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
Funsho Bamgboye0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Nacho Heras0%
Fábio Vianna0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cosmin Matei33%
S. Karamoko33%
Funsho Bamgboye25%
Nacho Heras17%
Fábio Vianna17%
R. Silaghi17%
Hunor Batzula17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
Victor Daguin0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
C. Davordzie33%
Funsho Bamgboye25%
Gustavo Cascardo17%
Nacho Heras17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
D. Oberlin0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
Cosmin Matei0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Fábio Vianna0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Hunor Batzula0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cosmin Matei33%
Hunor Batzula33%
B. Vătăjelu0%
Funsho Bamgboye0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Nacho Heras0%
Fábio Vianna0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
FC Botosani's squad is €3m more valuable than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's (€9m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
FC Botosani's attack is €2m more valuable than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
FC Botosani and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
FC Botosani and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →