This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.88
1.38
1.75
1.75
2.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.88
1.38
1.75
1.75
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.8%
Under 2.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.4%
Under 3.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.8%
No
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.6%
0-1 ✓
5.4%
FC BW Linz goals ↓
SKN ST. Polten goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
5.4%
4.6%
2.2%
0.8%
1
6.5%
12%
7.7%
3.7%
1.3%
2
6.3%
9.0%
6.4%
3.1%
1.1%
3
3.5%
5.0%
3.6%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.5%
2.1%
1.5%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC BW Linz goals (down), columns = SKN ST. Polten goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.03
Grazer AK
2.00
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Horn
1.60
SKU Amstetten
1.50
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
First Vienna
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.37
FC Liefering
1.23
Admira Wacker
1.20
Dornbirn
1.17
Sturm Graz II
1.13
SV Kapfenberg
1.13
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.07
Rapid Wien II
1.00
Austria Vienna (Am)
0.97
FC BW Linz is 0.17 points better than SKN ST. Polten in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC BW Linz
2.10
Grazer AK
1.73
FC Liefering
1.73
SKN ST. Polten
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Sturm Graz II
1.43
Dornbirn
1.43
Floridsdorfer AC
1.37
SV Kapfenberg
1.33
Admira Wacker
1.30
SV Horn
1.27
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.13
First Vienna
1.13
Rapid Wien II
1.10
FC BW Linz is 0.40 goals better than SKN ST. Polten in terms of goals scored per game (2.10 vs 1.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SKN ST. Polten
0.90
FC BW Linz
0.90
Grazer AK
0.97
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
First Vienna
1.10
SV Horn
1.10
Admira Wacker
1.40
Dornbirn
1.47
SV Lafnitz
1.53
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.80
FC Liefering
1.80
Rapid Wien II
1.83
Sturm Graz II
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.87
Austria Vienna (Am)
2.03
FC BW Linz and SKN ST. Polten are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.90).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Liefering
54%
SKN ST. Polten
53%
FC BW Linz
53%
Floridsdorfer AC
52%
Grazer AK
52%
First Vienna
51%
SV Horn
51%
SV Lafnitz
51%
Austria Vienna (Am)
50%
SKU Amstetten
49%
Rapid Wien II
49%
Admira Wacker
49%
SK Vorwarts Steyr
47%
Dornbirn
47%
SV Kapfenberg
41%
FC BW Linz is 0.1 percentage points worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of average possession (53% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC BW Linz
For 4.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 15.3 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SKN ST. Polten
For 9.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 13.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC BW Linz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
9.3
10.0
8.0
1.4
2.0
0.8
29.7
31.0
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
9.3
10.0
8.0
1.6
2.0
1.0
29.7
31.0
27.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
100%
0%
25%
50%
0%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
33%
0%
100%
75%
50%
100%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
13.3
18.0
11.0
1.4
1.0
1.8
24.3
24.0
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
13.3
18.0
11.0
1.4
1.0
1.8
24.3
24.0
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
25%
25%
25%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
75%
75%
75%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Dornbirn
14.8
SKN ST. Polten
13.3
Grazer AK
10.8
SV Kapfenberg
10.0
SK Vorwarts Steyr
10.0
Austria Vienna (Am)
9.5
SKU Amstetten
9.4
FC BW Linz
9.3
SV Horn
9.2
Admira Wacker
9.2
FC Liefering
9.2
Rapid Wien II
9.0
SV Lafnitz
8.7
Floridsdorfer AC
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Horn
6.5
SV Lafnitz
5.3
Dornbirn
5.0
SV Kapfenberg
4.8
Floridsdorfer AC
4.3
SK Vorwarts Steyr
4.2
Admira Wacker
4.2
Rapid Wien II
4.0
FC Liefering
3.8
Grazer AK
3.8
Austria Vienna (Am)
3.8
SKN ST. Polten
3.7
FC BW Linz
3.7
SKU Amstetten
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Horn
32.5
Floridsdorfer AC
31.0
FC BW Linz
29.7
Grazer AK
28.0
SV Lafnitz
27.0
SV Kapfenberg
26.5
SKN ST. Polten
24.3
FC Liefering
24.3
Dornbirn
23.8
Austria Vienna (Am)
22.0
SK Vorwarts Steyr
21.5
Rapid Wien II
20.3
SKU Amstetten
19.8
Admira Wacker
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
66.7%
Under 9.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.2%
Under 3.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.8%
Under 21.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC BW Linz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.00
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.29
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
88% (+61pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.38
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.38
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC BW Linz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC BW Linz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.88
1.25
1.00
0.00
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.86
1.25
1.00
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
38% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
1.00
0.75
1.50
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.00
0.75
1.50
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC BW Linz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC BW Linz · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ronivaldo27%
Shon Weissman26%
Simon Seidl21%
Nico Maier14%
David Bumberger6%
Dominik Reiter6%
Thomas Goiginger6%
Martin Moormann5%
Christopher Cvetko4%
Mamadou Fofana4%
Alexander Briedl4%
Manuel Maranda0%
Simon Pirkl0%
Paul Mensah0%
Alem Pašić0%
Anderson0%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Luiz0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Muharem Husković0%
Isak Dahlqvist0%
David Riegler0%
Jakob Knollmuller0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Viktor Baier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alem Pašić46%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss36%
Martin Moormann26%
Dominik Reiter25%
Manuel Maranda23%
Thomas Goiginger22%
Cheick Oumar Condé20%
Muharem Husković18%
Anderson17%
David Bumberger12%
Christopher Cvetko12%
João Luiz12%
Shon Weissman11%
David Riegler11%
Alexander Briedl11%
Simon Seidl10%
Ronivaldo10%
Nico Maier10%
Isak Dahlqvist9%
Paul Mensah7%
Nico Mantl7%
Elias Bakatukanda7%
Simon Pirkl0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Jakob Knollmuller0%
Viktor Baier0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anderson33%
David Bumberger19%
Simon Pirkl17%
Simon Seidl14%
Thomas Goiginger11%
Isak Dahlqvist9%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss7%
Paul Mensah7%
Dominik Reiter6%
Nico Maier5%
Mamadou Fofana4%
Shon Weissman4%
Alexander Briedl4%
Ronivaldo3%
Manuel Maranda0%
Christopher Cvetko0%
Alem Pašić0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Luiz0%
Martin Moormann0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Muharem Husković0%
David Riegler0%
Jakob Knollmuller0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Viktor Baier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shon Weissman22%
Simon Seidl21%
Ronivaldo20%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss14%
Jakob Knollmuller14%
David Bumberger12%
Paul Mensah7%
Dominik Reiter6%
Thomas Goiginger6%
Nico Maier5%
Alem Pašić4%
Manuel Maranda0%
Simon Pirkl0%
Christopher Cvetko0%
Anderson0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Luiz0%
Martin Moormann0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Muharem Husković0%
Isak Dahlqvist0%
Alexander Briedl0%
David Riegler0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Viktor Baier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
FC BW Linz and SKN ST. Polten have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
FC BW Linz and SKN ST. Polten have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
FC BW Linz and SKN ST. Polten have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
AV( (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
FC BW Linz and SKN ST. Polten have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
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Grazer AK
SV Horn
Floridsdorfer AC
SKU Amstetten
First Vienna
SV Lafnitz
FC Liefering
Admira Wacker
Dornbirn
Sturm Graz II
SV Kapfenberg
SK Vorwarts Steyr
Rapid Wien II
Austria Vienna (Am)