This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valencia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.30
1.21
0.86
1.31
1.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.67
3.67
vs Similar (25)
1.24
1.00
1.31
0.69
1.17
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.3%
Under 3.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.7%
No
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
14.9%
0-3
13.9%
0-1
10.2%
0-4
9.8%
1-2
7.0%
1-3
6.6%
1-1 ✓
5.5%
0-5
5.5%
FC Cartagena goals ↓
Valencia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
10%
15%
14%
9.8%
1
1.3%
5.5%
7.0%
6.6%
4.6%
2
0.4%
1.2%
1.7%
1.5%
1.1%
3
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
4
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Cartagena goals (down), columns = Valencia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Real Sociedad
2.57
Celta Vigo
2.50
Osasuna
2.40
Valencia
2.40
Barcelona
2.33
Atletico Madrid
2.29
Pontevedra
2.25
Elche
2.25
Rayo Vallecano
2.25
Real Betis
2.25
Ourense CF
2.25
Almeria
2.25
Zaragoza
2.00
Leganes
2.00
Sevilla
2.00
Las Palmas
2.00
Castellón
2.00
Getafe
2.00
Huesca
2.00
Girona
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
FC Cartagena
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Eldense
2.00
Alaves
2.00
Real Madrid
1.83
Gimnastic
1.50
Manises
1.50
Burgos
1.50
FC Andorra
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Espanyol
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Villarreal
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Tenerife
1.33
Valladolid
1.33
Granada CF
1.33
Oviedo
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Eibar
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Estepona
1.00
Orihuela
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
UD Logroñés
1.00
Malaga
1.00
UCAM Murcia
0.97
Rayo Majadahonda
0.97
Sámano
0.97
Quintanar del Rey
0.97
Real Avilés
0.97
CD Yuncos
0.97
Reddis
0.97
Mutilvera
0.97
Azuaga
0.97
Náxara
0.97
Sant Just
0.97
UD Ourense
0.97
Atlético Astorga
0.97
Valle Egüés
0.97
Deportivo Getxo
0.97
Ebro
0.97
Atlètic Lleida
0.97
CF Talavera
0.97
Torrent
0.97
Navalcarnero
0.97
Guadalajara
0.97
Palma del Rio
0.97
Teruel
0.97
Atlético Baleares
0.97
Caudal
0.97
Lorca Deportiva
0.97
Los Garres
0.97
Puerto de Vega
0.97
Atlético Tordesillas
0.97
Constància
0.97
Maracena
0.97
La Unión Atlético
0.97
Inter de Valdemoro
0.97
CD Sant Jordi
0.97
SD Negreira
0.97
Cieza
0.97
Toledo
0.97
Roda (Spain)
0.97
San Fernando CD
0.97
Antoniano
0.97
Arenas Getxo
0.97
RSD Alcalá
0.97
Tropezón
0.97
Portugalete
0.97
Puente Genil
0.97
SD Logroñés
0.97
Real Murcia
0.97
Mérida AD
0.97
Textil Escudo
0.97
Campanario
0.97
Betis Valladolid
0.97
Tarazona
0.97
Lourdes
0.97
Universitario FC
0.97
Sporting Ceuta
0.97
Atletico Calatayud
0.97
Atlético Melilla
0.97
Alberite
0.97
Antequera
0.97
Sabadell
0.71
Ponferradina
0.67
Cacereño
0.50
Athletic Club
0.50
Ibiza
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Levante
0.00
Mirandes
0.00
Poblense
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Ciudad de Lucena
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Albacete
0.00
Juventud Torremolinos
0.00
FC Cartagena is 0.40 points worse than Valencia in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celta Vigo
4.25
Zaragoza
3.50
Barcelona
3.50
Las Palmas
3.00
Rayo Vallecano
3.00
Villarreal
3.00
Real Betis
2.75
Atletico Madrid
2.71
Valladolid
2.67
Real Madrid
2.67
Osasuna
2.60
Burgos
2.50
Almeria
2.50
Real Sociedad
2.43
Sevilla
2.33
Racing Santander
2.33
Leganes
2.20
Pontevedra
2.00
Elche
2.00
Girona
2.00
Espanyol
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Valencia
1.60
Manises
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Ourense CF
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
UCAM Murcia
1.14
Rayo Majadahonda
1.14
Sámano
1.14
Quintanar del Rey
1.14
Real Avilés
1.14
CD Yuncos
1.14
Reddis
1.14
Mutilvera
1.14
Azuaga
1.14
Náxara
1.14
Sant Just
1.14
UD Ourense
1.14
Atlético Astorga
1.14
Valle Egüés
1.14
Deportivo Getxo
1.14
Ebro
1.14
Atlètic Lleida
1.14
CF Talavera
1.14
Torrent
1.14
Navalcarnero
1.14
Guadalajara
1.14
Palma del Rio
1.14
Teruel
1.14
Atlético Baleares
1.14
Caudal
1.14
Lorca Deportiva
1.14
Los Garres
1.14
Puerto de Vega
1.14
Atlético Tordesillas
1.14
Constància
1.14
Maracena
1.14
La Unión Atlético
1.14
Inter de Valdemoro
1.14
CD Sant Jordi
1.14
SD Negreira
1.14
Cieza
1.14
Toledo
1.14
Roda (Spain)
1.14
San Fernando CD
1.14
Antoniano
1.14
Arenas Getxo
1.14
RSD Alcalá
1.14
Tropezón
1.14
Portugalete
1.14
Puente Genil
1.14
SD Logroñés
1.14
Real Murcia
1.14
Mérida AD
1.14
Textil Escudo
1.14
Campanario
1.14
Betis Valladolid
1.14
Tarazona
1.14
Lourdes
1.14
Universitario FC
1.14
Sporting Ceuta
1.14
Atletico Calatayud
1.14
Atlético Melilla
1.14
Alberite
1.14
Antequera
1.14
Gimnastic
1.00
Tenerife
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Castellón
1.00
Levante
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Huesca
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Poblense
1.00
Cacereño
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Athletic Club
1.00
FC Cartagena
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Ciudad de Lucena
1.00
Malaga
1.00
Albacete
1.00
Alaves
1.00
Juventud Torremolinos
1.00
Sabadell
0.84
Eldense
0.67
Orihuela
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Ponferradina
0.33
Ibiza
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Eibar
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Utebo
0.00
FC Cartagena is 0.60 goals worse than Valencia in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Oviedo
0.00
Eibar
0.00
Girona
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Huesca
0.33
Pontevedra
0.50
Castellón
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Cadiz
0.50
Alaves
0.50
Tenerife
0.67
FC Cartagena
0.67
Eldense
0.67
Real Sociedad
0.71
Atletico Madrid
0.86
Gimnastic
1.00
Ibiza
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Elche
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Langreo
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Granada CF
1.00
Deportivo La Coruna
1.00
Espanyol
1.00
Numancia
1.00
Ponferradina
1.00
Cultural Leonesa
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Malaga
1.00
Villarreal
1.00
Barcelona
1.17
Valencia
1.20
Ourense CF
1.25
Celta Vigo
1.25
Osasuna
1.40
Zaragoza
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Athletic Club
1.50
Rayo Vallecano
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Almeria
1.50
Sevilla
1.67
Las Palmas
1.67
Racing Ferrol
1.67
Real Madrid
1.67
Real Betis
1.75
UCAM Murcia
1.80
Rayo Majadahonda
1.80
Sámano
1.80
Quintanar del Rey
1.80
Real Avilés
1.80
CD Yuncos
1.80
Reddis
1.80
Mutilvera
1.80
Azuaga
1.80
Náxara
1.80
Sant Just
1.80
UD Ourense
1.80
Atlético Astorga
1.80
Valle Egüés
1.80
Deportivo Getxo
1.80
Ebro
1.80
Atlètic Lleida
1.80
CF Talavera
1.80
Torrent
1.80
Navalcarnero
1.80
Guadalajara
1.80
Palma del Rio
1.80
Teruel
1.80
Atlético Baleares
1.80
Caudal
1.80
Lorca Deportiva
1.80
Los Garres
1.80
Puerto de Vega
1.80
Atlético Tordesillas
1.80
Constància
1.80
Maracena
1.80
La Unión Atlético
1.80
Inter de Valdemoro
1.80
CD Sant Jordi
1.80
SD Negreira
1.80
Cieza
1.80
Toledo
1.80
Roda (Spain)
1.80
San Fernando CD
1.80
Antoniano
1.80
Arenas Getxo
1.80
RSD Alcalá
1.80
Tropezón
1.80
Portugalete
1.80
Puente Genil
1.80
SD Logroñés
1.80
Real Murcia
1.80
Mérida AD
1.80
Textil Escudo
1.80
Campanario
1.80
Betis Valladolid
1.80
Tarazona
1.80
Lourdes
1.80
Universitario FC
1.80
Sporting Ceuta
1.80
Atletico Calatayud
1.80
Atlético Melilla
1.80
Alberite
1.80
Antequera
1.80
Leganes
1.80
Valladolid
2.00
Manises
2.00
Mirandes
2.00
Cacereño
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Ciudad de Lucena
2.00
Sant Andreu
2.00
Albacete
2.00
Juventud Torremolinos
2.00
Sabadell
2.46
Mallorca
3.00
Real Jaén
3.00
Extremadura 1924
4.00
Levante
4.00
Utebo
4.00
Poblense
6.00
FC Cartagena is 0.53 goals better than Valencia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
58%
Real Madrid
50%
Atletico Madrid
43%
Real Sociedad
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Cartagena
For 2.4 · Against 7.1 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valencia
For 4.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.3
8.3
3.7
3.8
3.7
23.7
24.1
23.3
vs Stronger (31)
8.8
9.9
7.9
4.2
4.1
4.3
24.8
26.0
23.8
vs Similar (17)
8.8
8.2
9.4
3.2
3.2
3.2
21.7
21.2
22.3
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
39%
39%
39%
52%
50%
54%
67%
65%
70%
% under line
61%
61%
61%
48%
50%
46%
33%
35%
30%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valencia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.7
4.0
5.0
3.2
24.4
25.3
23.5
vs Stronger (7)
10.3
7.0
12.0
2.6
3.3
2.0
23.7
29.5
20.8
vs Similar (39)
9.6
9.9
9.2
4.7
5.3
4.1
24.5
24.9
24.2
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
43%
41%
45%
52%
65%
41%
68%
77%
59%
% under line
57%
59%
55%
48%
35%
59%
32%
23%
41%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Antoniano
22.0
Rayo Vallecano
11.1
Orihuela
11.0
Real Madrid
11.0
Ebro
11.0
Barcelona
10.8
Racing Santander
10.0
Navalcarnero
10.0
Girona
10.0
Levante
9.9
Albacete
9.9
Real Sociedad
9.9
Mallorca
9.9
Valencia
9.9
Atletico Madrid
9.9
Numancia
9.8
Cordoba
9.7
Ibiza
9.7
Sevilla
9.7
Real Betis
9.7
Castellón
9.7
Espanyol
9.6
Huesca
9.6
Deportivo La Coruna
9.5
Ourense CF
9.5
Almeria
9.5
Sporting Gijon
9.5
Rayo Majadahonda
9.4
Malaga
9.4
Eldense
9.4
Alaves
9.4
Leganes
9.3
Zaragoza
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
FC Andorra
9.2
Valladolid
9.2
Cultural Leonesa
9.2
Cadiz
9.2
Eibar
9.2
Granada CF
9.1
Tenerife
9.1
Osasuna
9.1
AD Ceuta FC
9.1
Villarreal
9.1
Gimnastic
9.0
Racing Ferrol
9.0
Oviedo
8.9
Las Palmas
8.9
Athletic Club
8.8
Sabadell
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.7
Mirandes
8.7
Elche
8.5
Celta Vigo
8.4
Burgos
8.4
Getafe
8.2
Portugalete
8.0
Ciudad de Lucena
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zaragoza
6.3
Racing Santander
6.2
Orihuela
6.0
Real Murcia
6.0
Ourense CF
6.0
Gimnastic
5.9
Cordoba
5.9
Las Palmas
5.9
Rayo Majadahonda
5.8
Getafe
5.7
Valladolid
5.6
Burgos
5.6
Numancia
5.6
Alaves
5.5
Mirandes
5.5
Almeria
5.4
Sevilla
5.3
Malaga
5.2
Cadiz
5.2
Elche
5.1
Granada CF
5.1
Castellón
5.1
Cultural Leonesa
5.1
Real Sociedad
5.0
FC Andorra
5.0
Eibar
5.0
AD Ceuta FC
5.0
Portugalete
5.0
Celta Vigo
5.0
Sporting Gijon
4.9
Leganes
4.8
Tenerife
4.8
Real Betis
4.8
Villarreal
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Osasuna
4.7
Rayo Vallecano
4.7
Valencia
4.7
Sabadell
4.6
Levante
4.6
Eldense
4.6
Girona
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Oviedo
4.5
Deportivo La Coruna
4.5
Mallorca
4.4
Barcelona
4.4
Huesca
4.3
Racing Ferrol
4.3
Real Madrid
4.3
Espanyol
4.2
Atletico Madrid
4.2
Ibiza
4.2
FC Cartagena
4.1
Athletic Club
4.0
Pontevedra
3.0
Antoniano
3.0
Navalcarnero
2.0
Ebro
2.0
Ciudad de Lucena
1.0
CF Talavera
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Portugalete
36.0
Navalcarnero
33.0
Orihuela
32.0
Ourense CF
32.0
Antoniano
31.0
Numancia
30.6
Rayo Majadahonda
30.5
Gimnastic
30.1
Alaves
29.7
Getafe
29.7
Cordoba
29.3
Zaragoza
28.8
Cultural Leonesa
28.7
Racing Santander
28.7
Elche
28.6
Sabadell
28.5
Mirandes
28.1
Ibiza
28.1
Cadiz
28.1
Tenerife
27.7
Granada CF
27.5
Valladolid
27.4
Malaga
27.3
Leganes
26.8
Las Palmas
26.7
Almeria
26.7
AD Ceuta FC
26.6
Burgos
26.5
Eibar
26.2
FC Andorra
26.1
Racing Ferrol
26.0
Oviedo
25.8
Sevilla
25.8
Real Sociedad
25.7
Real Betis
25.4
Castellón
25.3
Villarreal
25.1
Eldense
25.0
Espanyol
24.8
Athletic Club
24.8
Girona
24.6
Mallorca
24.5
Ponferradina
24.4
Levante
24.3
Osasuna
24.3
Celta Vigo
24.0
Deportivo La Coruna
24.0
Valencia
24.0
Huesca
23.9
FC Cartagena
23.7
Sporting Gijon
23.7
Rayo Vallecano
23.6
Real Madrid
22.9
Atletico Madrid
22.5
Barcelona
22.1
Ebro
22.0
Albacete
21.6
Ciudad de Lucena
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
72.6%
Under 9.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.1%
Under 3.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
44.4%
Under 21.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Cartagena or Draw✓ Hit
15.2%
Avg Implied -
3%
12%
85%
covers FC Cartagena + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena or Valencia✗ Miss
88.3%
Avg Implied -
3%
12%
85%
covers FC Cartagena + Valencia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Valencia✓ Hit
96.5%
Avg Implied -
3%
12%
85%
covers Draw + Valencia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
37.5%
Under
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.1%
Under
99.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.9%
Under
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
76.9%
Under
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
53.0%
Under
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
30.8%
Under
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Cartagena, so a minus line means FC Cartagena give that many goals of a start and Valencia receive them. At -1, FC Cartagena must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Cartagena win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Cartagena)Actual: Valencia
FC Cartagena -2
0.1%
Draw -2
0.6%
Valencia +2
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Cartagena)Actual: Valencia
FC Cartagena -1
0.7%
Draw -1
2.8%
Valencia +1
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Cartagena)Actual: FC Cartagena
FC Cartagena +1
15.2%
Draw +1
18.9%
Valencia -1
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Cartagena)Actual: FC Cartagena
FC Cartagena +2
34.1%
Draw +2
22.6%
Valencia -2
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.53
0.73
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (20)
0.55
1.05
0.60
0.80
0.50
1.30
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.56
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valencia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.50
0.36
0.31
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.52
0.54
0.23
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.97
0.13
0.53
0.53
1.40
vs Stronger (20)
0.45
1.10
0.20
0.60
0.70
1.60
vs Similar (9)
0.00
0.78
0.00
0.40
0.00
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valencia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
0.71
0.50
1.00
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.48
0.77
0.46
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away win
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Cartagena · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Millán32%
Luis Muñoz18%
Daniel Luna18%
Nacho Martínez14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Gaston Valles11%
Pocho Román10%
Cedric Teguia9%
Andy Rodríguez8%
José Machín8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Jairo Izquierdo5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Alfredo Ortuño3%
Sergio Guerrero3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Julián Delmás0%
Dani Escriche0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Jesús Hernández0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Hernández60%
Damián Musto50%
Nacho Martínez36%
Sergio Guerrero32%
José Machín31%
Martín Aguirregabiria28%
Andrija Vukčević26%
Dani Escriche22%
Jorge Moreno20%
Pocho Román19%
Pedro Alcalá19%
Luis Muñoz18%
Assane Ndiaye Dione12%
Salim El Jebari12%
Daniel Luna12%
Andy Rodríguez11%
Kiko Olivas10%
Nikola Šipčić9%
Jairo Izquierdo9%
Julián Delmás7%
Alfredo Ortuño5%
Pablo Cuñat5%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Gaston Valles4%
Hugo González0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Álex Millán0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Martínez21%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Luis Muñoz9%
Dani Escriche8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Daniel Luna6%
Óscar Clemente6%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Andy Rodríguez3%
José Machín0%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Álex Millán0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Pocho Román0%
Gaston Valles0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cedric Teguia14%
Gaston Valles11%
Álex Millán11%
Luis Muñoz9%
José Machín8%
Dani Escriche5%
Hugo González5%
Andy Rodríguez3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Martín Aguirregabiria0%
Nacho Martínez0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Daniel Luna0%
Salim El Jebari0%
Pocho Román0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Valencia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rubén Iranzo33%
Umar Sadiq27%
Hugo Duro25%
Largie Ramazani19%
Guido Rodríguez18%
Mouctar Diakhaby11%
Diego López11%
Lucas Beltrán10%
Eray Cömert10%
Arnaut Danjuma9%
Javier Guerra8%
Luis Rioja7%
Dani Raba7%
Pepelu6%
Baptiste Santamaria5%
Jesús Vázquez4%
José Luis Gayà3%
Thierry Correia0%
Renzo Saravia0%
André Almeida0%
Dimitri Foulquier0%
Unai Núñez0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Filip Ugrinić0%
José Copete0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
César Tárrega0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Renzo Saravia40%
Mouctar Diakhaby33%
Rubén Iranzo33%
César Tárrega26%
José Copete25%
Guido Rodríguez24%
Unai Núñez23%
Thierry Correia20%
Eray Cömert20%
José Luis Gayà19%
Baptiste Santamaria14%
Umar Sadiq14%
Filip Ugrinić13%
Diego López13%
Largie Ramazani13%
Hugo Duro12%
Pepelu12%
Julen Agirrezabala11%
Javier Guerra8%
Jesús Vázquez7%
Dimitri Foulquier5%
Stole Dimitrievski4%
Lucas Beltrán3%
Luis Rioja2%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Dani Raba0%
André Almeida0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Javier Guerra15%
Luis Rioja15%
André Almeida12%
Filip Ugrinić10%
Umar Sadiq9%
Thierry Correia8%
Dani Raba7%
Lucas Beltrán7%
Largie Ramazani6%
José Luis Gayà6%
Arnaut Danjuma6%
Eray Cömert5%
Baptiste Santamaria5%
Pepelu3%
Diego López3%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
Renzo Saravia0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Dimitri Foulquier0%
Hugo Duro0%
Unai Núñez0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
José Copete0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Rubén Iranzo0%
César Tárrega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Largie Ramazani16%
Lucas Beltrán10%
Arnaut Danjuma9%
Unai Núñez8%
Dani Raba7%
Javier Guerra5%
Hugo Duro5%
Eray Cömert5%
Umar Sadiq5%
Filip Ugrinić3%
Pepelu3%
Diego López3%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
José Luis Gayà0%
Thierry Correia0%
Renzo Saravia0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
André Almeida0%
Luis Rioja0%
Dimitri Foulquier0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
José Copete0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Rubén Iranzo0%
César Tárrega0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: La Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →