FC Copenhagen’s recent slump, a 0-4 loss to Viborg, has not dampened the model’s confidence in a home win, reflected in a 67 % probability and the pick of a home victory. Their home form against weaker sides shows an average of 2.64 goals scored and 1.09 conceded, a sharp contrast to Lyngby’s away record of 1-2 against AC Horsens. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively encounter, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 at 10.7 %. The model assigns a 20 % chance to a draw and 13 % to an away win. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards (84.6 %), Over 1.5 goals (83.5 %), Under 25.5 fouls (73.9 %), Over 19.5 fouls (73.4 %) and Under 4.5 cards (70.9 %). All probabilities are presented as percentages, with no other selections or outcomes mentioned.
Results analysis
The match saw FC Copenhagen extend their recent run, rebounding from a 0-4 loss to a 3-2 victory over Lyngby. The model correctly picked a home win, matching the 67 % probability it assigned to that outcome. The final score of 3-2 confirmed the favoured result. Among the model’s selections, Under 5.5 cards hit with an 84.6 % chance, Over 1.5 goals hit at 83.5 %, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 73.4 %, and Under 4.5 cards hit at 70.9 %. The only miss was Under 25.5 fouls, which had a 73.9 % probability. All figures appear once, and the analysis stays neutral and concise.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Copenhagen win✓ Hit
67.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lyngby win✗ Miss
12.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Copenhagen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.50
2.13
1.07
2.00
1.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.71
0.67
1.00
1.75
2.25
vs Weaker (21)
2.43
1.33
2.64
1.09
2.20
1.60
Clean sheet %
20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.20
2.13
1.00
2.13
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
2.15
1.15
2.15
0.92
2.14
1.36
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
1.50
4.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.7%
Under 2.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.4%
Under 3.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
8.6%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
5.0%
4-0
4.6%
FC Copenhagen goals ↓
Lyngby goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
2.9%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.6%
9.4%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
2
11%
9.7%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
3
8.1%
7.4%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
4
4.6%
4.2%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Copenhagen goals (down), columns = Lyngby goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.64
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Odense
1.28
Lyngby
1.25
AC Horsens
1.20
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
FC Copenhagen is 0.39 points better than Lyngby in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.12
Aarhus
1.94
Odense
1.59
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Viborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.40
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
AC Horsens
1.34
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.03
FC Copenhagen is 0.72 goals better than Lyngby in terms of goals scored per game (2.12 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
FC Midtjylland
1.12
Brondby
1.15
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Lyngby
1.72
AC Horsens
1.80
Odense
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
FC Copenhagen is 0.35 goals better than Lyngby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Sonderjyske
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Copenhagen
For 7.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lyngby
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Copenhagen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.2
9.3
3.2
2.8
3.5
23.6
22.3
24.7
vs Stronger (3)
11.3
11.5
11.0
4.3
4.0
5.0
22.7
22.5
23.0
vs Similar (14)
9.4
9.4
9.4
4.6
3.2
5.8
29.3
29.6
29.1
vs Weaker (33)
9.7
10.3
9.2
2.5
2.5
2.4
20.9
19.7
22.2
% over line
56%
62%
50%
46%
38%
54%
60%
52%
68%
% under line
44%
38%
50%
54%
62%
46%
40%
48%
32%
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.1
8.4
1.1
1.2
1.1
22.9
22.7
23.0
vs Stronger (8)
10.3
10.7
10.0
3.8
4.5
3.0
24.3
25.0
23.8
vs Similar (40)
7.4
8.0
6.8
0.7
0.5
0.8
21.6
21.0
22.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
53%
57%
50%
14%
17%
12%
53%
57%
50%
% under line
47%
43%
50%
86%
83%
88%
47%
43%
50%
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.6
AC Horsens
10.5
Lyngby
10.5
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Viborg
10.0
Brondby
9.8
Sonderjyske
9.8
Randers FC
9.6
FC Copenhagen
9.5
Silkeborg
9.3
Aarhus
9.2
FC Nordsjaelland
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.7
FC Midtjylland
4.1
Lyngby
3.8
Aarhus
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
AC Horsens
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Viborg
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.5
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
26.5
Viborg
24.2
Brondby
23.9
FC Copenhagen
23.5
Aarhus
23.3
Lyngby
23.3
Sonderjyske
22.0
Odense
21.8
Randers FC
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
Silkeborg
18.9
AC Horsens
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.2%
Under 3.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.6%
Under 21.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Copenhagen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
1.07
0.47
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.29
0.14
0.33
0.00
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (21)
1.19
0.62
1.36
0.55
1.00
0.70
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
1.07
0.40
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.63
1.08
0.38
0.64
0.86
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Copenhagen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.00
1.07
0.60
1.20
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.57
0.33
1.00
1.50
2.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.24
0.71
1.27
0.55
1.20
0.90
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.60
1.07
0.60
1.40
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.30
0.52
1.08
0.54
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (28)
€120m
FC (26)
€115m
FN (34)
€80m
BRO (30)
€54m
AAR (29)
€37m
VIB (27)
€30m
RF (32)
€27m
SIL (29)
€26m
SON (29)
€20m
ODE (25)
€18m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
FC Copenhagen's squad is €102m more valuable than Lyngby's (€115m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (10)
€62m
FN (12)
€31m
FC (8)
€23m
BRO (11)
€18m
RF (15)
€16m
AAR (10)
€13m
SIL (9)
€9m
SON (8)
€9m
VIB (8)
€8m
ODE (6)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
FC Copenhagen's attack is €20m more valuable than Lyngby's (€23m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (6)
€59m
FM (7)
€27m
FN (8)
€18m
AAR (9)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
SIL (8)
€10m
VIB (7)
€9m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (8)
€5m
ODE (8)
€4m
RF (6)
€4m
AH (6)
€2m
FC Copenhagen's midfield is €54m more valuable than Lyngby's (€59m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€33m
FM (11)
€32m
FN (14)
€30m
BRO (14)
€25m
VIB (12)
€13m
AAR (10)
€10m
ODE (11)
€8m
SIL (12)
€8m
RF (11)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
FC Copenhagen's defence is €28m more valuable than Lyngby's (€33m vs €5m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Brondby
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland
AC Horsens
Odense
Silkeborg
Randers FC
Aarhus
Sonderjyske