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FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
FC Differdange 03
FC Differdange 03
Vs
56%
25%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FC Differdange 03 is expected to win this match, with a predicted score of 2-1, although the most likely total number of goals is 2. The model's selection is the home win, with a probability of 56%. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 11.9% of the time.

At home, FC Differdange 03 has been scoring 2.33 goals per game against weaker opponents and conceding 0.67 goals. Meanwhile, Racing FC Union Luxembourg has been scoring 1.25 goals away against stronger opponents and conceding 2.5 goals.

The model's selection of the home win has a 56% chance of occurring, with a 25% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of an away win. The home side's home win percentage is 56%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 19%.

The model also suggests selecting Over 3.5 cards, with a 92.9% probability, Over 21.5 fouls, with an 87.8% probability, and Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.3% probability.

Results analysis

FC Differdange 03 extended their three-game winning streak with a 3-0 triumph over Racing FC Union Luxembourg, confirming the model’s home-win prediction. The model had given the home side a 56 % chance of victory, a figure that proved accurate. The most likely scoreline was 2-0 at 9.9 %, yet the final 3-0 out-scored the predicted 2-1 and 1-1 outcomes. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2 %, Under 7.5 at 99.2 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.3 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.1 %, Under 6.5 at 97.5 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.4 %. All picks were settled and hit, underscoring the model’s accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Differdange 03 win✓ Hit
55.8%
Avg Implied 54.8% · @ 1.65
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.68
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.80
Pinnacle
3.77
10Bet
3.75
Racing FC Union Luxembourg win✗ Miss
19.3%
Avg Implied 20.6% · @ 4.41
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.60
1xBet
4.58
Marathonbet
4.50
Dafabet
4.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D32W11D20W01L41W23L20W21WA·UNI26/04H·UNA03/05A·PRO08/05H·ROD13/05H·UN 17/05A·ATE23/05H·VIC29/05A·US 02/08H·US 09/08A·WIL15/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.832.120.761.920.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.381.151.000.831.711.43
vs Weaker (17)2.530.592.730.732.170.33
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D02L52W05L23L10W61W51W10W50WH·PRO18/04A·FC 22/04A·UN 26/04H·ATE03/05A·MAM10/05A·US 17/05H·ROD23/05H·UN 02/08A·ETZ09/08H·SWI16/08
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.602.071.431.751.75
vs Stronger (5)0.203.400.003.500.333.33
vs Similar (23)2.351.302.421.082.271.55
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Differdange 03) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.3%
@ 1.19+2.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
@ 3.78-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Under
10Bet
3.90
Superbet
3.80
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Unibet
3.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.68-1.3%
Under 2.5
46.5%
@ 2.04+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Under
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.07
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.2%
@ 2.67-2.9%
Under 3.5
68.8%
@ 1.39+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
Unibet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.9%
@ 1.67-0.8%
No
46.1%
@ 2.02+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
No
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 6.72+6.3%
2-0
9.9%@ 7.78+5.1%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.23+4.6%
1-0
9.8%@ 7.23+4.6%
0-0
7.0%@ 11.83+3.9%
3-0 ✓
6.0%@ 11.50+2.8%
3-1
6.0%@ 10.80+2.5%
1-2
5.4%@ 13.17+2.5%
FC Differdange 03 goals ↓
Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals →
01234
07.0%4.8%3.0%1.0%0.2%
19.8%12%5.4%1.8%0.4%
29.9%9.9%4.9%1.6%0.4%
36.0%6.0%3.0%1.0%0.2%
42.8%2.7%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Differdange 03 goals (down), columns = Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
FC Differdange 03 is 0.40 points better than Racing FC Union Luxembourg in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
FC Differdange 03 is 0.40 goals worse than Racing FC Union Luxembourg in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 2.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
FC Differdange 03 is 0.40 goals better than Racing FC Union Luxembourg in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)6.06.0-0.20.40.028.528.5-
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)6.06.0-0.20.40.026.026.0-
vs Weaker (23)6.06.0-0.30.40.031.031.0-
% over line0%0%-4%7%0%100%100%-
% under line100%100%-96%93%100%0%0%-
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.57.5-0.70.50.926.526.5-
vs Stronger (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (39)7.57.5-0.90.51.426.526.5-
vs Weaker (2)---0.0-0.0---
% over line0%0%-8%8%8%100%100%-
% under line100%100%-92%92%92%0%0%-
This opponent (FC Differdange 03) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Differdange 03 or Draw✓ Hit
80.7%
Avg Implied 79.5% · @ 1.15
Edge
+1.2%
56%
25%
19%
covers FC Differdange 03 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
FC Differdange 03 or Racing FC Union Luxembourg✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.20
Edge
-0.8%
56%
25%
19%
covers FC Differdange 03 + Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Draw or Racing FC Union Luxembourg✗ Miss
44.2%
Avg Implied 44.7% · @ 2.05
Edge
-0.4%
56%
25%
19%
covers Draw + Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.15
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.05
1xBet
2.03

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Differdange 03 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.9%
@ 1.10+1.4%
Under
16.1%
@ 5.20-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Under
1xBet
5.40
10Bet
5.00
FC Differdange 03 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.5%
@ 1.67-0.4%
Under
45.5%
@ 2.04+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Unibet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Unibet
1.95
FC Differdange 03 over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
27.6%
@ 2.76-5.8%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.39+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.57
Under
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.35
FC Differdange 03 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 6.00-4.0%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.08+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.08
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.0%
@ 1.46+0.4%
Under
37.0%
@ 2.45-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.52
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Unibet
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 3.19-2.5%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.29+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.22
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.15
Under
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 9.60-1.6%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.01+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Under
1xBet
1.01
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Differdange 03, so a minus line means FC Differdange 03 give that many goals of a start and Racing FC Union Luxembourg receive them. At -1, FC Differdange 03 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Differdange 03 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Differdange 03)Actual: FC Differdange 03
FC Differdange 03 -2
15.1%
@ 4.75-2.5%
Draw -2
17.5%
@ 4.28-2.1%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg +2
67.4%
@ 1.33+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.00
Unibet
4.50
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Unibet
3.85
Away
Marathonbet
1.37
Unibet
1.30
Handicap -1 (FC Differdange 03)Actual: FC Differdange 03
FC Differdange 03 -1
32.6%
@ 2.64-0.0%
Draw -1
23.2%
@ 3.34-2.6%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg +1
44.2%
@ 2.07+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.70
Betfair
2.70
Marathonbet
2.66
Unibet
2.50
Draw
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Unibet
3.05
Away
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.03
Unibet
1.90
Handicap +1 (FC Differdange 03)Actual: FC Differdange 03
FC Differdange 03 +1
80.7%
Draw +1
12.1%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg -1
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Differdange 03)Actual: FC Differdange 03
FC Differdange 03 +2
92.9%
Draw +2
5.2%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg -2
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L00D10W00D20W12L00D11DA·UNI26/04H·UNA03/05A·PRO08/05H·ROD13/05H·UN 17/05A·ATE23/05H·VIC29/05A·US 02/08H·US 09/08A·WIL15/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.270.760.121.000.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.380.330.000.860.71
vs Weaker (17)1.060.181.000.181.170.17
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D20W03L01L10W20W41W00D00DH·PRO18/04A·FC 22/04A·UN 26/04H·ATE03/05A·MAM10/05A·US 17/05H·ROD23/05H·UN 02/08A·ETZ09/08H·SWI16/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.700.930.860.940.56
vs Stronger (5)0.001.600.002.500.001.00
vs Similar (23)1.170.521.080.581.270.45
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Differdange 03) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.5%
@ 1.29+3.6%
Under 0.5
25.5%
@ 3.15-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Marathonbet
2.97
1xBet
2.97
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.0%
@ 2.42-1.6%
Under 1.5
64.0%
@ 1.46+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.46
Betfair
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 5.67-2.6%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.10+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.80
1xBet
5.70
Betfair
5.50
Under
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.09

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Differdange 03 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
62.1%
@ 1.66+6.1%
Under
37.9%
@ 2.12-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.07
FC Differdange 03 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
24.3%
@ 4.30+2.9%
Under
75.7%
@ 1.17-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.30
Under
1xBet
1.17
FC Differdange 03 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 10.50-2.6%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
31.9%
@ 2.50-5.3%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.49+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.46
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 8.70-4.9%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Under
1xBet
1.02
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D30W11D10W01L21W11D20W10WA·UNI26/04H·UNA03/05A·PRO08/05H·ROD13/05H·UN 17/05A·ATE23/05H·VIC29/05A·US 02/08H·US 09/08A·WIL15/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.571.350.650.920.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.770.670.830.860.71
vs Weaker (17)1.470.411.730.551.000.17
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D02L32W02L22D00D41W10W10W50WH·PRO18/04A·FC 22/04A·UN 26/04H·ATE03/05A·MAM10/05A·US 17/05H·ROD23/05H·UN 02/08A·ETZ09/08H·SWI16/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.901.140.570.811.19
vs Stronger (5)0.201.800.001.000.332.33
vs Similar (23)1.170.781.330.501.001.09
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Differdange 03) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.7%
@ 1.18+1.2%
Under 0.5
20.3%
@ 4.30-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.8%
@ 1.90-1.8%
Under 1.5
53.2%
@ 1.79+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Under
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.6%
@ 3.80-4.6%
Under 2.5
80.4%
@ 1.21+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Differdange 03 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.9%
@ 1.46+0.7%
Under
36.1%
@ 2.50-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.50
FC Differdange 03 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
29.0%
@ 3.20+0.1%
Under
71.0%
@ 1.30-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.30
FC Differdange 03 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 8.50-0.7%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.03+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Under
1xBet
1.03
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
39.4%
@ 2.03-6.2%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.70+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.03
Under
1xBet
1.70
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 6.30-4.2%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.07+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.07
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.599.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals94.4%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+4.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals93.8%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+2.6%✓ Hit
Under 5.593.3%1.04
1xBet
1.04
----+2.7%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap92.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals92.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+1.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals89.9%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+0.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.7%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+4.2%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals88.7%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+4.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.3%1.10
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.09
--+2.6%✓ Hit
Under 4.584.5%1.13
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
---+3.8%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals83.9%1.10
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
---+1.4%✓ Hit
Home or Draw80.7%1.15
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
+1.2%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap80.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals80.4%1.21
1xBet
1.21
----+4.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals79.7%1.18
1xBet
1.18
----+1.2%✓ Hit
Over 1.578.3%1.19
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
+2.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals75.7%1.17
1xBet
1.17
-----2.9%✓ Hit
Home or Away75.0%1.20
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
-0.8%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals74.5%1.29
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.25
+3.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals73.8%1.29
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
--+2.5%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals72.4%1.39
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.35
---+5.8%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals71.0%1.30
1xBet
1.30
-----0.1%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
FC Differdange 03 and Racing FC Union Luxembourg have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
FC Differdange 03 and Racing FC Union Luxembourg have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
FC Differdange 03 and Racing FC Union Luxembourg have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
FC Differdange 03 and Racing FC Union Luxembourg have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
FD0 wins
1
Draws
1
RFU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg · H/A from FD0
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/26HFD0 Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg2-0
14/02/26ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs FD00-2
29/10/25HFD0 Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg5-1
18/05/25HFD0 Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg1-1
07/12/24ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs FD01-0
11/02/24HFD0 Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg7-0
13/08/23ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs FD01-3
21/05/23ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs FD00-1

FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26AWiltz Vs FD01-2
09/08/26HFD0 Vs US Rumelange2-0
02/08/26AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs FD03-2
29/05/26HFD0 Vs Victoria Rosport4-1
23/05/26AAtert Bissen Vs FD01-0
17/05/26HFD0 Vs UN Kaerjeng 972-0
13/05/26HFD0 Vs Rodange 911-1
08/05/26AProgres Niederkorn Vs FD02-3
03/05/26HFD0 Vs UNA Strassen0-0
26/04/26AUnion Titus Petange Vs FD00-1

Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HRFU Vs Swift Hesperange5-0
09/08/26AEtzella Ettelbruck Vs RFU0-1
02/08/26HRFU Vs UN Kaerjeng 975-1
23/05/26HRFU Vs Rodange 916-1
17/05/26AUS Hostert Vs RFU0-1
10/05/26AMamer Vs RFU3-2
03/05/26HRFU Vs Atert Bissen0-5
26/04/26AUN Kaerjeng 97 Vs RFU2-5
22/04/26AFC Differdange 03 Vs RFU2-0
18/04/26HRFU Vs Progres Niederkorn2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Differdange 03
FC Differdange 03
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.92
HomeDDWWW1.93
AwayWWLLW1.91
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%54%59%
AVG goals2.863.142.50
Over 1.5 %70%82%55%
Over 2.5 %48%54%41%
Over 3.5 %36%39%32%
Scored1.982.211.68
Conceded0.880.930.82
BTTS50%57%41%
Clean Sheet42%39%45%
Corners6.006.00-
Cards5.505.50-
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.48
HomeDLWWW1.44
AwayLWLWW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals3.183.203.16
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored1.821.801.84
Conceded1.361.401.32
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners7.507.50-
Cards8.756.0011.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UNA StrassenUNA Strassen515
100%
3.0
101+9
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.2
-
2US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains515
100%
3.0
126+6
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.41.2
-
3FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03512
80%
2.4
114+7
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg510
60%
2.0
136+7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.61.2
-
5Résidence WalferdangeRésidence Walferdange59
60%
1.8
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
6UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 9759
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.61.8
-
7Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn59
60%
1.8
84+4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
8Atert BissenAtert Bissen59
60%
1.8
77+0
2.8
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.4
-
9US HostertUS Hostert56
40%
1.2
1110+1
4.2
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.22.0
-
10F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.6
-
11US RumelangeUS Rumelange56
40%
1.2
812-4
4.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.4
-
12WiltzWiltz54
20%
0.8
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
13Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport54
20%
0.8
1012-2
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.4
-
14AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch53
20%
0.6
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck51
0%
0.2
213-11
3.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.6
-
16Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange50
0%
0.0
221-19
4.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.44.2
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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