The model’s most confident outcome is an away win, with a 42% chance, followed by a draw at 33% and a home win at 24%. The expected goal tally sits at 1.9, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 15.7% probability. FC Fredericia, playing at home, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded against opponents of similar strength, while Odense, on the road, averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. The market’s consensus on the match result diverges most sharply from the model’s pick, giving the model an edge in predicting a modest away victory.
The suggested selections emphasize a low-scoring affair: Under 7.5 (99.9%) with a 3% edge, Under 6.5 (99.6%) with a 5% edge, Home under 3.5 goals (99.1%) with a 6% edge, Under 5.5 (98.6%) with an 11% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.1%) with a 10% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.0%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.8%). Each selection is presented with its exact probability, and where an edge is noted, the percentage is highlighted.
Results analysis
The match saw FC Fredericia’s recent form dip after a loss, while Odense entered on a win, setting the stage for the model’s predicted away triumph. The final score of 1-2 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s pick of an away win with a 42% probability. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.9%) hit, Under 6.5 (99.6%) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (99.1%) hit, Under 5.5 (98.6%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.1%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.0%) hit, and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.8%) hit. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each selection’s outcome was noted once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Fredericia win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.00
Edge
-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.15
Bet365
3.10
Pinnacle
3.09
Superbet
3.05
Dafabet
3.05
Draw✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.56
Edge
+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Pinnacle
3.71
BetVictor
3.70
10Bet
3.60
Odense win✓ Hit
42.3%
Avg Implied 44.2% · @ 2.05
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.12
Superbet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Dafabet
2.09
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Fredericia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.80
1.27
1.87
1.80
1.73
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
2.71
1.00
3.00
1.75
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.32
1.74
1.20
1.80
1.44
1.67
vs Weaker (4)
2.75
0.50
2.00
0.50
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.40
1.43
1.43
1.44
1.38
vs Stronger (6)
1.83
2.50
1.50
2.75
2.50
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.33
1.12
1.40
0.90
1.29
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.9%
@ 1.14-22.0%
Under 1.5
41.1%
@ 4.83+22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
30.6%
@ 1.52-29.7%
Under 2.5
69.4%
@ 2.31+29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.61
Superbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.47
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.40
BetVictor
2.34
Superbet
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.1%
@ 2.28-27.3%
Under 3.5
86.9%
@ 1.55+27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.50
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Betfair
1.57
1xBet
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Betano
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.6%
@ 1.47-24.3%
No
61.4%
@ 2.49+24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.55
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.44
No
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.7%@ 15.02+12.9%
0-1
15.1%@ 9.99+10.8%
1-1
14.4%@ 6.76+8.1%
1-0
10.2%@ 12.10+6.6%
0-2
9.4%@ 11.48+5.6%
1-2 ✓
7.5%@ 7.95+2.1%
2-1
5.2%@ 9.56+0.7%
2-0
4.6%@ 16.75+2.0%
FC Fredericia goals ↓
Odense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
15%
9.4%
3.6%
1.0%
1
10%
14%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
4.6%
5.2%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
3
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Fredericia goals (down), columns = Odense goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.57
Odense
2.40
Vejle
2.40
Roskilde
2.33
FC Fredericia
2.33
FC Midtjylland
2.29
Hobro
2.25
Thisted FC
2.00
Holbæk B&I
2.00
Kolding B
2.00
GVI
2.00
Sundby
2.00
VSK Århus
2.00
FA 2000
2.00
HIK
2.00
Sonderjyske
2.00
Randers FC
2.00
Brondby
2.00
Silkeborg
2.00
AB Copenhagen
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Kolding IF
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Esbjerg
1.67
Aarhus
1.67
Skjold Sæby
1.50
Skive
1.50
Vejgaard B
1.50
Vanløse
1.50
FC Nakskov
1.50
BSI
1.50
Skanderborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.50
Middelfart
1.50
Viborg
1.43
Ringsted
1.33
Lyngby
1.33
B 93
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Brønshøj
1.25
Lyseng
1.25
Såby
1.01
Skjold Birkerød
1.01
Viby
1.01
Køge Nord
1.01
Frederiksholm Sydhavnen
1.01
Fuglebakken KFUM
1.01
SGI
1.01
Aabenraa
1.01
Bredballe
1.01
Bogense
1.01
Aarhus Black Vipers
1.01
Ringkøbing
1.01
Slagelse B&I
1.01
Vatanspor
1.01
Glamsbjerg
1.01
Frederikssund
1.01
Tarup-Paarup
1.01
Hedensted
1.01
Vaeggerlose
1.01
KRFK
1.01
Brønderslev
1.01
Espergærde
1.01
Sydkysten
1.01
Maribo
1.01
Varde
1.01
Skovshoved
1.01
Munkebo
1.01
Hørsholm-Usserød
1.01
tst Fodbold
1.01
Aabybro
1.01
Handelsstandens
1.01
Vaerlose
1.01
Boldklubben FIX
1.01
Morud
1.01
Aalborg KFUM
1.01
Føroyar
1.01
Vigerslev
1.01
Frem
1.00
Odder
1.00
Holstebro
1.00
Allerød
1.00
Nykobing FC
1.00
Vendsyssel FF
1.00
HB Koge
1.00
Fremad Amager
1.00
Hvidovre
0.67
Ishøj
0.50
ASA Aarhus
0.00
Avarta
0.00
Naestved
0.00
Brabrand
0.00
Næsby
0.00
Rudersdal
0.00
SfB-Oure
0.00
NB Bornholm
0.00
Nørresundby
0.00
Vallensbæk
0.00
Kjellerup
0.00
Marienlyst
0.00
Tårnby FF
0.00
OKS
0.00
FC Helsingor
0.00
FC Fredericia is 0.07 points worse than Odense in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nykobing FC
5.00
Sonderjyske
4.33
Skjold Sæby
4.00
VSK Århus
4.00
B 93
4.00
Odense
3.80
Holbæk B&I
3.67
Vejgaard B
3.50
Vanløse
3.50
FC Nakskov
3.50
Aarhus Fremad
3.33
Sundby
3.00
Nørresundby
3.00
Roskilde
3.00
Brondby
3.00
Hillerød
3.00
Vejle
3.00
HB Koge
3.00
Ringsted
2.67
HIK
2.67
FC Fredericia
2.67
GVI
2.50
Hobro
2.50
Thisted FC
2.33
Silkeborg
2.33
Aalborg
2.33
FC Copenhagen
2.29
FC Midtjylland
2.29
Viborg
2.14
Brønshøj
2.00
Holstebro
2.00
SfB-Oure
2.00
Allerød
2.00
BSI
2.00
OKS
2.00
Skanderborg
2.00
Middelfart
2.00
AB Copenhagen
2.00
Kolding IF
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Kolding B
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Såby
1.62
Skjold Birkerød
1.62
Viby
1.62
Køge Nord
1.62
Frederiksholm Sydhavnen
1.62
Fuglebakken KFUM
1.62
SGI
1.62
Aabenraa
1.62
Bredballe
1.62
Bogense
1.62
Aarhus Black Vipers
1.62
Ringkøbing
1.62
Slagelse B&I
1.62
Vatanspor
1.62
Glamsbjerg
1.62
Frederikssund
1.62
Tarup-Paarup
1.62
Hedensted
1.62
Vaeggerlose
1.62
KRFK
1.62
Brønderslev
1.62
Espergærde
1.62
Sydkysten
1.62
Maribo
1.62
Varde
1.62
Skovshoved
1.62
Munkebo
1.62
Hørsholm-Usserød
1.62
tst Fodbold
1.62
Aabybro
1.62
Handelsstandens
1.62
Vaerlose
1.62
Boldklubben FIX
1.62
Morud
1.62
Aalborg KFUM
1.62
Føroyar
1.62
Vigerslev
1.62
Skive
1.50
Odder
1.50
Aarhus
1.33
Lyseng
1.25
Esbjerg
1.17
ASA Aarhus
1.00
Naestved
1.00
Næsby
1.00
Rudersdal
1.00
Vallensbæk
1.00
FA 2000
1.00
Marienlyst
1.00
Randers FC
1.00
AC Horsens
1.00
Vendsyssel FF
1.00
Fremad Amager
1.00
Lyngby
0.67
Ishøj
0.50
Avarta
0.00
Brabrand
0.00
Frem
0.00
NB Bornholm
0.00
Kjellerup
0.00
Tårnby FF
0.00
FC Helsingor
0.00
FC Fredericia is 1.13 goals worse than Odense in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 3.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frem
0.00
FA 2000
0.50
Randers FC
0.50
FC Midtjylland
0.57
Odense
0.60
Thisted FC
0.67
Roskilde
0.67
Kolding IF
0.67
FC Copenhagen
0.86
Skive
1.00
Vejgaard B
1.00
Tårnby FF
1.00
Aarhus
1.00
FC Helsingor
1.00
HIK
1.00
Sonderjyske
1.00
Lyngby
1.00
AC Horsens
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.00
Vendsyssel FF
1.00
Fremad Amager
1.00
Viborg
1.14
Vejle
1.20
Esbjerg
1.33
Holbæk B&I
1.33
VSK Århus
1.33
Hillerød
1.33
Skjold Sæby
1.50
Odder
1.50
GVI
1.50
Vanløse
1.50
Brondby
1.50
Silkeborg
1.67
B 93
1.67
Aalborg
1.67
FC Fredericia
1.67
Hobro
1.75
ASA Aarhus
2.00
Ishøj
2.00
Avarta
2.00
Naestved
2.00
Næsby
2.00
Holstebro
2.00
Kolding B
2.00
Sundby
2.00
Allerød
2.00
NB Bornholm
2.00
Lyseng
2.00
BSI
2.00
Marienlyst
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
2.00
Middelfart
2.00
Hvidovre
2.00
Brønshøj
2.25
Ringsted
2.33
Såby
2.44
Skjold Birkerød
2.44
Viby
2.44
Køge Nord
2.44
Frederiksholm Sydhavnen
2.44
Fuglebakken KFUM
2.44
SGI
2.44
Aabenraa
2.44
Bredballe
2.44
Bogense
2.44
Aarhus Black Vipers
2.44
Ringkøbing
2.44
Slagelse B&I
2.44
Vatanspor
2.44
Glamsbjerg
2.44
Frederikssund
2.44
Tarup-Paarup
2.44
Hedensted
2.44
Vaeggerlose
2.44
KRFK
2.44
Brønderslev
2.44
Espergærde
2.44
Sydkysten
2.44
Maribo
2.44
Varde
2.44
Skovshoved
2.44
Munkebo
2.44
Hørsholm-Usserød
2.44
tst Fodbold
2.44
Aabybro
2.44
Handelsstandens
2.44
Vaerlose
2.44
Boldklubben FIX
2.44
Morud
2.44
Aalborg KFUM
2.44
Føroyar
2.44
Vigerslev
2.44
FC Nakskov
2.50
Brabrand
3.00
Rudersdal
3.00
SfB-Oure
3.00
OKS
3.00
Skanderborg
3.00
HB Koge
3.00
Nørresundby
4.00
Kjellerup
4.00
Nykobing FC
5.00
Vallensbæk
7.00
FC Fredericia is 1.07 goals worse than Odense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Fredericia or Draw✗ Miss
57.7%
Avg Implied 56.0% · @ 1.63
Edge
+1.7%
24%
33%
42%
covers FC Fredericia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.67
BetVictor
1.65
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.63
FC Fredericia or Odense✓ Hit
66.6%
Avg Implied 74.5% · @ 1.23
Edge
-8.0%
24%
33%
42%
covers FC Fredericia + Odense
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Draw or Odense✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied 69.5% · @ 1.32
Edge
+6.3%
24%
33%
42%
covers Draw + Odense
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
Betfair
1.33
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.9%
@ 1.23-19.6%
Under
45.1%
@ 3.60+19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Under
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.56
Marathonbet
3.56
Superbet
3.35
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.0%
@ 2.22-22.7%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.59+22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
BetVictor
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Bet365
1.57
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 4.82-14.3%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.13+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Superbet
4.50
Under
BetVictor
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
FC Fredericia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 13.50-6.2%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.03+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
1xBet
12.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Odense over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.0%
@ 1.14-12.9%
Under
32.0%
@ 4.83+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Under
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Superbet
4.45
Odense over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
31.5%
@ 1.77-20.7%
Under
68.5%
@ 1.94+20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Odense over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 3.37-16.5%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.26+16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Under
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Odense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 7.20-10.1%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.07+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Fredericia, so a minus line means FC Fredericia give that many goals of a start and Odense receive them. At -1, FC Fredericia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Fredericia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Fredericia)Actual: Odense
FC Fredericia -2
1.9%
@ 15.00-4.3%
Draw -2
6.1%
@ 9.00-4.2%
Odense +2
92.0%
@ 1.11+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Away
Bet365
1.11
Handicap -1 (FC Fredericia)Actual: Odense
FC Fredericia -1
8.0%
@ 5.97-7.0%
Draw -1
16.3%
@ 4.85-2.1%
Odense +1
75.7%
@ 1.34+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.65
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Away
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.30
Handicap +1 (FC Fredericia)Actual: Draw
FC Fredericia +1
57.7%
@ 1.66+5.3%
Draw +1
23.8%
@ 3.89+1.4%
Odense -1
18.5%
@ 3.46-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.61
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Unibet
3.25
Away
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
3.00
Handicap +2 (FC Fredericia)Actual: FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia +2
81.5%
@ 1.24+8.8%
Draw +2
12.5%
@ 5.92-2.6%
Odense -2
6.0%
@ 7.38-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
Away
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
6.75
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Fredericia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.67
0.93
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.14
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.89
0.80
0.90
0.78
0.89
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.50
0.86
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.83
0.25
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.42
0.60
0.40
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.7%
@ 1.24-3.8%
Under 0.5
30.3%
@ 3.45+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.9%
@ 2.19-5.0%
Under 1.5
63.1%
@ 1.58+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.28
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Betfair
1.62
BetVictor
1.61
William Hil
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
10.8%
@ 4.88-8.0%
Under 2.5
89.2%
@ 1.13+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.7%
@ 1.96+5.4%
Under
47.3%
@ 1.76-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.70
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 5.83-1.2%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.08+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.70
Under
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.7%
@ 1.71-12.6%
Under
58.3%
@ 2.04+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.97
Odense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.3%
@ 4.53-6.9%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.15+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Odense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Fredericia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.60
0.93
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.57
0.33
1.67
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.84
0.40
0.90
0.67
0.78
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
0.93
0.57
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
1.67
0.67
1.25
0.75
2.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.71
0.80
0.50
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
81.0%
@ 1.14+0.3%
Under 0.5
19.0%
@ 4.76-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.80
William Hil
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Superbet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.9%
@ 1.73-1.5%
Under 1.5
48.1%
@ 1.98+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.77
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
William Hil
1.70
Under
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.5%
@ 3.22-8.9%
Under 2.5
80.5%
@ 1.28+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.08
Under
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.26
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.8%
@ 1.67-2.2%
Under
47.2%
@ 2.05+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.04
Superbet
2.00
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.2%
@ 4.17-0.7%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.18+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
62.0%
@ 1.49+0.3%
Under
38.0%
@ 2.40-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.43
Superbet
2.37
Odense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.7%
@ 3.25-10.5%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.27+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Odense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 9.10-3.8%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.6%
1.06
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.05
1xBet
1.05
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
95.3%
1.13
BetVictor
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+14.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
95.3%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
+18.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
92.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.3%
1.26
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+16.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.2%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.7%
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-
+6.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.08
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.3%
1.27
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
-
-
-
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
81.5%
1.24
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
-
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+0.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.28
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.26
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
75.7%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
Betfair
1.33
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
75.7%
1.34
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.30
-
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.2%
1.44
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.42
-
-
-
+11.3%
-
Over 2.5 cards
74.3%
1.61
Superbet
1.61
-
-
-
-
+17.7%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Fredericia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Friday Etim29%
Oscar Buch27%
Sofus Johannesen27%
Jonatan Lindekilde24%
Agon Mucolli19%
Gustav Marcussen14%
Felix Winther11%
Svenn Crone10%
Patrick Egelund7%
Anders Dahl6%
Emilio Simonsen5%
William Madsen5%
Eskild Dall4%
Jeppe Kudsk4%
Jakob Jessen3%
Moses Opondo0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Daniel Kristjansson0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Adam Nygaard0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Haarbo33%
Jeppe Kudsk26%
Emilio Simonsen25%
Friday Etim21%
Svenn Crone20%
Felix Winther19%
Moses Opondo12%
Oscar Buch9%
Eskild Dall9%
Andreas Pyndt7%
Adam Nygaard7%
Agon Mucolli6%
Daniel Kristjansson6%
Jakob Jessen6%
William Madsen5%
Sofus Johannesen5%
Gustav Marcussen3%
Frederik Rieper3%
Patrick Egelund0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Anders Dahl0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Jonatan Lindekilde0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Kristjansson19%
Emilio Simonsen15%
Jakob Jessen12%
Jonatan Lindekilde12%
Andreas Pyndt11%
Sofus Johannesen9%
Eskild Dall9%
Felix Winther7%
Friday Etim7%
Gustav Marcussen7%
Patrick Egelund7%
Agon Mucolli6%
Moses Opondo6%
Anders Dahl6%
William Madsen5%
Oscar Buch5%
Adam Nygaard4%
Svenn Crone0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Jeppe Kudsk0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Friday Etim43%
Oscar Buch23%
Sofus Johannesen23%
Jonatan Lindekilde18%
Agon Mucolli12%
Emilio Simonsen10%
Felix Winther4%
Moses Opondo0%
Patrick Egelund0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Svenn Crone0%
Gustav Marcussen0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Anders Dahl0%
Eskild Dall0%
William Madsen0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Daniel Kristjansson0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Jeppe Kudsk0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Jakob Jessen0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Adam Nygaard0%
Odense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fiete Arp25%
Jacob Bonde17%
Noah Ganaus17%
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Topi Keskinen0%
James Gomez0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Gomez50%
Julius Berthel Askou40%
Ulrik Jenssen33%
Marcus McCoy33%
Rasmus Falk20%
Peter Therkildsen17%
Topi Keskinen17%
Ismahila Ouédraogo17%
Jacob Bonde0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Fiete Arp0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Noah Ganaus0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Fiete Arp0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Topi Keskinen0%
James Gomez0%
Noah Ganaus0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Ganaus33%
Fiete Arp25%
Topi Keskinen17%
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Viljar Myhra0%
James Gomez0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
FC Fredericia's squad is €9m less valuable than Odense's (€8m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
FC Fredericia's attack is €6m less valuable than Odense's (€2m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
FC Fredericia and Odense have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
FC Fredericia's defence is €3m less valuable than Odense's (€3m vs €7m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vejle
Hvidovre
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
Vendsyssel FF
Aalborg
AB Copenhagen
Kolding IF
Hillerød
Esbjerg
HB Koge
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske