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FC Helsingor vs Naestved Result & Analysis

Date: 16/09/2022
Time: 17:00
Final 1-2
FC Helsingor
FC Helsingor
Vs
44%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Naestved
Naestved
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Helsingor winâś— Miss
43.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Naestved winâś“ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

FC HelsingorFC Helsingor

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L01L32W03L40W40W42W10W20WH·VEJ23/07A·HOB29/07H·FC 05/08H·HVI13/08A·SON16/08H·FRE19/08A·HB 27/08H·NYK02/09A·HIL10/09
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.561.602.202.500.75
vs Stronger (4)2.252.001.504.003.000.00
vs Similar (5)1.801.201.671.002.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Naestved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaestvedNaestved

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D10W20W00D06L30W11D30W11DH·HVI24/07A·FC 29/07H·HOB07/08A·FRE12/08A·VEJ17/08H·NYK21/08A·SON26/08H·VEN04/09A·HB 09/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.441.112.500.500.601.60
vs Stronger (3)0.672.33--0.672.33
vs Similar (5)1.600.602.330.670.500.50
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %56% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Helsingor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.9%
Under 2.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.5%
Under 3.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.6%
1-2 âś“
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
FC Helsingor goals ↓
Naestved goals →
01234
06.5%5.9%4.5%2.0%0.6%
17.6%12%7.4%3.2%1.0%
27.1%9.2%6.0%2.6%0.8%
33.8%5.0%3.2%1.4%0.5%
41.6%2.0%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Helsingor goals (down), columns = Naestved goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vejle
2.09
Hvidovre
1.81
Sonderjyske
1.75
Vendsyssel FF
1.44
FC Fredericia
1.41
HB Koge
1.38
Naestved
1.34
FC Helsingor
1.31
Hillerød
1.28
Hobro
1.19
Fremad Amager
1.06
Nykobing FC
0.72
FC Helsingor is 0.03 points worse than Naestved in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hvidovre
2.03
Vejle
1.91
Sonderjyske
1.88
FC Fredericia
1.75
Naestved
1.56
HB Koge
1.56
Vendsyssel FF
1.50
FC Helsingor
1.47
Nykobing FC
1.34
Fremad Amager
1.19
Hillerød
1.16
Hobro
1.03
FC Helsingor is 0.09 goals worse than Naestved in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vejle
0.94
Hvidovre
1.28
Hobro
1.31
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
Sonderjyske
1.41
Naestved
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Hillerød
1.59
HB Koge
1.59
FC Helsingor
1.75
Fremad Amager
1.88
Nykobing FC
2.28
FC Helsingor is 0.25 goals worse than Naestved in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC HelsingorFC Helsingor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D21W01L30W20W21W00D00DH·VEJ23/07A·HOB29/07H·FC 05/08H·HVI13/08A·SON16/08H·FRE19/08A·HB 27/08H·NYK02/09A·HIL10/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.560.800.801.250.25
vs Stronger (4)1.250.751.001.501.500.00
vs Similar (5)0.800.400.670.331.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Naestved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaestvedNaestved

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W20W00D04L20W01L10W01LH·HVI24/07A·FC 29/07H·HOB07/08A·FRE12/08A·VEJ17/08H·NYK21/08A·SON26/08H·VEN04/09A·HB 09/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.780.891.500.500.201.20
vs Stronger (3)0.331.67--0.331.67
vs Similar (5)1.000.601.670.670.000.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %56% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Helsingor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Helsingor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naestved over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naestved over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naestved over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC HelsingorFC Helsingor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L11D02L10W20W21W10W20WH·VEJ23/07A·HOB29/07H·FC 05/08H·HVI13/08A·SON16/08H·FRE19/08A·HB 27/08H·NYK02/09A·HIL10/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.000.801.401.250.50
vs Stronger (4)1.001.250.502.501.500.00
vs Similar (5)1.000.801.000.671.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Naestved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaestvedNaestved

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D02L10W10W20W10WH·HVI24/07A·FC 29/07H·HOB07/08A·FRE12/08A·VEJ17/08H·NYK21/08A·SON26/08H·VEN04/09A·HB 09/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.221.000.000.400.40
vs Stronger (3)0.330.67--0.330.67
vs Similar (5)0.600.000.670.000.500.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %89% (+63pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Helsingor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Helsingor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naestved over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naestved over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naestved over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.0%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FH wins
0
Draws
0
NAE wins

Head-to-head

FC Helsingor vs Naestved · H/A from FH
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FC HelsingorFC Helsingor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22AHillerød Vs FH0-2
02/09/22HFH Vs Nykobing FC1-0
27/08/22AHB Koge Vs FH2-4
19/08/22HFH Vs Fremad Amager4-0
16/08/22ASonderjyske Vs FH0-4
13/08/22HFH Vs Hvidovre0-3
05/08/22HFH Vs FC Fredericia3-2
29/07/22AHobro Vs FH1-0
23/07/22HFH Vs Vejle0-6

NaestvedNaestved

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/22AHB Koge Vs NAE1-1
04/09/22HNAE Vs Vendsyssel FF3-0
26/08/22ASonderjyske Vs NAE1-1
21/08/22HNAE Vs Nykobing FC3-0
17/08/22AVejle Vs NAE6-0
12/08/22AFremad Amager Vs NAE0-0
07/08/22HNAE Vs Hobro2-0
29/07/22AFC Fredericia Vs NAE0-1
24/07/22HNAE Vs Hvidovre2-2

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

FC Helsingor
FC Helsingor
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.00
HomeLWLWW1.80
AwayLWWW2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %67%60%75%
AVG goals3.563.803.25
Over 1.5 %78%80%75%
Over 2.5 %67%80%50%
Over 3.5 %56%60%50%
Scored2.001.602.50
Conceded1.562.200.75
BTTS22%20%25%
Clean Sheet44%40%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Naestved
Naestved
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWD1.78
HomeDWWW2.50
AwayWDLDD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%75%20%
AVG goals2.563.002.20
Over 1.5 %78%100%60%
Over 2.5 %44%75%20%
Over 3.5 %22%25%20%
Scored1.442.500.60
Conceded1.110.501.60
BTTS33%25%40%
Clean Sheet56%75%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle3267
62%
2.1
6130+31
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.90.9
-
2HvidovreHvidovre3258
53%
1.8
6541+24
3.3
81%
69%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.3
-
3SonderjyskeSonderjyske3256
50%
1.8
6045+15
3.3
78%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3361.91.4
-
4Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3246
41%
1.4
4843+5
2.8
75%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3245
41%
1.4
5648+8
3.2
78%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.81.5
-
6HB KogeHB Koge3244
41%
1.4
5051-1
3.2
72%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.61.6
-
7NaestvedNaestved3243
34%
1.3
5048+2
3.1
84%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
8FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3242
41%
1.3
4756-9
3.2
72%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
9HillerødHillerød3241
38%
1.3
3751-14
2.8
81%
41%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.6
-
10HobroHobro3238
28%
1.2
3342-9
2.3
69%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.01.3
-
11Fremad AmagerFremad Amager3234
31%
1.1
3860-22
3.1
69%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12Nykobing FCNykobing FC3223
19%
0.7
4373-30
3.6
91%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.3
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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