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FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 2-1
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
vs
FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
Switzerland: Super League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Lugano win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Vaduz win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC LuganoFC Lugano

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L11D11D10W10W10W10W12L22D40WH·FC 07/03A·FC 17/03A·BSC22/03H·FC 04/04A·FC 11/04A·FC 25/04H·BSC03/05H·FC 10/05A·FC 14/05H·FC 17/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.901.931.001.200.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.500.901.911.001.000.78
vs Weaker (10)1.700.902.001.001.500.83
Clean sheet %40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC VaduzFC Vaduz

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W31W32W12L21W31W22D21W12L31WH·YVE20/03A·NEU03/04H·BEL07/04A·YVE10/04H·RAP19/04A·STA24/04H·STA02/05A·ÉTO08/05H·FC 11/05A·FC 15/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.232.211.361.811.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)2.041.422.251.421.831.42
vs Weaker (6)1.830.502.001.001.750.25
Clean sheet %30% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Thun
1.97
FC ST. Gallen
1.84
FC Lugano
1.76
FC Sion
1.66
FC Basel 1893
1.47
BSC Young Boys
1.45
FC Luzern
1.39
Servette FC
1.39
Lausanne
1.11
FC Zurich
1.00
FC Vaduz
0.98
Grasshoppers
0.93
FC Lugano is 0.79 points better than FC Vaduz in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 0.98).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Thun
2.11
BSC Young Boys
2.11
FC Luzern
2.00
FC ST. Gallen
1.89
Servette FC
1.87
FC Sion
1.66
FC Lugano
1.55
FC Basel 1893
1.45
Lausanne
1.39
FC Zurich
1.29
Grasshoppers
1.25
FC Vaduz
1.16
FC Lugano is 0.40 goals better than FC Vaduz in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Sion
1.05
FC Lugano
1.11
FC ST. Gallen
1.24
FC Thun
1.37
FC Basel 1893
1.53
Servette FC
1.66
FC Luzern
1.74
Lausanne
1.76
BSC Young Boys
1.82
Grasshoppers
1.88
FC Zurich
1.89
FC Vaduz
2.14
FC Lugano is 1.03 goals better than FC Vaduz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 2.14).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Lugano
56%
BSC Young Boys
55%
FC Basel 1893
55%
Servette FC
52%
FC Sion
51%
FC Zurich
51%
FC Luzern
50%
Lausanne
50%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC ST. Gallen
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC LuganoFC Lugano

For 4.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

120554426725752354645431088912781097H·FC A·FC H·FC H·BSCA·FC A·FC H·FC A·BSCA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

1002214371443212331521345105735474H·FC A·FC H·FC H·BSCA·FC A·FC H·FC A·BSCA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.9

⚠️ Fouls

300128151510157131410111691516813991420302520242724242223H·FC A·FC H·FC H·BSCA·FC A·FC H·FC A·BSCA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC VaduzFC Vaduz

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FC LuganoFC Lugano

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.79.54.84.55.125.124.825.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (37)9.18.69.74.74.64.724.624.424.8
vs Weaker (13)9.19.29.05.24.25.926.526.426.6
% over line40%30%48%78%79%77%83%83%84%
% under line60%70%52%22%21%23%17%17%16%
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC VaduzFC Vaduz

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.57.08.00.30.40.224.524.025.0
vs Stronger (3)7.57.08.04.34.54.024.524.025.0
vs Similar (34)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (13)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%4%4%4%100%100%100%
% under line100%100%100%96%96%96%0%0%0%
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.9
FC ST. Gallen
10.8
Lausanne
10.7
Servette FC
10.6
FC Thun
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.4
FC Luzern
10.3
FC Sion
9.9
BSC Young Boys
9.6
Grasshoppers
9.6
FC Vaduz
9.4
FC Lugano
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
6.0
FC Vaduz
5.3
Grasshoppers
5.2
FC Thun
5.1
Lausanne
5.0
FC Sion
4.9
FC Lugano
4.8
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Zurich
4.8
FC Luzern
4.6
Servette FC
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
29.9
FC Thun
28.1
FC Sion
27.1
FC Zurich
26.8
FC Basel 1893
26.8
FC Vaduz
25.4
Grasshoppers
25.1
FC Lugano
25.1
Lausanne
24.6
FC Luzern
24.1
BSC Young Boys
23.9
Servette FC
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.7%
Under 9.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.4%
Under 3.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.7%
Under 21.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC LuganoFC Lugano

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L00D00D00D00D00D10W20WH·FC 07/03A·FC 17/03A·BSC22/03H·FC 04/04A·FC 11/04A·FC 25/04H·BSC03/05H·FC 10/05A·FC 14/05H·FC 17/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.331.070.270.330.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.700.351.090.270.220.44
vs Weaker (10)0.700.301.000.250.500.33
Clean sheet %67% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC VaduzFC Vaduz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W30W11D20W20W22D21W11D20WH·YVE20/03A·NEU03/04H·BEL07/04A·YVE10/04H·RAP19/04A·STA24/04H·STA02/05A·ÉTO08/05H·FC 11/05A·FC 15/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.601.290.640.810.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.000.751.170.750.830.75
vs Weaker (6)1.170.002.000.000.750.00
Clean sheet %53% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Lugano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls88.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards86.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls77.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards72.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (39)
€83m
FB1 (29)
€70m
FL (34)
€69m
FZ (82)
€58m
LAU (62)
€47m
FSG (33)
€41m
FL (31)
€41m
FT (28)
€30m
FS (28)
€29m
SF (28)
€17m
FV (26)
€6m
FC Lugano's squad is €63m more valuable than FC Vaduz's (€69m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (12)
€37m
FZ (25)
€23m
FSG (15)
€20m
BYB (8)
€18m
LAU (23)
€18m
FS (11)
€17m
FL (12)
€15m
FL (9)
€8m
FT (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€4m
FV (8)
€2m
FC Lugano's attack is €6m more valuable than FC Vaduz's (€8m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (11)
€21m
FB1 (5)
€17m
FZ (21)
€16m
FT (10)
€13m
LAU (12)
€9m
FL (8)
€9m
SF (10)
€6m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (7)
€5m
FL (5)
€5m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Lugano's midfield is €7m more valuable than FC Vaduz's (€9m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€52m
BYB (20)
€44m
FL (14)
€20m
LAU (27)
€20m
FZ (36)
€19m
FB1 (12)
€15m
FSG (12)
€14m
FT (11)
€10m
FS (10)
€7m
SF (12)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Lugano's defence is €50m more valuable than FC Vaduz's (€52m vs €2m).

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FL wins
0
Draws
0
FV wins

Head-to-head

FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz · H/A from FL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FC LuganoFC Lugano

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HFL Vs FC Basel 18934-0
14/05/26AFC Sion Vs FL2-2
10/05/26HFL Vs FC ST. Gallen1-2
03/05/26HFL Vs BSC Young Boys1-0
25/04/26AFC Thun Vs FL0-1
11/04/26AFC Zurich Vs FL0-1
04/04/26HFL Vs FC Thun1-0
22/03/26ABSC Young Boys Vs FL1-1
17/03/26AFC ST. Gallen Vs FL1-1
07/03/26HFL Vs FC Luzern1-3

FC VaduzFC Vaduz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26AFC WIL 1900 Vs FV1-3
11/05/26HFV Vs FC Aarau1-2
08/05/26AÉtoile Carouge Vs FV1-2
02/05/26HFV Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2-2
24/04/26AStade Nyonnais Vs FV1-3
19/04/26HFV Vs Rapperswil2-1
10/04/26AYverdon Sport Vs FV2-1
07/04/26HFV Vs Bellinzona3-2
03/04/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs FV1-3
20/03/26HFV Vs Yverdon Sport2-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
Switzerland: Super League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.54
HomeLWWLW1.75
AwayDDWWD1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%35%
AVG goals2.743.002.50
Over 1.5 %74%83%65%
Over 2.5 %44%58%31%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored1.421.671.19
Conceded1.321.331.31
BTTS58%67%50%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners9.108.709.48
Cards4.824.545.08
FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
Switzerland: Super League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.96
HomeWWWDL2.28
AwayWLWWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%72%48%
AVG goals3.003.162.84
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.822.041.60
Conceded1.181.121.24
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners7.507.008.00
Cards6.509.004.00

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC LuganoFC Lugano39
100%
3.0
112+9
4.3
100%
100%
67%
8.7
33%
2.7
0%
21.7
67%
69
89523.70.7
56%
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys37
67%
2.3
124+8
5.3
100%
100%
100%
8.0
33%
4.0
33%
28.0
100%
83
1821444.01.3
55%
3FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen37
67%
2.3
75+2
4.0
100%
100%
67%
12.0
67%
4.7
67%
26.7
67%
41
206142.31.7
45%
4FC SionFC Sion36
67%
2.0
86+2
4.7
100%
100%
67%
8.7
67%
3.7
33%
21.3
33%
29
17572.72.0
51%
5FC Basel 1893FC Basel 189336
67%
2.0
53+2
2.7
33%
33%
33%
11.0
67%
5.5
100%
27.7
100%
70
3717151.71.0
55%
6LausanneLausanne35
33%
1.7
43+1
2.3
67%
33%
33%
7.7
33%
7.0
100%
31.0
100%
47
189201.31.0
50%
7Servette FCServette FC33
33%
1.0
34-1
2.3
67%
67%
0%
13.0
100%
6.5
100%
24.7
100%
17
4661.01.3
52%
8FC ZurichFC Zurich33
33%
1.0
38-5
3.7
100%
100%
33%
8.7
33%
4.0
67%
30.3
100%
58
2316191.02.7
51%
9FC ThunFC Thun33
33%
1.0
511-6
5.3
100%
100%
100%
11.0
33%
3.3
67%
26.0
100%
30
813101.73.7
46%
10GrasshoppersGrasshoppers31
0%
0.3
37-4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
8.7
33%
5.7
67%
24.0
67%
0
0001.02.3
45%
11FC LuzernFC Luzern31
0%
0.3
38-5
3.7
100%
100%
67%
12.7
67%
4.7
67%
22.0
67%
41
155201.02.7
50%
12FC VaduzFC Vaduz30
0%
0.0
58-3
4.3
100%
100%
67%
12.0
100%
3.7
33%
19.3
33%
6
2221.72.7
-
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →

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