This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.40
1.20
1.33
0.60
1.47
vs Stronger (15)
0.60
1.33
0.62
1.25
0.57
1.43
vs Similar (15)
1.20
1.47
1.86
1.43
0.62
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.8%
Under 1.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.8%
Under 2.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.2%
No
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.3%
2-0 ✓
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
FC Luzern goals ↓
Grasshoppers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
7.4%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
1
15%
13%
4.7%
1.2%
0.2%
2
11%
8.7%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
3
5.3%
4.2%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.9%
1.5%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Luzern goals (down), columns = Grasshoppers goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Basel 1893
1.92
Servette FC
1.66
BSC Young Boys
1.61
FC Aarau
1.50
FC Lugano
1.42
FC Zurich
1.39
Lausanne
1.39
FC ST. Gallen
1.37
FC Luzern
1.37
FC Sion
1.16
FC Winterthur
1.05
Grasshoppers
1.05
Yverdon Sport
1.03
FC Luzern is 0.32 points better than Grasshoppers in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.05).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Basel 1893
2.39
FC Luzern
1.74
Servette FC
1.68
Lausanne
1.63
BSC Young Boys
1.58
FC Zurich
1.47
FC Lugano
1.45
FC ST. Gallen
1.37
FC Sion
1.24
Grasshoppers
1.18
FC Winterthur
1.13
Yverdon Sport
1.05
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Luzern is 0.56 goals better than Grasshoppers in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Basel 1893
1.13
BSC Young Boys
1.29
Grasshoppers
1.35
FC ST. Gallen
1.39
Lausanne
1.42
Servette FC
1.45
FC Zurich
1.50
FC Sion
1.50
FC Lugano
1.53
FC Luzern
1.68
FC Winterthur
1.79
Yverdon Sport
1.79
FC Aarau
2.00
FC Luzern is 0.33 goals worse than Grasshoppers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Lugano
60%
FC Zurich
55%
FC Basel 1893
54%
BSC Young Boys
52%
FC ST. Gallen
50%
Servette FC
50%
Lausanne
48%
FC Luzern
48%
FC Sion
47%
Grasshoppers
46%
FC Winterthur
45%
Yverdon Sport
44%
FC Luzern is 1.8 percentage points better than Grasshoppers in terms of average possession (48% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Luzern
For 6.8 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grasshoppers
For 5.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 10.1 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.3
10.6
5.0
5.3
4.7
24.2
24.4
24.1
vs Stronger (4)
14.5
16.0
14.0
6.0
7.0
5.7
27.2
28.0
27.0
vs Similar (43)
10.8
11.4
10.2
4.8
5.0
4.6
23.9
24.3
23.5
vs Weaker (3)
8.0
7.5
9.0
6.3
7.0
5.0
24.7
23.0
28.0
% over line
60%
64%
56%
72%
76%
68%
74%
72%
76%
% under line
40%
36%
44%
28%
24%
32%
26%
28%
24%
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.3
8.5
4.1
4.4
3.8
23.5
24.4
22.6
vs Stronger (24)
10.6
11.4
9.6
4.2
4.2
4.1
23.3
23.4
23.2
vs Similar (26)
8.5
9.2
7.8
4.0
4.7
3.5
23.7
25.3
22.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
58%
38%
58%
64%
52%
60%
62%
58%
% under line
52%
42%
62%
42%
36%
48%
40%
38%
42%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Yverdon Sport
10.9
FC Luzern
10.9
BSC Young Boys
10.9
FC ST. Gallen
10.8
FC Basel 1893
10.7
FC Sion
10.7
Servette FC
10.4
Lausanne
10.1
FC Winterthur
9.8
Grasshoppers
9.6
FC Zurich
9.4
FC Lugano
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Sion
5.6
FC Basel 1893
5.3
Lausanne
5.2
FC ST. Gallen
5.1
FC Lugano
5.1
FC Winterthur
5.0
FC Luzern
5.0
Yverdon Sport
4.9
FC Zurich
4.8
BSC Young Boys
4.7
Grasshoppers
4.4
Servette FC
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Yverdon Sport
26.3
BSC Young Boys
25.1
FC Basel 1893
24.5
Lausanne
24.4
FC ST. Gallen
24.2
FC Luzern
24.2
FC Zurich
24.1
FC Lugano
23.6
Grasshoppers
23.3
FC Sion
23.2
Servette FC
22.8
FC Winterthur
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.5%
Under 9.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.3%
Under 3.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.5%
Under 21.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.27
0.73
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.38
0.69
0.21
0.79
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.47
0.80
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
0.73
0.38
0.75
0.43
0.71
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.67
0.57
0.86
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
0.87
0.27
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
-
-
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
0.96
0.50
0.79
0.29
1.17
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.73
0.53
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (15)
0.20
0.60
0.25
0.50
0.14
0.71
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.80
1.29
0.57
0.38
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donat Rrudhani27%
Adrian Grbić23%
Thibault Klidje22%
Luca Jaquez16%
Levin Winkler14%
Sinan Karweina14%
Lars Villiger13%
Kevin Spadanuda11%
Pius Dorn8%
Aleksandar Stanković8%
Stefan Knežević6%
Nicky Beloko5%
Bung Meng Freimann5%
Jakub Kadák4%
Severin Ottiger3%
Tyron Owusu3%
Andrejs Cigaņiks3%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Ismajl Beka0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Ruben Dantas0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ismajl Beka100%
Stefan Knežević36%
Nicky Beloko20%
Jesper Lofgren20%
Donat Rrudhani20%
Andrejs Cigaņiks17%
Pius Dorn16%
Severin Ottiger13%
Jakub Kadák13%
Levin Winkler11%
Bung Meng Freimann10%
Adrian Grbić10%
Aleksandar Stanković8%
Lars Villiger8%
Tyron Owusu6%
Kevin Spadanuda6%
Pascal Loretz5%
Luca Jaquez5%
Sinan Karweina5%
Dario Ulrich0%
Thibault Klidje0%
Ruben Dantas0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bung Hua Freimann33%
Donat Rrudhani20%
Pius Dorn19%
Lars Villiger13%
Andrejs Cigaņiks11%
Kevin Spadanuda11%
Levin Winkler11%
Severin Ottiger10%
Sinan Karweina9%
Jakub Kadák9%
Thibault Klidje8%
Aleksandar Stanković5%
Nicky Beloko5%
Adrian Grbić3%
Tyron Owusu3%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Ismajl Beka0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Ruben Dantas0%
Bung Meng Freimann0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thibault Klidje38%
Adrian Grbić16%
Sinan Karweina14%
Donat Rrudhani10%
Kevin Spadanuda6%
Aleksandar Stanković5%
Luca Jaquez5%
Lars Villiger5%
Andrejs Cigaņiks3%
Pius Dorn0%
Nicky Beloko0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Ismajl Beka0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Jakub Kadák0%
Tyron Owusu0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Severin Ottiger0%
Ruben Dantas0%
Levin Winkler0%
Bung Meng Freimann0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Grasshoppers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leart Kabashi33%
Nikolas Muci20%
Giotto Morandi19%
Tugra Turhan17%
Young-Jun Lee15%
Tomas Veron Lupi12%
Sonny Kittel12%
Tsiy William Ndenge12%
Adama Bojang12%
Awer Mabil11%
Kristers Tobers10%
Pascal Schürpf7%
Evans Fabrice Maurin7%
Mathieu Choinière6%
Nestory Irankunda5%
Maksim Paskotsi4%
Dirk Abels4%
Noah Persson3%
Saulo Decarli0%
Bryan Lasme0%
Benno Schmitz0%
Amir Abrashi0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Asumah Abubakar0%
Théo Ndicka Matam0%
Justin Hammel0%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira0%
Hassane Imourane0%
Simone Stroscio0%
Tim Meyer0%
Yannik Bettkober0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristers Tobers40%
Evans Fabrice Maurin33%
Yannik Bettkober33%
Amir Abrashi30%
Nestory Irankunda26%
Simone Stroscio25%
Saulo Decarli24%
Giotto Morandi23%
Hassane Imourane21%
Young-Jun Lee20%
Adama Bojang19%
Tim Meyer19%
Ayumu Seko16%
Tomas Veron Lupi16%
Tsiy William Ndenge16%
Maksim Paskotsi16%
Benno Schmitz15%
Sonny Kittel12%
Mathieu Choinière12%
Awer Mabil11%
Justin Hammel11%
Dirk Abels11%
Nikolas Muci9%
Pascal Schürpf7%
Noah Persson7%
Bryan Lasme0%
Asumah Abubakar0%
Théo Ndicka Matam0%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira0%
Leart Kabashi0%
Tugra Turhan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Théo Ndicka Matam20%
Young-Jun Lee20%
Benno Schmitz19%
Giotto Morandi19%
Nestory Irankunda16%
Tomas Veron Lupi12%
Awer Mabil11%
Adama Bojang8%
Amir Abrashi7%
Evans Fabrice Maurin7%
Tsiy William Ndenge4%
Tim Meyer4%
Nikolas Muci3%
Ayumu Seko3%
Saulo Decarli0%
Bryan Lasme0%
Sonny Kittel0%
Dirk Abels0%
Asumah Abubakar0%
Pascal Schürpf0%
Mathieu Choinière0%
Maksim Paskotsi0%
Kristers Tobers0%
Justin Hammel0%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira0%
Noah Persson0%
Hassane Imourane0%
Simone Stroscio0%
Leart Kabashi0%
Tugra Turhan0%
Yannik Bettkober0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Lasme50%
Leart Kabashi33%
Adama Bojang19%
Nikolas Muci17%
Giotto Morandi15%
Young-Jun Lee15%
Awer Mabil11%
Nestory Irankunda11%
Kristers Tobers10%
Evans Fabrice Maurin7%
Tomas Veron Lupi4%
Sonny Kittel4%
Tsiy William Ndenge4%
Dirk Abels4%
Saulo Decarli0%
Benno Schmitz0%
Amir Abrashi0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Asumah Abubakar0%
Pascal Schürpf0%
Mathieu Choinière0%
Maksim Paskotsi0%
Théo Ndicka Matam0%
Justin Hammel0%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira0%
Noah Persson0%
Hassane Imourane0%
Simone Stroscio0%
Tim Meyer0%
Tugra Turhan0%
Yannik Bettkober0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
FC Luzern's squad is €10m more valuable than Grasshoppers's (€26m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
FC Luzern's attack is €11m more valuable than Grasshoppers's (€15m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
FA (4)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
FC Luzern's midfield is €1m less valuable than Grasshoppers's (€3m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FA (13)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
FC Luzern and Grasshoppers have a similar defence value (both €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →