FC Luzern and Lausanne are set to clash in the Switzerland: Super League on August 22. Recent form has seen both teams come off draws in their last encounters, with Luzern drawing 2-2 against FC ST. Gallen and Lausanne drawing 2-2 against BSC Young Boys. This high-scoring match is projected to yield 3.2 goals on average, with a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 11.4% probability.
At home, Luzern has scored an average of 2.33 goals and conceded 1.5, while Lausanne has scored 0.6 goals and conceded 1.3 when playing away against similar opponents. The model predicts a home win, with a 47% probability of Luzern emerging victorious, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability of Lausanne winning.
The model's selection is the Home win, with the draw and away win percentages being 25% and 28% respectively. The model also suggests the Over 1.5 selection, which has an 83.4% probability, and the Over 21.5 fouls selection, with a 76.7% probability. Additionally, the Over 3.5 cards selection is suggested, with a 74% probability.
Results analysis
The win extends FC Luzern’s recent run, their fifth match ending in a victory after a 1-0 triumph over Lausanne. The model’s pre-match favourite, a home win, was correct, reflecting a 47 % probability. The final score of 1-0 matched the predicted outcome. Every model selection proved accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5 %, Under 7.5 at 97.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.2 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.1 %, Under 6.5 at 93.9 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.0 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 89.7 %. The model’s predictions, all settled, aligned perfectly with the match’s reality.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Luzern win✓ Hit
47.4%
Avg Implied 46.4% · @ 2.00
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.06
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Dafabet
2.03
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.78
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.99
Betfair
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Dafabet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.80
Lausanne win✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.21
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Luzern
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.83
2.33
2.07
1.73
1.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
2.20
1.84
2.67
2.00
1.77
1.69
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.67
1.00
2.50
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.67
1.20
1.67
1.00
1.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.00
1.73
1.20
1.90
0.83
1.58
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.71
1.25
1.50
1.67
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.3%
@ 1.14+1.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
@ 5.20-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
888Sport
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Under
Betfair
6.00
Pinnacle
5.57
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.1%
@ 1.48-1.8%
Under 2.5
38.9%
@ 2.50+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.59
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.50
888Sport
2.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.8%
@ 2.21-3.6%
Under 3.5
61.2%
@ 1.63+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Betfair
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.9%
@ 1.44-1.4%
No
37.1%
@ 2.58+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
No
Betfair
2.70
1xBet
2.63
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 7.48+5.4%
2-1
9.4%@ 8.25+3.9%
1-2
7.0%@ 10.69+2.8%
2-0
7.0%@ 11.48+3.1%
1-0 ✓
6.7%@ 10.67+2.4%
2-2
6.3%@ 10.61+2.1%
3-1
5.7%@ 12.88+2.2%
0-0
5.3%@ 16.43+2.6%
FC Luzern goals ↓
Lausanne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
4.7%
3.9%
1.7%
0.6%
1
6.7%
11%
7.0%
3.1%
1.1%
2
7.0%
9.4%
6.3%
2.8%
1.0%
3
4.2%
5.7%
3.8%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.9%
2.6%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Luzern goals (down), columns = Lausanne goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Thun
1.97
FC ST. Gallen
1.84
FC Lugano
1.76
FC Sion
1.66
FC Basel 1893
1.47
BSC Young Boys
1.45
FC Luzern
1.39
Servette FC
1.39
Lausanne
1.11
FC Zurich
1.00
FC Vaduz
0.94
Grasshoppers
0.88
FC Luzern is 0.29 points better than Lausanne in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Thun
2.11
BSC Young Boys
2.11
FC Luzern
2.00
FC ST. Gallen
1.89
Servette FC
1.87
FC Sion
1.66
FC Lugano
1.55
FC Basel 1893
1.45
Lausanne
1.39
FC Zurich
1.29
Grasshoppers
1.23
FC Vaduz
1.09
FC Luzern is 0.61 goals better than Lausanne in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Sion
1.05
FC Lugano
1.11
FC ST. Gallen
1.24
FC Thun
1.37
FC Basel 1893
1.53
Servette FC
1.66
FC Luzern
1.74
Lausanne
1.76
BSC Young Boys
1.82
Grasshoppers
1.88
FC Zurich
1.89
FC Vaduz
2.22
FC Luzern is 0.03 goals better than Lausanne in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.76).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Lugano
56%
BSC Young Boys
55%
FC Basel 1893
55%
Servette FC
52%
FC Sion
51%
FC Zurich
51%
FC Luzern
50%
Lausanne
50%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC ST. Gallen
45%
FC Luzern is 0.4 percentage points better than Lausanne in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Luzern
For 7.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 9.1 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lausanne
For 4.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 14.1 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.1
9.6
4.6
5.0
4.1
23.9
24.5
23.4
vs Stronger (5)
8.8
10.3
6.5
4.0
4.7
3.0
22.4
23.0
21.5
vs Similar (41)
10.7
11.3
10.0
4.6
5.0
4.2
24.2
24.7
23.8
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
10.5
7.5
5.0
5.5
4.5
22.8
24.5
21.0
% over line
54%
60%
48%
76%
84%
68%
66%
72%
60%
% under line
46%
40%
52%
24%
16%
32%
34%
28%
40%
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.3
11.0
5.1
4.6
5.6
24.6
24.2
25.0
vs Stronger (3)
11.0
10.5
12.0
4.3
3.0
7.0
26.7
24.5
31.0
vs Similar (39)
10.7
10.6
10.8
5.0
4.6
5.4
24.5
23.9
25.1
vs Weaker (8)
10.4
8.5
12.2
5.6
5.0
6.2
24.4
25.2
23.5
% over line
68%
56%
80%
78%
64%
92%
76%
72%
80%
% under line
32%
44%
20%
22%
36%
8%
24%
28%
20%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.8
Lausanne
10.7
FC ST. Gallen
10.6
Servette FC
10.4
FC Luzern
10.3
FC Thun
10.3
FC Basel 1893
10.3
FC Vaduz
9.8
Grasshoppers
9.7
BSC Young Boys
9.6
FC Sion
9.5
FC Lugano
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Thun
5.0
FC Vaduz
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.9
FC Zurich
4.8
Servette FC
4.6
FC Sion
4.6
FC Luzern
4.6
FC Lugano
4.6
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.2
FC Thun
27.8
FC Zurich
27.3
FC Sion
26.9
FC Basel 1893
26.7
FC Lugano
25.1
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.6
FC Vaduz
24.5
BSC Young Boys
24.2
FC Luzern
23.9
Servette FC
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
66.7%
@ 1.46+3.8%
Under 9.5
33.3%
@ 2.48-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Under
Unibet
2.60
Superbet
2.52
Pinnacle
2.47
Betano
2.47
Marathonbet
2.46
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.0%
Under 3.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.7%
Under 21.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Luzern or Draw✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied 71.0% · @ 1.32
Edge
-1.3%
47%
25%
28%
covers FC Luzern + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Betano
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.33
FC Luzern or Lausanne✓ Hit
76.0%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.1%
47%
25%
28%
covers FC Luzern + Lausanne
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Draw or Lausanne✗ Miss
54.3%
Avg Implied 53.1% · @ 1.76
Edge
+1.2%
47%
25%
28%
covers Draw + Lausanne
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.87
Betfair
1.83
10Bet
1.80
888Sport
1.80
SBO
1.79
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.2%
@ 1.13+2.5%
Under
14.8%
@ 5.36-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.00
888Sport
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.35
Superbet
5.30
FC Luzern over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.9%
@ 1.68+1.3%
Under
43.1%
@ 2.10-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.12
Betano
2.12
888Sport
2.10
Bet365
2.10
FC Luzern over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.9%
@ 3.12+0.0%
Under
70.1%
@ 1.33-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.35
BetVictor
3.25
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.16
Marathonbet
3.16
Under
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
FC Luzern over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 6.47-1.7%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.09+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
1xBet
6.75
Superbet
6.60
888Sport
6.50
Under
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Lausanne over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.4%
@ 1.24+3.7%
Under
21.6%
@ 3.68-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.95
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.74
Marathonbet
3.74
Lausanne over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 2.20+2.9%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.62-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.22
Under
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Betano
1.62
Lausanne over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
@ 4.86+0.9%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.15-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.85
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Lausanne over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 11.06-1.6%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.03+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Luzern, so a minus line means FC Luzern give that many goals of a start and Lausanne receive them. At -1, FC Luzern must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Luzern win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Luzern)Actual: Lausanne
FC Luzern -2
12.0%
@ 6.56-1.7%
Draw -2
14.1%
@ 5.57-2.0%
Lausanne +2
74.0%
@ 1.27+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Unibet
6.25
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Superbet
5.45
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Away
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.23
Handicap -1 (FC Luzern)Actual: Draw
FC Luzern -1
26.0%
@ 3.31-1.0%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 4.00-2.7%
Lausanne +1
54.3%
@ 1.77+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Away
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Unibet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Handicap +1 (FC Luzern)Actual: FC Luzern
FC Luzern +1
69.7%
@ 1.31+1.6%
Draw +1
15.6%
@ 5.09-1.9%
Lausanne -1
14.6%
@ 6.19+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.05
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Away
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.10
Marathonbet
5.95
Superbet
5.90
Handicap +2 (FC Luzern)Actual: FC Luzern
FC Luzern +2
85.4%
@ 1.08+1.9%
Draw +2
9.1%
@ 9.25-0.7%
Lausanne -2
5.6%
@ 13.50-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
8.50
Away
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.83
1.00
0.87
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.84
1.08
0.83
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.60
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.55
0.80
0.60
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.6%
@ 1.24-3.4%
Under 0.5
28.4%
@ 3.70+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.80
BetVictor
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.6%
@ 2.16-5.6%
Under 1.5
62.4%
@ 1.64+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.26
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Betfair
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.6%
@ 4.68-5.2%
Under 2.5
85.4%
@ 1.16+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.80
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Under
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.3%
@ 1.66-0.8%
Under
44.7%
@ 2.11+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.18
1xBet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.5%
@ 4.17-3.6%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.19+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Betano
4.10
1xBet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 10.75-3.9%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Lausanne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.6%
@ 1.98-7.3%
Under
60.4%
@ 1.75+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.94
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Unibet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Lausanne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 5.93-5.2%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.09+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.90
Superbet
5.90
1xBet
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Lausanne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 17.67-3.9%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.00
1.33
1.20
1.20
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.40
1.00
1.58
1.17
1.23
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.07
0.53
1.07
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.41
1.18
0.40
1.30
0.42
1.08
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.86
0.75
0.75
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
80.5%
Under 0.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.3%
Under 1.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.0%
Under 2.5
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
65.3%
Under
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.8%
Under
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
49.6%
Under
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.8%
Under
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.5%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.02
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
86.5%
1.08
Pinnacle
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.4%
1.08
Bet365
1.09
Unibet
1.08
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
85.2%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
888Sport
1.13
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.3%
1.14
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
888Sport
1.14
Superbet
1.14
+1.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.5%
1.19
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
80.0%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.4%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
77.4%
1.26
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
74.0%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.23
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
73.6%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.24
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
70.1%
1.33
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-0.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matteo Di Giusto40%
Daniel Mikołajewski33%
Stefan Knežević25%
Andrejs Cigaņiks20%
Simon Simoni0%
Pius Dorn0%
Leonardo Bertone0%
Tyron Owusu0%
Aurelio Oehlers0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Mio Zimmermann0%
Lucas Silva0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Oscar Kabwit0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrejs Cigaņiks40%
Leonardo Bertone40%
Mio Zimmermann40%
Daniel Mikołajewski33%
Tyron Owusu25%
Bung Hua Freimann25%
Pius Dorn20%
Lucas Silva20%
Simon Simoni0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Matteo Di Giusto0%
Aurelio Oehlers0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Oscar Kabwit0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aurelio Oehlers33%
Daniel Mikołajewski33%
Matteo Di Giusto20%
Oscar Kabwit20%
Simon Simoni0%
Pius Dorn0%
Andrejs Cigaņiks0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Leonardo Bertone0%
Tyron Owusu0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Mio Zimmermann0%
Lucas Silva0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Mikołajewski33%
Matteo Di Giusto20%
Oscar Kabwit20%
Simon Simoni0%
Pius Dorn0%
Andrejs Cigaņiks0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Leonardo Bertone0%
Tyron Owusu0%
Aurelio Oehlers0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Mio Zimmermann0%
Lucas Silva0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Lausanne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florent Mollet40%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes33%
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji20%
Omar Janneh20%
Morgan Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
Olivier Custodio0%
Brandon Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
Melvin Mastil0%
Abdou Karim Sow0%
Theo Bergvall0%
Sekou Kone0%
Seydou Traore0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Olivier Custodio60%
Morgan Poaty40%
Florent Mollet40%
Abdou Karim Sow40%
Theo Bergvall33%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes33%
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji20%
Brandon Soppy20%
Sekou Kone20%
Omar Janneh20%
Kevin Mouanga0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
Melvin Mastil0%
Seydou Traore0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Seydou Traore33%
Abdou Karim Sow20%
Sekou Kone20%
Omar Janneh20%
Morgan Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
Florent Mollet0%
Olivier Custodio0%
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji0%
Brandon Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
Melvin Mastil0%
Theo Bergvall0%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omar Janneh20%
Morgan Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
Florent Mollet0%
Olivier Custodio0%
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji0%
Brandon Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
Melvin Mastil0%
Abdou Karim Sow0%
Theo Bergvall0%
Sekou Kone0%
Seydou Traore0%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
FC Luzern and Lausanne have a similar squad value (both €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Luzern's attack is €6m more valuable than Lausanne's (€15m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
FC Luzern's midfield is €3m less valuable than Lausanne's (€3m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Luzern's defence is €5m less valuable than Lausanne's (€8m vs €13m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
FC Sion
FC Thun
FC Zurich
Servette FC
FC Vaduz
Grasshoppers