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FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-1
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Vs
45%
23%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aarhus
Aarhus
Denmark: DBU Pokalen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FC Midtjylland win✗ Miss
44.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aarhus win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D10W12L33D20W21W10W41W40W00DA·VIB07/12H·GEN11/12A·FC 14/12A·BRA22/01H·DIN29/01H·FC 08/02A·AAR12/02A·ODE15/02A·SIL22/02H·BRO01/03← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.470.802.690.462.291.06
vs Stronger (1)3.001.003.001.00--
vs Similar (15)2.200.932.570.291.881.50
vs Weaker (14)2.710.642.800.602.670.67
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AarhusAarhus

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W20W21W01L31W21W01L11D52W21WA·SIL21/11H·FC 30/11A·RAN07/12A·ODE11/12H·ODE14/12H·ODE09/02H·FC 12/02A·FC 15/02H·VIB22/02A·VEJ01/03← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.201.881.191.861.21
vs Stronger (5)1.200.800.670.332.001.50
vs Similar (24)2.001.292.151.381.821.18
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%21%3%07%117%221%319%415%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.7%
Under 1.5
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
72.3%
Under 2.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.7%
Under 3.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
72.2%
No
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
2-3
4.1%
FC Midtjylland goals ↓
Aarhus goals →
01234
03.2%3.2%3.5%2.0%0.9%
14.0%9.0%7.0%4.0%1.7%
24.9%8.3%7.2%4.1%1.8%
33.3%5.7%4.9%2.8%1.2%
41.7%2.9%2.5%1.4%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Midtjylland goals (down), columns = Aarhus goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Copenhagen
3.00
Skive
2.50
Esbjerg
2.25
Frem
2.25
NÃĶsby
2.25
HolbÃĶk B&I
2.25
Avarta
2.00
IshÃļj
2.00
Holstebro
2.00
GÃļrslev
2.00
VanlÃļse
2.00
VSK Århus
2.00
Silkeborg
2.00
Nykobing FC
2.00
FC Helsingor
2.00
B 93
2.00
Aalborg
2.00
Vendsyssel FF
2.00
HillerÃļd
2.00
Sonderjyske
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
2.00
FC Fredericia
2.00
HB Koge
2.00
Brabrand
1.83
Aarhus
1.75
Middelfart
1.67
Brondby
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Kolding IF
1.67
Viborg
1.57
Thisted FC
1.50
Silkeborg KFUM
1.50
Vejgaard B
1.50
AllerÃļd
1.50
NB Bornholm
1.50
B 1909
1.50
OKS
1.50
Hobro
1.50
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
AB Copenhagen
1.50
FC Midtjylland
1.50
Randers FC
1.50
AC Horsens
1.50
BrÃļnshÃļj
1.33
Roskilde
1.33
Fremad Amager
1.33
Odense
1.00
Vejle
1.00
Snejbjerg
0.97
Skjold SÃĶby
0.97
Husum
0.97
Norager
0.97
Rudersdal
0.97
Øresund OKF
0.97
Marstal / Rise
0.97
Raklev
0.97
Skibsby-Hojene
0.97
KFUM Odense
0.97
FC Kalundborg
0.97
GVI
0.97
SÃļnderborg
0.97
Viktoria
0.97
Fredensborg BI
0.97
Tune
0.97
BK Chang
0.97
SkovsgÃĨrd
0.97
LSF
0.97
FC Horsens
0.97
VallensbÃĶk
0.97
OksbÃļl
0.97
FarsÃļ/Ullits
0.97
Ålholm
0.97
Marienlyst
0.97
TÃĨrnby FF
0.97
BSI
0.97
Skanderborg
0.97
StenlÃļse
0.97
Frem SakskÃļbing
0.97
Grenaa
0.97
SkÃļdstrup
0.97
Billund
0.97
Tved
0.97
TRIF
0.97
Mejrup
0.97
Bramming
0.97
Kolding B
0.50
ASA Aarhus
0.00
Naestved
0.00
Odder
0.00
Kastrup
0.00
Ringsted
0.00
Sundby
0.00
ESPM
0.00
SfB-Oure
0.00
NÃļrresundby
0.00
FC Nakskov
0.00
Lyseng
0.00
FA 2000
0.00
Kjellerup
0.00
BiH Odense
0.00
NerashtÃĐ Ballerup
0.00
HIK
0.00
LUIF
0.00
Lyngby
0.00
FC Midtjylland is 0.25 points worse than Aarhus in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.75).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
VanlÃļse
5.50
Randers FC
5.00
Holstebro
4.67
FC Fredericia
4.67
NÃĶsby
4.50
IshÃļj
4.00
Skive
3.75
Sonderjyske
3.67
Esbjerg
3.50
Frem
3.25
Aalborg
3.20
FC Nordsjaelland
3.00
Silkeborg
2.57
Silkeborg KFUM
2.50
Vejgaard B
2.50
OKS
2.50
Hobro
2.50
AC Horsens
2.50
Brondby
2.33
HB Koge
2.33
Kolding IF
2.33
Viborg
2.29
Avarta
2.00
GÃļrslev
2.00
FC Helsingor
2.00
B 93
2.00
Fremad Amager
2.00
AB Copenhagen
2.00
HillerÃļd
2.00
FC Midtjylland
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.86
HolbÃĶk B&I
1.75
Aarhus
1.75
Snejbjerg
1.50
Skjold SÃĶby
1.50
Husum
1.50
Norager
1.50
Rudersdal
1.50
Øresund OKF
1.50
Marstal / Rise
1.50
Raklev
1.50
Skibsby-Hojene
1.50
KFUM Odense
1.50
FC Kalundborg
1.50
GVI
1.50
SÃļnderborg
1.50
Viktoria
1.50
Fredensborg BI
1.50
Tune
1.50
BK Chang
1.50
SkovsgÃĨrd
1.50
LSF
1.50
FC Horsens
1.50
VallensbÃĶk
1.50
OksbÃļl
1.50
FarsÃļ/Ullits
1.50
Ålholm
1.50
Marienlyst
1.50
TÃĨrnby FF
1.50
BSI
1.50
Skanderborg
1.50
StenlÃļse
1.50
Frem SakskÃļbing
1.50
Grenaa
1.50
SkÃļdstrup
1.50
Billund
1.50
Tved
1.50
TRIF
1.50
Mejrup
1.50
Bramming
1.50
Brabrand
1.50
AllerÃļd
1.50
NB Bornholm
1.50
B 1909
1.50
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
VSK Århus
1.33
Roskilde
1.33
Middelfart
1.33
Hvidovre
1.33
Thisted FC
1.00
ASA Aarhus
1.00
BrÃļnshÃļj
1.00
Kastrup
1.00
Kolding B
1.00
Ringsted
1.00
Sundby
1.00
SfB-Oure
1.00
NÃļrresundby
1.00
FC Nakskov
1.00
FA 2000
1.00
BiH Odense
1.00
Nykobing FC
1.00
Vendsyssel FF
1.00
Lyngby
1.00
Vejle
1.00
Naestved
0.00
Odense
0.00
Odder
0.00
ESPM
0.00
Lyseng
0.00
Kjellerup
0.00
NerashtÃĐ Ballerup
0.00
HIK
0.00
LUIF
0.00
FC Midtjylland is 0.25 goals better than Aarhus in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.75).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Odense
0.00
FC Copenhagen
0.29
Skive
0.50
VanlÃļse
0.50
Nykobing FC
0.50
Randers FC
0.50
FC Nordsjaelland
0.50
Viborg
0.71
Frem
1.00
GÃļrslev
1.00
AllerÃļd
1.00
VSK Århus
1.00
Lyseng
1.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.00
NerashtÃĐ Ballerup
1.00
Middelfart
1.00
B 93
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Aalborg
1.00
FC Midtjylland
1.00
Vejle
1.00
HB Koge
1.00
Hvidovre
1.00
Kolding IF
1.00
Esbjerg
1.25
Avarta
1.33
IshÃļj
1.33
Holstebro
1.33
Roskilde
1.33
Sonderjyske
1.33
Brondby
1.33
Brabrand
1.50
Kolding B
1.50
OKS
1.50
Hobro
1.50
Aarhus
1.50
Silkeborg
1.57
BrÃļnshÃļj
1.67
HillerÃļd
1.67
FC Fredericia
1.67
NÃĶsby
1.75
HolbÃĶk B&I
1.75
Thisted FC
2.00
ASA Aarhus
2.00
Naestved
2.00
Odder
2.00
Silkeborg KFUM
2.00
Kastrup
2.00
Vejgaard B
2.00
Ringsted
2.00
FC Helsingor
2.00
HIK
2.00
Fremad Amager
2.00
Vendsyssel FF
2.00
AC Horsens
2.00
NB Bornholm
2.50
B 1909
2.50
Snejbjerg
2.55
Skjold SÃĶby
2.55
Husum
2.55
Norager
2.55
Rudersdal
2.55
Øresund OKF
2.55
Marstal / Rise
2.55
Raklev
2.55
Skibsby-Hojene
2.55
KFUM Odense
2.55
FC Kalundborg
2.55
GVI
2.55
SÃļnderborg
2.55
Viktoria
2.55
Fredensborg BI
2.55
Tune
2.55
BK Chang
2.55
SkovsgÃĨrd
2.55
LSF
2.55
FC Horsens
2.55
VallensbÃĶk
2.55
OksbÃļl
2.55
FarsÃļ/Ullits
2.55
Ålholm
2.55
Marienlyst
2.55
TÃĨrnby FF
2.55
BSI
2.55
Skanderborg
2.55
StenlÃļse
2.55
Frem SakskÃļbing
2.55
Grenaa
2.55
SkÃļdstrup
2.55
Billund
2.55
Tved
2.55
TRIF
2.55
Mejrup
2.55
Bramming
2.55
Sundby
3.00
SfB-Oure
3.00
NÃļrresundby
4.00
FC Nakskov
4.00
BiH Odense
4.00
Lyngby
4.00
ESPM
5.00
FA 2000
5.00
Kjellerup
5.00
LUIF
10.00
FC Midtjylland is 0.50 goals better than Aarhus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Midtjylland or Draw✓ Hit
67.7%
Avg Implied -
45%
23%
32%
covers FC Midtjylland + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland or Aarhus✗ Miss
77.2%
Avg Implied -
45%
23%
32%
covers FC Midtjylland + Aarhus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Aarhus✓ Hit
55.1%
Avg Implied -
45%
23%
32%
covers Draw + Aarhus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.9%
Under
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
60.3%
Under
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
33.3%
Under
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.9%
Under
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.1%
Under
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
51.2%
Under
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.7%
Under
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Midtjylland, so a minus line means FC Midtjylland give that many goals of a start and Aarhus receive them. At -1, FC Midtjylland must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Midtjylland win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: Aarhus
FC Midtjylland -2
12.4%
Draw -2
13.7%
Aarhus +2
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: Aarhus
FC Midtjylland -1
26.0%
Draw -1
18.8%
Aarhus +1
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland +1
67.7%
Draw +1
15.8%
Aarhus -1
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland +2
83.5%
Draw +2
9.7%
Aarhus -2
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W01L21W00D00D00D40W10W00DA·VIB07/12H·GEN11/12A·FC 14/12A·BRA22/01H·DIN29/01H·FC 08/02A·AAR12/02A·ODE15/02A·SIL22/02H·BRO01/03← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.301.230.080.820.47
vs Stronger (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Similar (15)1.000.331.290.000.750.62
vs Weaker (14)0.860.290.800.200.890.33
Clean sheet %73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AarhusAarhus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W21W00D20W01L00D11D10W00DA·SIL21/11H·FC 30/11A·RAN07/12A·ODE11/12H·ODE14/12H·ODE09/02H·FC 12/02A·FC 15/02H·VIB22/02A·VEJ01/03← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.401.060.380.860.43
vs Stronger (5)0.600.000.330.001.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.040.501.230.460.820.55
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D11D12L20W21W10W01L30W00DA·VIB07/12H·GEN11/12A·FC 14/12A·BRA22/01H·DIN29/01H·FC 08/02A·AAR12/02A·ODE15/02A·SIL22/02H·BRO01/03← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.501.460.381.470.59
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (15)1.200.601.290.291.120.88
vs Weaker (14)1.860.362.000.401.780.33
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AarhusAarhus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W00D01L11D20W01L00D42W21WA·SIL21/11H·FC 30/11A·RAN07/12A·ODE11/12H·ODE14/12H·ODE09/02H·FC 12/02A·FC 15/02H·VIB22/02A·VEJ01/03← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.800.810.811.000.79
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.330.331.001.50
vs Similar (24)0.960.790.920.921.000.64
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.596.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls94.4%--------
Under 6.591.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals90.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.589.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls87.9%--------
Home over 0.5 goals86.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals85.1%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap83.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.582.2%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals82.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.9%--------
Over 23.5 fouls77.7%--------
Home or Away77.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards75.3%--------
Away under 2.5 goals75.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.3%--------
Away +2 handicap74.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.572.3%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes72.2%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

FC Midtjylland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Franculino DjÚ54%
Adam Buksa33%
Julius Emefile25%
Aral Şimşir22%
Martin Erlić19%
Valdemar Byskov18%
Darío Osorio17%
Mikel Gogorza15%
Gue-sung Cho14%
JÚnior Brumado13%
Paulinho12%
Denil Castillo11%
Philip Billing10%
Adam Gabriel10%
Ousmane Diao10%
Mads Bech SÃļrensen8%
Edward Chilufya6%
Victor Bak Jensen5%
Pedro Bravo3%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Jonas LÃķssl0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Dani Silva0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver SÃļrensen0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Philip Billing31%
Martin Erlić27%
JÚnior Brumado27%
Darío Osorio25%
Julius Emefile25%
Kevin Mbabu24%
Franculino DjÚ23%
Ousmane Diao19%
Mikel Gogorza19%
Denil Castillo17%
Mads Bech SÃļrensen15%
Gue-sung Cho14%
Pedro Bravo13%
Han-Beom Lee11%
Dani Silva9%
Valdemar Byskov8%
Edward Chilufya6%
Victor Bak Jensen5%
Aral Şimşir2%
Jonas LÃķssl0%
Paulinho0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Adam Buksa0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver SÃļrensen0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aral Şimşir32%
Darío Osorio19%
Dani Silva18%
Philip Billing14%
Franculino DjÚ12%
Valdemar Byskov11%
JÚnior Brumado10%
Adam Gabriel10%
Ousmane Diao10%
Denil Castillo8%
Mads Bech SÃļrensen8%
Edward Chilufya6%
Paulinho6%
Victor Bak Jensen5%
Martin Erlić4%
Mikel Gogorza4%
Kevin Mbabu3%
Gue-sung Cho3%
Han-Beom Lee3%
Jonas LÃķssl0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Adam Buksa0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver SÃļrensen0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Julius Emefile0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franculino DjÚ31%
Darío Osorio31%
Gue-sung Cho23%
Aral Şimşir10%
Valdemar Byskov8%
JÚnior Brumado7%
Mikel Gogorza4%
Denil Castillo3%
Han-Beom Lee3%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Jonas LÃķssl0%
Philip Billing0%
Paulinho0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Mads Bech SÃļrensen0%
Martin Erlić0%
Adam Buksa0%
Dani Silva0%
Edward Chilufya0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver SÃļrensen0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Ousmane Diao0%
Julius Emefile0%
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Bech31%
Patrick Mortensen28%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Rasmus Carstensen17%
Markus Solbakken17%
Gift Links12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Janni Serra10%
TÃģmas Óli KristjÃĄnsson10%
Stefen Tchamche8%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Felix Beijmo6%
Frederik Tingager5%
Nicolai Poulsen5%
Sebastian JÃļrgensen4%
Jesper Hansen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka CallÃļ0%
James Bogere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Nicolai Poulsen25%
Felix Beijmo16%
Magnus Knudsen14%
Rasmus Carstensen12%
Gift Links12%
Eric Kahl12%
Frederik Tingager10%
Henrik Dalsgaard9%
Tobias Bech9%
Markus Solbakken8%
Kevin Yakob8%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian JÃļrgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka CallÃļ0%
Frederik Emmery0%
TÃģmas Óli KristjÃĄnsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gift Links16%
Mads Emil Madsen14%
Jacob Andersen14%
Kristian Arnstad13%
Tobias Bech12%
Felix Beijmo12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Kevin Yakob8%
Sebastian JÃļrgensen7%
Frederik Tingager5%
Rasmus Carstensen4%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Eric Kahl3%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Janni Serra0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Luka CallÃļ0%
TÃģmas Óli KristjÃĄnsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
James Bogere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Bech38%
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Patrick Mortensen25%
Kevin Yakob15%
Gift Links12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Frederik Emmery4%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian JÃļrgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka CallÃļ0%
TÃģmas Óli KristjÃĄnsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
FC Midtjylland's squad is €72m more valuable than Aarhus's (€108m vs €36m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
FC Midtjylland's attack is €33m more valuable than Aarhus's (€47m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
FC Midtjylland's midfield is €10m more valuable than Aarhus's (€24m vs €14m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
FC Midtjylland's defence is €29m more valuable than Aarhus's (€37m vs €8m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
FM wins
4
Draws
0
AAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus · H/A from FM
DateH/AGameScore
12/02/26AAarhus Vs FM0-1
03/11/25HFM Vs Aarhus1-1
03/08/25AAarhus Vs FM0-0
04/05/25HFM Vs Aarhus3-1
13/04/25AAarhus Vs FM1-1
27/10/24HFM Vs Aarhus2-0
19/07/24AAarhus Vs FM1-1
12/05/24HFM Vs Aarhus2-1

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26HFM Vs Brondby0-0
22/02/26ASilkeborg Vs FM0-4
15/02/26AOdense Vs FM1-4
12/02/26AAarhus Vs FM0-1
08/02/26HFM Vs FC Copenhagen2-1
29/01/26HFM Vs Dinamo Zagreb2-0
22/01/26ABrann Vs FM3-3
14/12/25AFC Nordsjaelland Vs FM2-1
11/12/25HFM Vs Genk1-0
07/12/25AViborg Vs FM3-3

AarhusAarhus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26AVejle Vs AAR1-2
22/02/26HAAR Vs Viborg5-2
15/02/26AFC Fredericia Vs AAR1-1
12/02/26HAAR Vs FC Midtjylland0-1
09/02/26HAAR Vs Odense2-1
14/12/25HAAR Vs Odense3-1
11/12/25AOdense Vs AAR1-0
07/12/25ARanders FC Vs AAR1-2
30/11/25HAAR Vs FC Copenhagen2-0
21/11/25ASilkeborg Vs AAR0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Denmark: DBU Pokalen
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD2.16
HomeWWWWD2.58
AwayLDWWW1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%79%50%
AVG goals3.463.963.00
Over 1.5 %88%92%85%
Over 2.5 %64%67%62%
Over 3.5 %46%58%35%
Scored2.483.041.96
Conceded0.980.921.04
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Corners10.009.2510.71
Cards4.093.644.52
Aarhus
Aarhus
Denmark: DBU Pokalen
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.60
HomeWWWLW1.92
AwayWWLDW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%35%
AVG goals3.082.883.27
Over 1.5 %84%75%92%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.701.791.62
Conceded1.381.081.65
BTTS72%62%81%
Clean Sheet18%33%4%
Corners9.389.559.23
Cards3.754.003.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AarhusAarhus3267
59%
2.1
6232+30
2.9
81%
53%
25%
9.3
41%
3.8
52%
24.3
72%
36
141481.91.0
54%
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland3260
50%
1.9
7236+36
3.4
81%
62%
44%
9.8
50%
4.5
72%
26.2
75%
108
4724372.21.1
54%
3FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen3352
45%
1.6
6845+23
3.4
94%
70%
39%
10.3
64%
3.6
48%
22.4
55%
73
1717392.11.4
55%
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland3250
47%
1.6
5146+5
3.0
75%
59%
31%
8.3
34%
3.8
50%
21.5
53%
37
187121.61.4
57%
5BrondbyBrondby3346
39%
1.4
4536+9
2.5
70%
42%
21%
9.0
48%
4.6
64%
25.4
73%
48
1511221.41.1
51%
6ViborgViborg3244
41%
1.4
4951-2
3.1
72%
59%
31%
9.0
50%
3.6
48%
24.6
75%
19
62111.51.6
48%
7SonderjyskeSonderjyske3244
38%
1.4
4449-5
2.9
81%
56%
28%
10.2
66%
3.6
42%
22.0
44%
13
3361.41.5
44%
8OdenseOdense3241
34%
1.3
5160-9
3.5
88%
72%
50%
10.5
62%
3.1
37%
21.8
50%
17
8371.61.9
51%
9SilkeborgSilkeborg3236
31%
1.1
4167-26
3.4
91%
66%
44%
9.7
53%
2.8
32%
18.1
25%
19
6581.32.1
49%
10Randers FCRanders FC3235
28%
1.1
3347-14
2.5
72%
53%
22%
9.9
47%
3.4
45%
21.9
56%
14
5361.01.5
48%
11FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3234
28%
1.1
4568-23
3.5
94%
72%
50%
11.6
72%
2.9
31%
20.6
31%
8
2331.42.1
44%
12VejleVejle3224
16%
0.8
3660-24
3.0
91%
56%
25%
9.6
47%
3.5
41%
21.8
50%
9
3241.11.9
45%
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →

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