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FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 2-1
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
vs
AC Horsens
AC Horsens
Denmark: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Midtjylland win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W21W21W00D33D00D23L01L32W02LA·BRO12/04H·AAR20/04A·SON23/04A·AAR26/04H·VIB04/05A·FC 10/05H·BRO17/05A·BEŞ23/07A·SON26/07H·BEŞ30/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.131.791.211.941.06
vs Stronger (2)2.001.503.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (14)1.431.001.561.001.201.00
vs Weaker (14)2.291.212.001.752.401.00
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W41W11D10W40W11D20W10W11DA·HIL11/04A·KOL17/04H·ESB21/04A·HVI25/04A·ESB30/04H·HIL09/05H·HVI16/05A·LYN25/05H·KOL31/05H·FC 26/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.901.671.271.070.53
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (27)1.300.961.691.380.930.57
vs Weaker (2)2.500.002.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.30
BetVictor
5.25
Pinnacle
5.15
Superbet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.54
Betano
2.52
Unibet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.83
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
No
Betfair
2.10
William Hil
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.95

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.64
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Odense
1.28
Lyngby
1.25
AC Horsens
1.20
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
FC Midtjylland is 0.68 points better than AC Horsens in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.12
Aarhus
1.94
Odense
1.59
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Viborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.40
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
AC Horsens
1.34
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.03
FC Midtjylland is 0.91 goals better than AC Horsens in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
FC Midtjylland
1.12
Brondby
1.15
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Lyngby
1.72
AC Horsens
1.80
Odense
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
FC Midtjylland is 0.67 goals better than AC Horsens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.80).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Sonderjyske
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

For 5.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1404551398368335939565961289118121411A·SONH·BROA·FC H·VIBA·AARA·SONH·AARA·BROH·SONA·VIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

805321132312134122538315433548H·BEŞA·SONA·BEŞH·BROA·FC H·VIBA·AARA·SONH·AARA·BRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 14.1 · Total 29.3

⚠️ Fouls

35010142110613171218101614142015201515201324311929283034353033A·SONH·BROA·FC H·VIBA·AARA·SONH·AARA·BROH·SONA·VIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC HorsensAC Horsens

For 4.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 17.0

🚩 Corners

17041317H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0

🟨 Cards

20112H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.0 · Against 8.0 · Total 15.0

⚠️ Fouls

1507815H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.410.74.24.24.226.528.724.6
vs Stronger (2)10.08.012.04.03.05.030.027.033.0
vs Similar (20)10.09.011.04.55.03.928.432.024.8
vs Weaker (28)10.19.810.44.03.74.324.926.223.8
% over line52%38%65%62%54%69%77%86%70%
% under line48%62%35%38%46%31%23%14%30%
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC HorsensAC Horsens

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)17.017.0-0.00.10.015.015.0-
vs Stronger (1)17.017.0-2.02.0-15.015.0-
vs Similar (45)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line100%100%-0%0%0%0%0%-
% under line0%0%-100%100%100%100%100%-
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
AC Horsens
10.7
Odense
10.6
Lyngby
10.3
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Viborg
10.0
Brondby
9.8
Sonderjyske
9.7
Randers FC
9.7
FC Copenhagen
9.6
Aarhus
9.4
Silkeborg
9.4
FC Nordsjaelland
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.7
FC Midtjylland
4.2
Aarhus
3.9
Lyngby
3.9
Sonderjyske
3.8
Viborg
3.8
AC Horsens
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.4
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
26.5
Viborg
24.2
Brondby
23.9
Aarhus
23.6
FC Copenhagen
23.5
Lyngby
23.5
Sonderjyske
21.9
Odense
21.8
Randers FC
21.7
FC Nordsjaelland
21.1
AC Horsens
18.7
Silkeborg
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.5%
@ 1.62-1.3%
Under 9.5
44.5%
@ 2.14+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.15
Unibet
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.11
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.9%
@ 1.88+3.9%
Under 3.5
47.1%
@ 1.81-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Unibet
1.75
Under
Unibet
1.93
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.73
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.7%
Under 21.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D00D22D00D20W01L22D00DA·BRO12/04H·AAR20/04A·SON23/04A·AAR26/04H·VIB04/05A·FC 10/05H·BRO17/05A·BEŞ23/07A·SON26/07H·BEŞ30/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.470.930.360.810.56
vs Stronger (2)1.500.503.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.640.210.780.110.400.40
vs Weaker (14)1.000.710.751.001.100.60
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W01L10W10W01L10W00D11DA·HIL11/04A·KOL17/04H·ESB21/04A·HVI25/04A·ESB30/04H·HIL09/05H·HVI16/05A·LYN25/05H·KOL31/05H·FC 26/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.430.930.600.530.27
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (27)0.700.440.920.620.500.29
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards81.4%1.42
Unibet
1.42
----+16.7%✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls74.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.3%1.39
Superbet
1.39
----+8.6%✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (28)
€120m
FC (26)
€115m
FN (34)
€80m
BRO (30)
€54m
AAR (29)
€37m
VIB (27)
€30m
RF (32)
€27m
SIL (29)
€26m
SON (29)
€20m
ODE (25)
€18m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
FC Midtjylland's squad is €110m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€120m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (10)
€62m
FN (12)
€31m
FC (8)
€23m
BRO (11)
€18m
RF (15)
€16m
AAR (10)
€13m
SIL (9)
€9m
SON (8)
€9m
VIB (8)
€8m
ODE (6)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
FC Midtjylland's attack is €58m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€62m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (6)
€59m
FM (7)
€27m
FN (8)
€18m
AAR (9)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
SIL (8)
€10m
VIB (7)
€9m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (8)
€5m
ODE (8)
€4m
RF (6)
€4m
AH (6)
€2m
FC Midtjylland's midfield is €25m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€27m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€33m
FM (11)
€32m
FN (14)
€30m
BRO (14)
€25m
VIB (12)
€13m
AAR (10)
€10m
ODE (11)
€8m
SIL (12)
€8m
RF (11)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
FC Midtjylland's defence is €27m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€32m vs €4m).

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens · H/A from FM
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23HFM Vs AC Horsens3-1
23/04/23AAC Horsens Vs FM0-2
16/10/22HFM Vs AC Horsens2-1
12/08/22AAC Horsens Vs FM3-3

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/26HFM Vs Beşiktaş0-2
26/07/26ASonderjyske Vs FM2-3
23/07/26ABeşiktaş Vs FM1-0
17/05/26HFM Vs Brondby2-3
10/05/26AFC Nordsjaelland Vs FM0-0
04/05/26HFM Vs Viborg3-3
26/04/26AAarhus Vs FM0-0
23/04/26ASonderjyske Vs FM1-2
20/04/26HFM Vs Aarhus2-1
12/04/26ABrondby Vs FM1-2

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HAH Vs FC Nordsjaelland1-1
31/05/26HAH Vs Kolding IF1-0
25/05/26ALyngby Vs AH0-2
16/05/26HAH Vs Hvidovre1-1
09/05/26HAH Vs Hillerød4-0
30/04/26AEsbjerg Vs AH0-1
25/04/26AHvidovre Vs AH1-1
21/04/26HAH Vs Esbjerg4-1
17/04/26AKolding IF Vs AH0-1
11/04/26AHillerød Vs AH0-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL2.00
HomeDWDLL2.00
AwayWDDLW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%58%58%
AVG goals3.143.462.85
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored2.122.331.92
Conceded1.021.120.92
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet36%33%38%
Corners10.079.3810.70
Cards4.184.214.15
AC Horsens
AC Horsens
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.58
HomeWWDWD1.60
AwayDWDWW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals2.522.842.20
Over 1.5 %64%72%56%
Over 2.5 %48%60%36%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored1.361.521.20
Conceded1.161.321.00
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet40%36%44%
Corners17.0017.00-
Cards2.002.00-

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BrondbyBrondby410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
75%
25%
25%
11.8
75%
5.2
100%
27.5
75%
54
1811251.80.8
51%
2FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen39
100%
3.0
103+7
4.3
100%
100%
100%
10.0
100%
3.0
67%
22.7
33%
115
2359333.31.0
55%
3FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland37
67%
2.3
64+2
3.3
100%
67%
33%
9.0
33%
4.3
67%
31.0
100%
120
6227322.01.3
54%
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland37
67%
2.3
31+2
1.3
33%
0%
0%
13.7
67%
3.3
67%
17.0
0%
80
3118301.00.3
57%
5ViborgViborg47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
25%
27.0
100%
30
89130.80.5
48%
6AC HorsensAC Horsens44
25%
1.0
46-2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
12.0
75%
3.0
50%
23.8
75%
10
4241.01.5
-
7SilkeborgSilkeborg44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
10.0
50%
3.2
75%
19.8
25%
26
91080.81.2
49%
8Randers FCRanders FC44
25%
1.0
36-3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
12.2
100%
1.8
25%
20.0
25%
27
16470.81.5
48%
9OdenseOdense43
25%
0.8
24-2
1.5
25%
25%
0%
13.5
75%
2.5
25%
23.5
100%
18
5480.51.0
51%
10AarhusAarhus32
0%
0.7
45-1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
11.7
67%
4.0
67%
32.3
100%
37
1314101.31.7
54%
11LyngbyLyngby42
0%
0.5
58-3
3.2
100%
50%
50%
9.0
50%
3.8
75%
30.8
100%
13
3551.22.0
-
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske41
0%
0.2
47-3
2.8
50%
50%
50%
11.8
75%
3.0
25%
23.0
75%
20
9561.01.8
44%
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →

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