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FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland Result & Analysis

Date: 04/12/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 5-1
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Vs
57%
25%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark: DBU Pokalen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FC Midtjylland win✓ Hit
57.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland win✗ Miss
18.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-651W30W40W40W11D31W20W12L12L60WH·VEJ19/10A·MAC23/10A·FC 26/10H·SIL30/10H·AAR03/11H·CEL06/11A·RAN09/11A·SON23/11A·AS 27/11H·FC 30/11← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.530.833.201.001.870.67
vs Stronger (1)3.001.003.001.00--
vs Similar (8)2.380.884.000.001.831.17
vs Weaker (21)2.570.813.081.171.890.33
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W12L30W10W01L22D24L02L50W06LA·KOL25/09H·AAR28/09A·VEJ05/10H·RAN19/10A·AAR24/10H·BRO30/10H·ODE02/11A·BRO09/11H·FC 23/11A·FC 30/11← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.831.861.361.002.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.752.001.331.440.002.71
vs Weaker (14)2.141.642.801.201.781.89
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.4%
Under 3.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.4%
No
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
FC Midtjylland goals ↓
FC Nordsjaelland goals →
01234
07.0%4.7%2.8%0.9%0.2%
19.9%12%5.1%1.7%0.4%
210%9.9%4.8%1.5%0.4%
36.4%6.1%3.0%1.0%0.2%
43.0%2.9%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Midtjylland goals (down), columns = FC Nordsjaelland goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Copenhagen
3.00
Skive
2.50
Esbjerg
2.25
Frem
2.25
NÃĶsby
2.25
HolbÃĶk B&I
2.25
Avarta
2.00
IshÃļj
2.00
Holstebro
2.00
GÃļrslev
2.00
VanlÃļse
2.00
VSK Århus
2.00
Silkeborg
2.00
Nykobing FC
2.00
FC Helsingor
2.00
B 93
2.00
Aalborg
2.00
Vendsyssel FF
2.00
HillerÃļd
2.00
Sonderjyske
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
2.00
FC Fredericia
2.00
HB Koge
2.00
Brabrand
1.83
Aarhus
1.75
Middelfart
1.67
Brondby
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Kolding IF
1.67
Viborg
1.57
Thisted FC
1.50
Silkeborg KFUM
1.50
Vejgaard B
1.50
AllerÃļd
1.50
NB Bornholm
1.50
B 1909
1.50
OKS
1.50
Hobro
1.50
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Midtjylland
1.50
AB Copenhagen
1.50
Randers FC
1.50
AC Horsens
1.50
BrÃļnshÃļj
1.33
Roskilde
1.33
Fremad Amager
1.33
Odense
1.00
Vejle
1.00
Snejbjerg
0.97
Skjold SÃĶby
0.97
Husum
0.97
Norager
0.97
Rudersdal
0.97
Øresund OKF
0.97
Marstal / Rise
0.97
Raklev
0.97
Skibsby-Hojene
0.97
KFUM Odense
0.97
FC Kalundborg
0.97
GVI
0.97
SÃļnderborg
0.97
Viktoria
0.97
Fredensborg BI
0.97
Tune
0.97
BK Chang
0.97
SkovsgÃĨrd
0.97
LSF
0.97
FC Horsens
0.97
VallensbÃĶk
0.97
OksbÃļl
0.97
FarsÃļ/Ullits
0.97
Ålholm
0.97
Marienlyst
0.97
TÃĨrnby FF
0.97
BSI
0.97
Skanderborg
0.97
StenlÃļse
0.97
Frem SakskÃļbing
0.97
Grenaa
0.97
SkÃļdstrup
0.97
Billund
0.97
Tved
0.97
TRIF
0.97
Mejrup
0.97
Bramming
0.97
Kolding B
0.50
ASA Aarhus
0.00
Naestved
0.00
Odder
0.00
Kastrup
0.00
Ringsted
0.00
Sundby
0.00
ESPM
0.00
SfB-Oure
0.00
NÃļrresundby
0.00
FC Nakskov
0.00
Lyseng
0.00
FA 2000
0.00
Kjellerup
0.00
BiH Odense
0.00
NerashtÃĐ Ballerup
0.00
HIK
0.00
LUIF
0.00
Lyngby
0.00
FC Midtjylland is 0.50 points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
VanlÃļse
5.50
Randers FC
5.00
Holstebro
4.67
FC Fredericia
4.67
NÃĶsby
4.50
IshÃļj
4.00
Skive
3.75
Sonderjyske
3.67
Esbjerg
3.50
Frem
3.25
Aalborg
3.20
FC Nordsjaelland
3.00
Silkeborg
2.57
Silkeborg KFUM
2.50
Vejgaard B
2.50
OKS
2.50
Hobro
2.50
AC Horsens
2.50
Brondby
2.33
HB Koge
2.33
Kolding IF
2.33
Viborg
2.29
Avarta
2.00
GÃļrslev
2.00
FC Helsingor
2.00
B 93
2.00
Fremad Amager
2.00
FC Midtjylland
2.00
AB Copenhagen
2.00
HillerÃļd
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.86
HolbÃĶk B&I
1.75
Aarhus
1.75
Snejbjerg
1.50
Skjold SÃĶby
1.50
Husum
1.50
Norager
1.50
Rudersdal
1.50
Øresund OKF
1.50
Marstal / Rise
1.50
Raklev
1.50
Skibsby-Hojene
1.50
KFUM Odense
1.50
FC Kalundborg
1.50
GVI
1.50
SÃļnderborg
1.50
Viktoria
1.50
Fredensborg BI
1.50
Tune
1.50
BK Chang
1.50
SkovsgÃĨrd
1.50
LSF
1.50
FC Horsens
1.50
VallensbÃĶk
1.50
OksbÃļl
1.50
FarsÃļ/Ullits
1.50
Ålholm
1.50
Marienlyst
1.50
TÃĨrnby FF
1.50
BSI
1.50
Skanderborg
1.50
StenlÃļse
1.50
Frem SakskÃļbing
1.50
Grenaa
1.50
SkÃļdstrup
1.50
Billund
1.50
Tved
1.50
TRIF
1.50
Mejrup
1.50
Bramming
1.50
Brabrand
1.50
AllerÃļd
1.50
NB Bornholm
1.50
B 1909
1.50
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
VSK Århus
1.33
Roskilde
1.33
Middelfart
1.33
Hvidovre
1.33
Thisted FC
1.00
ASA Aarhus
1.00
BrÃļnshÃļj
1.00
Kastrup
1.00
Kolding B
1.00
Ringsted
1.00
Sundby
1.00
SfB-Oure
1.00
NÃļrresundby
1.00
FC Nakskov
1.00
FA 2000
1.00
BiH Odense
1.00
Nykobing FC
1.00
Vendsyssel FF
1.00
Lyngby
1.00
Vejle
1.00
Naestved
0.00
Odense
0.00
Odder
0.00
ESPM
0.00
Lyseng
0.00
Kjellerup
0.00
NerashtÃĐ Ballerup
0.00
HIK
0.00
LUIF
0.00
FC Midtjylland is 1.00 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 3.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Odense
0.00
FC Copenhagen
0.29
Skive
0.50
VanlÃļse
0.50
Nykobing FC
0.50
Randers FC
0.50
FC Nordsjaelland
0.50
Viborg
0.71
Frem
1.00
GÃļrslev
1.00
AllerÃļd
1.00
VSK Århus
1.00
Lyseng
1.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.00
NerashtÃĐ Ballerup
1.00
Middelfart
1.00
B 93
1.00
FC Midtjylland
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Aalborg
1.00
Vejle
1.00
HB Koge
1.00
Hvidovre
1.00
Kolding IF
1.00
Esbjerg
1.25
Avarta
1.33
IshÃļj
1.33
Holstebro
1.33
Roskilde
1.33
Sonderjyske
1.33
Brondby
1.33
Brabrand
1.50
Kolding B
1.50
OKS
1.50
Hobro
1.50
Aarhus
1.50
Silkeborg
1.57
BrÃļnshÃļj
1.67
HillerÃļd
1.67
FC Fredericia
1.67
NÃĶsby
1.75
HolbÃĶk B&I
1.75
Thisted FC
2.00
ASA Aarhus
2.00
Naestved
2.00
Odder
2.00
Silkeborg KFUM
2.00
Kastrup
2.00
Vejgaard B
2.00
Ringsted
2.00
FC Helsingor
2.00
HIK
2.00
Fremad Amager
2.00
Vendsyssel FF
2.00
AC Horsens
2.00
NB Bornholm
2.50
B 1909
2.50
Snejbjerg
2.55
Skjold SÃĶby
2.55
Husum
2.55
Norager
2.55
Rudersdal
2.55
Øresund OKF
2.55
Marstal / Rise
2.55
Raklev
2.55
Skibsby-Hojene
2.55
KFUM Odense
2.55
FC Kalundborg
2.55
GVI
2.55
SÃļnderborg
2.55
Viktoria
2.55
Fredensborg BI
2.55
Tune
2.55
BK Chang
2.55
SkovsgÃĨrd
2.55
LSF
2.55
FC Horsens
2.55
VallensbÃĶk
2.55
OksbÃļl
2.55
FarsÃļ/Ullits
2.55
Ålholm
2.55
Marienlyst
2.55
TÃĨrnby FF
2.55
BSI
2.55
Skanderborg
2.55
StenlÃļse
2.55
Frem SakskÃļbing
2.55
Grenaa
2.55
SkÃļdstrup
2.55
Billund
2.55
Tved
2.55
TRIF
2.55
Mejrup
2.55
Bramming
2.55
Sundby
3.00
SfB-Oure
3.00
NÃļrresundby
4.00
FC Nakskov
4.00
BiH Odense
4.00
Lyngby
4.00
ESPM
5.00
FA 2000
5.00
Kjellerup
5.00
LUIF
10.00
FC Midtjylland is 0.50 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Midtjylland or Draw✓ Hit
81.8%
Avg Implied -
57%
25%
18%
covers FC Midtjylland + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland or FC Nordsjaelland✓ Hit
75.5%
Avg Implied -
57%
25%
18%
covers FC Midtjylland + FC Nordsjaelland
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Nordsjaelland✗ Miss
42.7%
Avg Implied -
57%
25%
18%
covers Draw + FC Nordsjaelland
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.5%
Under
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.5%
Under
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
28.6%
Under
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
11.9%
Under
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.0%
Under
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.2%
Under
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Midtjylland, so a minus line means FC Midtjylland give that many goals of a start and FC Nordsjaelland receive them. At -1, FC Midtjylland must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Midtjylland win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland -2
16.0%
Draw -2
17.9%
FC Nordsjaelland +2
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland -1
34.0%
Draw -1
23.3%
FC Nordsjaelland +1
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland +1
81.8%
Draw +1
11.6%
FC Nordsjaelland -1
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland +2
93.4%
Draw +2
4.8%
FC Nordsjaelland -2
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W20W00D01L30W00D11D01L40WH·VEJ19/10A·MAC23/10A·FC 26/10H·SIL30/10H·AAR03/11H·CEL06/11A·RAN09/11A·SON23/11A·AS 27/11H·FC 30/11← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.371.600.470.600.27
vs Stronger (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Similar (8)1.120.382.500.000.670.50
vs Weaker (21)1.000.381.330.580.560.11
Clean sheet %67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D20W10W00D01L10W02L20W04LA·KOL25/09H·AAR28/09A·VEJ05/10H·RAN19/10A·AAR24/10H·BRO30/10H·ODE02/11A·BRO09/11H·FC 23/11A·FC 30/11← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.860.360.501.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.251.000.440.440.001.71
vs Weaker (14)1.140.571.600.200.890.78
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W20W40W10W01L20W01L11D20WH·VEJ19/10A·MAC23/10A·FC 26/10H·SIL30/10H·AAR03/11H·CEL06/11A·RAN09/11A·SON23/11A·AS 27/11H·FC 30/11← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.471.600.531.270.40
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (8)1.250.501.500.001.170.67
vs Weaker (21)1.570.431.750.581.330.22
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W12L10W00D01L21W14L00D30W02LA·KOL25/09H·AAR28/09A·VEJ05/10H·RAN19/10A·AAR24/10H·BRO30/10H·ODE02/11A·BRO09/11H·FC 23/11A·FC 30/11← SuperligaDBU Pokalen →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.031.001.000.501.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.501.000.891.000.001.00
vs Weaker (14)1.001.071.201.000.891.11
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.4%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap93.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.593.2%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals92.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls88.9%--------
Home under 3.5 goals88.1%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals84.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.584.3%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw81.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap81.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls78.8%--------
Under 5.5 cards78.7%--------
Over 1.578.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.0%--------
Under 11.5 corners76.0%--------
Home or Away75.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals74.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals71.4%-------✗ Miss

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

FC Midtjylland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Franculino DjÚ54%
Adam Buksa33%
Julius Emefile25%
Aral Şimşir22%
Martin Erlić19%
Valdemar Byskov18%
Darío Osorio17%
Mikel Gogorza15%
Gue-sung Cho14%
JÚnior Brumado13%
Paulinho12%
Denil Castillo11%
Philip Billing10%
Adam Gabriel10%
Ousmane Diao10%
Mads Bech SÃļrensen8%
Edward Chilufya6%
Victor Bak Jensen5%
Pedro Bravo3%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Jonas LÃķssl0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Dani Silva0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver SÃļrensen0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Philip Billing31%
Martin Erlić27%
JÚnior Brumado27%
Darío Osorio25%
Julius Emefile25%
Kevin Mbabu24%
Franculino DjÚ23%
Ousmane Diao19%
Mikel Gogorza19%
Denil Castillo17%
Mads Bech SÃļrensen15%
Gue-sung Cho14%
Pedro Bravo13%
Han-Beom Lee11%
Dani Silva9%
Valdemar Byskov8%
Edward Chilufya6%
Victor Bak Jensen5%
Aral Şimşir2%
Jonas LÃķssl0%
Paulinho0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Adam Buksa0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver SÃļrensen0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aral Şimşir32%
Darío Osorio19%
Dani Silva18%
Philip Billing14%
Franculino DjÚ12%
Valdemar Byskov11%
JÚnior Brumado10%
Adam Gabriel10%
Ousmane Diao10%
Denil Castillo8%
Mads Bech SÃļrensen8%
Edward Chilufya6%
Paulinho6%
Victor Bak Jensen5%
Martin Erlić4%
Mikel Gogorza4%
Kevin Mbabu3%
Gue-sung Cho3%
Han-Beom Lee3%
Jonas LÃķssl0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Adam Buksa0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver SÃļrensen0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Julius Emefile0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franculino DjÚ31%
Darío Osorio31%
Gue-sung Cho23%
Aral Şimşir10%
Valdemar Byskov8%
JÚnior Brumado7%
Mikel Gogorza4%
Denil Castillo3%
Han-Beom Lee3%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Jonas LÃķssl0%
Philip Billing0%
Paulinho0%
Mikael Uhre0%
Mads Bech SÃļrensen0%
Martin Erlić0%
Adam Buksa0%
Dani Silva0%
Edward Chilufya0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Oliver SÃļrensen0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Ousmane Diao0%
Julius Emefile0%
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Lind Rasmussen33%
Sindre Walle Egeli33%
Ola Solbakken29%
Ibrahim Adel27%
Prince Amoako Junior26%
Levy Nene20%
Lamine Sadio20%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim16%
Peter Ankersen10%
Nicklas RÃļjkjÃĶr9%
Juho LÃĪhteenmÃĪki7%
Justin Janssen7%
Caleb Yirenkyi7%
Tobias Salquist3%
Kian Hansen0%
Mark Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
William Lykke0%
Lucas HÃļgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Malte Heyde0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Markus Walker0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Rasmussen0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads RutkjÃĶr0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zidan Sertdemir33%
Lucas HÃļgsberg33%
Caleb Yirenkyi30%
Alexander Lind Rasmussen22%
Mark Brink21%
Justin Janssen21%
Peter Ankersen20%
Ibrahim Adel18%
Levy Nene15%
Markus Walker14%
Prince Amoako Junior13%
Tobias Salquist10%
Lamine Sadio10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Nicklas RÃļjkjÃĶr9%
Noah Markmann8%
Ola Solbakken6%
Malte Heyde6%
Andreas Hansen4%
Juho LÃĪhteenmÃĪki4%
Kian Hansen0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
William Lykke0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Rasmussen0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads RutkjÃĶr0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sindre Walle Egeli33%
Nicklas RÃļjkjÃĶr18%
Caleb Yirenkyi17%
Prince Amoako Junior16%
Alexander Lind Rasmussen11%
Justin Janssen10%
Levy Nene10%
Lamine Sadio10%
Ibrahim Adel9%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim8%
Hjalte Rasmussen8%
Juho LÃĪhteenmÃĪki7%
Mark Brink7%
Ola Solbakken6%
Malte Heyde6%
Peter Ankersen3%
Kian Hansen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
William Lykke0%
Lucas HÃļgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Markus Walker0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads RutkjÃĶr0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sindre Walle Egeli83%
Ibrahim Adel36%
Ola Solbakken29%
Alexander Lind Rasmussen28%
Prince Amoako Junior26%
Peter Ankersen10%
Lamine Sadio10%
Nicklas RÃļjkjÃĶr9%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim8%
Levy Nene5%
Justin Janssen3%
Kian Hansen0%
Mark Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
Juho LÃĪhteenmÃĪki0%
William Lykke0%
Lucas HÃļgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Malte Heyde0%
Caleb Yirenkyi0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Markus Walker0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Rasmussen0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads RutkjÃĶr0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
FC Midtjylland's squad is €71m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€108m vs €37m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
FC Midtjylland's attack is €29m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€47m vs €18m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
FC Midtjylland's midfield is €17m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€24m vs €7m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
FC Midtjylland's defence is €25m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€37m vs €12m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
FM wins
2
Draws
3
FN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland · H/A from FM
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25HFM Vs FC Nordsjaelland6-0
14/09/25AFC Nordsjaelland Vs FM1-0
27/04/25HFM Vs FC Nordsjaelland5-0
22/04/25AFC Nordsjaelland Vs FM3-2
02/03/25HFM Vs FC Nordsjaelland2-1
27/07/24AFC Nordsjaelland Vs FM2-2
20/05/24AFC Nordsjaelland Vs FM3-3
01/04/24HFM Vs FC Nordsjaelland2-3

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25HFM Vs FC Nordsjaelland6-0
27/11/25AAS Roma Vs FM2-1
23/11/25ASonderjyske Vs FM2-1
09/11/25ARanders FC Vs FM0-2
06/11/25HFM Vs Celtic3-1
03/11/25HFM Vs Aarhus1-1
30/10/25HFM Vs Silkeborg4-0
26/10/25AFC Fredericia Vs FM0-4
23/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv Vs FM0-3
19/10/25HFM Vs Vejle5-1

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25AFC Midtjylland Vs FN6-0
23/11/25HFN Vs FC Fredericia5-0
09/11/25ABrondby Vs FN2-0
02/11/25HFN Vs Odense2-4
30/10/25HFN Vs Brondby2-2
24/10/25AAarhus Vs FN1-0
19/10/25HFN Vs Randers FC1-0
05/10/25AVejle Vs FN0-3
28/09/25HFN Vs Aarhus1-2
25/09/25AKolding IF Vs FN0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Denmark: DBU Pokalen
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW2.00
HomeWWDWW2.36
AwayWWWLL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%72%48%
AVG goals3.444.082.80
Over 1.5 %90%96%84%
Over 2.5 %62%72%52%
Over 3.5 %44%60%28%
Scored2.322.921.72
Conceded1.121.161.08
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet34%32%36%
Corners10.099.4510.73
Cards3.943.504.38
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark: DBU Pokalen
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.36
HomeLWDLW1.91
AwayWWLLL0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%57%26%
AVG goals3.403.223.56
Over 1.5 %82%74%89%
Over 2.5 %64%57%70%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.621.961.33
Conceded1.781.262.22
BTTS58%65%52%
Clean Sheet20%26%15%
Corners8.358.188.50
Cards3.413.453.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AarhusAarhus3267
59%
2.1
6232+30
2.9
81%
53%
25%
9.3
41%
3.8
52%
24.3
72%
36
141481.91.0
54%
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland3260
50%
1.9
7236+36
3.4
81%
62%
44%
9.8
50%
4.5
72%
26.2
75%
108
4724372.21.1
54%
3FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen3352
45%
1.6
6845+23
3.4
94%
70%
39%
10.3
64%
3.6
48%
22.4
55%
73
1717392.11.4
55%
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland3250
47%
1.6
5146+5
3.0
75%
59%
31%
8.3
34%
3.8
50%
21.5
53%
37
187121.61.4
57%
5BrondbyBrondby3346
39%
1.4
4536+9
2.5
70%
42%
21%
9.0
48%
4.6
64%
25.4
73%
48
1511221.41.1
51%
6ViborgViborg3244
41%
1.4
4951-2
3.1
72%
59%
31%
9.0
50%
3.6
48%
24.6
75%
19
62111.51.6
48%
7SonderjyskeSonderjyske3244
38%
1.4
4449-5
2.9
81%
56%
28%
10.2
66%
3.6
42%
22.0
44%
13
3361.41.5
44%
8OdenseOdense3241
34%
1.3
5160-9
3.5
88%
72%
50%
10.5
62%
3.1
37%
21.8
50%
17
8371.61.9
51%
9SilkeborgSilkeborg3236
31%
1.1
4167-26
3.4
91%
66%
44%
9.7
53%
2.8
32%
18.1
25%
19
6581.32.1
49%
10Randers FCRanders FC3235
28%
1.1
3347-14
2.5
72%
53%
22%
9.9
47%
3.4
45%
21.9
56%
14
5361.01.5
48%
11FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3234
28%
1.1
4568-23
3.5
94%
72%
50%
11.6
72%
2.9
31%
20.6
31%
8
2331.42.1
44%
12VejleVejle3224
16%
0.8
3660-24
3.0
91%
56%
25%
9.6
47%
3.5
41%
21.8
50%
9
3241.11.9
45%
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →

← all matches