FC Midtjylland are favoured to win at home, with a 53% chance of a victory, 24% for a draw and 23% for a Nordsjaelland win. The model projects a high-scoring affair, expecting 3.2 goals on average, and the most likely total is three. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is a 1-1 draw, with a 10.8% probability. Midtjylland have been solid at home against similar opposition, scoring 0.83 goals and conceding 1.33, while Nordsjaelland, on the road, average 1.0 goal scored and 2.22 conceded against comparable teams. Recent form shows Midtjylland unbeaten in their last five, while Nordsjaelland come off a loss. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8% with a 4% edge, Under 7.5 at 98.2% (2% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2% (5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals at 96.1% (3% edge), Under 6.5 at 95.3% (2% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.6% (3% edge), Over 19.5 fouls at 92.5%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 90.7% (3% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Midtjylland win
53.1%
Avg Implied 47.9% · @ 1.95
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Dafabet
1.99
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.96
Draw
23.7%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.83
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.07
Betfair
3.90
1xBet
3.88
Unibet
3.85
Betano
3.85
FC Nordsjaelland win
23.2%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.38
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.55
Dafabet
3.50
Betano
3.45
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Midtjylland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.93
1.46
1.38
1.71
0.59
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.92
0.83
1.33
1.33
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
1.94
0.94
2.00
1.43
1.91
0.64
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.13
2.33
0.60
1.33
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.20
1.60
1.50
0.67
1.00
2.22
vs Weaker (15)
2.47
0.67
2.89
0.56
1.83
0.83
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.4%
@ 1.15+3.2%
Under 1.5
15.6%
@ 4.98-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
Under
Unibet
5.60
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Pinnacle
4.91
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.9%
@ 1.53+1.7%
Under 2.5
37.1%
@ 2.41-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Under
Unibet
2.63
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.40
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.7%
@ 2.33+0.4%
Under 3.5
59.3%
@ 1.58-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Betano
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Under
Unibet
1.66
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Both teams to score
Yes
62.8%
@ 1.47-0.1%
No
37.2%
@ 2.50+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
No
Unibet
2.60
1xBet
2.53
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Betano
2.47
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%@ 7.21+4.5%
2-1
9.7%@ 8.06+4.1%
2-0
7.7%@ 11.22+3.6%
1-0
6.8%@ 9.91+2.2%
3-1
6.4%@ 12.81+2.9%
1-2
6.2%@ 11.00+2.1%
2-2
6.1%@ 10.81+1.9%
3-0
5.1%@ 17.00+2.4%
FC Midtjylland goals ↓
FC Nordsjaelland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
4.0%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
1
6.8%
11%
6.2%
2.6%
0.8%
2
7.7%
9.7%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
3
5.1%
6.4%
4.0%
1.7%
0.5%
4
2.5%
3.2%
2.0%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Midtjylland goals (down), columns = FC Nordsjaelland goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
FC Midtjylland is 0.17 points better than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
FC Midtjylland is 0.17 goals better than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
FC Midtjylland is 0.17 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
FC Midtjylland is 3.8 percentage points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average possession (55% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Midtjylland
For 6.4 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 16.4 · Total 31.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
For 6.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Midtjylland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
9.9
11.3
3.8
4.0
3.7
28.6
31.4
26.4
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
8.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
27.0
27.0
-
vs Similar (23)
10.5
9.2
11.8
3.8
4.5
3.2
29.4
32.4
26.3
vs Weaker (26)
10.9
10.9
10.9
3.9
3.5
4.1
28.1
30.8
26.4
% over line
62%
47%
74%
60%
57%
63%
86%
100%
74%
% under line
38%
53%
26%
40%
43%
37%
14%
0%
26%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.0
8.3
3.5
3.4
3.6
22.0
20.7
23.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
8.2
8.5
7.8
3.7
3.2
4.4
23.1
21.7
24.6
vs Weaker (26)
9.0
9.4
8.7
3.3
3.6
3.1
21.1
19.8
22.2
% over line
37%
39%
35%
46%
44%
48%
54%
39%
70%
% under line
63%
61%
65%
54%
56%
52%
46%
61%
30%
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
11.0
AC Horsens
10.6
FC Midtjylland
10.4
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Viborg
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.6
Aarhus
9.6
Silkeborg
9.6
Brondby
9.6
FC Nordsjaelland
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.9
Lyngby
3.9
AC Horsens
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.7
Viborg
3.7
FC Copenhagen
3.7
Randers FC
3.4
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
28.1
Viborg
24.9
Brondby
24.5
Aarhus
24.3
Lyngby
24.1
FC Copenhagen
23.8
Randers FC
22.1
Odense
21.8
Sonderjyske
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.6
AC Horsens
19.9
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.0%
@ 1.75-1.0%
Under 9.5
48.0%
@ 1.97+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.92
Betano
1.87
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.0%
@ 1.62-0.6%
Under 3.5
43.0%
@ 2.20+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.20
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.5%
Under 21.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Midtjylland or Draw
76.8%
Avg Implied 72.4% · @ 1.30
Edge
+4.4%
53%
24%
23%
covers FC Midtjylland + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
FC Midtjylland or FC Nordsjaelland
76.3%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.24
Edge
+0.7%
53%
24%
23%
covers FC Midtjylland + FC Nordsjaelland
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw or FC Nordsjaelland
46.9%
Avg Implied 52.1% · @ 1.80
Edge
-5.1%
53%
24%
23%
covers Draw + FC Nordsjaelland
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.83
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5
Over
86.2%
@ 1.13+3.9%
Under
13.8%
@ 5.24-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Under
Unibet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
10Bet
5.00
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5
Over
58.8%
@ 1.70+3.8%
Under
41.2%
@ 2.08-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Under
Unibet
2.20
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.07
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5
Over
31.8%
@ 3.20+2.8%
Under
68.2%
@ 1.31-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.35
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.22
BetVictor
3.20
Under
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
FC Midtjylland over/under 3.5
Over
13.9%
@ 6.83+0.4%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.07-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.10
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.04
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5
Over
71.7%
@ 1.26-1.6%
Under
28.3%
@ 3.46+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Pinnacle
3.49
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5
Over
36.0%
@ 2.34-3.9%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.55+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Bet365
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Unibet
1.55
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5
Over
13.4%
@ 5.43-3.7%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.12+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Under
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
@ 13.38-3.2%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Midtjylland, so a minus line means FC Midtjylland give that many goals of a start and FC Nordsjaelland receive them. At -1, FC Midtjylland must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Midtjylland win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Midtjylland)
FC Midtjylland -2
15.3%
@ 6.67+1.8%
Draw -2
16.4%
@ 5.56+0.3%
FC Nordsjaelland +2
68.3%
@ 1.27-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.00
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Away
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap -1 (FC Midtjylland)
FC Midtjylland -1
31.7%
@ 3.30+4.5%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 3.85-1.9%
FC Nordsjaelland +1
46.9%
@ 1.81-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
10Bet
3.30
Unibet
3.05
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
10Bet
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Away
Unibet
1.86
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Handicap +1 (FC Midtjylland)
FC Midtjylland +1
76.8%
@ 1.29+6.6%
Draw +1
13.3%
@ 5.33-3.7%
FC Nordsjaelland -1
9.9%
@ 7.02-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Unibet
5.30
10Bet
5.00
Away
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Unibet
6.75
10Bet
6.50
Handicap +2 (FC Midtjylland)
FC Midtjylland +2
90.1%
@ 1.07+5.1%
Draw +2
6.7%
@ 10.00-2.5%
FC Nordsjaelland -2
3.2%
@ 15.67-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Midtjylland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.33
0.77
0.31
0.65
0.35
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.25
0.50
0.17
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (18)
0.94
0.39
1.00
0.43
0.91
0.36
Clean sheet %
73% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.93
0.20
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.47
1.07
0.67
0.33
0.33
1.56
vs Weaker (15)
1.07
0.27
1.11
0.11
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.4%
@ 1.25+0.3%
Under 0.5
25.6%
@ 3.58-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
Betfair
3.80
Unibet
3.70
William Hil
3.70
1xBet
3.58
10Bet
3.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.2%
@ 2.24-2.5%
Under 1.5
60.8%
@ 1.60+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.5%
@ 5.07-2.9%
Under 2.5
84.5%
@ 1.14+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.10
Betano
5.00
Under
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.2%
@ 1.66-0.6%
Under
44.8%
@ 2.10+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Under
Unibet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.05
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 HT
Over
22.4%
@ 4.21+0.4%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.19-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
Betano
4.30
1xBet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.4%
@ 10.58-3.5%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.03+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Unibet
11.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Unibet
1.03
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.8%
@ 2.05-6.5%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.70+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.10
Unibet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
10Bet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.6%
@ 6.38-4.9%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.08+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
10Bet
6.25
Unibet
6.25
Betano
6.20
1xBet
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 17.50-4.2%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Midtjylland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
0.69
1.08
1.06
0.24
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.67
0.33
1.17
1.17
0.17
vs Weaker (18)
1.00
0.56
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.27
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.47
1.40
0.40
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.53
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (15)
1.40
0.40
1.78
0.44
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.2%
@ 1.14+1.7%
Under 0.5
16.8%
@ 5.06-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Unibet
5.40
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.7%
@ 1.73-3.3%
Under 1.5
49.3%
@ 2.03+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Under
Unibet
2.15
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.8%
@ 3.27-3.7%
Under 2.5
75.2%
@ 1.30+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.28
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.27
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 2H
Over
68.2%
@ 1.46+4.5%
Under
31.8%
@ 2.56-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 2H
Over
30.5%
@ 3.15+1.1%
Under
69.5%
@ 1.31-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.26
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.3%
@ 7.73-2.7%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.05+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.3%
@ 1.72-7.6%
Under
53.7%
@ 2.01+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.6%
@ 4.64-6.4%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.16+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.95
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
@ 11.50-5.4%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
Under 7.5
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.4%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+3.2%
Under 6.5
95.3%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Unibet
1.01
-
+1.8%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.6%
1.03
Unibet
1.03
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+3.5%
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+2.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
+4.9%
Home +2 handicap
90.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
-
-
+5.1%
Under 5.5
89.0%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
BetVictor
1.05
+1.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.6%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+3.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.4%
1.16
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+6.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
86.2%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
+3.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
86.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.04
-0.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.5%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+2.9%
Over 21.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.4%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
+3.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+1.7%
Under 5.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.6%
1.19
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
-0.4%
Under 4.5
77.3%
1.22
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+0.5%
Home or Draw
76.8%
1.30
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+4.4%
Home +1 handicap
76.8%
1.29
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
+6.6%
Over 2.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.3%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+0.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.2%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.27
+3.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.4%
1.25
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+0.3%
Over 23.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.7%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
-1.6%
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
1.35
Unibet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
-
-
+3.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Midtjylland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stanley Iheanacho44%
Franculino Djú38%
Valdemar Byskov25%
Sofus Johannesen25%
Julius Emefile25%
Gue-sung Cho22%
Darío Osorio22%
Friday Etim22%
M. Jensen17%
Mads Bech Sørensen11%
Denil Castillo10%
R. Kristensen0%
Philip Billing0%
M. Erlić0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
K. Wätjen0%
Beni Junior0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Jensen33%
R. Kristensen30%
Sofus Johannesen25%
Darío Osorio22%
Philip Billing20%
Adam Gabriel17%
K. Wätjen17%
M. Erlić14%
Franculino Djú12%
Mads Bech Sørensen11%
Friday Etim11%
Denil Castillo10%
Gue-sung Cho0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Valdemar Byskov0%
Beni Junior0%
Stanley Iheanacho0%
Julius Emefile0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Darío Osorio33%
Franculino Djú25%
Valdemar Byskov25%
Friday Etim22%
Philip Billing20%
Beni Junior17%
Sofus Johannesen12%
R. Kristensen10%
Denil Castillo10%
Mads Bech Sørensen0%
M. Erlić0%
Gue-sung Cho0%
M. Jensen0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
K. Wätjen0%
Stanley Iheanacho0%
Julius Emefile0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanley Iheanacho33%
Valdemar Byskov25%
Darío Osorio22%
K. Wätjen17%
Mads Bech Sørensen11%
Friday Etim11%
R. Kristensen0%
Philip Billing0%
M. Erlić0%
Gue-sung Cho0%
M. Jensen0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Denil Castillo0%
Franculino Djú0%
Beni Junior0%
Sofus Johannesen0%
Julius Emefile0%
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Walker67%
Levy Nene33%
N. Røjkjær30%
Villum Berthelsen30%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen30%
A. Lind17%
Lamine Sadio14%
Ibrahim Adel11%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
Juho Lähteenmäki10%
Justin Janssen10%
Peter Ankersen0%
M. Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Stephen Acquah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahim Adel33%
Juho Lähteenmäki30%
Justin Janssen30%
Peter Ankersen22%
Noah Markmann17%
Tobias Salquist12%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
N. Røjkjær10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
M. Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
A. Lind0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
M. Heyde0%
Levy Nene0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen0%
Lamine Sadio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ibrahim Adel33%
Lamine Sadio29%
M. Brink22%
Juho Lähteenmäki20%
A. Lind17%
Tobias Salquist12%
Peter Ankersen11%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
N. Røjkjær10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen10%
Andreas Hansen0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Levy Nene0%
Justin Janssen0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Adel33%
Levy Nene33%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen30%
Lamine Sadio29%
Prince Amoako Junior22%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Peter Ankersen0%
M. Brink0%
N. Røjkjær0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
A. Lind0%
Juho Lähteenmäki0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Justin Janssen0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
FC Midtjylland's squad is €71m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€108m vs €37m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
FC Midtjylland's attack is €29m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€47m vs €18m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
FC Midtjylland's midfield is €17m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€24m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
FC Midtjylland's defence is €25m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€37m vs €12m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
Viborg
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske