FC Midtjylland is the clear favourite to win this match, with a 67% chance of victory at home. The model's selection is a home win, and this is largely due to the team's impressive form at their own venue, where they have been scoring an average of 2 goals per game against weaker opponents, while conceding just 1.71 goals. In contrast, Randers FC have struggled on the road, scoring only 0.5 goals per game against stronger opponents, while conceding 1.67 goals.
The expected total number of goals in this match is 3.2, with the most likely total number of goals being 3. The most likely score is 2-0 to FC Midtjylland, with a probability of 10.5%.
FC Midtjylland's home win percentage is 67%, while the draw percentage is 20% and the away win percentage is 13%. The model's selection for this match, aside from the home win, is Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 83.8%. Over 21.5 fouls is also the model's selection, with a probability of 77.3%.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as FC Midtjylland secured a 1-0 home win, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 68 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The most likely scoreline was 2-1, but the match settled for a tighter 1-0 result. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.9 %, Under 7.5 hit at 97.4 %, Home +2 handicap hit at 95.2 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 94.3 %, Under 6.5 hit at 93.6 %, and Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 92.9 %. The selections largely came in, confirming the model’s overall assessment.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Midtjylland win✓ Hit
67.9%
Avg Implied 65.2% · @ 1.43
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.48
Dafabet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Draw✗ Miss
18.9%
Avg Implied 20.2% · @ 4.61
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.90
Dafabet
4.90
Superbet
4.85
Betfair
4.75
1xBet
4.65
Randers FC win✗ Miss
13.3%
Avg Implied 14.5% · @ 6.42
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
7.00
Pinnacle
6.83
Betano
6.80
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.54
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Midtjylland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.07
1.57
1.36
1.62
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.13
1.07
1.12
1.12
1.14
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
2.07
1.07
2.17
1.67
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.33
1.12
1.31
1.00
1.36
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.80
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.67
vs Similar (19)
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.08
1.00
1.29
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.1%
@ 1.16+6.3%
Under 1.5
12.9%
@ 4.88-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.23
Unibet
5.20
Superbet
5.10
BetVictor
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.7%
@ 1.55+7.3%
Under 2.5
32.3%
@ 2.37-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
888Sport
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.60
SBO
1.59
Under
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
Superbet
2.47
Unibet
2.43
Betano
2.42
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.1%
@ 2.40+6.8%
Under 3.5
53.9%
@ 1.55-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.41
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.6%
@ 1.70+4.9%
No
40.4%
@ 2.05-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
888Sport
1.70
No
Betfair
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Unibet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%@ 7.50+3.5%
2-0
9.2%@ 7.50+3.2%
1-1
8.5%@ 8.55+3.2%
3-1
7.8%@ 10.08+3.3%
3-0
7.6%@ 10.05+3.1%
1-0 ✓
6.7%@ 8.03+1.1%
2-2
4.9%@ 14.81+1.9%
4-1
4.8%@ 17.05+2.2%
FC Midtjylland goals ↓
Randers FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
2.4%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
1
6.7%
8.5%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
2
9.2%
9.5%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
3
7.6%
7.8%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
4
4.7%
4.8%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Midtjylland goals (down), columns = Randers FC goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
FC Midtjylland is 1.17 points better than Randers FC in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
FC Midtjylland is 0.83 goals better than Randers FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
FC Midtjylland is 0.50 goals better than Randers FC in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
FC Midtjylland is 11.7 percentage points better than Randers FC in terms of average possession (55% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Midtjylland
For 5.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 14.0 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Randers FC
For 5.3 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 11.0 · Total 19.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Midtjylland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.4
11.1
3.9
4.1
3.7
28.4
31.1
25.9
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
8.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
27.0
27.0
-
vs Similar (24)
10.2
9.0
11.6
3.9
4.5
3.3
29.3
32.4
25.8
vs Weaker (25)
10.5
10.1
10.8
3.9
3.8
4.0
27.7
30.1
25.9
% over line
56%
40%
71%
62%
62%
62%
88%
100%
76%
% under line
44%
60%
29%
38%
38%
38%
12%
0%
24%
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.0
9.9
3.0
2.7
3.3
21.7
21.0
22.5
vs Stronger (20)
9.7
8.9
10.4
3.5
2.8
4.1
21.4
21.9
20.8
vs Similar (29)
10.1
10.7
9.4
2.8
2.6
3.0
21.9
20.3
23.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
49%
48%
50%
40%
28%
52%
53%
40%
68%
% under line
51%
52%
50%
60%
72%
48%
47%
60%
32%
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.9
AC Horsens
10.7
Lyngby
10.1
Sonderjyske
10.1
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Viborg
9.9
FC Copenhagen
9.9
Randers FC
9.8
Aarhus
9.7
Brondby
9.6
Silkeborg
9.4
FC Nordsjaelland
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
AC Horsens
3.7
Lyngby
3.7
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.2
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
27.5
Viborg
24.5
Brondby
24.4
FC Copenhagen
23.9
Lyngby
23.9
Aarhus
23.5
Sonderjyske
21.9
Odense
21.7
Randers FC
21.7
FC Nordsjaelland
21.1
AC Horsens
19.4
Silkeborg
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.6%
@ 1.60+1.9%
Under 9.5
40.4%
@ 2.19-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.22
Unibet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.17
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.8%
@ 1.89+3.8%
Under 3.5
47.2%
@ 1.82-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Unibet
1.85
Under
Superbet
1.82
Unibet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.6%
Under 21.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Midtjylland or Draw✓ Hit
86.7%
Avg Implied 85.0% · @ 1.11
Edge
+1.7%
68%
19%
13%
covers FC Midtjylland + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
FC Midtjylland or Randers FC✓ Hit
81.1%
Avg Implied 80.2% · @ 1.17
Edge
+0.9%
68%
19%
13%
covers FC Midtjylland + Randers FC
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Draw or Randers FC✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied 34.8% · @ 2.70
Edge
-2.7%
68%
19%
13%
covers Draw + Randers FC
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.82
BetVictor
2.75
Superbet
2.75
1xBet
2.73
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.4%
@ 1.07+4.3%
Under
8.6%
@ 7.26-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Under
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.30
Superbet
7.20
888Sport
7.00
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
70.4%
@ 1.44+5.7%
Under
29.6%
@ 2.64-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.68
Marathonbet
2.68
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
44.6%
@ 2.38+5.4%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.53-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.50
Pinnacle
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Unibet
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
FC Midtjylland over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
23.4%
@ 4.51+2.8%
Under
76.6%
@ 1.17-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Pinnacle
4.56
Betfair
4.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Randers FC over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
64.3%
@ 1.53+3.6%
Under
35.7%
@ 2.37-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.46
Unibet
2.40
BetVictor
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Randers FC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.6%
@ 3.64+2.0%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.25-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.85
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
888Sport
3.70
1xBet
3.64
Under
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Randers FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 9.79-0.9%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
11.00
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.80
Superbet
9.70
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Randers FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 32.00-97.9%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
30.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Midtjylland, so a minus line means FC Midtjylland give that many goals of a start and Randers FC receive them. At -1, FC Midtjylland must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Midtjylland win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: Randers FC
FC Midtjylland -2
26.7%
@ 3.73+2.7%
Draw -2
19.9%
@ 4.21-1.3%
Randers FC +2
53.3%
@ 1.63-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Away
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.63
Betfair
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Handicap -1 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: Draw
FC Midtjylland -1
46.7%
@ 2.13+4.8%
Draw -1
21.2%
@ 3.61-3.5%
Randers FC +1
32.1%
@ 2.67-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Away
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.73
Superbet
2.70
Unibet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Handicap +1 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland +1
86.7%
@ 1.10+5.1%
Draw +1
8.4%
@ 7.83-3.0%
Randers FC -1
4.8%
@ 12.86-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Betfair
9.00
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
12.50
Marathonbet
6.95
Handicap +2 (FC Midtjylland)Actual: FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland +2
95.2%
@ 1.02+1.7%
Draw +2
3.5%
@ 20.50-1.1%
Randers FC -2
1.3%
@ 51.00-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.02
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
20.00
Away
Betfair
61.00
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Midtjylland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
0.64
0.29
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.33
0.27
0.38
0.12
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (15)
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.56
0.81
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
0.80
0.00
0.75
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.74
0.75
0.83
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.0%
@ 1.26+3.0%
Under 0.5
23.0%
@ 3.58-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Unibet
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.4%
@ 2.25-1.1%
Under 1.5
59.6%
@ 1.60+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Under
Superbet
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.1%
@ 5.02-2.5%
Under 2.5
83.9%
@ 1.14+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.20
Betano
5.10
Unibet
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Under
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
68.4%
@ 1.49+5.9%
Under
31.6%
@ 2.49-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Unibet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.66
Superbet
2.52
1xBet
2.50
Unibet
2.48
10Bet
2.40
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 3.30-1.9%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.29+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Superbet
3.20
Under
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.28
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 8.36-4.1%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
9.00
1xBet
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Randers FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.8%
@ 2.67-1.0%
Under
66.2%
@ 1.43+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.92
Betano
2.77
Unibet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
Superbet
2.62
Under
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Randers FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 9.64-3.9%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
Unibet
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Superbet
9.70
10Bet
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Unibet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Randers FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 40.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Midtjylland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.73
0.93
1.07
0.94
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.80
0.75
1.00
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (15)
1.07
0.67
1.17
1.17
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.56
0.50
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.25
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.42
0.42
0.25
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
86.6%
@ 1.15+5.6%
Under 0.5
13.4%
@ 4.91-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Under
Superbet
5.10
Unibet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
54.3%
@ 1.76+1.2%
Under 1.5
45.7%
@ 2.00-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.0%
@ 3.32-2.0%
Under 2.5
74.0%
@ 1.29+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Unibet
3.25
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
76.9%
@ 1.32+6.7%
Under
23.1%
@ 3.12-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Under
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.05
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
39.6%
@ 2.47+2.1%
Under
60.4%
@ 1.48-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.47
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.43
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 5.60-4.2%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.11+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.80
1xBet
5.70
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Randers FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.19-3.6%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.60+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Under
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Randers FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 7.12-4.9%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.06+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.30
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Randers FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 19.25-3.7%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.02
-
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Unibet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.9%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
91.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.7%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
86.7%
1.11
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
86.7%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
86.6%
1.15
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.14
+5.6%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
85.9%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.9%
1.14
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
81.1%
1.17
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.0%
1.26
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.32
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
-
-
+6.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
76.6%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
-2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.0%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
73.8%
1.29
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.28
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.2%
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.36
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
72.7%
1.21
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
72.4%
1.25
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.5%
1.35
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
70.4%
1.44
888Sport
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
+5.7%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Midtjylland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stanley Iheanacho44%
Franculino Djú38%
Valdemar Byskov25%
Sofus Johannesen25%
Julius Emefile25%
Gue-sung Cho22%
Darío Osorio22%
Friday Etim22%
M. Jensen17%
Mads Bech Sørensen11%
Denil Castillo10%
R. Kristensen0%
Philip Billing0%
M. Erlić0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
K. Wätjen0%
Beni Junior0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Jensen33%
R. Kristensen30%
Sofus Johannesen25%
Darío Osorio22%
Philip Billing20%
Adam Gabriel17%
K. Wätjen17%
M. Erlić14%
Franculino Djú12%
Mads Bech Sørensen11%
Friday Etim11%
Denil Castillo10%
Gue-sung Cho0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Valdemar Byskov0%
Beni Junior0%
Stanley Iheanacho0%
Julius Emefile0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Darío Osorio33%
Franculino Djú25%
Valdemar Byskov25%
Friday Etim22%
Philip Billing20%
Beni Junior17%
Sofus Johannesen12%
R. Kristensen10%
Denil Castillo10%
Mads Bech Sørensen0%
M. Erlić0%
Gue-sung Cho0%
M. Jensen0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
K. Wätjen0%
Stanley Iheanacho0%
Julius Emefile0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanley Iheanacho33%
Valdemar Byskov25%
Darío Osorio22%
K. Wätjen17%
Mads Bech Sørensen11%
Friday Etim11%
R. Kristensen0%
Philip Billing0%
M. Erlić0%
Gue-sung Cho0%
M. Jensen0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Denil Castillo0%
Franculino Djú0%
Beni Junior0%
Sofus Johannesen0%
Julius Emefile0%
Randers FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mike Themsen33%
Mohamed Sankoh20%
Kasper Junker17%
Elies Mahmoud17%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Mathias Greve0%
Jannich Storch0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Wessel Dammers0%
John Björkengren0%
Nikolas Dyhr0%
Martin Sjølstad0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Cyril Edudzi0%
Felix Sommer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Laurits Pedersen33%
Mike Themsen33%
Mohamed Sankoh20%
Sabil Hansen20%
Elies Mahmoud17%
Kasper Junker0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Mathias Greve0%
Jannich Storch0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Wessel Dammers0%
John Björkengren0%
Nikolas Dyhr0%
Martin Sjølstad0%
Cyril Edudzi0%
Felix Sommer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sabil Hansen20%
Kasper Junker17%
Martin Sjølstad17%
Mike Themsen17%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Mathias Greve0%
Jannich Storch0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Wessel Dammers0%
John Björkengren0%
Nikolas Dyhr0%
Elies Mahmoud0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Cyril Edudzi0%
Felix Sommer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elies Mahmoud17%
Mike Themsen17%
Kasper Junker0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Mathias Greve0%
Jannich Storch0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Wessel Dammers0%
John Björkengren0%
Nikolas Dyhr0%
Martin Sjølstad0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Cyril Edudzi0%
Felix Sommer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
FC Midtjylland's squad is €94m more valuable than Randers FC's (€108m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
FC Midtjylland's attack is €42m more valuable than Randers FC's (€47m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
FC Midtjylland's midfield is €21m more valuable than Randers FC's (€24m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
FC Midtjylland's defence is €31m more valuable than Randers FC's (€37m vs €6m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Odense
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske