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FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-2
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
Vs
51%
24%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aarhus
Aarhus
Denmark: Superliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

FC Nordsjaelland enter the match on a five-game winning streak, having beaten Brøndby 3-1, while Aarhus are still recovering from two straight defeats, their last outing ending 1-2 at Randers. The model sees a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.3 goals, the most likely total being three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.8% chance. Home win is the favoured result, with a 51% probability, draw 24% and away win 25%. FC Nordsjaelland average 1.25 goals scored and 1.12 conceded at home against similar opponents, whereas Aarhus average 1.67 goals scored and 1.75 conceded on the road versus similar teams. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 84.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 84.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 81.8%, Under 10.5 corners at 72.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 72.9% and Under 23.5 fouls at 72.2%.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Aarhus snatched a 2-1 victory, ending FC Nordsjælland’s five-game winning streak at home. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 51% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Over 1.5 goals (84.6%), Under 25.5 fouls (84.2%), Under 11.5 corners (82.1%), Under 5.5 cards (81.8%), Under 10.5 corners (72.9%), Over 2.5 cards (72.9%) and Under 23.5 fouls (72.2%). The match produced three goals, matching the most likely total of three, while the final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Nordsjaelland win✗ Miss
50.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aarhus win✓ Hit
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W01L23L24L13L10W21W10W03L20WA·FC 20/07H·BRO27/07A·SON03/08A·SIL10/08H·FC 15/08H·VIB25/08A·ODE31/08H·FC 14/09A·RAN22/09A·KOL25/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.771.851.151.062.24
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.871.671.251.120.432.29
vs Weaker (15)1.931.872.801.201.502.20
Clean sheet %20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AarhusAarhus

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D12L00D32W51W10W41W21W10W21WA·SON20/07H·RAN25/07H·FC 03/08A·FC 08/08A·ODE18/08H·VEJ24/08H·FC 31/08A·VIB14/09H·BRO21/09A·HIL24/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.501.501.071.691.88
vs Stronger (7)1.141.860.751.251.672.67
vs Similar (22)1.731.411.801.001.671.75
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.6%
Under 1.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.2%
Under 2.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.0%
Under 3.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.8%
No
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2 ✓
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
4.8%
FC Nordsjaelland goals ↓
Aarhus goals →
01234
04.8%4.1%3.4%1.5%0.5%
16.4%11%6.6%2.9%1.0%
27.2%9.5%6.3%2.8%0.9%
34.6%6.1%4.1%1.8%0.6%
42.2%3.0%2.0%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Nordsjaelland goals (down), columns = Aarhus goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.58
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.39
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Odense
1.28
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
FC Fredericia
1.06
Vejle
0.75
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.53 points worse than Aarhus in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 2.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.06
Aarhus
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Odense
1.59
Viborg
1.53
FC Fredericia
1.41
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Silkeborg
1.28
Vejle
1.12
Randers FC
1.03
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.34 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
Brondby
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.12
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Odense
1.88
Vejle
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
FC Fredericia
2.12
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.44 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Vejle
45%
FC Fredericia
44%
Sonderjyske
44%
FC Nordsjaelland is 3.7 percentage points better than Aarhus in terms of average possession (57% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

For 4.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.8

🚩 Corners

9042612133544561725166736997777A·RANH·FC A·ODEH·VIBH·FC A·SILA·SONH·BROA·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

6012441233341121223111655653352A·RANH·FC A·ODEH·VIBH·FC A·SILA·SONH·BROA·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

300516101211191314911182141185101415721223027202025132422A·RANH·FC A·ODEH·VIBH·FC A·SILA·SONH·BROA·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AarhusAarhus

For 5.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

14062477163597493334638118914119679H·BROA·VIBH·FC H·VEJA·ODEA·FC H·FC H·RANA·SONH·BRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

7034321123421323247513364524H·BROA·VIBH·FC H·VEJA·ODEA·FC H·FC H·RANA·SONH·BRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

300131011121211121214165101467216118823232324301520281716H·BROA·VIBH·FC H·VEJA·ODEA·FC H·FC H·RANA·SONH·BRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.38.63.23.23.320.718.922.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)8.97.810.33.43.33.520.118.422.1
vs Weaker (26)8.09.17.23.13.03.221.319.622.5
% over line36%39%33%42%30%52%40%30%50%
% under line64%61%67%58%70%48%60%70%50%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AarhusAarhus

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.49.73.43.83.022.223.021.4
vs Stronger (12)9.610.29.03.53.23.820.622.518.7
vs Similar (35)9.39.19.53.23.82.722.422.921.8
vs Weaker (3)13.510.017.05.09.03.029.528.031.0
% over line42%35%50%46%50%42%56%65%45%
% under line58%65%50%54%50%58%44%35%55%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Fredericia
11.3
Vejle
10.9
Viborg
10.9
Odense
10.3
FC Midtjylland
10.3
Randers FC
9.7
Brondby
9.7
Sonderjyske
9.7
Aarhus
9.7
Silkeborg
8.9
FC Nordsjaelland
8.7
FC Copenhagen
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
4.5
Brondby
4.1
Aarhus
4.0
Viborg
3.9
Odense
3.9
Sonderjyske
3.9
Randers FC
3.7
FC Midtjylland
3.6
FC Nordsjaelland
3.5
Vejle
3.3
Silkeborg
3.1
FC Fredericia
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Copenhagen
23.5
Viborg
22.7
FC Midtjylland
22.3
Aarhus
22.2
Odense
22.0
Sonderjyske
21.8
Vejle
21.5
Randers FC
21.5
Brondby
21.2
FC Nordsjaelland
20.5
Silkeborg
19.9
FC Fredericia
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.7%
Under 9.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.3%
Under 3.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
43.5%
Under 21.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L11D12L00D10W01L10W00D00DA·FC 20/07H·BRO27/07A·SON03/08A·SIL10/08H·FC 15/08H·VIB25/08A·ODE31/08H·FC 14/09A·RAN22/09A·KOL25/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.771.000.460.471.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.730.500.380.291.14
vs Weaker (15)1.000.801.800.600.600.90
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AarhusAarhus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D10W21W10W20W21W10W10WA·SON20/07H·RAN25/07H·FC 03/08A·FC 08/08A·ODE18/08H·VEJ24/08H·FC 31/08A·VIB14/09H·BRO21/09A·HIL24/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.710.360.750.81
vs Stronger (7)0.140.570.000.500.330.67
vs Similar (22)0.910.641.000.300.830.92
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D12L12L13L00D20W00D03L20WA·FC 20/07H·BRO27/07A·SON03/08A·SIL10/08H·FC 15/08H·VIB25/08A·ODE31/08H·FC 14/09A·RAN22/09A·KOL25/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.000.850.690.591.24
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.470.930.750.750.141.14
vs Weaker (15)0.931.071.000.600.901.30
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AarhusAarhus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L00D22D30W00D21W00D00D11DA·SON20/07H·RAN25/07H·FC 03/08A·FC 08/08A·ODE18/08H·VEJ24/08H·FC 31/08A·VIB14/09H·BRO21/09A·HIL24/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.900.790.710.941.06
vs Stronger (7)1.001.290.750.751.332.00
vs Similar (22)0.820.770.800.700.830.83
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls84.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards81.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls72.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Lind Rasmussen33%
Sindre Walle Egeli33%
Ola Solbakken29%
Ibrahim Adel27%
Prince Amoako Junior26%
Levy Nene20%
Lamine Sadio20%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim16%
Peter Ankersen10%
Nicklas Røjkjær9%
Juho Lähteenmäki7%
Justin Janssen7%
Caleb Yirenkyi7%
Tobias Salquist3%
Kian Hansen0%
Mark Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
William Lykke0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Malte Heyde0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Markus Walker0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Rasmussen0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads Rutkjær0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zidan Sertdemir33%
Lucas Høgsberg33%
Caleb Yirenkyi30%
Alexander Lind Rasmussen22%
Mark Brink21%
Justin Janssen21%
Peter Ankersen20%
Ibrahim Adel18%
Levy Nene15%
Markus Walker14%
Prince Amoako Junior13%
Tobias Salquist10%
Lamine Sadio10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Nicklas Røjkjær9%
Noah Markmann8%
Ola Solbakken6%
Malte Heyde6%
Andreas Hansen4%
Juho Lähteenmäki4%
Kian Hansen0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
William Lykke0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Rasmussen0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads Rutkjær0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sindre Walle Egeli33%
Nicklas Røjkjær18%
Caleb Yirenkyi17%
Prince Amoako Junior16%
Alexander Lind Rasmussen11%
Justin Janssen10%
Levy Nene10%
Lamine Sadio10%
Ibrahim Adel9%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim8%
Hjalte Rasmussen8%
Juho Lähteenmäki7%
Mark Brink7%
Ola Solbakken6%
Malte Heyde6%
Peter Ankersen3%
Kian Hansen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
William Lykke0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Markus Walker0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads Rutkjær0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sindre Walle Egeli83%
Ibrahim Adel36%
Ola Solbakken29%
Alexander Lind Rasmussen28%
Prince Amoako Junior26%
Peter Ankersen10%
Lamine Sadio10%
Nicklas Røjkjær9%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim8%
Levy Nene5%
Justin Janssen3%
Kian Hansen0%
Mark Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
Juho Lähteenmäki0%
William Lykke0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Malte Heyde0%
Caleb Yirenkyi0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Markus Walker0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Rasmussen0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads Rutkjær0%
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Bech31%
Patrick Mortensen28%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Rasmus Carstensen17%
Markus Solbakken17%
Gift Links12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Janni Serra10%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson10%
Stefen Tchamche8%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Felix Beijmo6%
Frederik Tingager5%
Nicolai Poulsen5%
Sebastian Jørgensen4%
Jesper Hansen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
James Bogere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Nicolai Poulsen25%
Felix Beijmo16%
Magnus Knudsen14%
Rasmus Carstensen12%
Gift Links12%
Eric Kahl12%
Frederik Tingager10%
Henrik Dalsgaard9%
Tobias Bech9%
Markus Solbakken8%
Kevin Yakob8%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gift Links16%
Mads Emil Madsen14%
Jacob Andersen14%
Kristian Arnstad13%
Tobias Bech12%
Felix Beijmo12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Kevin Yakob8%
Sebastian Jørgensen7%
Frederik Tingager5%
Rasmus Carstensen4%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Eric Kahl3%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Janni Serra0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
James Bogere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Bech38%
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Patrick Mortensen25%
Kevin Yakob15%
Gift Links12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Frederik Emmery4%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
FC Nordsjaelland and Aarhus have a similar squad value (both €37m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's attack is €4m more valuable than Aarhus's (€18m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's midfield is €7m less valuable than Aarhus's (€7m vs €14m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
FC Nordsjaelland's defence is €4m more valuable than Aarhus's (€12m vs €8m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
FN wins
1
Draws
2
AAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus · H/A from FN
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/25HFN Vs Aarhus2-0
30/03/25AAarhus Vs FN2-0
22/11/24HFN Vs Aarhus1-0
31/08/24AAarhus Vs FN4-2
03/05/24AAarhus Vs FN1-3
22/04/24HFN Vs Aarhus7-2
26/11/23HFN Vs Aarhus0-0
31/07/23AAarhus Vs FN1-3

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/09/25AKolding IF Vs FN0-2
22/09/25ARanders FC Vs FN3-0
14/09/25HFN Vs FC Midtjylland1-0
31/08/25AOdense Vs FN1-2
25/08/25HFN Vs Viborg1-0
15/08/25HFN Vs FC Copenhagen1-3
10/08/25ASilkeborg Vs FN4-2
03/08/25ASonderjyske Vs FN3-2
27/07/25HFN Vs Brondby0-1
20/07/25AFC Fredericia Vs FN2-3

AarhusAarhus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/25AHillerød Vs AAR1-2
21/09/25HAAR Vs Brondby1-0
14/09/25AViborg Vs AAR1-2
31/08/25HAAR Vs FC Fredericia4-1
24/08/25HAAR Vs Vejle1-0
18/08/25AOdense Vs AAR1-5
08/08/25AFC Copenhagen Vs AAR2-3
03/08/25HAAR Vs FC Midtjylland0-0
25/07/25HAAR Vs Randers FC1-2
20/07/25ASonderjyske Vs AAR1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.48
HomeWLLWW2.00
AwayLLWLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%57%30%
AVG goals3.343.263.41
Over 1.5 %82%78%85%
Over 2.5 %62%57%67%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.702.041.41
Conceded1.641.222.00
BTTS64%70%59%
Clean Sheet18%22%15%
Corners8.498.358.62
Cards3.523.323.71
Aarhus
Aarhus
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.52
HomeLDWWW1.79
AwayDWWWW1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%35%
AVG goals3.102.923.27
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored1.741.831.65
Conceded1.361.081.62
BTTS68%62%73%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners9.589.439.73
Cards3.954.383.55

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AarhusAarhus3267
59%
2.1
6232+30
2.9
81%
53%
25%
9.3
41%
3.8
52%
24.3
72%
36
141481.91.0
54%
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland3260
50%
1.9
7236+36
3.4
81%
62%
44%
9.8
50%
4.5
72%
26.2
75%
108
4724372.21.1
54%
3FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen3352
45%
1.6
6845+23
3.4
94%
70%
39%
10.3
64%
3.6
48%
22.4
55%
73
1717392.11.4
55%
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland3250
47%
1.6
5146+5
3.0
75%
59%
31%
8.3
34%
3.8
50%
21.5
53%
37
187121.61.4
57%
5BrondbyBrondby3346
39%
1.4
4536+9
2.5
70%
42%
21%
9.0
48%
4.6
64%
25.4
73%
48
1511221.41.1
51%
6ViborgViborg3244
41%
1.4
4951-2
3.1
72%
59%
31%
9.0
50%
3.6
48%
24.6
75%
19
62111.51.6
48%
7SonderjyskeSonderjyske3244
38%
1.4
4449-5
2.9
81%
56%
28%
10.2
66%
3.6
42%
22.0
44%
13
3361.41.5
44%
8OdenseOdense3241
34%
1.3
5160-9
3.5
88%
72%
50%
10.5
62%
3.1
37%
21.8
50%
17
8371.61.9
51%
9SilkeborgSilkeborg3236
31%
1.1
4167-26
3.4
91%
66%
44%
9.7
53%
2.8
32%
18.1
25%
19
6581.32.1
49%
10Randers FCRanders FC3235
28%
1.1
3347-14
2.5
72%
53%
22%
9.9
47%
3.4
45%
21.9
56%
14
5361.01.5
48%
11FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3234
28%
1.1
4568-23
3.5
94%
72%
50%
11.6
72%
2.9
31%
20.6
31%
8
2331.42.1
44%
12VejleVejle3224
16%
0.8
3660-24
3.0
91%
56%
25%
9.6
47%
3.5
41%
21.8
50%
9
3241.11.9
45%
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches