FC Nordsjaelland’s current 5-game winning streak fuels the model’s confidence, giving a 55% chance of a home victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 20% chance of a Brøndby win. The pick is a home win, and the expected total goals hover at 2.8, with the most likely total being two goals at a 25% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.2% chance. Nordsjaelland average home scoring of 1.33 goals and conceding 0.83 against similar opposition contrasts with Brøndby’s away average of 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.0%), Under 5.5 (96.7%) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.3%). Each selection carries its own probability, with edges ranging from 4% to 9%.
Results analysis
The 5-game winning streak for FC Nordsjaelland continued as they edged Brøndby 3-1, confirming the model’s home-win prediction with a 55% probability. The favoured result landed and the selections largely came in. Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.0%, Under 5.5 at 96.7%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.3%. Every model choice was settled, all hitting their targets. The match delivered the expected total of 2.8 goals, with the 3-1 scoreline fitting the most likely 2-goal outcome. The prediction model proved accurate across the board.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Nordsjaelland win✓ Hit
54.7%
Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.07
Edge
+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Dafabet
2.10
SBO
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.78
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.95
Pinnacle
3.95
Betfair
3.90
Bet365
3.90
Dafabet
3.85
Brondby win✗ Miss
19.8%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.14
Edge
-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.30
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Bet365
3.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Nordsjaelland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.23
2.25
0.88
1.43
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.21
1.64
1.33
0.83
1.12
2.25
vs Weaker (16)
2.44
0.88
2.80
0.90
1.83
0.83
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.07
1.80
1.13
1.27
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.24
1.14
1.64
1.09
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (9)
2.22
0.89
2.25
1.25
2.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.3%
@ 1.16-4.1%
Under 1.5
22.7%
@ 5.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.44
Superbet
5.10
BetVictor
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.1%
@ 1.53-9.1%
Under 2.5
47.9%
@ 2.42+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Superbet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Unibet
2.40
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.9%
@ 2.34-10.4%
Under 3.5
70.1%
@ 1.58+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.41
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.37
10Bet
2.35
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.2%
@ 1.48-9.7%
No
46.8%
@ 2.50+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.47
No
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Bet365
2.50
Unibet
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 7.21+5.9%
1-0
10.1%@ 9.96+5.6%
2-0
9.9%@ 11.73+6.1%
2-1
9.8%@ 8.26+4.4%
0-0
7.4%@ 14.83+4.4%
3-0
5.9%@ 18.31+3.4%
3-1 ✓
5.8%@ 13.37+2.4%
1-2
5.5%@ 10.56+1.2%
FC Nordsjaelland goals ↓
Brondby goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
5.1%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
1
10%
12%
5.5%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.9%
9.8%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.9%
5.8%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.6%
2.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Nordsjaelland goals (down), columns = Brondby goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
FC Nordsjaelland and Brondby are level in average points per game (both 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.33 goals worse than Brondby in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.50 goals better than Brondby in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
FC Nordsjaelland is 4.0 percentage points better than Brondby in terms of average possession (59% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Nordsjaelland
For 7.6 · Against 3.3 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.1 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brondby
For 6.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 14.1 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.1
8.7
3.5
3.4
3.5
21.7
20.3
23.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
8.7
8.7
8.6
3.6
3.3
4.0
22.4
20.7
24.3
vs Weaker (26)
9.0
9.4
8.7
3.3
3.6
3.1
21.1
19.8
22.2
% over line
41%
43%
39%
44%
44%
44%
50%
35%
65%
% under line
59%
57%
61%
56%
56%
56%
50%
65%
35%
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.3
9.8
4.4
4.9
3.9
24.6
26.0
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.8
9.8
9.8
4.8
5.3
4.3
25.4
27.1
23.6
vs Weaker (16)
8.9
8.0
9.9
3.5
4.0
3.1
22.9
23.6
22.1
% over line
53%
54%
52%
60%
71%
50%
66%
79%
52%
% under line
47%
46%
48%
40%
29%
50%
34%
21%
48%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.9
AC Horsens
10.6
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Viborg
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Aarhus
9.7
Silkeborg
9.6
Brondby
9.5
FC Nordsjaelland
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.7
FC Midtjylland
4.4
AC Horsens
3.8
Aarhus
3.8
Lyngby
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.7
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.2
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
27.9
Viborg
24.9
Brondby
24.5
Lyngby
24.0
FC Copenhagen
23.8
Aarhus
23.6
Sonderjyske
22.0
Randers FC
21.9
Odense
21.6
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
AC Horsens
19.9
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.9%
@ 1.68+0.7%
Under 9.5
44.1%
@ 2.07-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Under
Superbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.08
Unibet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.02
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.8%
@ 1.50-5.7%
Under 3.5
44.2%
@ 2.38+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Under
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.35
Unibet
2.25
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.7%
Under 21.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Nordsjaelland or Draw✓ Hit
74.2%
Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.34
Edge
+4.3%
55%
26%
20%
covers FC Nordsjaelland + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.35
FC Nordsjaelland or Brondby✓ Hit
70.1%
Avg Implied 75.7% · @ 1.24
Edge
-5.6%
55%
26%
20%
covers FC Nordsjaelland + Brondby
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.25
Draw or Brondby✗ Miss
55.7%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.72
Edge
+1.3%
55%
26%
20%
covers Draw + Brondby
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.78
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.5%
@ 1.14-6.9%
Under
25.5%
@ 5.02+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
4.85
Unibet
4.80
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.7%
@ 1.75-13.7%
Under
60.3%
@ 2.01+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
BetVictor
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.9%
@ 3.34-11.9%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.29+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.33
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.0%
@ 7.07-8.1%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.07+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
Superbet
7.20
Unibet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Brondby over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.8%
@ 1.25-11.5%
Under
37.2%
@ 3.61+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.89
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Brondby over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.0%
@ 2.25-15.6%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.60+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.35
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Brondby over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 5.00-10.8%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.14+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Brondby over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 11.25-6.6%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.03+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Nordsjaelland, so a minus line means FC Nordsjaelland give that many goals of a start and Brondby receive them. At -1, FC Nordsjaelland must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Nordsjaelland win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Nordsjaelland)Actual: Draw
FC Nordsjaelland -2
8.0%
@ 7.17-4.5%
Draw -2
13.6%
@ 5.82-1.8%
Brondby +2
78.4%
@ 1.25+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Away
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Handicap -1 (FC Nordsjaelland)Actual: FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland -1
21.6%
@ 3.50-3.9%
Draw -1
22.7%
@ 3.97+0.1%
Brondby +1
55.7%
@ 1.72+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Draw
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
10Bet
3.95
Away
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Unibet
1.68
Handicap +1 (FC Nordsjaelland)Actual: FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland +1
74.2%
@ 1.34+6.9%
Draw +1
16.0%
@ 4.99-2.0%
Brondby -1
9.8%
@ 6.11-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.10
Unibet
5.80
Superbet
5.75
Handicap +2 (FC Nordsjaelland)Actual: FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland +2
90.2%
@ 1.09+6.2%
Draw +2
7.1%
@ 9.33-2.7%
Brondby -2
2.7%
@ 14.67-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
8.00
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.81
0.25
0.64
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.36
1.07
0.33
0.50
0.38
1.50
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.25
1.10
0.10
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.37
0.87
0.40
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.33
0.82
0.18
0.20
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.44
1.00
1.00
1.20
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.9%
@ 1.25-5.5%
Under 0.5
31.1%
@ 3.63+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.75
Betano
3.65
Superbet
3.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.5%
@ 2.22-8.6%
Under 1.5
66.5%
@ 1.61+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.5%
@ 4.94-7.3%
Under 2.5
88.5%
@ 1.15+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.4%
@ 1.70-6.3%
Under
51.6%
@ 2.06+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
12.0%
@ 4.39-9.1%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.18+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 11.50-5.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Brondby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.3%
@ 1.99-5.5%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.75+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Superbet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.74
Unibet
1.73
Brondby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 5.91-5.7%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.10+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Unibet
6.00
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Brondby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 16.83-4.2%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.60
1.44
0.62
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.57
1.00
0.33
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (16)
1.38
0.62
1.70
0.80
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brondby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.93
0.73
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.81
0.82
0.91
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.44
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.2%
@ 1.15-3.1%
Under 0.5
21.8%
@ 5.00+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.05
Unibet
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.1%
@ 1.76-6.1%
Under 1.5
52.9%
@ 2.00+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Under
Unibet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.0%
@ 3.31-11.1%
Under 2.5
83.0%
@ 1.30+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Marathonbet
3.22
Under
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.3%
@ 1.50-4.6%
Under
42.7%
@ 2.44+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.42
10Bet
2.40
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.4%
@ 3.33-8.4%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.28+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 8.32-6.4%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.04+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Brondby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.9%
@ 1.71-11.5%
Under
57.1%
@ 2.03+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Under
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
1.98
Brondby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 4.42-7.9%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.17+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.45
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Under
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Brondby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 11.67-5.1%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.07
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.2%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.0%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+14.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.15
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.13
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
+9.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
1.17
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.1%
1.29
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+11.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.0%
1.30
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.28
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.2%
1.39
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.33
-
-
-
+13.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.2%
1.15
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.3%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
10Bet
1.17
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.5%
1.21
Betano
1.21
-
-
-
-
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.5%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
-6.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.2%
1.34
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.35
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.2%
1.34
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
74.0%
1.60
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
+15.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.1%
1.24
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.25
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.1%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
+10.4%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Walker67%
Levy Nene33%
N. Røjkjær30%
Villum Berthelsen30%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen30%
A. Lind17%
Lamine Sadio14%
Ibrahim Adel11%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
Juho Lähteenmäki10%
Justin Janssen10%
Peter Ankersen0%
M. Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Stephen Acquah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahim Adel33%
Juho Lähteenmäki30%
Justin Janssen30%
Peter Ankersen22%
Noah Markmann17%
Tobias Salquist12%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
N. Røjkjær10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
M. Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
A. Lind0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
M. Heyde0%
Levy Nene0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen0%
Lamine Sadio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ibrahim Adel33%
Lamine Sadio29%
M. Brink22%
Juho Lähteenmäki20%
A. Lind17%
Tobias Salquist12%
Peter Ankersen11%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
N. Røjkjær10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen10%
Andreas Hansen0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Levy Nene0%
Justin Janssen0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Adel33%
Levy Nene33%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen30%
Lamine Sadio29%
Prince Amoako Junior22%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Peter Ankersen0%
M. Brink0%
N. Røjkjær0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
A. Lind0%
Juho Lähteenmäki0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Justin Janssen0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Brondby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olti Hyseni40%
Patrick Mortensen20%
Jordi Vanlerberghe17%
Mads Frøkjær17%
Bartosz Slisz17%
Luis Binks17%
Marcus Younis17%
Oskar Fenger17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Marko Divković0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Sho Fukuda0%
Filip Bundgaard0%
Max Ejdum0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mads Frøkjær50%
Luis Binks50%
Mats Köhlert33%
Bartosz Slisz33%
Marko Divković33%
Marcus Younis33%
Filip Bundgaard17%
Max Ejdum17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Sho Fukuda0%
Olti Hyseni0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
Oskar Fenger0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Divković33%
Luis Binks33%
Sho Fukuda25%
Mats Köhlert17%
Bartosz Slisz17%
Max Ejdum17%
Marcus Younis17%
Oskar Fenger17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Mads Frøkjær0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Filip Bundgaard0%
Olti Hyseni0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mads Frøkjær33%
Filip Bundgaard17%
Marcus Younis17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Bartosz Slisz0%
Marko Divković0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Luis Binks0%
Sho Fukuda0%
Max Ejdum0%
Olti Hyseni0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
Oskar Fenger0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
FC Nordsjaelland's squad is €11m less valuable than Brondby's (€37m vs €48m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
FC Nordsjaelland's attack is €3m more valuable than Brondby's (€18m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's midfield is €4m less valuable than Brondby's (€7m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
FC Nordsjaelland's defence is €10m less valuable than Brondby's (€12m vs €22m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske