Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
1.00
0.47
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.50
1.29
0.43
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.29
0.57
0.43
0.43
0.14
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.62
0.69
0.43
0.57
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
0.69
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.59
0.56
0.67
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.43
1.47
0.13
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
0.50
4.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.14
0.57
1.86
0.14
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.29
0.71
0.14
1.14
0.43
Clean sheet %
70% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.88
0.62
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
0.85
1.00
0.71
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
0.78
0.56
0.38
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 3.5
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Over 1.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ernest Nuamah50%
Marcus Ingvartsen31%
Benjamin Nygren28%
Conrad Harder20%
Andreas Schjelderup19%
Ibrahim Osman18%
Oliver Antman14%
Jeppe Tverskov14%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew12%
Martin Frese11%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen11%
Daniel Svensson8%
Oliver Villadsen6%
Mads Hansen5%
Lucas Hey4%
Mario Dorgeles4%
Kian Hansen3%
Adamo Nagalo3%
Erik Marxen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Kaare Barslund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohammed Diomande47%
Rocco Ascone33%
Martin Frese26%
Ernest Nuamah25%
Kaare Barslund25%
Andreas Schjelderup16%
Zidan Sertdemir12%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Conrad Harder12%
Ibrahim Osman12%
Adamo Nagalo11%
Lucas Hey8%
Jeppe Tverskov8%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen7%
Andreas Hansen6%
Daniel Svensson5%
Mads Hansen5%
Oliver Antman5%
Marcus Ingvartsen3%
Kian Hansen3%
Erik Marxen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ernest Nuamah25%
Mohammed Diomande24%
Daniel Svensson22%
Ibrahim Osman21%
Andreas Schjelderup19%
Martin Frese14%
Jeppe Tverskov11%
Marcus Ingvartsen9%
Lucas Hey8%
Zidan Sertdemir6%
Mads Hansen5%
Oliver Antman5%
Benjamin Nygren4%
Conrad Harder4%
Oliver Villadsen3%
Andreas Hansen3%
Kian Hansen3%
Adamo Nagalo3%
Erik Marxen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andreas Schjelderup32%
Ibrahim Osman26%
Marcus Ingvartsen25%
Ernest Nuamah25%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen15%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Conrad Harder8%
Mads Hansen5%
Lucas Hey4%
Martin Frese3%
Daniel Svensson3%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Jeppe Tverskov0%
Oliver Antman0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Lyngby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alfreð Finnbogason50%
Andri Guðjohnsen46%
Frederik Gytkjær18%
Tochi Chukwuani13%
Sævar Atli Magnússon12%
Magnus Jensen9%
Kolbeinn Finnsson7%
Andreas Bjelland4%
Casper Winther4%
Marcel Rømer3%
Pascal Gregor3%
Gylfi Sigurðsson0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Rezan Corlu0%
Jannich Storch0%
Brian Hamalainen0%
David Jensen0%
Marc Muniesa0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Lucas Lissens0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Lucas Hey0%
Tobias Storm0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Willy Kumado0%
Johan Meyer0%
Enock Otoo0%
Michael Opoku0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gylfi Sigurðsson60%
Marc Muniesa50%
Parfait Bizoza33%
Enock Otoo25%
Casper Winther19%
Magnus Jensen17%
Pascal Gregor17%
Lucas Lissens15%
Brian Hamalainen15%
Johan Meyer14%
Marcel Rømer14%
Kolbeinn Finnsson13%
Tochi Chukwuani13%
Sævar Atli Magnússon9%
Andreas Bjelland8%
Tobias Storm8%
Willy Kumado7%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg6%
Frederik Gytkjær4%
Andri Guðjohnsen4%
Alfreð Finnbogason0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Rezan Corlu0%
Jannich Storch0%
David Jensen0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Lucas Hey0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Michael Opoku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alfreð Finnbogason25%
Magnus Jensen13%
Frederik Gytkjær11%
Kolbeinn Finnsson10%
Marc Muniesa10%
Sævar Atli Magnússon9%
Jonathan Amon8%
Willy Kumado7%
Tochi Chukwuani6%
Brian Hamalainen5%
Tobias Storm4%
Andri Guðjohnsen4%
Marcel Rømer3%
Pascal Gregor3%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Gylfi Sigurðsson0%
Rezan Corlu0%
Jannich Storch0%
David Jensen0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Casper Winther0%
Lucas Lissens0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Lucas Hey0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Johan Meyer0%
Enock Otoo0%
Michael Opoku0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andri Guðjohnsen36%
Alfreð Finnbogason25%
Tochi Chukwuani13%
Magnus Jensen9%
Lucas Lissens8%
Jonathan Amon4%
Casper Winther4%
Frederik Gytkjær4%
Kolbeinn Finnsson3%
Sævar Atli Magnússon3%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Gylfi Sigurðsson0%
Marcel Rømer0%
Rezan Corlu0%
Jannich Storch0%
Pascal Gregor0%
Brian Hamalainen0%
David Jensen0%
Marc Muniesa0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Lucas Hey0%
Tobias Storm0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Willy Kumado0%
Johan Meyer0%
Enock Otoo0%
Michael Opoku0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
HVI (21)
€5m
FC Nordsjaelland's squad is €24m more valuable than Lyngby's (€37m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
HVI (6)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's attack is €15m more valuable than Lyngby's (€18m vs €3m).
đź§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
FC Nordsjaelland's midfield is €2m more valuable than Lyngby's (€7m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
HVI (9)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's defence is €7m more valuable than Lyngby's (€12m vs €5m).
Denmark: Superliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →