FC Nordsjaelland is the clear favourite to win at home, with the Pythia prediction model giving them a 65% chance of victory. This is largely due to their opponent Silkeborg's struggles when playing away against stronger opponents, where they concede an average of 4.4 goals per game.
Silkeborg has been in decent form recently, coming off a win against Odense, but FC Nordsjaelland's home form is impressive, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game.
The predicted match result is a home win, with a 65% chance of victory. The expected total number of goals is 3.5, and the most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a probability of 9.6%.
FC Nordsjaelland's home scoring and conceding averages are 2.4 and 0.9 goals per game respectively, while Silkeborg's away scoring and conceding averages are 1.2 and 4.4 goals per game.
The Pythia model's selections include Over 1.5 goals with an 87% probability, and Under 21.5 fouls with a 76.6% probability. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals has a 2% edge.
The probabilities for the match result are: Home win (65%), Draw (20%), Away win (15%). The home win percentage is 65, the draw percentage is 20, and the away win percentage is 15.
The win extends their run, as FC Nordsjaelland secured a 1-0 victory over Silkeborg, bringing their winning streak to four games. The final score was a far cry from the expected total of 3.5 goals, with just one goal scored in the match. The model's selection, a home win, proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 65%. The model's call was also supported by a suggested pick of Over 1.5, which had an 87% probability of occurring but ultimately missed.
FC Nordsjaelland| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.77 | 1.27 | 2.25 | 1.00 | 1.21 | 1.57 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 1.00 | 1.71 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 0.75 | 2.12 |
| vs Weaker (16) | 2.44 | 0.88 | 2.80 | 0.90 | 1.83 | 0.83 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
Silkeborg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.33 | 1.97 | 1.07 | 1.53 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.78 | 3.67 | 0.80 | 2.80 | 0.75 | 4.75 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 5.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-6pp vs league) | |||||
| Silkeborg goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
FC Nordsjaelland
Silkeborg
FC Nordsjaelland| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 20.7 | 19.2 | 22.1 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (25) | 9.0 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 20.9 | 18.9 | 22.9 |
| vs Weaker (25) | 9.1 | 9.6 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 20.4 | 19.4 | 21.4 |
| % over line | 43% | 48% | 39% | 42% | 44% | 40% | 43% | 30% | 57% |
| % under line | 57% | 52% | 61% | 58% | 56% | 60% | 57% | 70% | 43% |
Silkeborg| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.6 | 9.8 | 9.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 18.7 | 18.5 | 18.9 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 9.3 | 10.0 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 17.8 | 18.4 | 17.0 |
| vs Similar (31) | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 19.1 | 18.5 | 19.7 |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 50% | 48% | 52% | 32% | 42% | 23% | 30% | 30% | 29% |
| % under line | 50% | 52% | 48% | 68% | 58% | 77% | 70% | 70% | 71% |
FC Nordsjaelland| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.57 | 0.81 | 0.25 | 0.57 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 0.14 | 0.93 | 0.17 | 0.50 | 0.12 | 1.25 |
| vs Weaker (16) | 1.19 | 0.25 | 1.20 | 0.10 | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+40pp vs league) | |||||
Silkeborg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 0.87 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.56 | 1.89 | 0.80 | 1.40 | 0.25 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.75 | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
FC Nordsjaelland| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 0.70 | 1.44 | 0.75 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 0.86 | 0.79 | 1.17 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.88 |
| vs Weaker (16) | 1.25 | 0.62 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
Silkeborg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.97 | 0.47 | 0.80 | 0.73 | 1.13 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.22 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 1.40 | 0.50 | 2.25 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.10 | 1.10 | +1.1% | ✗ Miss |
| Home or Draw | 85.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home or Away | 80.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/25 | H | 5-0 | |
| 10/08/25 | A | 4-2 | |
| 20/10/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 18/08/24 | A | 4-1 | |
| 12/05/24 | H | 4-1 | |
| 15/04/24 | A | 0-1 | |
| 04/03/24 | H | 3-1 | |
| 20/08/23 | A | 2-0 |
FC Nordsjaelland| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 06/08/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 02/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 01/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 23/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 2-1 |
Silkeborg| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 02/08/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 27/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 3-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 15 | 83% | 2.5 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 3.8 | 100% | 83% | 83% | 8.2 | 67% | 3.3 | 50% | 22.5 | 50% | 73 | 17 | 17 | 39 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 52% |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 6 | 14 | 67% | 2.3 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 83% | 33% | 17% | 11.0 | 67% | 3.7 | 50% | 31.7 | 83% | 108 | 47 | 24 | 37 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 55% |
| 3 | Viborg | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 2.3 | 50% | 50% | 33% | 11.3 | 67% | 2.8 | 33% | 27.2 | 100% | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 47% |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 10.3 | 50% | 3.8 | 83% | 21.7 | 50% | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 59% |
| 5 | Brondby | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 50% | 11.3 | 67% | 5.0 | 100% | 26.2 | 83% | 48 | 15 | 11 | 22 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 55% |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 17% | 11.3 | 67% | 3.8 | 67% | 25.7 | 83% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 43% |
| 7 | Randers FC | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 11.7 | 83% | 2.7 | 33% | 24.5 | 50% | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 43% |
| 8 | Odense | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.0 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 13.2 | 83% | 4.0 | 50% | 23.5 | 83% | 17 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 51% |
| 9 | Silkeborg | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2.3 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 10.5 | 67% | 3.2 | 67% | 20.5 | 33% | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 47% |
| 10 | Aarhus | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 11.5 | 67% | 4.8 | 83% | 30.2 | 83% | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 58% |
| 11 | Lyngby | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 33% | 9.5 | 67% | 5.0 | 83% | 30.8 | 100% | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 52% |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 50% | 11.2 | 83% | 3.2 | 33% | 23.3 | 67% | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 39% |