This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.97
1.36
1.64
0.75
2.25
vs Stronger (21)
1.14
2.19
1.40
2.10
0.91
2.27
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.44
1.25
0.50
0.40
2.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
FC Orenburg goals ↓
Khimki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
5.9%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.2%
13%
6.5%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.5%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.7%
5.2%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.9%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Orenburg goals (down), columns = Khimki goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
2.23
Zenit
2.20
CSKA Moscow
1.97
Spartak Moscow
1.90
Dynamo
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.77
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Rostov
1.30
Akron
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.03
Khimki
0.97
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.97
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.88
FC Orenburg
0.63
Fakel
0.60
FC Orenburg is 0.33 points worse than Khimki in terms of average points per game (0.63 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo
2.03
FC Sochi
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.97
Zenit
1.93
Spartak Moscow
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.70
CSKA Moscow
1.57
Rubin
1.40
FC Rostov
1.37
Akron
1.30
Krylia Sovetov
1.20
Khimki
1.17
Ural
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.94
FC Orenburg
0.93
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.90
Fakel
0.47
FC Orenburg is 0.23 goals worse than Khimki in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zenit
0.60
CSKA Moscow
0.70
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Spartak Moscow
0.83
Dynamo
1.17
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.17
Lokomotiv
1.37
Fakel
1.40
FC Rostov
1.43
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Akhmat
1.56
Krylia Sovetov
1.70
Nizhny Novgorod
1.81
Akron
1.83
Khimki
1.87
FC Orenburg
1.87
FC Orenburg and Khimki are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Spartak Moscow
63%
Zenit
61%
FC Krasnodar
57%
CSKA Moscow
54%
Dynamo
52%
FC Rostov
52%
FC Orenburg
51%
Lokomotiv
50%
Krylia Sovetov
49%
Akhmat
48%
Khimki
47%
Akron
47%
Ural
46%
FC Sochi
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
43%
Nizhny Novgorod
43%
Rubin
43%
Fakel
42%
FC Orenburg is 4.1 percentage points better than Khimki in terms of average possession (51% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Orenburg
For 8.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 12.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 12.9 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Khimki
For 4.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Orenburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.7
11.5
3.9
4.2
3.7
24.1
23.5
24.6
vs Stronger (29)
10.5
10.2
10.8
3.3
3.5
3.2
23.1
22.2
24.1
vs Similar (21)
11.9
11.3
12.4
4.8
5.2
4.4
25.4
25.6
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
68%
64%
73%
64%
68%
60%
73%
73%
73%
% under line
32%
36%
27%
36%
32%
40%
27%
27%
27%
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.0
11.5
3.0
3.2
2.9
24.3
23.9
24.6
vs Stronger (24)
10.7
10.1
11.2
2.8
3.0
2.7
23.1
22.4
23.7
vs Similar (26)
10.8
9.9
12.0
3.2
3.3
3.2
26.7
26.6
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
71%
62%
80%
44%
48%
40%
70%
71%
69%
% under line
29%
38%
20%
56%
52%
60%
30%
29%
31%
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Orenburg
11.2
Lokomotiv
11.1
Ural
11.1
Khimki
10.8
Dynamo
10.7
Nizhny Novgorod
10.1
Spartak Moscow
9.9
Akron
9.8
Akhmat
9.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.7
Zenit
9.5
Fakel
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Rubin
9.4
FC Sochi
9.4
CSKA Moscow
9.3
FC Rostov
9.2
FC Krasnodar
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fakel
5.2
Akhmat
5.0
Spartak Moscow
5.0
Lokomotiv
4.9
FC Rostov
4.7
Rubin
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
FC Krasnodar
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.4
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
Dynamo
4.3
Nizhny Novgorod
4.3
Ural
4.2
Zenit
4.1
FC Sochi
4.0
Khimki
3.8
Akron
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Makhachkala
27.4
Fakel
27.3
Spartak Moscow
27.1
Akhmat
26.4
Nizhny Novgorod
26.3
Rubin
25.6
FC Rostov
25.4
FC Krasnodar
25.2
Ural
24.5
Khimki
24.3
Dynamo
24.2
Lokomotiv
24.2
FC Orenburg
24.2
CSKA Moscow
23.2
FC Sochi
23.1
Zenit
23.1
Akron
22.7
Krylia Sovetov
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.0%
Under 9.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.4%
Under 3.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.0%
Under 21.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Orenburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.50
0.71
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (17)
0.53
0.76
0.62
0.62
0.44
0.89
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.46
0.33
0.83
0.43
0.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.50
0.36
0.31
1.12
vs Stronger (21)
0.33
0.62
0.30
0.40
0.36
0.82
vs Similar (9)
0.56
1.11
1.00
0.25
0.20
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Orenburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.30
0.79
1.00
0.19
1.56
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
1.76
0.38
1.50
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.69
1.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.20
0.86
1.29
0.44
1.12
vs Stronger (21)
0.81
1.57
1.10
1.70
0.55
1.45
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.33
0.25
0.25
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Orenburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Saeid Saharkhizan22%
Brian Mansilla19%
Atsamaz Revazov14%
Jimmy Marín13%
Matías Pérez12%
Aleksey Tataev11%
Artem Kasimov9%
Emircan Gürlük9%
Kâzımcan Karataş6%
Mohammad Ghorbani6%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy4%
Ivan Bašić4%
Nikolay Sysuev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Andrey Malykh0%
Georgi Zotov0%
Gabriel Florentín0%
Maksim Sidorov0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Danila Khotulev0%
Maksim Saveljev0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Tomás Muro0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Justin Cuero0%
Bogdan Moskvichev0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksey Tataev44%
Andrey Malykh33%
Ivan Bašić30%
Danila Prokhin28%
Brian Mansilla26%
Matías Pérez25%
Maksim Saveljev25%
Tomás Muro25%
Danila Khotulev22%
Saeid Saharkhizan19%
Jimmy Marín17%
Kâzımcan Karataş17%
Maksim Sidorov15%
Nikolay Sysuev14%
Georgi Zotov14%
Justin Cuero14%
Atsamaz Revazov14%
Aleksandr Kovalenko12%
Mohammad Ghorbani11%
Stepan Oganesyan10%
Artem Kasimov9%
Yaroslav Mikhailov8%
Bogdan Moskvichev6%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy4%
Gabriel Florentín0%
Emircan Gürlük0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gabriel Florentín50%
Georgi Zotov14%
Brian Mansilla11%
Danila Khotulev11%
Emircan Gürlük9%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy8%
Aleksandr Kovalenko6%
Andrey Malykh6%
Kâzımcan Karataş6%
Jimmy Marín4%
Yaroslav Mikhailov4%
Maksim Sidorov4%
Ivan Bašić4%
Saeid Saharkhizan4%
Nikolay Sysuev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Aleksey Tataev0%
Matías Pérez0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Maksim Saveljev0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Tomás Muro0%
Artem Kasimov0%
Mohammad Ghorbani0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Justin Cuero0%
Bogdan Moskvichev0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
Atsamaz Revazov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brian Mansilla56%
Gabriel Florentín50%
Jimmy Marín26%
Saeid Saharkhizan19%
Justin Cuero14%
Emircan Gürlük13%
Danila Prokhin12%
Mohammad Ghorbani11%
Maksim Saveljev8%
Matías Pérez6%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy4%
Maksim Sidorov4%
Nikolay Sysuev0%
Andrey Malykh0%
Georgi Zotov0%
Aleksey Tataev0%
Kâzımcan Karataş0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Ivan Bašić0%
Danila Khotulev0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Tomás Muro0%
Artem Kasimov0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Bogdan Moskvichev0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
Atsamaz Revazov0%
Khimki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Vera23%
Edgardo Fariña21%
Anton Zabolotnyi21%
Aleksandr Rudenko17%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Reziuan Mirzov12%
Butta Magomedov8%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Dani Fernández0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edgardo Fariña50%
Robert Mejía30%
Nemanja Anđelković29%
Sergey Terekhov25%
Dani Fernández25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev24%
Boni Amian20%
Anton Zabolotnyi17%
Reziuan Mirzov15%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi14%
Ilya Sadygov14%
Petar Golubović12%
Georgiy Dzhikiya12%
Aleksandr Rudenko10%
Lucas Vera10%
Oleksandr Filin7%
Danil Stepanov7%
Orinho5%
Álex Corredera5%
Denis Glushakov0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anton Zabolotnyi14%
Lucas Vera13%
Sergey Terekhov12%
Dani Fernández10%
Ilya Sadygov7%
Petar Golubović6%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Álex Corredera5%
Reziuan Mirzov4%
Aleksandr Rudenko3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Zabolotnyi24%
Orinho9%
Zelimkhan Bakaev8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Dani Fernández5%
Lucas Vera3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Reziuan Mirzov0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →