The clash between FC OSS and Jong Utrecht is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away triumph. The probabilities are 40% for FC OSS, 26% for a draw, and 34% for Jong Utrecht. The average goal expectation sits at 3.1, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 23% chance. The single score the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 12% probability.
FC OSS, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.89 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Jong Utrecht, on the road, averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.25 conceded against similar opposition. Both sides have struggled recently, each coming off three straight defeats before their last matches.
The model’s selections include a near-certain Under 7.5 (98.8%) with a 2% edge, Away Under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%) with a 4% edge, Home Under 2.5 HT goals (97.1%) with a 5% edge, Away Under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%) with a 5% edge, Under 6.5 (96.6%) with a 3% edge, Home Under 2.5 2H goals (95.1%) with a 6% edge, Home Under 3.5 goals (94.1%) with a 7% edge, and Over 19.5 fouls (92.9%).
Results analysis
The latest match saw FC OSS extend their winning run, securing a 2-1 victory over Jong Utrecht. The model had picked a home win with a 40% probability, and its prediction proved correct. The final score matched the favoured outcome, and the 2-1 result also aligned with the most likely scoreline of 1-1, 2-1, or 1-2. Every suggested selection from the model hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1%, Under 6.5 at 96.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.4%, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.1%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 92.7%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and the model’s selections performed flawlessly.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC OSS win✓ Hit
40.3%
Avg Implied 44.6% · @ 2.08
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.12
BetVictor
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.59
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.85
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.70
Bet365
3.70
Pinnacle
3.66
Jong Utrecht win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.14
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.35
Bet365
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
Dafabet
3.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC OSS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.60
1.53
2.00
1.07
1.20
vs Stronger (14)
1.00
2.07
1.00
2.67
1.00
1.62
vs Similar (16)
1.56
1.19
1.89
1.56
1.14
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jong Utrecht
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.73
1.73
2.13
1.33
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
3.00
2.00
5.00
3.00
2.33
1.67
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.69
1.50
2.07
1.08
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC OSS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
@ 1.19+3.2%
Under 1.5
18.4%
@ 4.30-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
10Bet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Pinnacle
4.37
Bet365
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.62+1.0%
Under 2.5
41.7%
@ 2.18-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Betano
1.67
BetVictor
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Under
10Bet
2.45
Unibet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.18
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
@ 2.58-0.3%
Under 3.5
64.1%
@ 1.47+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.75
Pinnacle
2.71
1xBet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Under
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.50
Betfair
1.47
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.8%
@ 1.53+1.5%
No
38.2%
@ 2.33-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Superbet
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
No
10Bet
2.50
Betfair
2.45
Unibet
2.38
1xBet
2.32
Betano
2.32
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 6.80+5.6%
2-1 ✓
8.8%@ 8.11+3.3%
1-2
7.9%@ 10.04+3.5%
1-0
6.6%@ 9.20+1.7%
2-2
6.3%@ 11.03+2.2%
2-0
6.1%@ 11.01+2.1%
0-0
6.0%@ 12.84+2.4%
0-1
5.8%@ 11.35+1.9%
FC OSS goals ↓
Jong Utrecht goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
5.8%
5.0%
2.4%
0.9%
1
6.6%
12%
7.9%
3.8%
1.4%
2
6.1%
8.8%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
3
3.3%
4.7%
3.4%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.3%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC OSS goals (down), columns = Jong Utrecht goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
De Graafschap
1.60
Almere City FC
1.55
Heracles
1.53
NAC Breda
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
Jong PSV U21
1.47
Vitesse
1.47
Waalwijk
1.45
Roda
1.43
Den Bosch
1.27
Dordrecht
1.24
FC Eindhoven
1.24
Jong Utrecht
1.21
Emmen
1.18
VVV Venlo
1.18
FC OSS
1.16
Jong AZ
1.05
Helmond Sport
1.03
MVV
1.00
Jong Ajax
0.92
FC OSS is 0.05 points worse than Jong Utrecht in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almere City FC
2.02
De Graafschap
1.93
Waalwijk
1.76
Heracles
1.74
Jong PSV U21
1.74
NAC Breda
1.71
Vitesse
1.68
Den Bosch
1.68
Jong AZ
1.61
Emmen
1.53
Jong Utrecht
1.53
Roda
1.52
FC Volendam
1.50
FC OSS
1.42
FC Eindhoven
1.34
VVV Venlo
1.32
Jong Ajax
1.32
Dordrecht
1.26
Helmond Sport
1.11
MVV
1.08
FC OSS is 0.11 goals worse than Jong Utrecht in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Roda
1.40
Heracles
1.44
Vitesse
1.45
NAC Breda
1.47
Dordrecht
1.47
FC Volendam
1.50
Waalwijk
1.50
VVV Venlo
1.53
De Graafschap
1.57
Almere City FC
1.61
Jong Utrecht
1.63
Helmond Sport
1.63
Jong PSV U21
1.68
FC OSS
1.68
FC Eindhoven
1.82
Den Bosch
1.88
Emmen
1.89
MVV
1.92
Jong Ajax
1.92
Jong AZ
2.00
FC OSS is 0.05 goals worse than Jong Utrecht in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
De Graafschap
56%
Jong AZ
54%
Roda
52%
Emmen
52%
Jong PSV U21
52%
Jong Ajax
52%
Waalwijk
50%
VVV Venlo
49%
Helmond Sport
49%
Dordrecht
48%
Almere City FC
48%
Jong Utrecht
48%
Den Bosch
47%
Vitesse
46%
FC Eindhoven
44%
MVV
44%
FC OSS
43%
FC OSS is 4.6 percentage points worse than Jong Utrecht in terms of average possession (43% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC OSS
For 5.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Jong Utrecht
For 4.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.1 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC OSS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.9
12.5
11.4
4.0
4.0
4.0
29.0
31.0
27.1
vs Stronger (23)
12.1
13.1
11.3
3.8
3.5
4.1
27.5
29.5
25.9
vs Similar (27)
11.8
12.1
11.5
4.1
4.3
3.9
30.3
32.1
28.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
78%
83%
73%
52%
58%
46%
86%
88%
85%
% under line
22%
17%
27%
48%
42%
54%
14%
12%
15%
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jong Utrecht
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.7
9.4
2.9
3.0
2.8
25.6
26.3
25.0
vs Stronger (8)
8.8
9.0
8.5
3.2
4.2
2.2
28.1
28.5
27.8
vs Similar (42)
9.7
9.8
9.5
2.8
2.8
2.9
25.2
25.9
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
56%
48%
32%
32%
32%
74%
84%
64%
% under line
48%
44%
52%
68%
68%
68%
26%
16%
36%
This opponent (FC OSS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Den Bosch
12.1
FC OSS
11.9
De Graafschap
11.7
Dordrecht
11.6
VVV Venlo
11.2
Almere City FC
11.0
Jong PSV U21
10.7
Heracles
10.7
Helmond Sport
10.6
Jong AZ
10.5
Jong Ajax
10.5
FC Volendam
10.4
FC Eindhoven
10.4
Emmen
10.3
MVV
10.3
Waalwijk
10.0
Roda
10.0
NAC Breda
9.8
Vitesse
9.7
Jong Utrecht
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Vitesse
4.5
Dordrecht
4.3
FC OSS
4.1
Jong Ajax
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
Emmen
3.8
Den Bosch
3.7
VVV Venlo
3.5
Heracles
3.5
FC Volendam
3.4
Jong AZ
3.4
Helmond Sport
3.3
Roda
3.3
Waalwijk
3.3
De Graafschap
3.3
MVV
3.2
Jong PSV U21
3.2
FC Eindhoven
3.1
Almere City FC
3.0
Jong Utrecht
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC OSS
29.0
Vitesse
26.9
Emmen
25.9
Dordrecht
25.8
Jong Utrecht
25.6
Helmond Sport
25.6
Jong Ajax
25.1
Roda
24.8
Heracles
24.1
Jong PSV U21
23.9
VVV Venlo
23.8
Jong AZ
23.6
Den Bosch
23.2
NAC Breda
23.2
De Graafschap
22.8
MVV
22.7
FC Eindhoven
22.6
Waalwijk
22.5
FC Volendam
22.3
Almere City FC
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.69
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Under
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.06
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC OSS or Draw✓ Hit
60.9%
Avg Implied 70.3% · @ 1.33
Edge
-9.4%
40%
26%
33%
covers FC OSS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
Betfair
1.33
FC OSS or Jong Utrecht✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied 74.7% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.2%
40%
26%
33%
covers FC OSS + Jong Utrecht
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw or Jong Utrecht✗ Miss
65.6%
Avg Implied 55.0% · @ 1.70
Edge
+10.6%
40%
26%
33%
covers Draw + Jong Utrecht
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73
SBO
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC OSS over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.5%
@ 1.16-3.2%
Under
23.5%
@ 4.56+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Under
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
FC OSS over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.5%
@ 1.85-7.7%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.87+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
BetVictor
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.88
Under
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
FC OSS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 3.71-7.1%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.24+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
Pinnacle
3.86
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Under
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
FC OSS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 8.14-5.6%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.06+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.20
Betano
7.20
1xBet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Jong Utrecht over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.9%
@ 1.28+6.5%
Under
21.1%
@ 3.35-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Under
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.39
1xBet
3.34
Jong Utrecht over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.0%
@ 2.40+7.2%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.52-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.42
Superbet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Jong Utrecht over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.5%
@ 5.44+3.5%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.11-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Jong Utrecht over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 12.00-0.6%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.03+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC OSS, so a minus line means FC OSS give that many goals of a start and Jong Utrecht receive them. At -1, FC OSS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC OSS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC OSS)Actual: Jong Utrecht
FC OSS -2
6.2%
@ 7.45-5.9%
Draw -2
10.4%
@ 5.82-5.0%
Jong Utrecht +2
83.4%
@ 1.24+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
7.40
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Handicap -1 (FC OSS)Actual: Draw
FC OSS -1
16.6%
@ 3.63-8.1%
Draw -1
17.8%
@ 3.98-4.7%
Jong Utrecht +1
65.6%
@ 1.70+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.45
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
10Bet
3.80
Away
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.72
Unibet
1.71
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Handicap +1 (FC OSS)Actual: FC OSS
FC OSS +1
60.9%
@ 1.32-7.2%
Draw +1
19.2%
@ 5.00+1.3%
Jong Utrecht -1
19.9%
@ 6.42+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Away
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
5.90
Handicap +2 (FC OSS)Actual: FC OSS
FC OSS +2
80.2%
@ 1.09-3.8%
Draw +2
12.0%
@ 9.33+2.2%
Jong Utrecht -2
7.9%
@ 14.67+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
8.00
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC OSS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.53
0.73
0.20
0.33
vs Stronger (14)
0.36
0.86
0.33
1.17
0.38
0.62
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.25
0.67
0.44
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jong Utrecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.93
1.13
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
2.00
3.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.73
0.86
1.00
0.42
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FC OSS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.3%
@ 1.28-3.9%
Under 0.5
31.7%
@ 3.34+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
William Hil
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.4%
@ 2.36-7.9%
Under 1.5
68.6%
@ 1.53+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.55
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Betfair
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.56
William Hil
1.55
Betano
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.7%
@ 5.62-5.8%
Under 2.5
89.3%
@ 1.11+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.70
Betfair
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC OSS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.9%
@ 1.76-4.8%
Under
52.1%
@ 1.96+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.80
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
1.99
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
FC OSS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.6%
@ 4.90-5.4%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.15+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.20
Betano
4.85
Superbet
4.80
10Bet
4.33
Under
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
FC OSS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 12.50-4.7%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Jong Utrecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.9%
@ 2.08-4.7%
Under
60.1%
@ 1.68+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Under
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Jong Utrecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 6.79-4.1%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.08+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.40
Superbet
6.40
Betano
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Jong Utrecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 19.17-3.5%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC OSS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.07
1.00
1.27
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
1.21
0.67
1.50
0.62
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.19
0.94
1.22
1.11
1.14
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jong Utrecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.93
0.80
1.00
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
0.75
3.00
0.00
1.67
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.96
0.64
1.07
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC OSS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.3%
@ 1.17-1.0%
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 4.47+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Betano
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.7%
@ 1.84-7.8%
Under 1.5
57.3%
@ 1.87+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Unibet
1.96
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.1%
@ 3.70-7.0%
Under 2.5
81.9%
@ 1.24+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.68
1xBet
3.68
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC OSS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.2%
@ 1.52-3.9%
Under
42.8%
@ 2.39+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.45
Under
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.27
FC OSS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.6%
@ 3.48-8.1%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.26+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.40
10Bet
3.20
Under
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
FC OSS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 8.93-4.8%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.04+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
9.80
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Jong Utrecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.5%
@ 1.75-2.5%
Under
49.5%
@ 1.97+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.02
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.90
Jong Utrecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.7%
@ 4.69-5.1%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.15+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
4.80
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.45
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Jong Utrecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 12.00-5.0%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.6%
1.01
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betfair
1.01
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.1%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.7%
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.6%
1.06
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.3%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.4%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
+10.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.1%
1.24
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.24
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.6%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.5%
1.17
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.4%
1.26
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.2%
1.09
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.09
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
79.5%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.9%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.5%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.5%
1.25
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
-1.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC OSS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcelencio Esajas33%
Franslyn Nsingi33%
Maurilio de Lannoy33%
Richard van der Venne0%
Mike Havekotte0%
Delano Vianello0%
Leonel Miguel0%
Ilounga Pata0%
Julian Kuijpers0%
Mauresmo Hinoke0%
Mert Erkan0%
Kyanno Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Franslyn Nsingi33%
Mauresmo Hinoke33%
Richard van der Venne0%
Mike Havekotte0%
Delano Vianello0%
Leonel Miguel0%
Ilounga Pata0%
Marcelencio Esajas0%
Julian Kuijpers0%
Maurilio de Lannoy0%
Mert Erkan0%
Kyanno Silva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcelencio Esajas33%
Mert Erkan33%
Richard van der Venne0%
Mike Havekotte0%
Delano Vianello0%
Leonel Miguel0%
Ilounga Pata0%
Julian Kuijpers0%
Franslyn Nsingi0%
Maurilio de Lannoy0%
Mauresmo Hinoke0%
Kyanno Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franslyn Nsingi33%
Richard van der Venne0%
Mike Havekotte0%
Delano Vianello0%
Leonel Miguel0%
Ilounga Pata0%
Marcelencio Esajas0%
Julian Kuijpers0%
Maurilio de Lannoy0%
Mauresmo Hinoke0%
Mert Erkan0%
Kyanno Silva0%
Jong Utrecht
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Owen67%
Bjorn Menzo40%
Jerayno Hunte33%
Mees Eppink0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Tijn den Boggende0%
Massien Ghaddari0%
Viggo Plantinga0%
Jessey Sneijder0%
Driss Laaouina0%
Jamie Schuldes0%
Nana Gyamfi-Amoah0%
Matyas Havelka0%
Levi Rietveld0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Viggo Plantinga40%
Jamie Schuldes20%
Nana Gyamfi-Amoah20%
Mees Eppink0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Tijn den Boggende0%
Massien Ghaddari0%
Bjorn Menzo0%
Emmanuel Owen0%
Jessey Sneijder0%
Driss Laaouina0%
Matyas Havelka0%
Levi Rietveld0%
Jerayno Hunte0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tijn den Boggende25%
Massien Ghaddari20%
Bjorn Menzo20%
Mees Eppink0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Viggo Plantinga0%
Emmanuel Owen0%
Jessey Sneijder0%
Driss Laaouina0%
Jamie Schuldes0%
Nana Gyamfi-Amoah0%
Matyas Havelka0%
Levi Rietveld0%
Jerayno Hunte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emmanuel Owen67%
Massien Ghaddari20%
Mees Eppink0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Tijn den Boggende0%
Bjorn Menzo0%
Viggo Plantinga0%
Jessey Sneijder0%
Driss Laaouina0%
Jamie Schuldes0%
Nana Gyamfi-Amoah0%
Matyas Havelka0%
Levi Rietveld0%
Jerayno Hunte0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (24)
€19m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
JPU (14)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
FC OSS's squad is €2m more valuable than Jong Utrecht's (€4m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACF (10)
€5m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
FC OSS and Jong Utrecht have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
FC OSS and Jong Utrecht have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
FC OSS and Jong Utrecht have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →
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Heracles
MVV
Almere City FC
VVV Venlo
Emmen
Jong PSV U21
Vitesse
Roda
NAC Breda
FC Volendam
Jong AZ
Waalwijk
Den Bosch
Jong Ajax
Dordrecht
FC Eindhoven
Helmond Sport
De Graafschap