FC Politehnica Timisoara are tipped to win, with a 55% chance of triumph, 27% for a draw and 18% for a CSA Steaua București win. The match is expected to see about 2.4 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for the home side, a 13.5% probability. Politehnica’s home form shows they score an average of 1.12 goals and concede 1.38 against similarly matched opponents, while Steaua’s away record is 1.0 goal scored and 1.67 conceded in comparable fixtures. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Under 5.5 (96.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.3%), Home +2 handicap (94.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.3%) and Under 4.5 (90.6%). Politehnica are on a four-game winning run, having beaten ASA Targu Mures 3-0, while Steaua return from a defeat, losing 1-2 to CSM Reşiţa.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Politehnica Timisoara win
54.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti win
17.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.27
1.06
1.24
1.31
1.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.22
1.26
1.13
1.20
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (CSA Steaua Bucureşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.53
1.67
1.67
1.20
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.42
1.67
1.83
1.67
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.67
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Politehnica Timisoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
44.8%
No
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
FC Politehnica Timisoara goals ↓
CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
6.2%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.6%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.2%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
6.1%
4.9%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.4%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Politehnica Timisoara goals (down), columns = CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara is 2.40 points better than CSA Steaua Bucureşti in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 0.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara is 1.20 goals better than CSA Steaua Bucureşti in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara is 1.80 goals better than CSA Steaua Bucureşti in terms of goals conceded per game (0.40 vs 2.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Politehnica Timisoara or Draw
82.4%
Avg Implied -
55%
27%
18%
covers FC Politehnica Timisoara + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara or CSA Steaua Bucureşti
72.5%
Avg Implied -
55%
27%
18%
covers FC Politehnica Timisoara + CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or CSA Steaua Bucureşti
45.1%
Avg Implied -
55%
27%
18%
covers Draw + CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 0.5
Over
79.5%
Under
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 1.5
Over
47.1%
Under
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 2.5
Over
21.3%
Under
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 3.5
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 0.5
Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 1.5
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 2.5
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Politehnica Timisoara, so a minus line means FC Politehnica Timisoara give that many goals of a start and CSA Steaua Bucureşti receive them. At -1, FC Politehnica Timisoara must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Politehnica Timisoara win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Politehnica Timisoara)
FC Politehnica Timisoara -2
12.7%
Draw -2
17.3%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti +2
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Politehnica Timisoara)
FC Politehnica Timisoara -1
30.1%
Draw -1
24.9%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti +1
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Politehnica Timisoara)
FC Politehnica Timisoara +1
82.4%
Draw +1
11.9%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti -1
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Politehnica Timisoara)
FC Politehnica Timisoara +2
94.3%
Draw +2
4.4%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.47
0.41
0.46
0.46
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.44
0.47
0.47
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (CSA Steaua Bucureşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.80
1.00
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.62
1.00
0.92
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
0.33
1.00
1.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Politehnica Timisoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.59
0.82
0.85
0.85
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.81
0.67
0.73
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (CSA Steaua Bucureşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.87
0.67
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.67
0.92
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Politehnica Timisoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →