FC Politehnica Timisoara are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 92 % chance of a home win. The team’s dominant home form - averaging two goals scored and conceding three against weaker opposition - combined with the away side’s struggle away, where they average only half a goal and concede two against stronger teams, explains this high rating. The prediction favours a 3-0 victory for the hosts, the most likely scoreline at 17.5 % probability, and the model expects an average of 3.4 goals, with a 22 % chance of exactly three goals.
The match-result probabilities are 92 % home win, 7 % draw, and 1 % away win. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (100 %), Home +2 handicap (99.9 %), Away under 2.5 goals (99.8 %), Home or Draw (99 %), Home +1 handicap (99 %), Under 7.5 (97.6 %), Away under 1.5 goals (97.4 %), and Home over 0.5 goals (95.9 %). The model’s edge on the home side is reinforced by the recent four-game winning streak, while the away team’s last win against Cetatea Suceava offers little relief.
FC Politehnica Timisoara| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.17 | 1.27 | 1.06 | 1.24 | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 1.22 | 1.26 | 1.13 | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
Ştefăneşti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.08 | 1.92 | 2.57 | 1.86 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 1.67 | 2.08 | 2.57 | 1.86 | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| vs Similar (1) | 7.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 15% (-16pp vs league) | |||||
| Ştefăneşti goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 14% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 17% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 16% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
FC Politehnica Timisoara| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
Ştefăneşti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.67 | 1.44 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (1) | 4.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-12pp vs league) | |||||
FC Politehnica Timisoara| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 0.85 | 0.85 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.74 | 0.81 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.83 | 0.92 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
Ştefăneşti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.25 | 1.25 |
| vs Similar (1) | 3.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away under 3.5 goals | 100.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home +2 handicap | 99.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 99.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Draw | 99.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home +1 handicap | 99.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 99.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 98.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 goals | 98.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 97.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Away | 95.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 95.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 7.5 | 95.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home win | 95.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 92.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 90.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 90.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 6.5 | 90.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home over 1.5 goals | 88.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home -1 handicap | 85.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 84.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 84.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| BTTS No | 82.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 0.5 goals | 82.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FC Politehnica Timisoara clean sheet | 82.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 80.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 | 80.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 0.5 HT goals | 77.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 | 74.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 0.5 HT goals | 74.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 73.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 72.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home over 2.5 goals | 71.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 0.5 2H goals | 71.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home over 0.5 2H goals | 70.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
FC Politehnica Timisoara| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 30/08/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 22/08/26 | A | 1-5 | |
| 19/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 12/08/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 04/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 27/08/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 13/08/25 | H | 1-0 |
Ştefăneşti| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 | A | 4-0 | |
| 22/08/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 15/08/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 06/08/25 | H | 1-3 | |
| 30/07/25 | A | 0-7 | |
| 07/08/24 | H | 1-5 | |
| 31/07/24 | H | 4-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |