FC Politehnica Timisoara's recent draw against Viitorul Selimbar has been a slight respite, but their defensive woes persist, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game at home. Unirea Slobozia, meanwhile, has struggled away from home, conceding 2.14 goals on average against opponents of similar strength. The model predicts a narrow away win for Unirea Slobozia, with a 38% chance of victory. The expected total goals stands at 2.1, and the most likely score is a 1-1 draw, occurring 14.8% of the time. Unirea Slobozia's away form suggests they can score, with an average of 1.29 goals per game against similar opponents. FC Politehnica Timisoara's home scoring has been mediocre, averaging 0.5 goals per game. The model's selection is the Under 3.5 goals, with a 84.5% probability. The probabilities for the match result are 29% for a home win, 33% for a draw, and 38% for an away win. The model's selections include the Under 3.5 goals at 84.5%, and the Away win at 38%.
Results analysis
In a stunning upset, FC Politehnica Timisoara defeated Unirea Slobozia 1-0 at home, extending their recent winning streak following a 1-0 victory over Unirea Slobozia just before this game. The home team's recent form was marked by a win, and they were coming off a strong performance against their current opponent. In contrast, Unirea Slobozia were struggling, having lost their last two matches. The model's selection, an away win, was incorrect, with Unirea Slobozia having a 38% chance of winning prior to the match. The model's pick was not the favourite, but the team with the lowest pre-match probability of winning, which made the result even more surprising. The model's selection of an away win MISSED, while the model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a 84.5% chance of occurrence.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Politehnica Timisoara win✓ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Unirea Slobozia win✗ Miss
37.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.43
0.81
1.50
1.00
1.36
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.89
1.46
0.80
1.53
1.00
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Unirea Slobozia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Unirea Slobozia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.73
0.79
1.86
1.06
1.62
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.89
0.25
2.00
0.40
1.80
vs Similar (21)
1.19
1.67
1.00
1.80
1.36
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Politehnica Timisoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.5%
Under 1.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.2%
Under 2.5
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.5%
Under 3.5
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.6%
No
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.0%
0-1
12.7%
1-0 ✓
10.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
FC Politehnica Timisoara goals ↓
Unirea Slobozia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
13%
7.8%
2.9%
0.8%
1
11%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
5.8%
6.4%
3.6%
1.3%
0.4%
3
1.8%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Politehnica Timisoara goals (down), columns = Unirea Slobozia goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara is 2.40 points better than Unirea Slobozia in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 0.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara is 1.60 goals better than Unirea Slobozia in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 0.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara is 1.40 goals better than Unirea Slobozia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.40 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.53
0.38
0.50
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.32
0.54
0.33
0.53
0.31
0.54
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Unirea Slobozia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Unirea Slobozia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.73
0.43
0.71
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (9)
0.00
0.89
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.67
0.60
0.70
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Politehnica Timisoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unirea Slobozia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unirea Slobozia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unirea Slobozia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.44
1.00
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.93
0.47
1.00
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Unirea Slobozia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Unirea Slobozia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.00
0.36
1.14
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.57
1.00
0.40
1.10
0.73
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Politehnica Timisoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Politehnica Timisoara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unirea Slobozia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unirea Slobozia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unirea Slobozia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Unirea Slobozia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Renato Espinosa32%
Raul Rotund22%
Cristian Ponde21%
Christ Afalna19%
Alexandru Albu18%
Adnan Aganović17%
Jayson Papeau13%
Florin Purece11%
Denis Yanakov10%
Patrick Dulcea10%
Eduard Florescu6%
Said Ahmed Said4%
Daniel Șerbănică4%
Vlad Pop3%
Ronaldo Deaconu0%
Alexandru Dinu0%
Ionuț Coadă0%
Marius Antoche0%
Andrei Dragu0%
Cristi Bărbuț0%
Nicolae Carnat0%
Valon Hamdiu0%
Oleksandr Safronov0%
Florinel Ibrian0%
Denis Rusu0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Esteban Orozco0%
Robert Popa0%
Ion Gurău0%
Guy Dahan0%
Constantin Toma0%
Radu Negru0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Marc Tsoungui0%
Andrei Dorobanțu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teodor Lungu41%
Florinel Ibrian20%
Alexandru Dinu19%
Christ Afalna19%
Ionuț Coadă19%
Marius Antoche19%
Eduard Florescu19%
Vlad Pop18%
Andrei Dragu18%
Radu Negru17%
Andrei Dorobanțu17%
Florin Purece16%
Esteban Orozco15%
Robert Popa15%
Valon Hamdiu15%
Cristian Ponde14%
Said Ahmed Said12%
Denis Rusu12%
Oleksandr Safronov12%
Alexandru Albu12%
Denis Yanakov10%
Ion Gurău10%
Patrick Dulcea10%
Cristi Bărbuț9%
Jayson Papeau7%
Guy Dahan7%
Renato Espinosa5%
Daniel Șerbănică4%
Ronaldo Deaconu0%
Adnan Aganović0%
Nicolae Carnat0%
Constantin Toma0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Marc Tsoungui0%
Raul Rotund0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adnan Aganović17%
Florin Purece16%
Patrick Dulcea13%
Jayson Papeau7%
Guy Dahan7%
Vlad Pop6%
Alexandru Albu6%
Christ Afalna5%
Alexandru Dinu4%
Andrei Dragu4%
Andrei Dorobanțu3%
Marius Antoche3%
Ronaldo Deaconu0%
Renato Espinosa0%
Said Ahmed Said0%
Ionuț Coadă0%
Cristi Bărbuț0%
Nicolae Carnat0%
Valon Hamdiu0%
Cristian Ponde0%
Denis Yanakov0%
Oleksandr Safronov0%
Eduard Florescu0%
Daniel Șerbănică0%
Florinel Ibrian0%
Denis Rusu0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Esteban Orozco0%
Robert Popa0%
Ion Gurău0%
Constantin Toma0%
Radu Negru0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Marc Tsoungui0%
Raul Rotund0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Denis Yanakov20%
Adnan Aganović17%
Florin Purece16%
Cristian Ponde14%
Renato Espinosa14%
Jayson Papeau13%
Alexandru Albu12%
Teodor Lungu12%
Guy Dahan7%
Eduard Florescu6%
Christ Afalna5%
Andrei Dorobanțu3%
Ronaldo Deaconu0%
Said Ahmed Said0%
Alexandru Dinu0%
Ionuț Coadă0%
Marius Antoche0%
Andrei Dragu0%
Cristi Bărbuț0%
Nicolae Carnat0%
Valon Hamdiu0%
Oleksandr Safronov0%
Daniel Șerbănică0%
Florinel Ibrian0%
Denis Rusu0%
Esteban Orozco0%
Robert Popa0%
Ion Gurău0%
Constantin Toma0%
Radu Negru0%
Vlad Pop0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Marc Tsoungui0%
Raul Rotund0%
Patrick Dulcea0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →