This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.07
1.93
0.80
0.80
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.93
1.50
0.50
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (16)
1.62
1.19
2.22
1.00
0.86
1.43
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.4%
Under 1.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.1%
Under 2.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.2%
Under 3.5
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
FC Porto B goals ↓
Torreense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
6.3%
3.1%
0.8%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.8%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.3%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
5.9%
4.9%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.3%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Porto B goals (down), columns = Torreense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Santa Clara
2.15
Nacional
2.09
AVS
1.88
Maritimo
1.88
Pacos Ferreira
1.53
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.50
Tondela
1.44
Torreense
1.41
Benfica B
1.32
Mafra
1.29
FC Porto B
1.29
Academico Viseu
1.26
União de Leiria
1.24
Penafiel
1.15
Leixoes
1.09
Oliveirense
1.00
Feirense
0.94
Vilaverdense
0.82
CF Os Belenenses
0.76
FC Porto B is 0.12 points worse than Torreense in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nacional
1.94
Maritimo
1.53
FC Porto B
1.50
AVS
1.47
Santa Clara
1.41
Benfica B
1.41
Tondela
1.35
União de Leiria
1.29
Pacos Ferreira
1.24
Mafra
1.18
Torreense
1.18
Oliveirense
1.09
Academico Viseu
1.06
Feirense
0.94
Penafiel
0.91
Vilaverdense
0.88
Leixoes
0.85
CF Os Belenenses
0.82
Lusitânia Lourosa
0.50
FC Porto B is 0.32 goals better than Torreense in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Santa Clara
0.56
Maritimo
0.85
AVS
1.00
Nacional
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
Torreense
1.09
Leixoes
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
União de Leiria
1.18
Mafra
1.24
Tondela
1.26
Feirense
1.39
Benfica B
1.41
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Oliveirense
1.59
CF Os Belenenses
1.74
Vilaverdense
1.74
FC Porto B is 0.41 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Porto B
54%
Pacos Ferreira
53%
Mafra
53%
AVS
53%
Leixoes
52%
Feirense
52%
Benfica B
52%
Oliveirense
52%
Maritimo
51%
União de Leiria
50%
Santa Clara
50%
Nacional
50%
Torreense
49%
Tondela
47%
Academico Viseu
47%
Vilaverdense
47%
CF Os Belenenses
45%
Penafiel
42%
FC Porto B is 5.3 percentage points better than Torreense in terms of average possession (54% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Porto B
For 6.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 14.4 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torreense
For 5.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Porto B
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
11.1
11.4
10.8
4.3
4.8
3.8
27.1
24.6
29.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
10.2
11.2
9.2
4.8
4.6
5.2
28.4
25.5
30.8
vs Weaker (27)
11.6
11.4
11.7
4.0
4.8
3.2
26.4
24.2
28.7
% over line
68%
71%
64%
57%
60%
55%
85%
77%
93%
% under line
32%
29%
36%
43%
40%
45%
15%
23%
7%
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
9.2
7.8
10.4
4.0
3.4
4.7
28.1
29.5
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
8.9
7.4
10.1
3.9
3.8
4.0
29.9
30.9
29.0
vs Weaker (18)
9.5
8.2
10.7
4.2
3.0
5.6
26.2
27.8
24.7
% over line
39%
15%
60%
60%
55%
65%
86%
92%
80%
% under line
61%
85%
40%
40%
45%
35%
14%
8%
20%
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nacional
11.4
Academico Viseu
11.2
Oliveirense
11.1
FC Porto B
11.1
Leixoes
11.0
Penafiel
10.9
Feirense
10.5
Pacos Ferreira
10.5
Benfica B
10.2
Mafra
10.0
Tondela
9.9
Maritimo
9.7
Santa Clara
9.3
Torreense
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Oliveirense
6.7
Maritimo
6.5
Leixoes
6.3
FC Porto B
6.1
Santa Clara
6.0
Pacos Ferreira
6.0
Academico Viseu
6.0
Tondela
5.8
Torreense
5.8
Nacional
5.6
Penafiel
5.5
Benfica B
5.5
Feirense
5.3
Mafra
5.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maritimo
33.4
Feirense
32.5
Oliveirense
31.8
Pacos Ferreira
31.4
Santa Clara
31.1
Penafiel
30.1
Nacional
29.7
Tondela
28.6
Leixoes
28.5
Torreense
28.1
FC Porto B
27.1
Mafra
26.0
Academico Viseu
25.9
Benfica B
25.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.7%
Under 9.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
86.8%
Under 3.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
75.7%
Under 21.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Porto B
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.67
0.33
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.36
0.67
0.33
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (19)
0.63
0.63
0.67
0.33
0.60
0.90
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.87
0.13
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.43
0.67
0.17
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (16)
0.75
0.38
1.00
0.11
0.43
0.71
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Porto B over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Porto B
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.90
1.07
0.67
0.73
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.18
1.18
1.50
0.50
0.80
2.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.74
0.74
0.78
0.78
0.70
0.70
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.07
0.67
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.50
0.83
0.33
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (16)
0.88
0.81
1.22
0.89
0.43
0.71
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Porto B over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Porto B · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Duarte Cunha40%
Leonardo Vonić33%
Brayan Caicedo33%
André Miranda25%
Tiago Andrade22%
Gonçalo Sousa22%
Bernardo Lima20%
Mateus Mide20%
Kauê14%
Domingos Andrade11%
João Teixeira10%
Yann Karamoh0%
João Costa0%
Lipe0%
Gabriel Brás0%
Luis Gomes0%
António Ribeiro0%
Gonçalo Ribeiro0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Pedro Lima0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Tiago Silva0%
Yoan Pereira0%
Eduardo Ferreira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brayan Caicedo67%
Pedro Lima67%
Luis Gomes40%
André Oliveira40%
Mateus Mide40%
Yann Karamoh33%
Yoan Pereira33%
Dinis Rodrigues29%
Kaio Henrique27%
André Miranda25%
Leonardo Vonić22%
Bernardo Lima20%
Trofim Melnichenko12%
Domingos Andrade11%
Tiago Andrade11%
Gonçalo Sousa11%
Lipe10%
João Costa0%
Gabriel Brás0%
António Ribeiro0%
Gonçalo Ribeiro0%
João Teixeira0%
Kauê0%
Tiago Silva0%
Duarte Cunha0%
Eduardo Ferreira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Lima33%
André Miranda25%
Gonçalo Sousa22%
Gabriel Brás20%
Luis Gomes20%
Bernardo Lima20%
Mateus Mide20%
Yann Karamoh0%
João Costa0%
Domingos Andrade0%
Leonardo Vonić0%
Lipe0%
António Ribeiro0%
Gonçalo Ribeiro0%
Tiago Andrade0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
João Teixeira0%
Kauê0%
Brayan Caicedo0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Tiago Silva0%
Yoan Pereira0%
Duarte Cunha0%
Eduardo Ferreira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Trofim Melnichenko12%
Tiago Andrade11%
Yann Karamoh0%
João Costa0%
Domingos Andrade0%
Leonardo Vonić0%
Lipe0%
Gabriel Brás0%
Luis Gomes0%
António Ribeiro0%
Gonçalo Ribeiro0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
João Teixeira0%
Gonçalo Sousa0%
Kauê0%
Brayan Caicedo0%
Pedro Lima0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Bernardo Lima0%
Tiago Silva0%
André Miranda0%
Yoan Pereira0%
Duarte Cunha0%
Eduardo Ferreira0%
Mateus Mide0%
Torreense · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kévin Zohi38%
Dany Jean20%
Stopira11%
Musa Drammeh10%
Javi Vázquez9%
Lucas Paes0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Arnau Casas0%
Alejandro Alfaro0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guilherme Liberato33%
Alejandro Alfaro29%
Arnau Casas25%
Andre Simões25%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
Musa Drammeh20%
Ismaïl Seydi20%
Leo Azevedo20%
Javi Vázquez18%
Pité17%
Stopira11%
Dany Jean10%
David Bruno9%
Lucas Paes0%
Kévin Zohi0%
Costinha0%
Luis Quintero0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
Alejandro Alfaro14%
Dany Jean10%
Musa Drammeh10%
Ismaïl Seydi10%
Leo Azevedo10%
Javi Vázquez9%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Kévin Zohi0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Arnau Casas0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kévin Zohi25%
Musa Drammeh20%
Alejandro Alfaro14%
Dany Jean10%
Javi Vázquez0%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Arnau Casas0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
SC (28)
€27m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
FC Porto B's squad is €10m more valuable than Torreense's (€29m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
SC (11)
€9m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
UDL (9)
€4m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
FC Porto B's attack is €6m more valuable than Torreense's (€13m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
FC Porto B's midfield is €5m more valuable than Torreense's (€7m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
SC (12)
€12m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
UDL (9)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
FC Porto B and Torreense have a similar defence value (both €9m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →