FC Schalke 04 are the clear favourites, the model rating them 62 % to win, 22 % for a draw and 16 % for a Braunschweig victory. The 62 % home win probability reflects Schalke’s solid home form, scoring 1.54 goals and conceding only 0.85 against similar opposition, while Braunschweig, away, averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. The expected total is 3.0 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 10.6 %. The model’s pick is a home win, supported by Schalke’s recent 5-game run of WLWWW and a 1-0 win over Braunschweig last time. The predicted total goals of 2 is 23 % likely, but the 1-1 score is the single most probable outcome. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 82.5 %, Over 1.5 goals at 81.6 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.1 %, Under 11.5 corners at 73.6 % and Under 5.5 cards at 70.6 %. Each selection is presented with its exact percentage and, where applicable, an edge.
Results analysis
The final score was 1-0, a home win that confirms the model’s pick and keeps FC Schalke 04’s winning run alive. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was selected with a 62 % probability and proved correct. The expected total of 3.0 goals was far above the single goal that fell. The model’s other selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards (82.5 %) missed, Over 1.5 (81.6 %) missed, Over 19.5 fouls (80.1 %) missed, Under 11.5 corners (73.6 %) hit, and Under 5.5 cards (70.6 %) hit. Schalke’s recent form of WLWWW and Braunschweig’s LWLWL set the stage for a tight contest that ended in a narrow home victory.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Schalke 04 win✓ Hit
61.8%
Avg Implied 50.0% · @ 1.83
Edge
+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.73
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Eintracht Braunschweig win✗ Miss
15.8%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.59
Edge
-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Schalke 04
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.93
1.71
0.86
1.31
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.46
0.96
1.54
0.85
1.40
1.07
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
4.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Eintracht Braunschweig) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eintracht Braunschweig
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.63
1.06
1.50
1.07
1.79
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.08
1.50
1.07
1.36
1.08
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.59+0.3%
Under 2.5
41.6%
@ 2.21-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0 ✓
9.0%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
FC Schalke 04 goals ↓
Eintracht Braunschweig goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
3.7%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
1
9.0%
11%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
3
7.1%
6.9%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
4
3.7%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Schalke 04 goals (down), columns = Eintracht Braunschweig goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Schalke 04
2.06
SV Elversberg
1.82
SC Paderborn 07
1.82
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
Rot-Weiß Essen
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
Karlsruher SC
1.29
VfL Bochum
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.09
Preußen Münster
0.88
FC Schalke 04 is 0.97 points better than Eintracht Braunschweig in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SV Elversberg
1.88
Hannover 96
1.76
SC Paderborn 07
1.74
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
FC Schalke 04
1.47
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.12
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.97
Rot-Weiß Essen
0.50
FC Schalke 04 is 0.41 goals better than Eintracht Braunschweig in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Schalke 04
0.91
Rot-Weiß Essen
1.00
SV Elversberg
1.15
Hertha BSC
1.29
Hannover 96
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
SC Paderborn 07
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.56
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Preußen Münster
1.79
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
FC Schalke 04 is 0.68 goals better than Eintracht Braunschweig in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
SV Elversberg
53%
SC Paderborn 07
53%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Preußen Münster
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
FC Schalke 04
46%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
Rot-Weiß Essen
39%
FC Schalke 04 is 2.1 percentage points better than Eintracht Braunschweig in terms of average possession (46% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Schalke 04
For 4.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eintracht Braunschweig
For 5.5 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Schalke 04
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.8
4.5
4.1
4.9
23.7
23.4
24.1
vs Stronger (1)
6.0
6.0
-
7.0
7.0
-
20.0
20.0
-
vs Similar (42)
9.7
9.8
9.6
4.4
4.2
4.7
24.0
24.0
24.1
vs Weaker (7)
10.3
9.5
11.3
4.6
3.2
6.3
22.4
21.0
24.3
% over line
46%
48%
44%
66%
64%
68%
64%
60%
68%
% under line
54%
52%
56%
34%
36%
32%
36%
40%
32%
This opponent (Eintracht Braunschweig) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eintracht Braunschweig
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.0
10.2
5.3
5.6
4.9
24.8
25.1
24.5
vs Stronger (7)
10.1
13.0
8.0
4.7
5.3
4.2
22.9
25.0
21.2
vs Similar (38)
10.0
9.2
10.9
5.4
5.5
5.2
24.6
23.9
25.4
vs Weaker (5)
10.4
12.0
8.0
5.2
6.3
3.5
29.0
33.0
23.0
% over line
54%
58%
50%
72%
73%
71%
70%
65%
75%
% under line
46%
42%
50%
28%
27%
29%
30%
35%
25%
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
VfL Bochum
10.7
Hertha BSC
10.7
Dynamo Dresden
10.6
1. FC Magdeburg
10.3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
SV Darmstadt 98
10.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
Hannover 96
10.2
Holstein Kiel
10.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.1
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
Preußen Münster
9.9
SC Paderborn 07
9.8
1. FC Nürnberg
9.7
FC Schalke 04
9.7
SV Elversberg
9.6
Karlsruher SC
9.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Preußen Münster
5.6
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.3
Holstein Kiel
5.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.1
1. FC Nürnberg
4.9
Hannover 96
4.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.8
VfL Bochum
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.7
1. FC Magdeburg
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.5
Hertha BSC
4.4
SV Darmstadt 98
4.3
Arminia Bielefeld
4.2
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Preußen Münster
26.7
Hannover 96
26.6
Holstein Kiel
25.8
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.6
Arminia Bielefeld
25.4
1. FC Nürnberg
25.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.8
SC Paderborn 07
24.5
Hertha BSC
24.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.2
SV Elversberg
24.0
SV Darmstadt 98
23.7
FC Schalke 04
23.7
1. FC Magdeburg
23.5
Dynamo Dresden
23.4
Karlsruher SC
23.1
VfL Bochum
23.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.7%
Under 9.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.5%
Under 3.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
66.1%
Under 21.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Schalke 04
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
0.79
0.21
0.75
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.43
0.69
0.23
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Eintracht Braunschweig) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eintracht Braunschweig
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.44
0.62
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.54
0.43
0.50
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eintracht Braunschweig over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eintracht Braunschweig over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eintracht Braunschweig over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Schalke 04
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.93
0.64
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.54
0.85
0.62
0.60
0.47
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Eintracht Braunschweig) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eintracht Braunschweig
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.93
0.62
0.88
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.96
0.64
0.86
0.42
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eintracht Braunschweig over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eintracht Braunschweig over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eintracht Braunschweig over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HB (35)
€60m
SP0 (31)
€53m
H9 (32)
€51m
VB (32)
€47m
HK (34)
€38m
KS (27)
€36m
SD9 (24)
€32m
SGF (35)
€27m
EB (29)
€23m
AB (28)
€18m
PM (31)
€16m
RE (27)
€8m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VB (10)
€19m
SD9 (9)
€17m
KS (8)
€16m
HB (7)
€14m
H9 (10)
€13m
SGF (9)
€12m
HK (8)
€10m
SP0 (11)
€10m
EB (11)
€9m
AB (12)
€8m
PM (8)
€4m
RE (11)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HB (10)
€27m
H9 (11)
€25m
SP0 (9)
€21m
VB (9)
€19m
HK (9)
€12m
SD9 (5)
€8m
SGF (10)
€7m
KS (8)
€5m
PM (8)
€4m
EB (5)
€4m
AB (4)
€2m
RE (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP0 (11)
€22m
HB (18)
€20m
HK (17)
€15m
KS (11)
€15m
H9 (11)
€13m
VB (13)
€10m
EB (13)
€9m
SGF (16)
€9m
SD9 (10)
€8m
PM (15)
€7m
AB (12)
€7m
RE (11)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 14. Games History
H2H record
5 previous meetings
2
FS0 wins
1
Draws
2
EB wins
Head-to-head
FC Schalke 04 vs Eintracht Braunschweig · H/A from FS0
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hertha BSC
1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Bochum
Karlsruher SC
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Magdeburg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Preußen Münster
Rot-Weiß Essen