FC Sion hosts FC Luzern in the Switzerland: Super League on August 2nd. The recent form of both teams is worth noting, with FC Sion on a 3-game winning run, having defeated FC Vaduz 3-2 in their last outing, while FC Luzern comes off a draw against FC ST. Gallen, having scored 2 goals.
FC Sion is the favourite to win at 42% probability, with a 28% chance of a draw and 30% for FC Luzern. The expected total goals is 2.7, with the most likely score being 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring at 13.2% probability.
At home, FC Sion averages 1.75 goals scored and 1 goal conceded against similar opponents, while FC Luzern averages 2 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded when away against similar opponents.
The model's selection is Over 1.5 goals, occurring at 77.1% probability, and Under 3.5 goals, occurring at 70.4% probability with a 10% edge. The model also selects Over 21.5 fouls, at 78.5% probability. The home win percentage is 42%, the draw percentage is 28%, and the away win percentage is 30%.
FC Sion secured a 3-0 victory over FC Luzern, extending their winning run to four matches. The model's call of a home win proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 42%. The model's selection of a home win was the favourite, and it correctly identified the outcome.
The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 77.1%. Under 3.5 goals was also a successful selection, with a probability of 70.4%. However, the model's selection of Over 21.5 fouls missed, with a probability of 78.5%.
FC Sion| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.83 | 1.10 | 1.93 | 0.67 | 1.73 | 1.53 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.86 | 1.57 | 2.33 | 0.33 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (18) | 1.67 | 1.17 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 2.40 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 0.25 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+19pp vs league) | |||||
FC Luzern| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.03 | 1.80 | 2.33 | 2.07 | 1.73 | 1.53 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 1.40 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 2.80 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| vs Similar (13) | 2.15 | 1.38 | 2.33 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 2.71 | 1.57 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-1pp vs league) | |||||
| FC Luzern goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 13% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC Sion| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.9 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 27.3 | 28.0 | 26.6 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 10.9 | 10.2 | 11.4 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 25.8 | 26.5 | 25.2 |
| vs Similar (31) | 9.8 | 9.2 | 10.3 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 28.1 | 28.8 | 27.3 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 9.3 | 9.5 | 9.0 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 26.4 | 26.8 | 25.8 |
| % over line | 52% | 46% | 58% | 76% | 81% | 71% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| % under line | 48% | 54% | 42% | 24% | 19% | 29% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
FC Luzern| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.3 | 11.1 | 9.5 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 24.1 | 24.5 | 23.7 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 11.1 | 12.8 | 9.2 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 23.8 | 22.6 | 25.2 |
| vs Similar (24) | 10.2 | 10.7 | 9.8 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 25.2 | 25.8 | 24.6 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 9.0 | 8.8 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 21.6 | 24.8 | 19.0 |
| % over line | 54% | 60% | 48% | 78% | 84% | 72% | 68% | 72% | 64% |
| % under line | 46% | 40% | 52% | 22% | 16% | 28% | 32% | 28% | 36% |
FC Sion| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.60 | 1.13 | 0.40 | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.29 | 0.71 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| vs Similar (18) | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+29pp vs league) | |||||
FC Luzern| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 0.53 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.50 | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| vs Similar (13) | 0.77 | 0.46 | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.71 | 0.43 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 91.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 84.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 82.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 77.1% | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | -3.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 70.4% | 1.56 | 1.61 | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.57 | +10.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 24/01/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 04/10/25 | A | 3-3 | |
| 23/02/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 10/11/24 | H | 4-2 | |
| 03/08/24 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/05/23 | H | 1-2 | |
| 02/04/23 | A | 1-2 |
FC Sion| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 4-2 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 14/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 1-1 |
FC Luzern| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 12/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 22/03/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 4.3 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 8.7 | 33% | 2.7 | 0% | 21.7 | 67% | 69 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 56% |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 5.3 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 8.0 | 33% | 4.0 | 33% | 28.0 | 100% | 83 | 18 | 21 | 44 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 55% |
| 3 | FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 4.0 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 12.0 | 67% | 4.7 | 67% | 26.7 | 67% | 41 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 45% |
| 4 | FC Sion | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 4.7 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 8.7 | 67% | 3.7 | 33% | 21.3 | 33% | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 51% |
| 5 | FC Basel 1893 | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 2.7 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 11.0 | 67% | 5.5 | 100% | 27.7 | 100% | 70 | 37 | 17 | 15 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 55% |
| 6 | Lausanne | 3 | 5 | 33% | 1.7 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 2.3 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 7.7 | 33% | 7.0 | 100% | 31.0 | 100% | 47 | 18 | 9 | 20 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 50% |
| 7 | Servette FC | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2.3 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 13.0 | 100% | 6.5 | 100% | 24.7 | 100% | 17 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 52% |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3.7 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 8.7 | 33% | 4.0 | 67% | 30.3 | 100% | 58 | 23 | 16 | 19 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 51% |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5.3 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 11.0 | 33% | 3.3 | 67% | 26.0 | 100% | 30 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 46% |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3.3 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 8.7 | 33% | 5.7 | 67% | 24.0 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 45% |
| 11 | FC Luzern | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3.7 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 12.7 | 67% | 4.7 | 67% | 22.0 | 67% | 41 | 15 | 5 | 20 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 50% |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4.3 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 12.0 | 100% | 3.7 | 33% | 19.3 | 33% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | 2.7 | - |